2016 PGA Tour: The Barclays Odds and Pick
The first event in the FedEx Cup Playoffs has arrived to the 2016 PGA Tour, as some of the top names in golf will head to Bethpage State Park for The Barclays tournament.
Jason Day will enter Thursday as the top favorite after having claimed The Barclays title in 2015, but he will be followed by some very stiff competition with Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth and all of the other big names showing up to try to manage the Bethpage Black Course.
Despite being in existence since 1967, this tourney has been won by the same golfer more than once just five times. Vijah Singh has dominated the event (leading the way with four wins), while four other golfers have all won twice.
That could be bad news for the defending Day, but there is also no denying he’ll be as dialed in as ever after finishing second at the PGA Championship.
It’s not all about Day at The Barclays, though. Let’s break this weekend’s event down by taking a look at the main favorites and some interesting sleepers as we try to figure out who the best bet is to take this thing:
The Barclays Favorites
- Jason Day +750
- Dustin Johnson +900
- Rory McIlroy +1000
- Henrick Stenson +1200
- Jordan Spieth +1400
These guys are all very much threats to drop in their A-game this weekend and go for first. Day has enjoyed two fantastic seasons in a row and in 2016 specifically has two tourney wins and seve top-10 runs. Defending The Barclays title won’t be easy, but it’s been won multiple times before. If you don’t pick him to win, he at least needs to be in your top-10.
Dustin Johnson collapsed within himself in the PGA Championship, but is a solid bet to bounce right back this week. He had been absolutely wrecking, posting 5th or better in his previous four tournaments in a row. Again, if he’s not your winner, he’s in the top-10 for sure.
McIlroy is a question mark, as we know he’s got the game and swagger, but he really just hasn’t been elite this year. He’s cracked some top-10’s and top-5’s, but lately he’s been tough to trust with finishes of 75th and 87th. He can bring it, but he probably wouldn’t be near the top of our list out of this group.
Stenson isn’t really at the same talent level of these other guys, but he was second only to Day at this event in 2015 and comes in at the top of his game after finishing 7th in the PGA Championship. His game has been a little up and down this year and he’s yet to nab a win, though, so picking him for first seems like a reach.
Spieth might be the best odds play of this group, as he’s given weak odds by Vegas considering his immense talent. He also has two wins on the year and was fine enough at the PGA Championship (13th). This is a long course and his game centers around the green, though, so he may not be the best play, either.
- Phil Mickelson +2800
- Brandt Snedeker +3300
- Rickie Fowler +4000
- Kevin Na +6600
- Jimmy Walker +7000
- Justin Thomas +7500
- Johnson Wagner +10000
- Vijah Singh +25000
This is a super loaded field and weather conditions could end up complicating this tournament, so keep in mind there are more fringe favorites and dark horse sleepers than we can possibly touch on.
That being said, this is another group of golfers to consider for PGA betting this week. Mickelson has been up and down this year and still doesn’t have a win, but he’s also netted five top-5 runs and has enjoyed success at this event in the past. I’d like better odds to play with, but he’s worth a look, regardless.
Snedeker has solid odds and actually came in second at The Barclays that was last played at the Black Course. He lost to Nick Watney (2012), who won’t be participating due to a back injury. Perhaps Snedeker can build off of the success he saw here four years ago. It probably doesn’t hurt that he has 3rd and 5th place finishes in two of his last tournaments.
Fowler, Na, Walker and Thomas are nice throw-ins. They just have so much talent and seem over due to make a big play. Fowler has at least been building some momentum, finishing 44th, 33rd and 22nd in successive runs recently.
Na has also been hot lately, posting 22nd or better in four straight runs. Walker just won the PGA Championship and will obviously need to be on watch, while Thomas popped back up on the radar with a 3rd place run at the Travelers Championship.
If you’re looking for even deeper sleepers and major golf betting upside, consider Wagner or Singh. Singh has largely just been haning around in 2016, but he has dominated this event (4 wins) and needs to be tossed into the sleeper mix. Wagner has a little more appeal – and his odds are plenty of fun – as he’s been handing in top notch performances with two straight 5th places runs.
The Barclays Prediction
I keep coming back to Day for this one, as he won this event in 2015 and has been really strong for a good two years now. I might be more scared of some of the other favorites if their recent form was better, but they’re not as threatening as they’ve been in the past.
Wagner, Snedeker, Walker and Stenson would be my next best bets, but Day actually still has playable odds and is probably the guy in the best position to make a run for first this week.
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