The 10 Value Bets to Consider for the 2017 US Open at Erin Hills

By in Sports & Betting on

As the 2017 golf season progresses we all know by now that Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy, Jason Day, and Jordan Spieth are the betting favorites to win just about any tournament they start. There are other high-powered and talented players…. But what about them? Do they stand a chance to win this week as well?

As you prepare to make bets on this year’s US Open, there are 10 players in the field that all stand a chance of winning and making you quite a bit of money on your bet. They are the value bets that could certainly make betting on the tournament well worth your time and money.

Most of the names mentioned are well known within the golf circuit and have all had quality careers and seasons. There are a few that may not be too familiar, but if you take a look you’ll understand why they are on this list. If they bring their A game there is no doubt that any of these guys could be in contention all week and possibly be raising the trophy come Sunday night.

We will tell you some of the best values, by odds, according to, and tell why we have chosen these players as some of the best value bets in the field for this week’s US Open.

Let’s say we take a look.

Sergio Garcia +2500

Sergio finally got his 1st Major at Augusta in April. While his game hasn’t been at its best since then, he hasn’t been playing badly with 3 finishes ranging from 12th to 30th. He is a great ball striker and has had some good showings in this tournament over the years, including a top 5 last year.

This is the first major for Sergio since winning the Masters, and he seemed so calm during his epic run in April in Augusta. He is now able to play without pressure of winning his first major, as he prepares to take on Erin Hills.

He is one of the top ten favorites to win, but his value at +2500 is very tempting for us, especially after his showing at the Masters.

Justin Rose at +2500

Rose is a past champion of the US Open when he won it all back in 2013. He had a strong showing at the Masters by finishing in 2nd and his last start he finished t-12. His game has been looking better and better as the year goes on. He loves to grind out his holes and keep his scoring low by saving pars. He is the type of smart ball striker that could take advantage of the course. If he stays patient and plays smart, which is what Justin Rose does then he will be in contention.

With the weather looking bad for this year’s tournament, it is going to play a huge role in who wins. It seems like Rose is made for this course setup and conditions. He is not long off the tee, but his ball striking is the prettiest thing on tour. He is arguably the best ball-striker around. Justin Ross is proven and wants to make up for his playoff loss at the Masters this year.

Kevin Kisner at +4000

Kisner has been impressive all season long and there is not a doubt his run will continue into the US Open. Many experts may be worried about his length off the tee, but the other pieces of his game will make up for it.

The 33-year-old could be worth taking a bet on. He just finished sixth at his most recent start at the Memorial Tournament to go along with a victory in the Dean & Deluca Invitational at Colonial Country Club in late May.

Jason Dufner at +5000

Jason Dufner is having a solid 2017 after a few years sitting in the backseat. He is coming into the US Open winning his last start this season, and has the ability to shoot some decent scores out there. He excels at the US Open type courses, and that shows by his success of two top five and a top 10 finishes in the past five years.

The only worry with Duf is his game being hit and miss; it seems like he has it figured out then he loses it. If he can start the week off with some decent rounds, then there is no doubt he will be around during the week. Keep an eye on this guy at +5000, especially if his game is on point.

Jason’s iron game is nasty when it is on, and Erin Hills is set up for a strong iron player to make some shots and score some birdies.

Bubba Watson at +6600

Man, Bubba has looked promising lately and that is why I have to put him on this list. He is by no means at the top of his game right now, but has shown quite a bit of progress. He really struggles at the US Open only making half of the cuts in his career for the tournament, not to mention he plays poorly in the rain and it looks very likely it will rain.

If he can hold it together and keep his game from falling apart then Bubba will contend. He is a two-time Masters winner and still has so much talent left in the tank. Watch for Bubba to keep his mind right over the first two days, if he does not have a blow up round and plays decent then his driving and ball striking is fitting for the course.

Francisco Molinari at +7000

His game may be a perfect fit for Erin Hills. He is one of the most accurate players on tour off the tee, which will be important when others will be playing from the fescue losing strokes.

The Italian is also one of the best on tour in strokes gained approaching the green and 11th in getting a birdie or better on par fives. There will be four long par fives at Erin Hills that have birdie potential, he is in the top two of many of these important categories. If he can keep everything together then Molinari could be a smart bet.

Brendan Steele at +7500

Steele is solid off the tee to green and his game can withstand this course. He has already won at the Safeway Open this season and played well at The PLAYERS where he finished sixth. He is not a well-known name if you do not follow golf closely, but has a really nice looking all-around game.

Look for him to contend if he can continue to be accurate off the tee and his putter catches fire over the four-day tournament.

Billy Horschel at +8000

The Byron Nelson Champion was never on any radars, up until this victory in a playoff over Jason Day. Prior to it he missed four cuts and looked unlikely to contend at all this year. He is an excellent ball striker when his game is on and it seems to be coming around. There was a huge burden lifted off his shoulder around his wife’s alcoholism this year and what a huge issue that was for he and his family.

If he can play decent around the greens and scramble to save par, he will stay around the top of this week’s leaderboard. The former FedEx Cup Champion has the ability to win by showing that this season and was T4 last week after a strong finish.

He has never won a major championship, so this could be his time to take one down. Two first time major winners in the Masters and US Open? If anyone can do this it Horschel.

Patrick Reed at +8000

Reed continues to be one of my favorite golfer’s and certainly has all of the skills to win. He was struggling this year but recently his game has been solid. If it continues to improve throughout the week, Reed will be able to stick around this weekend.

His ability to grind out and scramble will be his strongest asset this week around the greens. There are not many golfers that can do what he does to save himself and get a par. He honestly may be my top pick out of all of these value bets to have on my side this week.

I really hope this Ryder Cup hero can string together four days of solid golf and stay in contention throughout the weekend. He needs a win to boost his confidence and get his name back within the list of some the best in the game right now.

The Biggest Value Bet-

Jordan Niebrugge at +25000

I have to go with this kid as the biggest value bet. Why? He is a Wisconsin native that has had experience playing the course and that could be huge for him. Many of these players have little to no experience at Erin Hills. There are many tricks to learn about the course.

Niebrugge played college golf at Oklahoma State. He had a really solid amateur career with some top ten finishes. His game right now looks to be on point to go along with all of that, currently playing on the Mackenzie tour he has only one round over par. Many of you will not recognize the name at all, but just remember he has played this course quite a bit, knowing a lot more than many of the other pros this week.

Even a small bet on this dark horse will payout decent, so he is certainly worth even a small risk for a nice return.


We realize that all signs are pointing to Dustin Johnson winning back-to-back US Open titles, but that is a rare feat to accomplish with the amount of talent in the field. It is a smart bet to put money on the favorite of any tournament, but taking a risk provides value. It is not likely that DJ repeats in our opinion. Who do you think could win it all on Sunday?

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