Australian Open Quarter Finals Preview
The Australian Open has entered its second week and the men’s quarter final draw has provided some interesting matches. We have taken a look at each one of these below, with some advice on the betting options available.
First up is top seed Nadal against 22nd seed Dimitrov. Nadal won his previous match with relative ease, beating Nishikori in straight sets, although he did need a tie break in two sets though and he also required treatment for a blister on his racquet hand. Dimitrov, playing in his first Grand Slam quarter final, may be a little more difficult to overcome but Nadal is still the overwhelming favorite. The odds of 1.04 reflect that and there is very little value here.
Next is the hardest of the quarter finals to call; fourth seed Murray against sixth seed Federer. Federer, who had an impressive victory against Tsonga in the previous round, is the slight favorite with most bookmakers although there is not much in it. Murray beat him in this tournament last year and will take some confidence from that but, despite being in the twilight years of his career, Federer is in very good form. It is very difficult to favor either one of these players and it might be a good match for in play betting if you can watch the first few games to see how things go.
Two more closely matched opponents meet in the third quarter final – Berdych and Ferrer. Again there is very little between the two in the odds, with Berdych being the favorite with most bookmakers. He is making his fourth consecutive appearance in this round but has yet to make the semis. Ferrer meanwhile, has made the last two semifinals of this competition.
On paper you would expect Ferrer to have the advantage. He is seeded third, with Berdych seventh, and has the better overall head to head record as well as the better record on hard court. However, it was Berdych that won the most recent meeting between the two and he is yet to drop a set in this year’s tournament. On balance, if you can get better than evens on Ferrer then that is probably the value bet but it is another tough one to call.
The final quarter final sees reigning champion Novak Djokovic take on Wawrinka. Djokovic is the clear favorite with the bookmakers and this is no surprise given that he has beaten Wawrinka in each of their last 14 meetings. However, Wawrinka pushed him all the way when they met in this tournament last year and has been steadily improving over the last year. Djokovic is still likely to win this encounter but at odds of 7.0 or better Wawrinka may well be worth a speculative wager.
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