Daily Fantasy Basketball Value Buys at DraftKings For 3/11
Looking to cash in big in daily fantasy basketball on Friday night? You’ve come to the right place. We’ve been nailing our value picks lately (then again, so has everyone) in what has been a truly insane past week of DFS action.
I mean, Kobe Bryant even worked out last night and Devin Booker can’t stop pouring in 30+ point outings. And JaMychael Green has been a thing.
Insane, it surely has been, and that probably won’t change too much on a crazy 10-game slate for Friday night. There is plenty of value to consider, too, making a stack job of elites fairly doable (if not necessary). Let’s take a look at the top values at or below $6k you may want to roster over at DraftKings:
PG: Ricky Rubio – Wolves ($6k), Patrick Beverley – Rockets ($5.2k), Darren Collison – Kings ($4.8k) and Brandon Jennings – Pistons ($3.5k)
Rubio doesn’t have a jumper so his price continues to drop simply because his floor can get so ugly if he’s not dropping dimes at a mad rate. A matchup with Russell Westbrook could get him into foul trouble, but he’s rather talented and starting to be too cheap to ignore. There is risk here, but I love his price.
Bev has been very good and is starting to get a little too expensive for my liking. This might be the breaking point, or we can get one more value-exceeding night out of ol’ Beverley. I think we can, as his date with Boston should be fairly fast-paced and high-scoring.
Collison should be another cheap point guard that is in play, as the Kings will be without leading scorer DeMarcus Cousins and a slew of swing men might be out, as well. Collison logged 39 minutes last game and could start and see a ton of work again. He’s an OK GPP try if he doesn’t start, but if he’s in the main five I love him.
Jennings could be looking at a starting nod tonight, as Elfrid Payton is hurt and has begun struggling again. The Magic have been talking about a starting lineup change, and if he gets the promotion, you need to take advantage of this insanely cheap price tag tonight.
SG: Evan Fournier – Magic ($5.9k), Zach Lavine – Wolves ($5.9k), Andrew Wiggins – Wolves ($5.8k), J.J. Redick – Clippers ($4.9k) and Avery Bradley – Celtics ($4.7k)
I’m a Fournier fan, largely because he can’t not do well as a scorer most nights and also he’s one of the few guys Scott Skiles will run into the ground. There is talk of a change in the starting five, but that probably has something to do with Elfrid Payton being banged up and also sucking lately. Fournier remains a killer value, plus the Kings are awful against two guards.
Lavine also remains hot and is the same price, so pick your poison between the two. The run and shooting is still going to be there, with the only real issue being a blowout loss in OKC. That’s quite likely, so you’ll have to hope Lavine does a lot of his damage early. The same goes for Wiggins, who mostly just scores but has more upside and is yet cheaper than his Minnesota teammate.
Redick is a throw-in, as he’s poured in 22 actual points in back to back games and can get hot any any time. If Arron Afflalo is out tonight – and probably even if he isn’t – I like his matchup at home against the Knicks. If he can get me 30 fantasy points, it’s a win.
Bradley has dropped significantly in price over the past few weeks. That has a lot to do with him not being overly reliable, but you’re not using him for safety, you’re using him for his upside. He could erupt tonight against an awful Rockets defense.
SF: Rudy Gay – Kings ($6k), Jae Crowder – Celtics ($5.5k), Matt Barnes – Grizzlies ($5.3k), Joe Johnson – Heat ($5.1k) and Lance Stephenson – Grizzlies ($4.4k)
I love Rudy Gay right now and color him a chalk play on this huge slate. He’s just an insane value and has been paying you back with back to back 37-point fantasy outings. With no Boogie tonight (suspended), I like him to crush value for a third straight game.
Crowder struggled with fouls last game and only saw 22 minutes, which has to be DK’s explanation for a big salary dive here. He’s too cheap for his stability, plus he’s facing the defensively inept Rockets, who shot 7 of 10 against earlier this year. Let’s hope he can hit the boards and add a couple of dimes and assists to his line.
Barnes is right there with Crowder, although not as safe since he’s been prone to some epic crater jobs. He’s still getting a lot of run with Memphis beaten to a pulp, of course. I like him no matter what tonight against New Orleans, but probably prefer Zach Randolph (questionable) to sit if I’m going to seek major exposure. Joe Johnson is a fine scorer and can blow up, so at this price he’s a throw-in you should at least ponder about.
Lance is the real bait here, especially if Zach Randolph remains out. It may not matter, as Mario Chalmers is done for the year (torn Achilles) and Mike Conley isn’t expected back yet. That should mean a lot of time with the ball in his hands, so $4.4k is a bargain for Lance’s services.
PF: JaMychael Green – Grizzlies ($5.7k), Serge Ibaka – Thunder ($5.6k), Markieff Morris – Wizards ($5.5k), Marvin Williams – Hornets ($5.4k), Taj Gibson – Bulls ($4.4k), Nikola Mirotic – Bulls ($4.1k), Jarell Martin – Grizzlies ($3.6k) and Jason Smith – Magic ($3.5k)
JaMychael Green has spiked quite a bit in price but it’s hard to hate his price tonight, given the fact that he’s destroying with 37 and 50 fantasy point nights in his last two starts. Zach Randolph (questionable) probably needs to be out to pay that much, though.
Ibaka and Kieff are throw-ins here because they’re talented, start and are decent prices. I don’t really trust either of them and if I pick one its Ibaka against the Wolves. He does more than just score and rebound (blocks shots), so he carries a little more upside. The same goes for Williams, who is versatile but is fairly hit or miss.
Good luck figuring out which Bulls forward will be the better player between Taj and Nikola. For now I’m liking Mirotic, who brings an outside jumper and doesn’t get in much foul trouble. He’s been getting more run and provided Jimmy Butler remains out, he might be one of the best GPP dives on the night.
Martin was supposedly good the other day in extended run, but it definitely translated to DFS (28 fantasy points). I’m not sure the run sticks and he for sure needs Z Bo out to make him viable, but you can’t completely ignore him in GPPs. The same goes for Smith, who is seriously one of the best mid-range shooters in the league and is starting while Nikla Vucevic (groin) misses some time. A date with a non-Boogie-led Kings squad could be good for him.
C: Jared Sullinger – Celtics ($5.8k), Robin Lopez – Knicks ($5.7k), Andrew Bogut – Warriors ($4.5k), Kosta Koufos/Willie Cauley-Stein – Kings ($3k) and Ryan Hollins – Grizzlies ($3k)
Sully continues to be held back some by capped minutes, but his minor health issue (skin infection) is in the rearview mirror and we can look forward to his impressive efficiency again tonight. He is still a solid value and is facing the Rockets, who have a difficult time against centers. Banking on 40+ fantasy points is dangerous, but he’s a fine GPP play tonight.
The same goes for Lopez, who can really go either way. Kurt Rambis, in all of his infinite wisdom, refuses to hand Kristaps Porzingis starter minutes, which has helped out Lopez quite a bit. He’s responded with stellar play (30+ fantasy points in 4 of last six games), so playing him against DeAndre Jordan isn’t the worst idea in the world.
Bogut is a throw-in here just because he’s at home, is cheap and gets Mason Plumlee. That’s a cakewalk matchup for those keeping score at home. Bogut is hit or miss and doesn’t score a ton, but here’s to hoping he’d play about 25 minutes and do stuff.
There are a few guys worth a speculative dive in big GPPs – Koufos, Trill and Hollins. None of them are reliable at all, but with the Grizzlies banged up beyond belief, Hollins could start for the third straight game. He doesn’t do much but simply being on the floor and being 11-feet tall make him a threat for 20+ fantasy points. I’d much rather roll the dice with whoever starts between the Kings centers, however, as DeMarcus Cousins serves a one-game suspension this evening.
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