2016 PGA Tour Betting: North Trust Open Preview
Vaughn Taylor shocked everyone paying attention to the PGA Tour with a huge win at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am this past weekend. Many had Dustin Johnson and a slew of other big names as heavy hitting favorites, but instead it was some guy who came in as the 447-ranked player in the world stole the show.
These “rising from the ashes” moments are fairly rare in a talent group flooded with studs, but this is always something we need to consider. Regardless, the 2016 PGA Tour doesn’t rest because one guy came out of nowhere, and things move on to the Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades, CA, where the North Trust Open will tee off on Thursday morning.
This has been a very intense course, producing three playoffs in the last four events. We should expect a heated week of golf, a potential classic for a finish and most of the studs to show up playing their best golf:
Jordan Spieth – He’s the top ranked golfer in the world for a reason, because he dominated in 2015 and has the talent to do the same this year. He was just “meh” last week, so he could have been humbled enough to turn around and sharpen his focus at the 2016 North Trust Open. Vegas supports that logic, too, with Spieth holding the lead for outright winner (+650). Even if he doesn’t take the top spot, he’s a pretty good pick for the first round lead, as well as a top 10 finish.
Rory McIlroy – Mclroy comes in ranked #2 only behind Spieth, so you better believe he’ll come in hot for this one. McIlroy has not warmed up yet this year in just two tournaments (zero top 10 finishes), but he finishes 11th in the Omega Dubai Desert Classic and could be ready for a big spike. His +650 odds have him understandably neck and neck with Spieth, but he’s admittedly the weaker bet of the two.
Dustin Johnson – Johnson comes in with the third best odds to win the 2016 North Trust Open (+1400). As he should, as he’s been rather strong in four 2016 tourneys, finishing two inside the top 10 and once inside the top 5. He also has a good history at this event, being involved in exciting playoff finishes in each of the last two years. We don’t necessarily think that makes him a lock to be involved to the end here, but if you buy that logic he could make for a stellar bet this week.
Hideki Matsuyama – Matsuyama is easily one of the top favorites to storm the castle this week (+1600), as the 25-year old has been white hot in 2016 with two Top 5 finishes and a win in five tourney appearances. He should look to keep it going strong this week and even if you don’t love him to take down his second tournament of the year, he’s at least a strong candidate to finish inside the top 10.
Justin Rose – Rose has solid +1800 odds for this week and has been solid in three tourneys thus far this year, sneaking into the Top 10 in two of them. Rose comes in building positive momentum, as the 35-year old placed 6th in last week’s Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
Jimmy Walker – Walker enters the 2016 North Trust Open with solid odds (+2000) after posting two Top 10 finishes in his first five tries in 2016. He’s the oldest favorite here with the best odds and while he has a shot, he’s probably the weakest bet of the lot.
Bubba Watson – Watson is an unorthodox golfer but is going to be a fun target this week after winning this event back in 2014. He has fun +2200 odds, too, and is waiting for his 2016 breakout tourney (no wins, just one top 10 finish). This week could be a good spot for him to land in the top 10 again and I think he’s a real threat to win the whole thing for the second time in his career.
J.B. Holmes – Holmes has been just OK in four tournaments so far in 2016, placing inside the top-10 twice. He’ll have a chance to have his best showing yet this weekend, when he enters the North Trust Open with promising +2800 odds.
Adam Scott – Scott enters the 2016 North Trust Open as one of the top golfers to monitor (+3300 odds to take first) thanks to four top-20 finishes at this very event. He hasn’t been amazing lately, but his odds aren’t terrible and his success in the past makes him a fun shot in the dark.
Justin Thomas – Thomas has not been quiet thus far in 2016, posting one win and two top-5 runs in his first seven tournaments. He has solid +5500 odds to take down first place and will be one of the top sleepers to monitor.
Kevin Na – Na was quite disappointing last week after failing to miss the initial cut. He has the talent to turn things around and place high this week, though, and isn’t the worst try with +6000 odds to win first place. He’d been ablaze prior to this failure, claiming four top-5 finishes in his first seven tourneys of the year.
Patrick Rodgers – The youngster continues his go-around in his first full season on the Tour and this weekend he’ll vie for his third top-10 finish. He’s not a safe pick for the top prize, but he’s quite talented and has shown well thus far in 2016. He also had 17 runs in 2015, so he’s building up toward a special finish eventually. His +10000 odds to win this year’s North Trust Open make him worth a bet.
It’s time for Jordan Spieth to take back his crown. He never really lost it, but he has just one win on the new year and will want to remind everyone he’s the man. Admittedly playing a little “cocky” recently, Spieth should come in as determined as ever. It’s a heck of a field to bounce back and drop elite golf on, but Spieth probably wouldn’t have it any other way. He’s our overall favorite, but if you’re looking for someone with some better odds (for a better payout), we like Bubba Watson. He won this event as recently as 2014 and has some of the best stuff in golf today.
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