2018 Oscars Odds: 3 Locks That Are Guaranteed to Win You Money
In a little over two weeks, some of the best films and actors will finally be honored for their 2017 work. The arrival of the 2018 Oscars on March 4th signals another year in the books for Hollywood and also serves as one more opportunity to recognize greatness in cinema.
The top contenders are already known thanks to a long trail of voting and previous award shows, but a year of speculation and intrigue wraps up with the very best in Hollywood being honored.
This is the last stop on a whirlwind of tours, featuring the Golden Globes, the Screen Actor Guild Awards and BAFTA awards, among others. The 90th annual Academy Awards understandably takes the cake and whoever wins here will go down as iconic figures in cinema.
A year ago the Oscars committed an unforgivable gaffe by handing La La Land the Best Picture award prematurely, but otherwise, the Academy Awards largely went off without a hitch.
The favorites for the main categories stayed at the top where media experts projected them and if entertainment betting enthusiasts played the chalk, they should have left the night in the green, as well.
What many are wondering going into this year’s Oscars, of course, is if playing the favorites will again be beneficial. There is absolutely an argument to be made for some stunning upsets, but there are several categories where going hard at the top dog makes too much sense.
If you’re looking to add some financial gain to your Academy Awards viewing pleasure, consider doubling down on these Oscars nominees exiting March 4th with a trophy in hand:
Best Actor: Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour (-10000)
You know you’re a heavy favorite when bettors siding with you get almost no upside. That’s what is happening here, as Gary Oldman is as much of a lock as you can find at the 2018 Oscars.
Oldman delivered a stellar performance as the iconic Winston Churchill in Darkest Hour, en route to an extremely deserving Best Actor nomination.
This is the type of performance the term “tour de force” was coined for, as Oldman altered his physical appearance and seemingly truly became the legendary leader on film. Darkest Hour unsurprisingly was nominated for six total Oscars thanks to Oldman’s efforts, including Best Picture.
There are other worthwhile acting performances the Academy Awards shouldn’t bypass blindly, but there really isn’t a runner in this race that realistically comes close to what Oldman puts on screen here.
The value leaves a lot to be desired for bettors looking for upside (you need to bet $5,000 to win $50), but that should echo the safety of this wager.
The foundation has been set up for a win for Oldman, who already took home Best Actor at the 2018 Golden Globes and the BAFTA Awards, among others. This would serve as the veteran actor’s first win at the Oscars. He was previously nominated for his part in Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy.
Get Out’s Daniel Kaluuya (+1000) is your next best bet and it’s worth noting that living legends Denzel Washington (+2500) and Daniel Day-Lewis (+2000) are also in the mix. That being said, if you want a locked in bet, Oldman is probably the surest thing at this year’s Oscars.
Best Actress: Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (-2000)
There is probably just as much safety on the female side of the lead acting category. Fargo legend Frances McDormand is a heavy favorite thanks to her portrayal of a relentless mother in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.
While that title is a bit of a beating and leaves a little to be desired, the movie was a great success and McDormand’s run as a grieving, driven mother that’s out for justice is why.
Anyone who saw Fargo back in 1996 wouldn’t be surprised of McDormand’s ability to both take over the screen and also control an entire feature film. She did just that, while matching wits with the likes of power house actors such as Woody Harrelson and Sam Rockwell.
Topbet.eu and most of the top novelty betting sites love McDormand here, and why shouldn’t they? McDormand has proven her acting chops in the past, having been nominated for an Oscar five times now and winning Best Actress over 20 years ago for her role in Fargo.
The trail to the Oscars has been a winning one to this point for McDormand, too. The Three Billboards star already won at the Golden Globes and the BAFTA Awards and remains the obvious choice to do so again at the 2018 Academy Awards.
The good news here is McDormand feels like a lock, yet she returns way more value than Oldman. You’re probably getting just as much safety, yet a $5,000 bet brings back $250 ($200 profit over the same bet on Oldman).
Again, the value isn’t staggering, but I’m not pointing out the Oscars wagers with the most upside. These are the most reliable bets that should flat out win you cash, one way or another. How much you win depends on how much bettors are willing to risk.
The rest of the women’s field isn’t trash, of course.
Sally Hawkins (+1000) is a breakout star for a revealing, heartfelt turn in Shape of Water, while it’s going to be tough for the academy to completely ignore a transparent performance by Margot Robbie in I, Tonya (+2500).
The value there is pretty tough to bypass, while the greatest actress of all time – Meryl Streep – comes in with amazing upside attached to her name (+5000 at Topbet.eu).
Robbie is a fun flier bet and I think everyone would be wasting their time if they didn’t at least toss $10 on Streep (a win gets you $500!). That being said, you’re here for safety and if you’re going hard on the 2018 Oscars, McDormand is another safe bet you’ll want to target.
Best Director: Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water (-700)
Last, but certainly not least, is Guillermo del Toro in yet another interesting film where his unorthodox methods and perspective gets him a shot at Hollywood glory.
You’ll surely recall del Toro’s work in Pan’s Labyrinth, Hellboy and Pacific Rim, but he broke new ground this year when he delivered a beautiful blend of science fiction and raw, human emotion.
A love story enveloped by intrigue and suspense, del Toro’s creation deserves recognition, even if it doesn’t win Best Picture (currently a mild favorite at -220). That should come in the form of him winning Best Director. This would be del Toro’s second ever Oscars nomination, but his first win.
While Oldman and McDormand feel like concrete locks, del Toro admittedly faces some resistance in the Best Director category.
Christopher Nolan (+400) told a harrowing tale in Dunkirk and could finally be rewarded for his brilliant vision and authentic delivery. He’s the next best bet, while Greta Gerwig (+800) is a sneaky sleeper for her work in Lady Bird.
The other interesting option is Jordan Peele (+1800) who pieces together a frightening take on social anxiety with an honest look at the complexity of racial inequality. It’s a bit of a masterpiece that may go underappreciated when it’s all said and done.
It wouldn’t be all that shocking to see Nolan get the nod and I think Peele is a dangerous sleeper. I’d hedge with a Nolan bet and a little money on Peele, but del Toro is the favorite here and feels plenty safe.
That rounds up the safest bets at the 2018 Oscars, but this is really just the tip of the iceberg when it comes how how you can or should bet on the Academy Awards.
There are still worthwhile Oscars sleepers to consider and there are Oscars odds in general that are just too appealing to ignore. I already touched on a few (Denzel, Streep, etc) that are worth a mild flier bet and you’ll likely be kicking yourself if they shock with an upset win and you didn’t put down a few bucks.
Overall, the Oscars give movie fans a chance to appreciate the very best in film for the past year. While you may not always agree with who wins, that doesn’t mean you can’t profit from it. Pick your bets carefully and I wish you luck in your Oscars betting endeavors.