Week 3 NFL Picks: NFL Odds and Predictions
Week two was crazy just about every way you looked. Daily fantasy football was off the walls crazy, while picking NFL games correctly was a nightmare all on it’s own.
And we thought week one was tricky. Week two was even more out of control, as the Redskins, Jaguars and Buccaneers all got wins. In fact, home teams went just 9-7 on the week, while there were nine straight up upsets on the week.
Despite the craziness, we maintained a somewhat respectable run of 7-9, as well as 7-9 against the spread (16-16 and 13-19 on the year). Not great, to be sure, but in an insane week like what we just saw, it could have been far worse.
Every NFL bettor knows there will be weeks like this, and we’re hoping we’re just getting them out of the way early. Let’s go into week three with a clear mind and see if we can’t crush our NFL picks:
Redskins @ Giants (Favorite: -4)
The Giants are so close to a win they can taste it. Problem is, Kirk Cousins actually looked pretty good last week, Washington can run the football and the ‘Skins defense is actually pretty good. It would make sense for Eli Manning and co. to finally get a win at home here, but they’ve shot themselves in the foot two games in a row. What’s stopping it from happening again?
Pick: Redskins 23, Giants 20
Falcons (-1) @ Cowboys
Tony Romo and Dez Bryant are both out and Jason Witten should be, as well. It’s the Brandon Weeden show, which even in Dallas can’t be a good thing. The Falcons have made a living so far gutting out close wins, but I think they win this one fairly easily.
Pick: Falcons 34, Cowboys 19
Colts (-3.5) @ Titans
Indy has looked horrendous but they’ve also faced two very tough defenses. Tennessee poses a weak threat, so Andrew Luck and co. should get back on track with a week three win.
Pick: Colts 36, Titans 17
Raiders @ Browns (-3.5)
Johnny Manziel gives Cleveland a needed spark, but I’m liking the Browns at home, no matter what. I think it’s a pretty close game, though, and I wouldn’t be shocked if the Browns don’t cover the spread.
Pick: Browns 24, Raiders 21
Bengals @ Ravens (-2.5)
Baltimore has lost two tough games to start the year and is too good to drop to 0-3. They’re also at home, where Andy Dalton and the Bengals don’t look like the safest of picks.
Pick: Ravens 26, Bengals 20
Jaguars @ Patriots (-13.5)
Tom Brady has been flawless through two weeks and just hung 466 yards and three touchdowns on a good Bills defense. Now he gets the Jaguars at Foxboro. I like the Pats to cover.
Pick: Patriots 41, Jaguars 24
Saints @ Panthers (-7.5)
Drew Brees is banged up and though the Saints badly need a win, they just don’t look very good right now. Now they’re supposed to go on the road and beat a solid, balanced Carolina squad? I think they beat the spread, but they don’t beat the Panthers.
Pick: Panthers 23, Saints 20
Eagles @ Jets (-2.5)
Philadelphis is a total mess on offense – the side of the ball they were supposed to dominate. New York’s defense looks super legit after a 2-0 start and made Andrew Luck and Johnny Manziel look like they were the same player in successive weeks. It’s not looking good for Philly.
Pick: Jets 27, Eagles 16
Buccaneers @ Texans (-6.5)
Houston is an odd favorite here, as Ryan Mallett was dicey at best as the starting quarterback and the Texans just haven’t looked that impressive through two weeks. I still think Houston gets their first win of the season by holding down the fort at home, but they might not cover.
Pick: Texans 17, Bucs 13
Chargers @ Vikings (-2.5)
Minnesota looked better in week two and if they keep riding Adrian Peterson like this, they’ll be tough to beat – especially at home. San Diego also looks solid but they’re been prone to slow starts in the past. I can see them losing a close one to the Vikes on the road.
Pick: Vikings 30, Chargers 27
Steelers (-1) @ Rams
This is an odd line, as the Steelers have an amazing offense that just put up 43 points in week two. They’re on the road, but St. Louis didn’t look impressive in any manner this past week. With Le’Veon Bell back from suspension, the Steelers have to be the pick in what is basically a pick’em.
Pick: Steelers 34, Rams 24
49ers @ Cardinals (-6.5)
San Francisco may have shown their true colors in an ugly road loss in week two, and now they have to turn around and battle the Cardinals in the desert. I’m not seeing AZ covering this gaudy spread, though, since NFC West battles tend to include defense and are low scoring.
Pick: Cardinals 20, 49ers 17
Bills (-3) @ Dolphins
Rex Ryan’s crew just got slapped around by the Patriots, so they’ll be looking to act out on someone. Sorry, Dolphins. Miami has a solid passing game right now, but they’re struggling to run the ball and their defense has shown some serious problems. I think Buffalo exploits them across the board in a big win.
Pick: Bills 34, Dolphins 17
Bears @ Seahawks (-14.5)
Jimmy Clausen is strolling into Seattle this week, which is very bad for the Bears. The Seahawks make their debut in front of the 12th Man, too, and there’s just no way this team drops to 0-3.
Pick: Seahawks 45, Bears 16
Broncos (-3) @ Lions
Peyton Manning has enough gas in the tank to give it a go this year, that much we learned last week. I think he airs it out at a decent rate this week against a bad Lions defense. Detroit is banged up and hasn’t been able to do anything right.
Pick: Broncos 33, Lions 20
Chiefs @ Packers (-6.5)
Aaron Rodgers doesn’t throw picks or lose at home. At least he hasn’t in quite some time. KC has a solid defense and some serious weapons, but after taking down the Seahawks last week, the Packers are on top of the world. I’ll give the Chiefs the ability to beat the spread in a close, entertaining battle, but this is Green Bay’s game to lose.
Pick: Packers 27, Chiefs 24
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