2015 NFL Picks: Odds and Predictions For Week 7
The top of the NFL remains unscathed. We figured the Panthers would succumb to the haunting impact of the 12th Man in Seattle last week, yet they responded brilliantly with a last-second touchdown to remain perfect. The Bengals, Patriots, Packers and Broncos all followed suit.
That leaves five teams on top of the NFL world going into week even, while the Packers, Broncos and Bengals can’t tumble from their mountain top due to a bye. That leaves just the Patriots and Panthers to keep their streaks going.
For predictions in their games and more, it’s on to week seven’s NFL picks:
Season: 48-29 straight up, Last week: (9-5)
Season: 36-41-1 ATS, Last week: (7-6-1)
(Favorite: -6.5) Seahawks @ 49ers
Seattle has won three in a row against the Niners and five of the last six meetings. They’re also the better team overall, so even though San Francisco has a 5-1 record at home against the Hawks in their last six contests, I can’t see the Seahawks losing this one. These matchups are usually ugly, low-scoring defensive battles and that’s probably what we get here again. But Colin Kaepernick is absolutely dreadful against Seattle and the “progress” he’s made the past two weeks has comes against atrocious pass defenses in the Giants and Ravens. I’m taking the Seahawks to win and cover.
Pick: Seahawks 20, 49ers 10
(-5.5) Bills @ Jaguars in London
This game is in a neutral setting but no matter where it is I see the Bills winning. Tyrod Taylor needs to play for them to dominate, but Rex Ryan can’t let his defense get abused by the freaking Jaguars. These London games are prone for one-sidedness and I think the Bills get all over Jax early.
Pick: Bills 30, Jaguars 17
Buccaneers @ Redskins (-3.5)
Neither of these teams are easy to trust, as both have turnover-prone quarterbacks. The Redskins are at home and have the better defense on paper, though, while Jameis Winston is a rookie and tends to implode under pressure. I mildly like the Redskins here straight up, but I’ll take the Bucs to beat the spread.
Pick: Redskins 17, Bucs 14
(-4) Falcons @ Titans
Marcus Mariota is banged up with a knee sprain so he’s either going to be at less than 100% or out in this one. Tennessee’s pass defense is good enough to keep this close, but not so good that they’ll shut the Falcons down or beat the spread. I like the Falcons to put up some points and Devonta Freeman should have a solid day in a minor rout.
Pick: Falcons 31, Titans 17
Saints @ Colts (-4.5)
Brace yourselves for a shootout folks, as two teams many felt were playoff contenders are barely hanging around at the moment. Indy is in a better spot, though, as they’re at home and at the top of their division. Andrew Luck seems to be healthy and comfortable, too, so the Colts have the edge. New Orleans is desperate enough to keep this game tight, however.
Pick: Colts 30, Saints 27
(-2.5) Vikings @ Lions
Minnesota got the better of Detroit earlier this year and while they’re the better team, the Lions are at home and seemed to get their mojo back in an overtime win last week. I’ll still take Minnesota all the way around, but the Lions could be dangerous here.
Pick: Vikings 27, Lions 24
(-2) Steelers @ Chiefs
This one may depend on Big Ben returning, as the Steelers offense is quite potent when at full strength and the Chiefs seem to be falling apart at the seams. The Chiefs are better at home, though, so if Landry Jones is under center I think we could be looking at an upset. For now, I’ll take the Steelers to get a big road win and cover.
Pick: Steelers 26, Chiefs 23
Browns @ Rams (-5.5)
This is a tough game to gauge, as Cleveland has really been in every single game since week one. On the road against the Rams is tough, so I’m not sure they’ll pull out the win, but I don’t like the Rams enough to have them covering.
Pick: Rams 17, Browns 16
Texans @ Dolphins (-4.5)
Do we trust that Miami is suddenly for real or that the Texans are potentially a playoff contender with Brian Hoyer back under center? It’s a total toss-up. Miami is the more talented team and they’re at home, so I’ll give them the slight edge when it comes to picking straight up. Houston has enough to keep it tight, though, so I think they can beat the spread in the end.
Pick: Dolphins 24, Texans 20
Jets @ Patriots (-9)
New England had been mashing everyone all year but then last week let the Colts keep it pretty close. Now they get one of the league’s nastiest defenses. They’re at home and the Pats feel unstoppable, but this is a tough divisional matchup and I can’t see it ending up as a blowout. New England stays undefeated here, but Ryan Fitzpatrick will help keep it interesting.
Pick: Patriots 30, Jets 23
Raiders @ Chargers (-4)
San Diego usually gets the job done at home, but this upstart Raiders team could make this a tough spread to figure out this week. The Bolts really need to win this game to stay alive in the wild card playoff race, so I see a big game out of Philip Rivers and co. Oakland is good enough to keep this one tight, though, so I’ll take them beating the spread.
Pick: Chargers 23, Raiders 20
Cowboys @ Giants (-3.5)
Dallas switches to Matt Cassel and Christine Michael to help jolt their sluggish offense, while Dez Bryant could even return. None of that stops the slide, as the Cowboys are set to drop their fourth game in a row. It would be classic Giants to cave and lose this game, but New York is the better team right now and they’re at home. Look for them to win and cover in this one.
Pick: Giants 29, Cowboys 20
Eagles @ Panthers (-3)
This is a more dangerous game for the Panthers than some may think, as Philly’s defense has ended up being nasty in spots and their offense has really come around. Sam Bradford is the x-factor in this one, though, as he’s been turning the ball over like crazy and Carolina’s defense isn’t to be messed with. That it’s in Carolina only aids the Panthers more in their bid to stay perfect.
Pick: Panthers 31, Eagles 21
Ravens @ Cardinals (-8.5)
This spread is giving the Cardinals a ton of credit even though they’ve lost two of their last three games, while it also slams a Ravens team that is 1-5 but has been in every game they’ve played. I could easily see Baltimore getting up for this one since its on Monday Night Football, so they’ll at least beat the spread here. Arizona is the better team with the better matchup and they’re at home, however, so they should get the win.
Pick: Cardinals 26, Ravens 20
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