2019 Oscar Betting Odds and Predictions – Best Picture

by Kevin Oldroyd
on February 5, 2019

Minute Read

The 91st Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on February 24th, 2019. It will be the first Oscar ceremony without a host since 1989. The nominations were announced a couple of weeks ago, and some great online betting sites in the US are now offering different 2019 Oscar betting odds.

There are some remarkable movies up for Best Picture this year. The betting favorites are established, but at this point, it’s anyone’s guess which film will win. Let’s take a look at some of the candidates.

2019 Best Picture Betting Odds

As usual, eight movies were nominated for Best Picture this year. I’ll be breaking down the nominated films into two different categories.

I should note that the Oscar winners are notoriously hard to predict. The odds here provided by Bovada Sportsbook look accurate, yet bettors have a real shot at earning some money betting on the upset.

The Betting Favorites

Roma: -180

Roma is just the 11th foreign film in the history of the Academy Awards to be nominated for Best Picture. It’s also the first film released through a streaming service to earn the nomination. This movie has been universally praised by critics and is now the betting favorite to win the 2019 Best Picture award.

roma best picture

Roma was directed by Alfonso Cuaron and centers around a middle-class family living in Mexico City during the early 70’s. The Academy clearly loves this film. It’s tied with The Favourite for the most overall nominations this year and has been called a “masterpiece” by critics around the world.

Despite all its accolades, I’m a little surprised to see Roma listed as the favorite. The film was primarily released through Netflix and is a 135-minute black and white film. Artistic films like Roma tend to do good with the Academy though, and it wouldn’t shock me to see it win Best Picture.

Green Book: +350

Green book is another film that’s high in the 2019 Oscar betting odds for Best Picture this year. Viggo Mortensen and Mahershala Ali are both terrific in this movie about a talented black pianist traveling through the south in the 1960’s with a struggling nightclub bouncer. The film has an 82% approval rating on Rotten Tomatoes and was named best film of the year by the National Board of Review.

Green Book has fallen under some controversy since hitting the big screens. The academy is known to steer away from films attached to negative press, and for that reason, they might be facing an uphill battle to earn the Best Picture award.

I still feel confident this move has a good chance at winning. It was pretty much universally praised by critics around the world and Mahershala Ali is perhaps the best actor in Hollywood right now. With current odds of +350, this movie might be a bet worth taking.

The Favourite: +900

The Favourite may not have been a massive box-office success, but it was applauded by critics and is now one of the betting favorites to win Best Picture at the 2019 Oscars. This movie stars Emma Stone and Rachel Weisz as two cousins vying to become the next Queen of Britain.

This movie only recently opened as one of the favorites in the 2019 Oscar betting odds set by Bovada Sportsbook. It currently holds a 94% approval rating by Rotten Tomatoes and a 7.9 rating on IMDB.

Time-period films like this one often do well at the Academy Awards. The Favourite checks off all the boxes to win Best Picture and was a true breakout for director Yorgos Lanthimos. The odds are currently listed at +900.

The Underdogs

Bohemian Rhapsody: +1800

This movie has been a surprising winner for some of the film industry’s most prestigious awards this year. Most of the praise for this movie is given to lead actor Rami Malek, who managed to look and act remarkably like Freddie Mercury on screen. Having a soundtrack of Queen’s biggest hits certainly doesn’t hurt, either.

Director Bryan Singer was the subject of criticism during the production of Bohemian Rhapsody. He was fired while the movie was still being shot, yet the movie still came out looking great. Regardless, Bohemian Rhapsody is still near the bottom of the 2019 Oscar Betting odds for Best Picture.

I have to agree with Bovada Sportsbook on this one. Bohemian Rhapsody is ultimately held together by the performance of Malek. With so many incredible films on the docket for Best Picture, the winner will need to have more than just one solid performance. Anything is possible, and we might all be in for a major upset next month.

Black Panther: +1800

Black Panther has the notable distinction of being the only superhero movie to ever be nominated for Best Picture at the Academy Awards. It was extremely successful at the box office and was praised for its storyline, acting, and screenplay. This film also marked the first time a Marvel movie was filmed with a predominantly black cast.

black panther best picture

It’s not too surprising to see Black Panther nominated for Best Picture. It has everything the Academy loves. There is some stiff competition in its way here though, and not many are predicting it will actually win Best Picture.

The 2019 Oscar betting odds here reflect that. A superhero movie, even one as impressive as Black Panther, just doesn’t seem likely to earn the most prestigious award in cinema. I don’t recommend making this wager, but a bet on Black Panther would earn you some serious money if they win.

Vice: +6600

As soon as the trailer for Vice dropped, film experts began predicting it would be an Oscar nominee. The story focuses on former Vice President Dick Cheney and his time spent in politics. Christian Bale gave one of his best all-time performances as Cheney and support from Amy Adams and Sam Rockwell made this movie a hit.

So why is Vice so low in the 2019 Oscar betting odds? Honestly, I’m not sure. Some praised the films unique editing, while others claimed it made the movie difficult to follow.

On one hand, I find it hard to believe that a movie with just a 66% approval rating on Rotten Tomatoes could win an Oscar. On the other hand, Vice has many elements that the Academy loves to see. I think throwing a few bucks on Vice winning might not be worst wager you can make this year. Just don’t yell at me if I’m wrong.

Other Films Nominated for Best Picture

  • A Star is Born: +1800
  • BlacKkKlansman: +1500

Academy Award Prop Bets Available at Bovada

It’s always fun to break down the nominees for cinema’s most important night. Each of the Best Picture nominees was fantastic and with only a few weeks until Oscar night, it’s anyone’s guess which will win. Want to bet on more than just the night’s winners? Allow me to break down a few of the Oscar prop bets available right now.

How Long Will the Broadcast Last?

This wager is starting at 8PM EST and ends immediately after the final acceptance speech. Typically speaking, the Oscars run about three and a half hours. With that in mind, Bovada is now allowing you to bet whether or not the award show next month goes above or below three hours and 15 minutes.

It’s a little surprising for me to see the odds that the show wraps up in under 3 hours and 15 minutes as the betting favorite at -150. Viewership for the Oscars has been low in recent years, so maybe they will try to end things a little quicker than usual.

The odds that the 91st Academy Awards goes above three hours and 15 minutes are currently set at +110.

Other Prop Bets Available

How Many Times Will Trump be Mentioned on Stage?

  • Over 1.5: -140
  • Under 1.5: EVEN

What Will be Greater?

  • Average Views on Television Broadcast: -10000
  • Average Views on Streaming Broadcast: +1400

What do you think of the 2019 Oscar betting odds set for Best Picture? Will one of the longshots win? Let me know what you think in the comment section below!

Kevin Oldroyd

A longtime sports and gambling enthusiast, Kevin looks to present up-to-date and reliable information for readers. If he’s not writing, he’s probably watching MMA or playing blackjack.

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