Week 17 Daily Fantasy Football: Top Value Buys at DraftKings
The last week of regular season football is coming, which means this is your last chance to take advantage of a ton of value in a big player pool in daily fantasy football.
Week 17 is shaping up as an interesting one, as very few teams have the luxury of resting their star players due to seeding still not being fully figured out for most of the playoffs. We may want to stay clear of Redskins players and some teams that aren’t in the playoff picture, but otherwise everyone seems to be fair game.
All you have to consider beyond that is matchups and who you want to pay up for this week. We’ll tackle on huge obstacle in an effort to help you figure out the latter, as we discuss this week’s top DFS value buys at DraftKings:
QB: Eli Manning – Giants ($5.6k), Matt Ryan – Falcons ($5.5k), Ryan Fitzpatrick – Jets ($5.4k) and Johnny Manziel – Browns ($5.1k)
People could be down on Eli this week after coming up woefully short in week 16, but we have to realize he didn’t have Odell Beckham Jr. at his disposal and was also on the road against a Vikings team that actually had a playoff spot to fight for. This week Manning looks like a killer value with ODB back and also draws a bad Eagles defense.
Ryan also has a great matchup and is even cheaper. He’s been hot and cold all year but more hot lately and facing the Saints at home always ups someone’s value. He should be in for a solid game and anything under 18 fantasy points would be a mild surprise.
Fitzmagic is just super safe and even though he wasn’t amazing against the Bills last time out, he was still solid, per usual. I think he’s better this week, as the Jets need to win to lock up a playoff spot and Buffalo on average just isn’t doing well against the pass.
Manziel is a total flier at the moment, as he’s the best pure value at quarterback but due to another party video, there’s a slight chance the Browns bench him again. We have seen him throw the deep ball, display intermediate accuracy and even run for 100 yards at different times this year, which shows his versatility as a fantasy contributor. For this low price, I wouldn’t hate him against a shaky Steelers pass defense as long as he gets the start.
RB: David Johnson – Cardinals ($6k), Tim Hightower – Saints ($5.5k), James White – Patriots ($5k), Bilal Powell – Jets ($4.5k) and Frank Gore – Colts ($4k)
Johnson has been pure money as Arizona’s feature back, so at just $6k, I’m not sure I’d even let the vaunted Seahawks run defense deter me this week. The matchup is certainly bad, but we did see Todd Gurley get solid results last week. I think Johnson at least meets value, so he’s fairly safe at this price.
Hightower is apparently experiencing a career revival with the Saints and it’s time we all take notice. He wents nuts last week and we’d be foolish to write him off in week 17 with a solid matchup against the Falcons. I don’t love his price and it’s tough to expect him to do what he did last week, but he clearly offers some upside at a solid price.
White and Powell are just very involved as receivers in their offenses right now, and it doesn’t look like either will be slowing down anytime soon. Powell is even seeing carries these days, so he is probably the safer play, but both have good roles and on a PPR site like DK, carry a ton of value based on their prices.
Gore is just too cheap with too big of a role to ignore. His matchup with the Titans isn’t bad and he actually scored on them twice earlier this year. He scored twice again this past week and looked rather spry. I expect Indy to lean hard on the ground game and either way, he’s too cheap to worry about even if they don’t.
WR: Randall Cobb – Packers ($6k), Amari Cooper – Raiders ($6k), T.Y. Hilton – Colts ($5.6k), Martavis Bryant – Steelers ($5.3k) and Travis Benjamin – Browns ($4.1k)
Do I trust Cobb or Cooper right now? No, not at all. However, they both are quite talented and have big roles, so they could easily destroy their price tags this week. Cooper carries far more upside, but has a tough matchup against the Chiefs this week. Cobb might be more inclined to bust out at home in a huge game against the Vikes, but both guys certainly are risks. They’re just too cheap to not point out.
I’d feel a little bit better about Hilton and Bryant, as neither guy needs much to pay off. Both are very explosive and have cakewalk matchups in week 17. Bryant is the play of the two, as DFS folk are sure to be down on him after sparing everyone to death last week. I wouldn’t be shocked if he had several big plays against a bad Browns defense this week.
Benjamin, like Manziel, is a nother flier type option for week 17 because of an awesome matchup. No one will be on Benjamin either, because he hasn’t done anything in weeks. He did torch the Steelers last time he faced them, though, so there is serious upside and he’s obviously being had at a tremendous value.
TE: Delanie Walker – Titans ($5.6k), Gary Barnidge – Browns ($4.7k), Travis Kelce – Chiefs ($4.7k), Zach Miller – Bears ($4.6k) and Zach Ertz – Eagles ($3.6k)
Walker remains a solid price despite being amazing for weeks now. In week 16 he continued his fantastic 2015 season with nine grabs and he’s been remarkably reliable despite having to play with different quarterbacks at times this year. He’s not exactly cheap, but with six straight games of 14+ fantasy points, he’s about as safe as it gets.
Barnidge fell below 10 fantasy points for just the fourth time all year last week, but he remains a good price and a pretty steady option. He did a good job (and scored) against the Steelers last time, so his matchup also looks good for week 17. Kelce is the same price and should be a good play against a shaky Oakland pass defense. He looks to be coming back around with two straight games of 13+ fantasy points, too.
Miller is another solid value who has been very stable as Chicago’s top tight end the last three games. With 11+ fantasy points in all three contests, he’s a pretty safe play going into a week 17 date with the Lions.
Ertz is the dive of the week at the position, as he’s coming off of a huge 13-catch game and is just $3.6k. His matchup with the Giants looks good, too, so it would be a surprise if he didn’t finish 2015 with another strong showing.
DEF: New York Jets ($2.8k), Washington Redskins ($2.8k) and Indianapolis Colts ($2.4k)
The Broncos feel like the best team defense for this week, but would-be elite units have disappointed lately, so I can understand anyone hunting for some value. You just might find it in the form of the Jets, Redskins or Colts.
New York doesn’t have a cakewalk matchup against the Bills, but they’re down LeSean McCoy and don’t have anything to play for. New York has also been really stable lately, so they should limit the Bills to 20 points or less and rack up a few sacks.
Washington and Indianapolis are bigger risks, but the ‘Skins get a bad Cowboys team that seems pretty lifeless and the Colts are a really good value with a date against another lifeless squad in the Titans. Both defenses are risky, but could return serious value with solid matchups.
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