Week 13 Daily Fantasy Football: Top Value Buys at DraftKings
You may have been a big winner if you took a dive into the daily fantasy football bargain bin in week 13. We nailed it on the head with several of our picks, as Russell Wilson, LeSean McCoy, David Johnson, Martavis Bryant, Jeremy Maclin, Danny Amendola and Scott Chandler all panned out in beautiful ways.
The day could have been even better had C.J. Anderson not exited the game with an injury, but for the most part, we enjoyed a good amount of success with our week 13 value buys. Price fluctation at DraftKings takes a couple of these guys off the board, so we need a fresh look at the top bargains in daily fantasy football.
Let’s see who those guys might be while keeping the price threshold at or below $6k at DK:
QB: Marcus Mariota – Titans ($5.7k), Jameis Winston – Buccaneers ($5.5k), Ryan Fitzpatrick – Jets ($5.4k) and Johnny Manziel – Browns ($5k)
Mariota busted off an 87-yard touchdown run last week and was an overall stud, so it’s safe to say he’s officially arrived. He’s only getting better and this week he draws a Jets defense that is no longer shutting people down. He’s a fine price and a fine play in week 14.
Winston can’t run like Mariota but he’s been equally impressive. He gets a horrid Saints defense this week and on paper looks like one of the best plays of the week, not just a great value. His price is super low for his matchup and upside, though, so be sure to take advantage.
Fitzpatrick is another guy who is criminally under-priced despite recently turning into a regular 20+ fantasy point violator. He’s a threat to be that again in week 14, when his Jets take on a Titans defense that got completely destroyed last week by the Jaguars.
Johnny Manziel is a rare breed and it’s tough to know what to make of his fantasy value. All I know is the kid looked a lot better in his last start (21 fantasy points) and he should be playing with a chip on his shoulder. The Niners can be a tough matchup but Manziel is the minimum price on DK and could allow you to stack your roster like crazy.
RB: Jonathan Stewart – Panthers ($5.8k), Chris Ivory – Jets ($5k), Shaun Draughn – 49ers ($4.8k) and James White – Patriots ($4.1k)
Stewart has just been flat out solid for the Panthers this year, as he’s currently riding a nice four-game streak of 10+ fantasy points and has surpassed that mark seven times in his last eight games. He’ll get a nice opportunity to try to do so again versus the Falcons, who are giving up a ton of touchdowns on the ground in 2015.
Ivory hasn’t been amazing of late, but when at home the guy is putting up 21 fantasy points per game. He also gets a Titans defense that looked rather shaky a week ago. I love the value and while I don’t really expect him to meet the 21 fantasy point average necessarily, I think he’s a very safe play and should get about 15 fantasy points.
Draughn is quite unspectacular but he has the workload in San Francisco and this week he faces a still shaky Browns run defense. Draughn won’t bust huge plays or score a ton of touchdowns, but he’s in for 18-20 touches. A score would put his decent value over the top.
White is a minor roll of the dice, but that’s what daily fantasy football is all about, right? Twice in the past three weeks he’s been a huge part of the passing game, as he’s totaled 14 catches and two scores over that span. He faces a tough Texans defense this week, but that could be all the more reason for New England to lean on him. I expect him to be pretty active and that could mean he crushes this relatively cheap price tag.
WR: Emmanuel Sanders – Broncos ($5.9k), Martavis Bryant – Steelers ($5.7k), Danny Amenola – Patriots ($5.2k) and Doug Baldwin – Seahawks ($4.5k)
Sanders is not a must play after being banged up and a total spare last week, but let’s not forget he’s just two games removed from a nice 113-yard game. The Broncos want to run as much as possible these days, but Brock Osweiler raises their offensive ceiling. At a dirt cheap price for his talent, that could put Sanders in play this week.
Bryant and Amendola are easy to like, both because of their roles and their sick prices. Amendola is a near-lock for 7+ receptions and if he can score, he’ll destroy his price tag. Bryant is much the same, but he’s such a big play threat that he literally only needs one deep ball to pay off. They’re worth using for different reasons, but I might even pair them together this week.
Baldwin is just getting no respect. He has four straight games of at least 12 fantasy points and three times during that stretch he’s been flat out elite. Russell Wilson has taken his game to a whole new level and it’s quite obvious Baldwin is his new favorite toy. Against a Ravens secondary that has struggled to defend the pass all year, Baldwin could soar.
TE: Delanie Walker – Titans ($5.6k), Travis Kelce – Chiefs ($4.7k), Julius Thomas – Jaguars ($4.2k), Scott Chandler – Patriots ($3.8k) and Austin Seferian-Jenkins ($2.7k)
Walker remains a good price and being this cheap, he’s too good to leave off the list. His matchup isn’t necessarily ideal by the numbers this week, but the Jets aren’t shutting anyone down these days, so I wouldn’t be too worried. Walker is extremely involved with 6+ catches in his last three outings, so expect much of the same in week 14.
The story is similar for Kelce, who is too talented and too cheap to completely ignore. He was a sack last week and has really been a disappointment more often than not, but we also know his insane upside. Hopefully he gets a little more involved this week against a regressing Chargers defense.
Julius Thomas is going to be hit or miss just because he’s not the only red-zone guy in Jax (Allen Robinson snagged three scores last week), but defenses tend to adjust and I think A-Rob might be covered better this week. That could put Thomas into the forefront a bit more, plus his price tag is rather low.
Scott Chandler worked out last week and is just $1.3k more than he was in week 13. With Rob Gronkowski likely still out, he still has a big role and is still priced very low. He probably won’t catch more than 5-6 balls but he is going to continue to threaten to score.
ASJ returned last week and while his production wasn’t there (nor was his playing time), I think he’s going to be headed for a much bigger role in week 14. The Saints are a total trash defense but they’ll be focused on shutting down Tampa’s two stud wide receivers. This dude destroyed the Titans in week one and I wouldn’t be shocked if he did something similar this week to the Saints.
DEF: Lions ($2.7k), Bears ($2.5k) and 49ers ($2.1k)
Detroit has been a startable for weeks now, as they’ve won three of their last four and have made life tough on opposing offenses. This week they face a one-dimensional Rams offense led by Nick Foles. It should be ugly but the Lions are a great play.
Not into Johnny Football this week? Why not make a play against him? San Francisco only allowed Jay Cutler to 8 fantasy points a week ago and has churned out 10+ fantasy points three times this year. They’re not a lock but Manziel does tend to turn the ball over and in his last two starts, hasn’t produced more than 10 points. The Niners are definitely in play.
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