Week 11 Daily Fantasy Football: Top Value Buys at DraftKings
Value buys have been the name of the game in daily fantasy football. Adrian Peterson and Antonio Brown have been wrecking at the highest level lately, but two weeks ago Rob Gronkowski was a total sack and last week guys like DeAngelo Williams and Drew Brees left you wanting more.
If you instead turned to guys like Jeremy Langford this past week and Delanie Walker the week before, you may have won big. Of course, the real trouble is mixing both those sweet, cheap gems and the correct studs. But we can’t do all the work for you.
Let us point out the best value picks at $6k or below at DraftKings, and see if you can’t form a winning lineup in week 11:
QB: Tony Romo – Cowboys ($6k), Russell Wilson – Seahawks ($5.9k), Matthew Stafford – Lions ($5.4k), Tyrod Taylor – Bills ($5.2k), Ryan Tannehill – Dolphins ($5.1k), Ryan Fitzpatrick – Jets ($5k) and Mark Sanchez – Eagles ($5k)
Romo is going to be a very sexy pick just because he’s cheap, has upside and everyone thinks he’s going to come back and save the Cowboys. The pressure is going to be enormous on him to perform and he’s on the road, but at this price it’s a risk worth taking. He has all of his weapons and is healthy, so a 300+ yard and 1-2 TD game is certainly possible.
There is obviously a ton of value at quarterback, which means two things: It’s pointless to hash out every single guy, but also silly to pay up at the position this week. Wilson has been very “meh” all year but is obviously a good price and the Niners in Seattle is a solid matchup, while the same can be said for Stafford against a bad Raiders team.
You can probably lump the other guys together, but Tannehill at $5.1k is very interesting. He’s at home, where he averages 20 fantasy points per game, yet he’s priced like some backup spare that has no upside. I disagree with that and even though he’s been erratic, I might end up targeting him in week 11.
Tyrod Taylor has been pretty hit or miss for most of 2015 but he did shred the Patriots last time. Ryan Fitzpatrick and Mark Sanchez are both the mininum, so they’re in play. Fitzmagic has been mostly solid and gets a revenge game against Houston, but he also just had hand surgery. Sanchez is a turnover waiting to happen, but he moves the ball well and fits Chip Kelly’s system near perfectly. He’s not a bad play at all against a burnable Buccaneers pass defense.
RB: DeMarco Murray – Eagles ($6k), Justin Forsett – Ravens ($5.8k), Latavius Murray – Raiders ($5.6k), Jeremy Langford – Bears ($5.6k), LeSean McCoy – Bills ($5.5k), Darren McFadden – Cowboys ($5k) and Charcandrick West – Chiefs ($4.5k)
Murray has been reborn since his early season struggles and now has 17+ fantasy points in four of his last five outings. His matchup with Tampa Bay isn’t amazing but he’s at home and Ryan Mathews (concussion) could be out. He’ll have a big role and should pay off big time at this price.
I’m actually not insanely high on Forsett or Murray. They’re just takented backs with good prices. I’m much higher on Langford, who has absolutely killed it while Matt Forte (knee) has been out. Forte needs to remain out this week for you to feel good about using Langford, of course.
Shady is a very good value, as he burned the Pats a bit in their previous meeting and now has back-to-back 100+ rushing yard games. On MNF, I can’t see him stinking in such a huge game.
Darren McFadden is in play at a solid price, as he has a huge role and is talented enough to beat up a soft Miami defense. The value of the wee at running back is without a doubt West, though. West has crushed in his last three starts (all 22+ fantasy points) and is still absurdly cheap. If he’s not 100% owned, something is wrong.
WR: Eric Decker – Jets ($5.8k), Jeremy Maclin – Chiefs ($5k), Kamar Aiken – Ravens ($4.8k), Sammy Watkins – Bills ($4.8k), Davante Adams – Packers ($4.6k), Brandon LaFell and Danny Amendola – Patriots ($4.3k and $4k) and Stevie Johnson – Chargers ($3.9k)
Wide receiver isn’t really the position to seek value in my opinion. There is a ton of value to be had, but I prefer the value at quarterback and running back this week. That being said, there are a ton of options to consider.
Decker has one game on the year without a touchdown. So, there’s that. Maclin is very good and while he’s got quiet over the past four weeks, he’s too cheap to not let the eye wander a bit. Kamar Aiken is another steady guy a la Decker who just goes and gets you 10+ fantasy points most weeks and has a big role with Steve Smith on IR in Baltimore.
Watkins is an elite talent at a major discount, though, so he’s my first “I gotta have him” wide receiver play this week. He had a solid 6-60-1 line against New England last time and their defense isn’t suffocating. I’m sure he’ll be fine.
Davante Adams is getting targeted at an insane rate. He’s not very efficient and his matchup this week stinks, but the role is certainly awesome for his price. The same goes for Stevie Johnson, as the Bolts are now also down Malcom Floyd, in addition to Keenan Allen.
Julian Edelman is done for the regular season, too, which clearly puts every Patriots wide receiver on blast. LaFell has some appeal as a big play option but he’s been super quiet and Amendola is Edelman’s direct replacement in the slot. Amendola is probably the best wide receiver bargain for week 11 and he’ll be insanely highly owned.
TE: Jason Witten – Cowboys ($5.1k), Jimmy Graham – Seahawks ($4.9k), Jordan Reed – Redskins ($4.9k), Antonio Gates – Chargers ($4.8k), Travis Kelce – Chiefs ($4.7k), Eric Ebron – Lions ($3.5k) and Zach Ertz – Eagles ($3.1k)
As always, there is a ton of potential value at tight end. I’m probably paying up for Rob Gronkowski this week, but if you want to save for other elites, this is the spot to do it.
Witten gets Romo back and caught two touchdowns with his quarterback healthy in week one. It’s a good omen for a guy who hasn’t been very good ever since Romo got hurt. Graham is in play at this price, but be warned he stunk against San Francisco last time.
Jordan Reed and Antonio Gates have tough matchups on paper, but Gates is Gates and Reed has five touchdowns over his last three starts. Kelce is also a good price and the Chargers haven’t been amazing against tight ends in 2015.
Ebron is a very nice value and draws the Raiders, who remain league worst at covering the TE position on the year. Ertz may be the best value of all, as he caught a season high 7 receptions last week and Mark Sanchez is starting this week. Sanchez loves throwing to tight ends (and Ertz), as evidenced by a ridiculous 15-catch game late last year. It doesn’t hurt that Tampa Bay’s pass defense is awful.
Def: New York Jets ($3k), Baltimore Ravens ($2.7k), Houston Texans ($2.5k), Minnesota Vikings ($2.3k) and Chicago Bears ($2k)
I am sick and tired of paying up for an elite defense and watching them implode. The Broncos ruined teams of mine in each of the past two weeks and in different weeks I’ve gotten burned by the Seahawks and Cardinals.
No longer, I say. Luckily there are some really good matchups to consider taking advantage of this week. I think Seattle ($4k) might actually be a no-brainer at home against Blaine Gabbert, but if not them, these value picks are the route I’ll probably go.
New York gets a bad Texans offense and that’s all I need to know. The Jets have been inconsistent but this is a good matchup and actually a big game for them after losing last week. I see a defensive battle where they step up big time. After all, Houston has DeAndre Hopkins and nothing else.
The Ravens make some sense even though they’ve struggled this year. They get the Rams, who switch quarterbacks in a move that probably won’t make much of a difference. The best player in St. Louis is Todd Gurley and Baltimore’s strength is stopping the run, so…
Back in that Jets game, I think it’s low scoring and Houston has played 10 scoreless quarters in a row. J.J. Watt and co. seem determined and aren’t a bad try at a low price.
Speaking of low prices, the Vikes are at home in a massive game against the Packers and you can use them for just $2.3k. It’s very possible Green Bay steps it up and doesn’t get abused here, but Minnesota has a ball control offense, a stingy defense and is at home. They hold the upper hand here.
Last, but not least, are the Bears against Brock Osweiler. Denver’s offense has been borderline inept anyways, but now it’s suddenly going to be a problem on the road in Osweiler’s first ever start? I doubt it. John Fox and Jay Cutler will want to take out their former employer, too, while Chicago’s defense has actually been decent (8 and 9 fantasy points the past two weeks). For the minimum, that’s a chance I don’t mind taking.
That does it for our look at daily fantasy football bargain buys for week 11. Good luck this week!
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