Seahawks Over Cardinals and Your Week 10 NFL Picks
Three teams still remain unbeaten as we rev up the engines for week 10. The Bengals enjoyed a week off on their bye this past week, while the Panthers and Patriots both worked for two more wins to get to 8-0.
Week 10 offers another chance for all three to succumb to the rigors of a tough NFL schedule, while this is the longest the league has seen three NFL teams stay perfect, well, ever.
Odds are against all three escaping with a win yet again, but then again, which team really has a bad matchup? The Panthers get a two-win Titans team, the Bengals hoast the Texans on MNF and the Patriots face the Giants.
New England could maybe slip up on the road against a team that has given them headaches in the past, but their determination to put the league in blast makes it unlikely. Let’s break down that and the rest of week 10’s NFL games as we make our picks:
Last Week: 7-6 SU, 7-6 ATS
2015 Season: 76-42 SU, 59-59-1 ATS
Bills @ Jets (Favorite: -1.5)
Rex Ryan and Ryan Fitzpatrick face off against their former teams, in what is easily one of the biggest games of the week. It’s no surprise, as this one kicks off week 10 on Thursday Night Football and carries major wild card playoff implications.
New York (5-3) hosts the 4-4 Bills, who are extremely banged up and don’t really look like the title contender many pegged them as during the early portions of the season. In what is basically a pick’em game, we’re siding with the home team and the better defense to date.
Pick: Jets 24, Bills 20
Lions @ Packers (-11.5)
This is a big spread, but Green Bay has had it rough on the road the past two weeks and Detroit is awful. The Packers are also generally unbeatable at Lambeau, especially against the Lions, who haven’t won there since the early 90’s. Matthew Stafford also has an abysmal record against winning teams on the road. Everything points to a blowout win for Green Bay.
Pick: Packers 37, Lions 17
Cowboys @ Buccaneers (-1.5)
Tony Romo should be back in a week and whether or not Dallas can finally get a win this week could decide whether or not that matters. Tampa Bay is definitely better than we think, as they’ve played largely competitive football ever since getting thrashed by the Titans in week one. The same has been the case for Dallas though, too. I think they finally snap their ugly six-game skid just in time for Romo to potentially save their season.
Pick: Cowboys 23, Buccaneers 20
(-5.5) Panthers @ Titans
Carolina is facing a spirited Titans team that just shocked the Saint and is now 1-0 in the Mike Mularkey era. I don’t see it getting to 2-0, though, as Carolina is undefeated and now has two huge wins on the year. That being said, Tennessee has some serious right and I don’t see Carolina covering on the road.
Pick: Panthers 27, Titans 24
Bears @ Rams (-7)
The Rams seem like the easy call here, but they have nothing on offense beyond Todd Gurley right now. Chicago has shown serious life with three wins in their past five games, too. I still like the Rams at home in this matchup, but not by this line.
Pick: Rams 17, Bears 13
(-1) Saints @ Redskins
This is a very good matchup for Kirk Cousins and the Saints are coming off a bad home loss to the Titans. But this is still Kirk Cousins and the Redskins we’re talking about. In basically a pick’em, I’ll narrowly go with New Orleans.
Pick: Saints 31, Redskins 24
Dolphins @ Eagles (-6)
This is a huge game for both teams, as the Dolphins need a win just to stay in the AFC wild card hunt and the Eagles need a win to keep pace with the Giants for the NFC East lead. I’m going to side with Philly at home, as they have the stingier defense by the numbers and also seem like the more balanced squad.
Pick: Eagles 24, Dolphins 16
Browns @ Steelers (-5)
Ben Roethlisberger is probably put, but I still like the Steelers this week. Not only is Cleveland’s defense terrible, but Pittsburgh is at home and still has a ton of offensive weapons for Landry Jones to lean on. I won’t give the Steelers the spread, but they should win.
Pick: Steelers 27, Browns 23
Jaguars @ Ravens (-5.5)
This is a very interesting matchup, as Baltimore should be a tough draw at home, but neither defense has been particularly strong against the pass. The Ravens have fewer weapons, too, but are at home and are more experienced. As ugly as their season has been, a big home win this week could actually keep them in the hunt for a wild card playoff spot. I don’t see them caving just yet.
Pick: Ravens 34, Jaguars 31
Vikings @ Raiders (-3)
This is a massive game for both sides, as the Vikings could both take a step closer to becoming an elite team and claiming the top of the NFC North, and Oakland once again has a chance to step back above .500. Derek Carr and the Raiders are a handful on their own field, so I’ll give them the slight edge. Minnesota has been on fire with four straight wins, but their lucky could finally run out as they head West.
Pick: Raiders 26, Vikings 20
(-7) Patriots @ Giants
It would be oh, so fitting for New England’s bid for perfection to end in New York, but I don’t see it happening. The Giants don’t have a very good defense and Tom Brady and co. are determined as ever. I like the Patriots and I’ll take them to cover, also.
Pick: Pats 34, Giants 24
Chiefs @ Broncos (-6)
Kansas City has faint life in the hunt for an AFC wild card playoff spot, while Denver aims to lick their wounds after losing their first game of the year last week. Considering the Broncos already beat KC earlier this year and haven’t yet lost at home, I doubt the Chiefs mount much of a threat.
Pick: Broncos 30, Chiefs 13
Cardinals @ Seahawks (-3)
This might be the best matchup of the week, as Arizona heads to a hostile environment for a huge divisional clash with the Seahawks. Seattle was dead in the water just a few weeks ago but suddenly a big win here gets them a game away from the NFC West title. I don’t see them coming up short at home this week.
Pick: Seahawks 20, Cardinals 16
Texans @ Bengals (-10.5)
Andy Dalton has another demon to exorcise this week. He beat the Steelers on the road two weeks ago and kept his Bengals undefeated last week, and now he gets a Texans team at home that has more or less owned him. Houston needs a win to stay alive for their own division, but they’re on the road and over-matched in every regard. I do expect them to give some fight in this one, though, so I won’t take Cincy to cover.
Pick: Bengals 24, Texans 17
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