Daily Fantasy Basketball Value Buys to Target For 3/18
Everyone is busy with the college basketball tournament at the moment, which could make for the perfect time to jump into some daily fantasy basketball GPPs.
There is big money to be had in DFS tonight, as there are a litany of studs to choose from and a bunch of value to take advantage of. If you want to stack elites or just need a few helpful value plays at DraftKings tonight, read on:
PG: Jordan Clarkson – Lakers ($5.7k), Darren Collison – Kings ($5.6k), Patrick Beverley – Rockets ($4.7k), Brandon Jennings – Magic ($4.3k), Cory Joseph – Raptors ($3.8k) and Tim Frazier – Pelicans ($3.4k)
Clarkson and Collison are both GPP plays no matter what because they’re explosive and tend to get good run. They can be a little shaky if things aren’t just right however, so in order to feel great about them, make sure both Kobe Bryant and Rajon Rondo are out. They’re still viable in GPPs either way, but if Kobe and Rondo are in, you probably will want to fade these two in cash games.
Bev is back in play now that he’s dropped below $5k on DraftKings. That’s because he’s seen a dip in run and production, but at this price it’s a lot easier for him to exceed value. I don’t hate him in a good matchup at home against a bad Timberwolves defense.
I am falling away from Brandon Jennings just because C.J. Watson and Victor Oladipo can both man the point. I’m okay with trying him again if he starts, as Kyrie Irving can’t defend and Orlando does play their best ball at home. His price is still solid if he can keep getting 24-27 minutes like he has been.
Joseph is an all or nothing guy, but he can score pretty well and also could be in for some decent assist numbers if Kyle Lowry rests, as expected. Lowry played last night, so rumor has it he’ll sit out tonight. That’d likely hand Joseph the keys to the offense and even though he was a total spare the last time that happened, the upside is too good when you look at this price.
The story is a little different with Tim Frazier, who is definitely not a scary talent, but suddenly has a role in New Orleans. We need Norris Cole to remain out, but if that happens, Frazier is going to start stealing more minutes from Toney Douglas. At such a low price, he’s worth the gamble if Cole sits again.
SG: Zach Lavine – Timberwolves ($6k), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – Pistons ($5.6k), Evan Fournier – Magic ($5.5k), Kobe Bryant – Lakers ($5.3k), Lou Williams – Lakers ($4.9k) and J.R. Smith – Cavs ($4.6k)
Lavine is wrecking right now (28 points scored in each of last two games), yet he’s cheaper than Andrew Wiggins. He’s an easy call in what should be a very fast-paced showdown with a bad Houston defense.
KCP is very erratic and was not great against the Kings earlier this year, but they are awful against two guards and he’s starting to heat up. Shooting guard can be a nightmare, so finding value is a good way to go. I’m probably going Lavine tonight, but KCP saves some cash and offers upside.
Fournier is an even better value if the Magic can just stay in the game against Cleveland tonight. Luckily they’re at the Amway Center, so that’s a possibility. Fournier usually wrecks at home and if Elfrid Payton remains out, he should be in for a huge role again.
The Black Mamba is a great price and is going to be useful if he can play through a shoulder issue. He’s a pretty big risk each time out, but it’s a home date with the Suns, so there is upside here, plus the potential of him being a contrarian play. Just stay on top of his status. That works hand in hand with Lou, who can erupt as a scorer at any time. If Kobe sits, he’s a great play at his listed price on DK.
Smith might be in play no matter what, but especially if Kevin Love, LeBron James or Kyrie Irving end up resting. He starts and sees around 30 minutes anyways, though, so at this price he’s a fine GPP gamble, regardless.
SF: Jerami Grant – 76ers ($5.2k), Marcus Morris – Pistons ($5.1k), Michael Beasley – Rockets ($4.1k) and Harrison Barnes – Warriors ($4.1k)
Tonight feels like a good night to pay up at small forward, but if you need to save up, consider Jerami Grant. His Sixers will probably get blown out by OKC, but a lack of bodies probably still guarantees major run.
Morris is another value play to consider at the three spot, as he dropped 40 fantasy points on Sacramento earlier this year and always carries (albeit volatile) upside. I like the matchup and he’s at home tonight, plus the price is to die for.
Beasley and Barnes are bigger gambles that you probably don’t need to take, but for different reasons. Beasley is just an offensive menace off the bench right now for Houston, and it’s worth wondering why he doesn’t play more. He’s a borderline lock for 10+ points and rebounds well, so if he can somehow stay on the floor for over 20 minutes, he could pay off. People won’t love his price, either, so he could remain fairly contrarian. Barnes is a minutes guy, as he starts and sees the floor for 30-32 minutes each night. He goes spare fairly often, but he’s got a good matchup with Dallas, so perhaps he’ll pay off tonight.
PF: Ryan Anderson – Pelicans ($5.7k), Serge Ibaka – Thunder ($5.4k), David Lee – Mavs ($4.8k), Jason Smith – Magic ($4.1k) and Channing Frye – Cavs ($3.5k)
Rando got hot last time out in a good matchup and he has another good one tonight against the Blazers. His run can be tough and go, but if he’s ablaze, New Orleans let’s him roam free. I don’t see much to be worried about with tonight’s matchup, so he could get hot and crush his price tag, yet again.
The story is the same for Ibaka, who is just really cheap for what he can do in terms of hitting three’s, rebounding and blocking shots. Philly does run some small ball which can mess with his stats, but he’s too talented to be this cheap. Take advantage of that talent/price gap with a great matchup at hand.
Lee and Frye are pure “revenge” plays. I don’t love Lee’s price or matchup, but he could get a ton of work if the Mavs get wrecked – which they probably will. Either way, he’s going to get his chances to show up his former team and he could end up working out quite nicely. The same goes for Frye, who takes on the Magic in what could also be a blowout win for Cleveland. That could mean extra run off the bench, while he could also see an expanded role if the Cavs rest some key guys.
Smith is in play with Nikola Vucevic out, but note he has been quite erratic. His run has been touch and go, but if he can stay out on the floor for 20+ minutes, he’s going to have a shot at crushing his price tag.
C: Jared Sullinger – Celtics ($5.6k), Enes Kanter – Thunder ($5.2k), Bismack Biyombo – Raptors ($4.6k) and Mason Plumlee – Blazers ($4k)
Sully ended up being a fail last time out, but he’s now dropped $400 in price and could be worth a shot again based on value. I don’t like his matchup against Toronto at all, but he’s defied logic many times before.
Kanter might be my top center on the night, as he continues to dominate off the bench (30+ fantasy points in four straight contests) and could be very active in a blowout win against Philly tonight. The matchup is there as long as he doesn’t spend a ton of his time against Nerlens Noel, too.
Biz could draw another start if Jonas Valanciunas sits again (hand), and if so, he could be the top center value. He crushed with an elite double-double last night (18 and 25), but just keep in mind that game went into overtime and he and the rest of the Raptors could be quite tired. The value is too good to pass up if he starts, however.
Plumdog is my other favorite center, as he’s a marvelous price and gets a cakewalk matchup with New Orleans, who really don’t defend any position well. They’re specifically weak against bigs down low, while Plumlee has actually averaged 32 fantasy points per game against them in three prior meetings this year. There’s a good chance he makes it four tonight.
Got some value plays of your own? Feel free to share them in the comments below!
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