Real Madrid claimed their 12th European Cup title by throttling Juventus, 4-1, in the UEFA Champions League Final last weekend. It was Real’s 22nd European trophy all-time, which is easily the top mark of any club. This was their second straight Champions League triumph and third in the last four years. It also marked the fourth consecutive season that a Spanish side claimed the UCL title.
We’re obviously still a year away from next year’s UCL Final in Kiev, but we can still take the time to try and analyze which team will come out on top. Will Real make it three straight championships, or will someone else rise up and dethrone the champs?
Betonline has odds on who will win the ‘18 Champions League, listed below:
Real Madrid +500
Bayern Munich +550
Manchester City +1200
Atletico Madrid +1400
Manchester United +1600
Paris Saint-Germain +1600
Tottenham Hotspur +2500
Borussia Dortmund +2000
AS Monaco +4000
RB Leipzig +5000
AS Roma +6600
To the surprise of absolutely nobody, Real are considered favorites to make it a three-peat at +500 next season. Their archrivals, Barcelona, have the same odds, while Bayern Munich checks in just behind the Spanish giants at +550.
Let’s break down a few interesting betting value options.
Real Madrid +500
Winning the Champions League certainly isn’t easy, but Real have made it look relatively simple over the last few years. Considering the insane amounts of depth, talent and financial resources at Real’s disposal, there is literally no reason to believe they don’t have another deep run into the CL in them for next season. Frankly, +500 is probably too high for them. They should probably be listed somewhere around +250 or +300. So, the two-time defending European champions look like an outstanding value from the jump at +500.
We know that plenty can go wrong, of course, and that no team is a lock to win this tournament. Barcelona are obviously a worthy challenger, as are a host of other clubs on the list. Barring some sort of injury to a key player or two or a flat-out collapse, it’s tough to pick against Madrid. They’ve been on the grand stage time and time again, and they’ve repeatedly come up big in those situations. As a result of their successes, they seem to have a mental edge over every other club.
So, yeah, betting on Real to win Champions League carries value, even though they’re still the prohibitive favorites.
Barcelona are comparably talented to Real, but these odds are a bit surprising. The Catalans did win this tournament two years ago, but they may be set to undergo several changes during the summer. They recently hired Ernesto Valverde to replace Luis Enrique, and there’s no telling what kinds of changes the club’s brass will make to the existing roster. We can be fairly certain that the three-headed monster of Lionel Messi, Luis Suarez and Neymar will return next season, but the squad around them may be in flux.
Despite their relative struggles, the Blaugrana were nearly good enough to topple Real in La Liga this past season. Barcelona finished just three points shy of their archrivals, and we should expect them to try and inject some youth into the squad during the summer transfer window.
We’re just not seeing the value in betting on Barcelona here when Real have the exact same odds. It really just depends on what this team looks like once the dust has settled after the summer transfer window. We’ll take a wait-and-see approach with this one. Check back with us in August.
Bayern Munich +550
Bayern have been routine disappointments in Champions League play over the last few years. Since toppling fellow Bundesliga side in the 2012 CL final, the German champs haven’t even been back to the Finals despite fielding an absolutely loaded roster each and every year. The talent doesn’t quite stack up to Real up-and-down the squad, but at the top their talent can stack-up well against just about anyone.
In spite of that, this doesn’t feel like amazing value. Several of their key contributors are starting to get up there in years, and at their best they still don’t quite have the horses to stay on the level of either of the aforementioned Spanish sides. They are rumored to be one of several teams chasing Everton’s Romelu Lukaku, and if they’re able to secure the signature of the Belgian we may have to reevaluate our position. That remains to be seen, of course.
We’re leaning more toward selling on Bayern than buying them at +550. As is the case with Barcelona (and just about everyone on this list), the roster tweaking over the summer will go a long way toward clearing up this club’s prospects moving into next season. Real spanked Bayern by an aggregate score of 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the most recent UCL. While the Germans will be out for revenge, they may not have enough ammo to get the job done. We’re going to pass on +550 here.
We’ve rolled through a few of the top dogs, but we’re here for value, aren’t we? Look no further than Jurgen Klopp’s men for a very interesting value bet. Sure, the Reds finished fourth in the Premier League last season, but their knack for stepping up to the plate and topping some of the league’s top sides was incredibly impressive. Liverpool went unbeaten against Chelsea, Manchester United, Manchester City, Spurs and Arsenal last season.
Obviously, playing in Champions League means you’re squaring off with the cream of Europe’s crop throughout the tournament. LFC won’t be taking opponents likely as they were prone to doing during the Premier League campaign, and Klopp will surely use the summer signing period to add depth and stability to a squad that was rather thin last season. Injuries were something to be concerned with regarding this team last season, and obviously injuries could derail any team’s CL campaign.
The team is reportedly making strides toward signing well-regarded central defender Virgil van Dijk, which should help to stabilize a defense that was pretty wobbly at times last season. Liverpool aren’t going to go into next season with as much star power as those Spanish teams, Bayern or Manchester United, but there’s something about the style of play that gives even the most elite sides problems.
If you’re looking for an underdog type, Liverpool (and Tottenham, for that matter) looks like a solid bet at +2500. There’s huge profit potential on those odds, so if they’re able to catch lightning in a bottle they can prove their worth on the big stage. They have the high-octane attack capable of beating any team at any time, which makes them super sneaky here.
Manchester City +1200
They finished third in the Premier League last season, but there’s plenty of reason to be bullish on Pep Guardiola’s boys moving into next season. First among those reasons is the seemingly inevitable emergence of Brazilian striker Gabriel Jesus. Jesus took the Premier League by storm after moving over in the middle of last season, and one would imagine he’ll be given every opportunity to seize City’s No. 1 striker spot next season. Pairing him with Sergio Aguero makes plenty of sense.
We also believe the Citizens will shore up a defense that ultimately proved to be their downfall last season. A new keeper is likely in the plans for the summer, and Guardiola has already decided to reshuffle the team’s fullback spots. They have enough firepower in attack to where securing some defensive stability could be all they need to crack the order of Europe’s truly elite clubs.
We don’t like City at +1200 as much as Liverpool at +2500, but there’s still a good amount of value here. We think they’ll turn in one of the more impressive summers in terms of transfers, so their odds are only going to get lower from here. Jump on them at +1200 while you still can.
Taylor Smith has been a staff writer with GamblingSites.org since early 2017. Taylor is primarily a sports writer, though he will occasionally dabble in other things like politics and entertainment betting. His primary specialties are writing about the NBA, Major League Baseball, NFL and domestic and international soccer. Fringe sports like golf and horse racing aren’t exactly his cup of tea, bu ...
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