Optimal DraftKings Lineup For Daily Fantasy Football in Week 20
The search for the optimal lineup in daily fantasy football has been a fun one, as we’ve gotten very close at times this NFL season and have at least placed in several GPPs along the way.
That journey ends this Sunday with the AFC and NFC title games helping to wrap up the DFS year as we know it. There are only so many directions you can go with just two games and four teams to work with, but we feel like we’ve got a decent grasp on what the optimal roster should look like.
Take a look at our vision of this week’s best team at DraftKings and make changes as you see fit:
QB: Carson Palmer – Cardinals ($6.8k)
Palmer represents amazing value for the second week in a row, as he’s really just as good as Tom Brady or Cam Newton, yet he remains cheaper than both. I don’t love his matchup, but you can say the same for those guys. He has the talent, experience and weapons to get the job done and did end up stepping up last week with 26 fantasy points. I think he hits at least 20 again this week and ends up being with the (mild) risk.
RB: C.J. Anderson – Broncos ($4.4k)
Anderson is dirt cheap and dominated the Patriots earlier this year, so there is plenty of reason to get excited about him in a huge home game. Everyone will be all over David Johnson and possibly Jonathan Stewat, so especially for GPPs, it might not be a bad idea to fade both and use the next best hing. Anderson appears to be it.
RB: Steven Jackson – Patriots ($3k)
No, I don’t know some secret or trust S-Jax with my life, but $3k is $3k and he is New England’s starting running back going into this game. He’s never had an opportunity this great so maybe he comes out and runs with an extra edge. But the reality is none of that matters at this price. If the guy can just get 20 yards and plunge for a touchdown he’ll crush his price tag.
WR: Julian Edelman – Patriots ($7.5k)
Edelman does not have an easy matchup with Aqub Talib probably draping him, but he has routinely looked to be matchup proof and we’ve seen Talib burned a few times this year. Edelman is such a massive part of what the Patriots do that I can’t see him getting stifled too much. Besides, his value hinges on PPR value instead of scoring. As long as he gets fed the targets, he’ll pay off.
WR: Michael Floyd – Cardinals ($5.3k)
Floyd has been quite active during the entire second half of the year, so there is no fear that he’ll be blanked in the biggest game of his life. He’s on the road and going up against a very tough defense, but even with the tough matchup this game has shootout appeal to it. Whether he’s a part of the Cardinals taking an early lead to trying to dig themselves out of a hole, I see Floyd having a pretty big game.
WR: John Brown – Cardinals ($5.2k)
I can’t know for sure but after what happened last week my guess is that stud cover man Josh Norman will spend a lot of his time on savvy veteran Larry Fitzgerald. I’m not sure Carolina can sick him on just one guy with how talented Arizona’s receiving group is, but if that does happen the value in Michael Floyd and Brown is too great to ignore. I like the idea of stacking them with Palmer, as well.
TE: Greg Olsen – Panthers ($7.1k)
Olsen is the top value at tight end and on such a short slate there just isn’t a dive worth taking beyond him. If you need just one tight end this week, he’s the guy. Cam Newton’s top weapon in the passing game is very unlikely to be shut down at home in the biggest game of his life.
FLEX: Rob Gronkowski – Patriots ($7.6k)
I’m liking the idea of fading two of the top wide receivers that may have difficult matchups (Larry Fitzgerald and Demaryius Thomas) and just rolling with two stud tight ends. A two-stud TE lineup won the Millionaire Maker not too long ago, while both of these guys went off last week and will surely be needed again on Sunday.
DEF: New England Patriots ($3.1k)
This is all about pure value, as both of these games appear to be fairly tough to gauge. I do trust the Pats somewhat, though, as their matchup against Peyton Manning certainly isn’t daunting and they’ve also had a few big defensive games on the year. I don’t expect fireworks, but I don’t expect this unit to sink me, either.
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