Week 8 NFL Picks: An Undefeated Team Will Fall
The Denver Broncos play host to the Green Bay Packers on Sunday Night Football in week eight. With both team’s working their way through the early part of the 2015 NFL season at 6-0, something most definitely has to break.
Will it be Denver’s elite defense? Or will Peyton Manning’s deficiencies finally be exposed by a solid Packers defense and a charging Green Bay offense? It’s probably the toughest game to call on a very interesting week eight slate.
For that game and all the rest let’s dive into week eight’s NFL picks:
Season: 58-33 straight up, Last week: (10-4)
Season: 44-47-1 ATS, Last week: (8-6)
Dolphins @ Patriots (-8)
New England has won two games by 8+ points all year. I can’t see them losing at all since they’re 20-0 at home in their last 20 games, while the Fins haven’t won in Foxboro since 2008. Miami has been playing too well to get blown out, though, so I think they can beat the spread.
Pick: Pats 31, Dolphins 24
(-5) Lions @ Chiefs
London games are pretty impossible to predict and two teams seemingly dead in the water only complicates things further. I like Detroit’s chances for a couple of reasons, though. They just fired OC Joe Lombardi so there’s a decent chance their offense finally busts loose with a better flow. KC’s pass defense is also atrocious, and the Chiefs are just tough to trust in general with Jamaal Charles on the shelf. I see a close game, so while I like the Lions, I doubt they’ll cover.
Pick: Lions 24, Chiefs 20
Buccaneers @ Falcons (-7)
The Falcons didn’t cover the spread last week but now they’re back at home versus a bad Buccaneers team. They demolished Tampa Bay last year and their offense is too good to get slowed down at home by the Bucs. On the other side, Tampa will be without wide receivers Vincent Jackson and Louis Murphy, so the hard gets harder for rookie passer Jameis Winston. Falcons win and cover easily.
Pick: Falcons 33, Bucs 19
(-4.5) Cardinals @ Browns
Johnny Manziel could start this week, which could go either way for the Browns. I don’t love this matchup for Cleveland, both because Arizona’s defense is solid and the Browns can’t stop the run at all. Chris Johnson should carve them up and I doubt the Browns can put up 20 points on this defense. Arizona should win and may even blow the Browns out.
Pick: Cardinals 27, Browns 10
49ers @ Rams (-8)
The Rams have a nasty line this week and I’m not entirely sure why. As bad as the Niners are, their defense has at least been OK in spots this year and San Francisco has also had some success running the ball. Considering Nick Foles is awful and the Rams can be run on, I really don’t get how the 49ers are for sure getting thrashed here. These NFC West games tend to be on the closer side, too, so I think the Niners hang in there, even though they lose.
Pick: Rams 16, 49ers 13
Giants @ Saints (-3)
Eli Manning and the Giants have regressed a bit over the past couple of weeks, and I say that even knowing they won last week. They just don’t look all that great, and now they’re going into the Superdome against a pretty spirited Saints team that just got a big road win last week. I do like the Saints to slowly get things back on track with a home win, but the Giants do at least keep games close on a weekly basis. I think this is a push as far as ATS goes.
Pick: Saints 30, Giants 27
(-1) Vikings @ Bears
Basically a pick’em game here, as it probably should be inside the NFC North. Chicago hosts and has been pretty solid with two wins in their last three games, but Minnesota is quietly a contender in the division at a strong 4-2. Unless something goes horribly wrong, I think this is a bit of a statement game where the Vikes prove they’re a legit playoff threat and rise to 5-2.
Pick: Vikings 24, Bears 20
Chargers @ Ravens (-3)
Two teams on the brink of the end, as neither the Bolts or Ravens can afford to add another number to the loss column. Baltimore is already toast at 1-6, but they’re at home and for some reason they feel much more stable than the Chargers. I see a total shootout that goes down to the wire, but the Ravens will probably come out on top and push here this week.
Pick: Ravens 31, Chargers 28
Bengals @ Steelers (-1)
Another virtual pick’em, although I’m curious why the Steelers are favored even slightly. Andy Dalton has been amazing and the Bengals enter a huge AFC North clash at 6-0. Ben Roethlisberger isn’t even a guarantee to play in this game and while this is much bigger for Pittsburgh than it is for Cincinnati, I can’t really see the Bengals losing.
Pick: Bengals 26, Steelers 23
Titans @ Texans (-4)
Houston has been falling apart bit by bit all season long, and last week could be the last straw with Arian Foster being lost for the year. The Texans are at home and still have J.J. Watt and DeAndre Hopkins to hang their hat on, but Tennessee is also a tough defensive matchup. If Marcus Mariota is under center for the Titans, I at least will take Tennessee to beat the spread.
Pick: Texans 20, Titans 17
(-2.5) Jets @ Raiders
Oakland has been a handful for anyone all year but last week they showed a different gear by taking out the Chargers with a huge first half. New York is a different beast, though, as the Jets can put up some points offensively and also boast one of the best defenses in the league. I think Gang Green stifles the Raiders a bit and barely covers in a win.
Pick: Jets 27, Raiders 24
(-6) Seahawks @ Cowboys
Darren McFadden broke out last week and Dez Bryant could return for this game, but without Tony Romo the Cowboys remain in serious trouble. Both teams have their backs against the wall and Seattle is the one that’s at full strength. Dallas should prepare for it’s fifth straight loss.
Pick: Seahawks 26, Cowboys 18
(-3) Packers @ Broncos
The title to this week’s NFL picks post is a tad misleading, as these two undefeated teams face off in Denver this week. Someone has to lose, but this game is impossible to pick and feel confident about. Green Bay has the better offense at the moment and also brings a solid defense to the table, but the Broncos are at home and their defense is probably the best in football in 2015. Green Bay is probably the better team and in Lambeau or a neutral setting I’d give them the nod. But in Denver, the Broncos should hold on. Even so, it’s going to be tight end I expect a push.
Pick: Broncos 20, Packers 17
Colts @ Panthers (-7)
Andrew Luck and Indy just isn’t right, while the Panthers will be shooting for a remarkable 7-0 start. Carolina is the better team right now, as they’re running the ball and defending at a high level. The Colts stink on defense and can’t protect Luck, so there is little reason to expect them to magically put it all together on the road against a quality opponent. That being said, Luck and co. do have some heart, so I don’t expect them to go easily on Monday Night Football. Panthers win, but Indy beats the spread.
Pick: Panthers 23, Colts 17
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