2016 Deutsche Bank Championship Odds and Pick
The PGA Tour carries on this Friday, as the 2016 Detsche Bank Championship graces us over the long Labor Day weekend.
Rickie Fowler blew a lead last week at The Barclays, but was still in top form and will enter this week’s tournament with a chance to defend his title. Fowler returns as the defending champion after winning the Deutsche Bank Championship at the Tournament Players Club of Boston in Norton, Massachusetts last year.
The #FedExCup heads to TPC Boston this week for the Deutsche Bank Championship.
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) August 29, 2016
Fowler naturally comes in with solid odds to repeat, but if he found a way to do so, he’d become the first ever back-to-back winner in the tourney’s 13-year history. In fact, he’d also be just the second player to even win the tournament multiple times. Vijah Singh (2004 and 2008) is the only player to have done so, and he’s taken first two different times.
This is a loaded field as some of the biggest names aim to continue torrid runs through th 2016 PGA Tour. Let’s take a look at the top favorites and some interesting sleepers as we gauge who could win the 2016 Deutsche Bank Championship:
Top Deutsche Bank Championship Favorites
- Jason Day +650
- Dustin Johnson +900
- Jordan Spieth +1200
- Rory McIlroy +1200
- Henrik Stenson +1600
- Rickie Fowler +2000
- Adam Scott +2000
Bovada gives Jason Day the best Deutsche Bank Championship odds, and no one can complain thanks to two 2016 wins and eight top-10 runs. Day has also been in top form recently, getting inside the top-5 in four of his last seven tournaments. He just seems to be in the mix every time he shows up, as he hasn’t finished worse than 27th in any of those seven tournaments and six times he was 14th or better. Even if he’s not your pick to win, he needs to get a top-10 bet.
The same goes for Dustin Johnson, who has creeped inside the top-10 of nine tourneys in 2016. He only has one win and has actually dropped off a bit recently (18th and 142nd in last two tournaments), but he’d been on a tear just prior, with four straight top-5 finishes.
We can never completely rule out the likes of Spieth and McIlroy, but it’s obvious this is just not their year. Spieth has two wins and actually has been fine lately (13th and 10th in last two runs), but he’s not nearly as dominant as we’re used to seeing. McIlroy isn’t even in the same conversation as Spieth at the moment, as he has zero 2016 wins and hasn’t even topped 31st place in any of his last three tournaments.
Both Spieth and McIlroy are talented enough to pop up and snag a big win, of course, so they do deserve some Deutsche Bank Championship betting consideration. It’s also worth noting McIlroy did win here back in 2012.
The other favorites look to be Stenson, last year’s champ – Fowler and Adam Scott. Stenson has been in the mix for a lot of tourneys this year, but he’s yet to post a win and has seen his play drop off lately (155th or worse in four of last five runs). He did win here as recently as 2013, though, so perhaps this is a great spot for him to get back on track.
Fowler is obviously in play, as he comes in red hot after a good run last week and he won here just last season. He’s blown his last four chances to win a tournament, though, so it’s understandable to want to look in another direction. That direction could be Scott’s way, as he’s been pretty fantastic for much of 2016. Scott has two wins under his belt and has also crept inside the top-10 five different times. He even finished 4th at The Barclays last week, so he could be primed for his third win this weekend.
- Bubba Watson +3300
- Phil Mickelson +3300
- Brooks Koepka +4000
- Brandt Snedeker +5000
- Kevin Kisner +8000
- Jimmy Walker +9000
- Steve Stricker +10000
- Webb Simpson +12500
- Chris Kirk +17500
- Charles Howell III +30000
- Smylie Kaufman +40000
The main favorites we just touched on should show you just how loaded this field, but that’s not even mentioning star golfers like Bubba Watson, Phil Mickelson and some of the other names you see on our sleeper list.
In fact, there is a laundry list of names we can’t touch on. That’s how jam-packed this week’s Deutsche Bank Championship truly is.
Still, you’ll want to at least consider these sleepers, starting with Watson and Mickelson. Mickelson won here n 2007 and Watson has slowly been climbing out of a hole (finished 25th and 13th in his last two starts). Both guys have solid Deutsche Bank Championship odds and could give a go at the top spot.
The same goes for Koepka and Snedeker, who are two terrific golfers that have been on fire lately. Koepka did cool off considerably last week (70th), but had delivered an impressive five straight top-15 finishes. He’s definitely worth a look, while Snedeker also cooled off last week (48th), but has two top-5 runs in his last four tournaments.
Stricker, Simpson and Kirk all feel like interesting bets this week, too, seeing as they’ve won this exact tournament before. Stricker took first in 2009, Simpson won in 2011 and Kirk stole the show in 2015. Of the three, Simpson has played the best in 2016, but Kirk has won here more recently and offers the most upside in terms of Deutsche Bank Championship odds.
That argument gets even more interesting when you look at sleepers such as Howell and Kaufman. Howell could return serious cash on a rather small bet and continues to fly under the radar. He wasn’t amazing last week after returning from a 9-week absence, but he was just getting his wind back. Kaufman isn’t quite as tantalizing in terms of safety, but of the two he’s the one with a win in 2016 and he also sports more playable odds.
2016 Deutsche Bank Championship Prediction
It always feels like we’re taking the easy way out when we roll with Jason Day, but he really does feel like a good pick this week. A win at the 2016 Deutsche Bank Championship would give him his first victory here, plus he hasn’t taken first since The Players Championship and he’s been inching closer with 4th and 2nd place runs in his last two tournaments.
We do fear a loaded field and some sneaky sleepers, but Day is in top form and is bound to get a win again in the near future. Why shouldn’t it be this week at the Deutsche Bank Championship? The good news is his +650 odds are still very playable, with a $100 bet bringing home a cool $650. That’s worth it for the guy who currently feels like the best golfer on the PGA Tour.
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