Daily Fantasy Basketball Value Buys For 3/30
Big NBA Wednesday is back in daily fantasy basketball, as we get a strong 9-game slate to work with. It’s an interesting night for DFS action, though, with the Warriors facing a stiff Utah defense and a slew of players potentially sitting due to rest/injuries.
Keep an eye on Kings and Spurs starters and reserves, as they’ve both been resting guys left and right lately and what happens with them could potentially open up the slate in a big way.
Depending on what guys sit out, the likes of Omri Casspi, Darren Collison, Willie Cauley-Stein, Patty Mills and Kyle Anderson should be on high alert.
For all the other values, let’s tackle the top guys listed at $6k and lower that could help you piece together a gem lineup:
PG: Jeff Teague – Hawks (5.8k), Emmanuel Mudiay – Nuggets ($5.6k) and Jordan Farmer – Grizzlies ($3.9k)
Point guard is top heavy tonight, but you may want to use one of these cheap guys if you plan on paying up for Stephen Curry or John Wall. Teague is easily the safest, as he’s a tremendous value for a guy who can easily get 35-40 fantasy points. He’s shown well against Toronto, averaging 32 fantasy points in two previous meetings this year, plus he’s dropped in 27+ fantasy points in five straight contests.
Mudiay may have the upside of this trio, which he showcased last time out (34 fantasy points). Unfortunately he has woeful downside due to awful shooting, erratic minutes and turnovers. He’s a fun GPP play at a solid price, though, while he gets a beatable matchup against a severely depleted Memphis team.
Speaking of the Grizz, they’re down to street free agent Jordan Farmar manning the point. His minutes are touch and go thus far but as he’s grown more acclimated, he’s been trusted with more responsibility. The matchup and price is there, but the risk is obvious for a guy who has played four NBA games all year.
SG: Zach Lavine – Timberwolves ($5.8k), Brad Beal – Wizards ($5.4k), Kobe Bryant – Lakers ($4.9k) and Wes Matthews – Mavs ($4.9k)
It might pay to go cheap at shooting guard tonight, as DeMar DeRozan is the best option and Klay Thompson has a bad matchup.
Lavine is the first guy that stands out, as he’s been red hot over the past few weeks. He was bad his last two times out, but is a good price and had topped 28 fantasy points in his previous six contests. It doesn’t hurt that he’s at home against a Clippers team he’s averaged 30 fantasy points against across three contests this year.
Beal could be limited or even rested on the second game of a back to back set, but he’s a good value if he plays. He’s been very hit or miss, but it doesn’t get a whole lot better than this price and he’s facing a Kings defense that is awful against shooting guards. He could have a huge night.
The Black Mamba said not too long ago that he “vowed” to play the rest of L.A.’s games, so consider him as good as active for his last showdown with Dwyane Wade and the Miami Heat. Bryant was dreadful (1 for 11) in his last game, but should be rested and psyched to play Wade one last time. The potential for vintage Mamba is always there and at this price he’s absolutely worth a GPP stab.
Matthews is the same price as Bryant and carries less upside, but might be safer. He is getting good run and with Chandler Parsons out for the year, the volume is solid, too. He needs to hit his outside shots to pan out, but considering he has 4+ makes behind the arc in four of his last five games, you could be in good shape here.
SF: Luol Deng – Heat ($5.8k), Otto Porter – Wizards ($5.5k), Matt Barnes – Grizzlies ($5.3k) and Jeff Green – Clippers ($3.9k)
Small forward is a nightmare, as Giannis Antetokounmpo has been a failure based on his insane price lately and Kawhi Leonard has been less than 100% or even sitting games out. Melo is probably the play tonight, but if you want to save, any of these guys could work.
Deng has been sparing lately, but he has a great matchup against the hapless Lakers and is a good price. Porter is also in play in an up-tempo matchup with the Kings, while Barnes gets good run and has a solid matchup with the Nuggets.
Green can go full spare more than you like, but he’s the cheapest of all and could see extended action with Paul Pierce (ankle) out. He’s a big dive, but he does carry some upside against a weak Minnesota defense.
PF: Julius Randle – Lakers ($5.8k), Jabari Parker – Bucks ($5.5k) and Markieff Morris – Wizards ($5k)
Randle bombed horribly against Utah in his last game (2.5 fantasy points!), but that could make him a turn around contrarian play. Miami does a lot of small ball, so he could rebound and score a bit in this one. The price is good and the risk is low, so he looks like a fun try.
Parker is pretty cheap and while he hasn’t been the most consistent performer, he’s still a guy who can score and gets good run for the Bucks. He’s at home against a bad Suns team, too, so there is some upside to tap into in this matchup.
Kieff returned to action and produced 26 fantasy points last night, so if he can stay active again tonight he could be in play at a very low price. The Kings are a good matchup on paper and he does have some upside to him if he can get it going offensively.
C: Alex Len – Suns ($5.8k), Rudy Gobert – Jazz ($5.6k), Greg Monroe – Bucks ($5.3k), Robin Lopez – Knicks ($5.3k) and Jonas Valanciunas – Raptors ($5.1k)
Lensanity returned in his last game with a huge 37-point fantasy outing. He’d been borderline trash for a while, but that performance puts him back in the DFS picture. A matchup with the Bucks can’t hurt, either.
Moose has been very tough to trust for the past month, really only managing to blow up once in a revenge game against the Pistons. I don’t love him tonight, but he’s at home and is a good price, so he’s not the worst GPP gamble.
The same goes for Lopez and Jonas V, both of which can rebound, score and block shots, but tend to see their minutes jerked around. I tend to prefer Jonas against a poor rebounding Atlanta squad, but Lopez could also be pretty busy trying to defend Dirk Nowitzki down low.
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