2020 Breeders’ Cup Betting Preview

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2020-Breeders-Cup

The 2020 Breeders’ Cup offers a yearend spectacle unlike any other in the world of thoroughbred horse racing. Horses from all over the world will compete on Friday and Saturday at Keeneland Park in Kentucky to decide which are the best. Bettors will have the opportunity to profit from all that racing with wonderful betting opportunities.

Since it first was created back in the 1980s, the Breeders’ Cup has stood as the ultimate testing ground in the sport of horse racing. After all, no other event unites the entire sport quite like it. Because it contains horses from all different disciplines and genders, it is a complete overview each of the sport each year.

People outside the sport will often compare it to the World Series in baseball or the Super Bowl in football. After all, it is an event that, in many ways culminates the racing season (even though racing is a year-round sport.) To be more accurate, the Breeders’ Cup is more like 14 World Series or Super Bowls.

You get a chance to see some of the sport’s best younger horses in the Juvenile Races. There are races set apart for specific disciplines, such as turf races or sprints. And, at the end of it all, there is the Classic, which, year after year, features the best field in the entire sport.

If you know what race you are trying to bet on, click on it below to get taken to our in-depth race breakdown or get scrolling and read about every race taking place at this year’s Breeders’ Cup.

The Breeders’ Cup Is Still on Schedule

Perhaps more than ever, horse racing fans are looking forward to this edition of the Breeders’ Cup. After all, like most sports, thoroughbred racing had to take a bit of time off in 2020. This means that some of the betting opportunities that fans usually have were removed from the calendar.

But the Breeders’ Cup managed to stay on the schedule. And now the anticipation is over. It’s time for the horses (and jockeys and trainers) to settle all the arguments about who’s the best on the track. And it’s time for you, as bettors, to get your game faces, or races faces in this case, on for your wagers.

With that in mind, we’re here to help you out with this 2020 Breeders’ Cup. We’ll go through the fields for all 14 races on the program. And we’ll tell you who we believe will be the horses walking away with big wins when all is said and done.

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The 2020 Breeders’ Cup Races

Juvenile Turf Sprint: 5 ½ Furlongs on Turf, 2-Year-Olds, $1 Million Purse

Post  Horse  Jockey Trainer  Odds
1  Mighty Gurkha Hollie Doyle Archie Watson 20-1
2  Windy City Red Jose Valdivia, Jr. Jonathan Wong 30-1
3 Lipizzaner Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 20-1
4  County Final Joel Rosario Steven Asmussen 15-1
5 Cowan Ricardo Santana, Jr. Steven Asmussen 8-1
6  Ubettabelieveit  Rowan Scott Nigel Tinkler  20-1
7  Momos Manny Franco Christophe Clement 15-1
 8  Amanzi Yimpilo  Luis Saez Wesley Ward 15-1
9 After Five  Jose Ortiz Wesley Ward 6-1
10 Bodenheimer  Brian Hernandez, Jr. Valorie Lund 8-1
 11 Into the Sunrise  Rafael Bejarano Wesley Ward 15-1
12 Dirty Dangle Tyler Gafflione Mark Casse 20-1
13 Second of July Dylan Davis Philip Gleaves 8-1
14  Golden Pal Irad Ortiz Jr. Wesley Ward 8-5

Favorites:

It’s unusual to see such a definitive favorite in one of the two-year-old races because of the lack of experience. And it’s even more unusual to see such a favorite dealing with an outside post such as the case with Golden Pal. And yet he is dominating the early attention for this race, with trainer Wesley Ward showing up everywhere on this program page.

Value Horses:

Bodenheimer is coming off a pretty impressive win on the Keeneland oval, so the familiarity should be there. Momos tired a bit in his last race at six furlongs but could be a danger at 5 ½. And Watch out for Into The Sunrise, another Ward entry, who is shortening up from his last race to a distance that suits him better.

The Picks:

Golden Pal could win, but Bodenheimer is the much better choice in terms of value. The outside post is a little bit too much of a worry to pay that kind of odds take to bet him.

Juvenile Turf Sprint Bet:10-14-11-7

Juvenile Turf: 1 Mile on Turf, 2-Year-Olds, $1 Million Purse

Post  Horse  Jockey Trainer  Odds
1   Sealiway M. Barzalona Frederic Rossi 8-1
2 New Mandate Frankie Dettori Ralph Beckett 12-1
3 Abarta Umberto Rispoli Brad Cox  12-1
4  Public Sector Irad Ortiz Jr. Chad Brown 8-1
5  Cadillac Shane Foley Mrs. Harrington 6-1
6 Mutasaabeq Luis Saez Todd Pletcher 5-1
7 Fire at Will  Ricardo Santana Michael Maker 12-1
 8  Outadore Jose Ortiz Wesley Ward 8-1
9 Battleground Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien  6-1
10 Ebeko Flavien Prat Peter Miller 20-1
 11 Gretzky the Great  Tyler Gaffalione Mark Casse 8-1
12 Go Athletico A. Lemaitre P. Decouz 10-1
13  Devilwala  Rossa Ryan Ralph Beckett 30-1
14  The Lir Jet Oisin Ryan Michael Bell  20-1

Favorites:

In what appears to be the most evenly-matched of all the races on the card, Mutasaabeq is the tepid favorite off a win on the Keeneland turf in his last. Cadillac has been tough in his home country of Ireland, although he faltered in his last race. And Battleground has a name that be tiresome for election watchers, but he has the game to compete and then some in what should be a tight battle.

Value Horses:

Outadore has been coming on strong at shorter distances in his last two victories, which means the longer effort here might suit him well. Fire At Will captured a Grade 2 at Belmont in his last race and seems to be peaking at the right moment. And Go Athletico could provide some excellent value, based on the consistency that he’s shown in finishing first or second in each of his five career races so far.

The Picks:

Outadore seems like the choice here based on well he has raced out in his last few. The good news here is that, even if you like the faves, you’ll get a decent return on your wager at horse racing betting sites.

Juvenile Turf:8-12-6-5

Juvenile Fillies: 1 1/16 on Dirt, 2-Year-Old Fillies, $2 Million Purse

Post  Horse  Jockey Trainer  Odds
1 Simply Ravishing Luis Saez Kenneth McPeek 5-2
2 Vequist Joel Rosario Robert Reid Jr. 8-1
3 Dayoutoftheoffice Junior Albarado Timothy Hamm 5-2
4  Thoughtfully Ricardo Santana, Jr. Steven Asmussen 20-1
5  Girl Daddy Joe Talamo Dale Romans 6-1
6  Crazy Beautiful  Brian Hernandez, Jr. Kenneth McPeek 20-1
7  Princess Noor Victor Espinoza, Jr. Bob Baffert 9-5

Favorites:

With only seven horses in the race, this one provides the least value to bettors, which is why you might consider exotic plays in this one. Bob Baffert will be very much in the mix in this one with Princess Noor, winner of three straight at increasing margins. But Dayoutoftheoffice and Simply Ravishing are also perfect after three races, with the latter looking stellar last time at Keeneland in her first ever dirt start.

Value Horses:

Because those top three are so daunting, it might be a little hard to find value in this one. But don’t sleep on Girl Daddy, winner of two straight to start her career, the last one coming with some serious speed. And Vequist was favored over Dayoutoftheoffice in her last start, which means that her breakout might actually be coming just a race later than expected.

The Picks:

This definitely feels like the chalkiest of the races on the programs over the two days of the Breeders’ Cup, what with the short field and two horses that you can probably throw out right off the bat. Baffert has a true superstar in Princess Noor, one who might be better than any of the boys her age at this stage.

Juvenile Fillies:7-2-3-1

Juvenile Fillies Turf: 1 Mile on Turf, 2-Year-Old Fillies, $1 Million

Post  Horse  Jockey Trainer  Odds
1 Oodnadatta  Shane Foley Mrs. Harrington 20-1
2 Miss Amulet Julien Leparoux Ken Condon  12-1
3 Alda  John Velazquez H. Motion 12-1
4 Plum Ali Joel Rosario Christophe Clement 4-1
5  Aunt Pearl  Florent Geroux Brad Cox 3-1
6  Nazuna  Luis Saez Roger Varian 30-1
7 Tetragonal Manny Franco Richard Baltas 20-1
 8  Mother Earth  Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 20-1
9  Madone  Flavien Prat Simon Callaghan  10-1
10  Campanelle Frankie Dettori Wesley Ward 4-1
 11 Royal Approval  Irad Ortiz, Jr. Wesley Ward 10-1
12 Spanish Loveaffair  Tyler Gaffalione Mark Casse 15-1
13 Union Gables  Jose Ortiz Todd Pletcher  20-1
14  Editor at Large Javier Castellano Chad Brown 12-1

Favorites:

Aunt Pearl leads what is a particularly impressive field of two-year-old fillies, going two-for-two to start her career, with the last one coming with an impressive speed figure attached. Plum Ali will likely be stalking Aunt Pearl’s speed, and she has won three straight, the last one a Grade 2. Campanelle won at Gulfstream to start her career then proved her talent with a pair of victories overseas.

Value Horses:

There are lot of horses down the ballot, so to speak, that could surprise here. Watch out for Madone, who has been dominating on the West Coast and wants to prove herself in another region. Meanwhile, Spanish Loveaffair gave Aunt Pearl a test in her last start and is definitely on the improve, which could mean she’s ready to get even better this time around.

The Picks:

Madone seems way underrepresented on the odds board, considering the impressive nature of her victories to date. Why not take a shot at her at 10 to 1 (although those odds are likely to drop) instead of paying a premium for Aunt Pearl?

Juvenile Fillies Turf:9-5-3-12

Juvenile: 1 1/16 on Dirt, 2-Year-Olds, $2 Million Purse

Post  Horse  Jockey Trainer  Odds
1 Camp Hope  Robby Albarado Kenneth McPeek 30-1
2 King Fury Brian Hernandez Kenneth McPeek 15-1
3  Reinvestment Risk Irad Ortiz Chad Brown 9-2
4  Likeable John Velazquez Todd Pletcher  15-1
5 Essential Quality  Luis Saez Brad Cox 4-1
6 Keepmeinmind  Jose Ortiz Robertino Diodoro 30-1
7  Jackie’s Warrior Joel Rosario Steven Asmussen 7-5
 8 Classier Florent Geroux Bob Baffert 15-1
9 Sittin on Go Corey Lanerie Dale Romans 12-1
10 Dreamer’s Disease  David Cohen Robertino Diodoro 30-1
 11 Next  Gerardo Corrales Wesley Ward 15-1
12  Hot Rod Charlie  Tyler Gaffalione Doug O’Neill  30-1
13   Rombauer Javier Castellano Michael McCarthy  15-1
14   Calibrate Ricardo Santana Steven Asmussen 20-1

Favorites:

What a start Jackie’s Warrior has enjoyed in his career, with four wins in four races, steadily stretching the distance each time in preparation for this race. This will obviously be his toughest test, though, with Essential Quality looming large after two straight victories, including an easy Grade 1 at Keeneland in his last. Meanwhile, Reinvestment Risk gets his chance at revenge on Jackie’s Warrior after finishing second behind him in his last two.

Value Horses:

Because the top three loom so large, you might be able to sneak some serious long shots in for exotic wagers. Take for example Next, who found out he loved the dirt when a turf race was moved there for his last start, or Dreamer’s Disease, who is coming off an allowance win last time with a nice speed marker. Also keep an eye on Keepmeinmind, a true bomber who made great improvement last time when he switched over to the dirt.

The Picks:

Jackie’s Warrior and Essential Quality seem like the ones to beat in here, with Reinvestment Risk maybe not hanging around with the tougher field in this one. Take the one that you think provides you with the most value, and then fill the ticket out with some long shots to pay off well in the exotics.

Juvenile:7-5-11-6

Fillies and Mares Sprint: 7 Furlongs on Dirt, 3-Year-Olds and up Fillies and Mares, $1 Purse

Post  Horse  Jockey Trainer  Odds
1 Speech  Javier Castellano Michael McCarthy 6-1
2  Gamine John Velazquez Bob Baffert  7-5
3  Come Dancing Irad Ortiz, Jr. Carlos Martin 8-1
4  Inthemidstofbiz Emmanuel Esquivel Cipriano Contreras 30-1
5  Sconsin James Graham Gregory Foley 20-1
6  Venetian Harbor Manny Franco Richard Baltas 8-1
7  Serengeti Empress  Luis Saez Thomas Amoss 3-1
 8  Sally’s Curlin Brian Hernandez, Jr. Dale Romans 20-1
9 Bell’s the One Corey Lanerie Neil Pessin 6-1

Favorites:

Saturday’s first Breeders’ Cup action features a horse that figures to be one of the most prohibitive favorites in the entire two days’ work of action. Gamine suffered the first loss of her career in the Kentucky Oaks, but Bob Baffert is pulling her back to the distance that suits her. Serengeti Express is the only one within shouting distance of her on the morning line, and she is a veteran of two previous Breeders’ cups, which could give her an experience edge.

Value Horses:

Bell’s The One defeated Serengeti Express in her last race, and the outside post shouldn’t bother her as much as others because she likes to close anyway. Venetian Harbor was well back of Gamine two races ago, but the fact that she has never finished worse than second makes it likely that she’ll be in the mix somewhere. Sconsin is an interesting longshot, someone who could be a factor if she can recapture the form that she showed in a peak effort last time.

The Picks:

Baffert is better at delivering sure things than anybody around, which is why it’s hard to try to knock Gamine off the perch here. But you have an interesting closer in Bell’s The One who could make it close in the final strides and would give you more bang for your buck.

Fillies and Mares Sprint:9-2-6-5

Turf Sprint: 5 ½ Furlongs on Turf, 3-Year-Olds and up, $1 Million Purse

Post  Horse  Jockey Trainer  Odds
1 Big Runnuer Juan Hernandez Victor Garcia 12-1
2 Just Might Colby Hernandez Michelle Lovell 30-1
3  Imprimis Irad Ortiz Joseph Orseno 4-1
4 Front Run the Fed Javier Castellano Chad Brown 12-1
5  Wet Your Whistle  Jose Ortiz Michael Trombetta 15-1
6 Glass Slippers Tom Eaves Kevin Ryan 12-1
7  Leinster Luis Saez George Arnold II 4-1
 8 Oleksandra Joel Rosario Neil Drysdale 12-1
9  Into Mystic Joe Talamo Brendan Walsh 12-1
10 Bombard Flavien Prat Richard Mandella 15-1
 11  Wildman Jack Manny Franco Doug O’Neill 12-1
12  Got Stormy Tyler Gaffalione Mark Casse 7-2
13 Texas Wedge Florent Geroux Peter Miller 30-1
14 Extravagant Kid  Umberto Rispoli Brendan Walsh 15-1

Favorites:

You can tell by the morning line that this is considered an evenly-matched race, as Got Stormy is a 7 to 2 favorite and definitely seems vulnerable from that post position. That could bring Imprimis into the picture, as he enjoys a better and knows these kinds of races better than anybody in the field. Meanwhile, Leinster comes in with wins in his last two races on the very same turf track, which should help him in the confidence department.

Value Plays:

Big Runnuer may or may not like leaving from the rail, but he does have three straight victories, with the last one accompanied by a great speed number. Extravagant Kid has the other extreme, post position-wise, but he has also been knocking on the door and could be in for a bounce-type effort. Oleksandra certainly possesses the form, but the concern is that rust factor, as he hasn’t raced since June.

The Picks:

This is a race where you should be trying to spread out your options as much as your budget allows, as if figures to be a wild one. Look to even get a little crazy with a few different superfecta bets.

Turf Sprint:3-1-8-14

Dirt Mile: 1 Mile on Dirt, 3-Year-Olds and up, $1 Million

Post  Horse  Jockey Trainer  Odds
1  Art Collector Brian Hernandez, Jr. Thomas Drury Jr. 6-1
2  Sharp Samurai  Irad Ortiz, Jr. Mark Glatt 15-1
3  Silver Dust  Adam Beschizza Bret Calhoun 30-1
4 War of Will Tyler Gaffalione Mark Casse 10-1
5  Knicks Go Joel Rosario Brad Cox 7-2
6  Mr. Money Gabriel Saez Bret Calhoun 20-1
7  Rushie Javier Castellano Michael McCarthy 20-1
 8  Pirate’s Punch  Jorge Vargas, Jr. Grant Forster 20-1
9  Mr. Freeze Manny Franco Dale Romans 6-1
10 Complexity Jose Ortiz Chad Brown  2-1
 11  Jesus’ Team Luis Saez Jose D’Angelo 30-1
12  Owendale Florent Geroux Brad Cox 15-1

Favorites:

The Mile is an interesting one this year in that there a lot of big names here trying to rebuild their careers in a different light. Yet the favorite, Complexity, is a horse that is relatively lightly raced to this point compared to others but is peaking at the right time. Closest to him on the odds board is Knicks Go, who is moving up out of lesser competition but seems to be a completely different start since a trainer change a few races ago.

Value Horses:

Art Collector saw his winning streak end in the Preakness, when he seemed a little lesser than the top two, but he seems to be well-placed here. War Of Will was a big-time stakes contender a year ago as a three-year-old and is coming back off the turf for this one. And there is nobody classier than Owendale, who usually gives a consistent effort against the best of the best.

The Picks:

It feels like the favorite is being rated on speed more than class, which can sometimes be a miscalculation. Watch out for some of those horses used to the spotlight coming back to form in this one, with Art Collector standing tall.

Dirt Mile:1-12-5-7

Filly And Mare Turf: 1 3/16 on Turf, 3-Year-Olds and up Fillies and Mares, $2 Million

Post  Horse  Jockey Trainer  Odds
1  Starship Jubilee Florent Geroux Kevin Attard 10-1
2 Sistercharlie John Velazquez Chad Brown 6-1
3  Peaceful Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien  12-1
4  Mean Mary Luis Saez H. Motion 7-2
5 My Sister Nat Jose Ortiz Chad Brown 12-1
6 Rushing Fall Javier Castellano Chad Brown 5-2
7 Terebellum Frankie Dettori John Gosden  20-1
 8  Mucho Unusual Flavien Prat Tim Yakteen  30-1
9  Harvey’s Lil Goil  Junior Alvarado Bill Mott  20-1
10 Civil Union Joel Rosario Claude McCaughey III  12-1
 11  Audarya P. Charles- Boudot J. Fanshawe 12-1
12 Lady Prancealot  Manny Franco Richard Baltas  30-1
13 Nay Lady Nay Irad Ortiz Jr. Chad Brown  20-1
14 Cayenne Pepper Shane Foley Mrs. Harrington 8-1

Favorites:

The top three horses on the morning line odds here all met last time out, with Rushing Fall coming out just in front of Mean Mary and Sister Charlie. Sister Charlie is back to the scene of great past triumphs, as she captured this race back in 2018. These three are so closely bunched that a reversal in the order certainly could take place.

Value Horses:

Nobody in this race is hotter than Civil Union, who features good connections and is rocking with four consecutive wins. Nay Lady Nay (great name, by the way) came up short of Civil Union last time out and has the kind of talent to surprise. Her stablemate My Sister Nat is a nice mid-priced option who could certainly be in the middle of the chase for minor awards.

The Picks:

This doesn’t feel like a race where anybody can win outside of the top three, especially with Cayenne Pepper drawing a prohibitive favorite. Rushing Fall did it last time and should do it again, although Sister Charlie won’t go down without a fight.

Filly And Mare Turf:6-2-13-4

Sprint: 6 Furlongs on Dirt, 3-Year-Olds and up, $2 Million Purse

Post  Horse  Jockey Trainer  Odds
1  Echo Town Ricardo Santana, Jr. Steven Asmussen 20-1
2  C Z Rocket  Luis Saez Peter Miller 7-2
3 Collusion Illusion  Flavien Prat Mark Glatt 20-1
4  Bon Raison Adam Beschizza Jack Sisterson 30-1
5  Manny Wah Tyler Gaffalione Wayne Catalano 30-1
6  Frank’s Rockette Junior Albarado Bill Mott 10-1
7 Whitmore Irad Ortiz, Jr. Ron Moquett 15-1
 8 Firenze Fire Jose Lezcano Kelly Breen 8-1
9  Empire of Gold  Declan Carroll Terry Eoff 30-1
10  Yaupon  Joel Rosario Steven Asmussen 7-2
 11 Diamond Oops  Florent Geroux Patrick Biancone 8-1
12 Hog Creek Hustle Corey Lanerie Vicki Foley 30-1
13  Jasper Prince  Jose Ortiz Hideyuki Mori 30-1
14 Vekoma Javier Castellano George Weaver 3-1

Favorites:

In this blink-and-you’ll-miss-it race, Vekoma is the tepid favorite, hurt by the outside post and shortening up just a tad from his recent races. C Z Rocket is one of the fascinating stories this weekend, a claimer in May who has ripped off five straight victories on his way to the biggest sprint of all. Yaupon has a spotless record after four career races, but does he have the experience to get it done against these gritty foes.

Value Horses:

Diamond Ops was in the Dirt Mile in the 2019 Breeders’ Cup, but he looks more at home in this one following a nice Grade 2 win at Keeneland in his last. Whitmore is tracking in the wrong direction, but he was third in this race a year ago. The speed figures folks don’t love Frank’s Rockette, and yet he has never finished worse than 2nd in 10 career races.

The Picks:

It feels like C Z Rocket is a horse of destiny, one who can overcome his humbler beginnings based on the torrid streak he is currently enjoying. Vekoma is a weaker favorite, which means you should be looking hard at all the mid-priced horses in here.

Sprint:2-6-10-7

Turf Mile: 1 Mile on Turf, 3-Year-Olds and up, $2 Million Purse

Post  Horse  Jockey Trainer  Odds
1 Circus Maximus Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 12-1
2  Kameko Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding 6-1
3  Lope Y Fernandez Frankie Dettori Aidan O’Brien 30-1
4   Siskin Colin Keane Gerard Lyons 12-1
5  Digital Age Javier Castellano Chad Brown 8-1
6 Safe Voyage  Jason Hart John Quinn 15-1
7  Casa Creed Junior Alvarado Bill Mott 20-1
 8 March to the Arch  Tyler Gaffalione Mark Casse 15-1
9 One Master  P. Charles-Boudot William Haggas  15-1
10  Halladay Luis Saez Todd Pletcher  12-1
 11 Ivar  Joe Talamo Paulo Lobo  4-1
12 Uni Joel Rosario Chad Brown 5-1
13 Factor This Florent Geroux Brad Cox  8-1
14 Raging Bull Jose Ortiz Chad Brown 8-1

Favorites:

It seems like a tight race here, in part because there are so many good candidates from which to choose. Ivar gets a slight nod on the morning line, even though he doesn’t have quite the race experience as others in the field. Then there’s Uni, who has one of the best chances of anybody on Saturday as repeating as a Breeders’ Cup champion, considering he is coming off a good win after a slump earlier this year.

Value Horses:

Any time you have a Breeders’ Cup race on the turf, you have to consider the European horses, which is why the Brit Kameko should be on your radar for sure. March To The Arch is one of the better long shot plays this weekend because a hot pace, which is likely, is almost certainly in play. Factor This has won five of his last six, but the concern is how well his gate-leaving style will play from that tough post position.

The Picks:

Although Uni can certainly find a way to do it again in this race, it feels like one where chaos could ensue and a long shot could be a real threat. That’s why March To The Arch is one you should be circling over and over on your program or racing form. The pick: 8-12-2-5.

Turf Mile:8-12-2-5

Distaff: 1 1/8 Miles on Dirt, 3-Year-Old and up Fillies and Mares, $2 Million Purse

Post  Horse  Jockey Trainer  Odds
1  Ce Ce John Velazquez Michael McCarthy 12-1
2  Harvest Moon Flavien Prat Simon Callaghan 12-1
3  Dunbar Road  Jose Ortiz Chad Brown 12-1
4  Horologist Junior Alvarado Bill Mott 8-1
5  Swiss Skydiver Robby Albarado Kenneth McPeek 2-1
6  Lady Kate  Tyler Gaffalione Eddie Kenneally 15-1
7  Point of Honor Javier Castellano Mark Weaver 30-1
 8 Valiance Luis Saez Todd Pletcher 12-1
9  Ollie’s Candy Joel Rosario John Sadler 10-1
10 Monomoy Girl  Florent Geroux Brad Cox 8-5

Favorites:

Well, this for sure is one of the most fun showdowns in the entire two-day Breeders’ Cup affair. In one corner, there is Monomoy Girl, who hasn’t lost since 2017, won this race two years, and is back after taking all of last year off with a three-for-three performance in 2020. And in the other corner, there is Swiss Skydiver, coming off her monumental upset win against the boys in the Preakness Stakes and making her first ever Breeders’ Cup appearance.

Value Horses:

The top two choices are going to suck up a lot of the betting oxygen, so if you believe in a long shot, you’re certainly going to get a nice price. All Harvest Moon has done has won her last four races, and yet she still feels like an afterthought here. Meanwhile Point Of Honor hasn’t won since May of 2019 at the Black-Eyed Susan, but she always seems to hit the board.

The Picks:

It’s easy to get caught up in the sentiment of Monomoy Girl, but Swiss Skydiver just might be in a little bit better form. As long as the Preakness didn’t take too much out of her, she seems like the better play of the two, especially with the better post.

Distaff:5-10-7-1

Turf: 1 ½ Miles on Turf, 3-Year-Olds and up, $4 Million

Post  Horse  Jockey Trainer  Odds
1 Arklow Florent Geroux Brad Cox 5-1
2  Magical Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 5-2
3 Tarnawa C. Soumillon Dermot Weld 6-1
4 Mehdaayih Joel Rosario John Gosden 30-1
5 Donjah C. Lecoeuvre Henk Greww 30-1
6  Lord North Frankie Dettori John Gosden 8-1
7 United Flavien Prat Richard Mandella 8-1
 8 Red King Umberto Rispoli Philip D’Amato 20-1
9 Channel Maker Manny Franco Bill Mott 5-1
10 Mogul P. Charles-Boudot Aidan O’Brien 4-1

Favorites:

The pull of trainer Aidan O’Brien, so successful in this race, is definitely affecting the morning-line odds. Were O’Brien’s name not attached to Arklow and Mogul, it’s questionable whether or not they would be so highly-rated, even though both have some impressive wins over seas. Nobody is showing finer form than Channel Maker, and Mott has to feel more confident this year than when this horse struggled to last in this race a year ago.

Value Horses:

You can probably throw out the horses that are longer shots than 20 to 1 (although Red King is mildly intriguing. Tarnawa picked up an impressive win in his last start in France from a difficult post position. Take a look as well at United, who has unfinished business after just missing in this race a year ago and can put the field to sleep on the front end.

The Picks:

It feels like the O’Brien horses are a bit overrated in this one, which puts this race in play for some of the longer shots. The European horse to watch is Tarnawa, with Soumillon bringing him home for the win.

Turf:3-9-7-2

Classic: 1 ¼ Miles on Dirt, 3-Year-Olds and up, $6 Million

Post  Horse  Jockey Trainer  Odds
1 Tacitus  Jose Ortiz Bill Mott 20-1
2 Tiz the Law  Manny Franco Barclay Tagg 3-1
3  By My Standards  Gabriel Saez Bret Calhoun 10-1
4 Tom’s d’Etat Joel Rosario Albert Stall Jr. 6-1
5 Title Ready  Corey Lanerie Dallas Stewart 30-1
6  Higher Power  Flavien Prat John Sadler 20-1
7  Global Campaign  Javier Castellano Stanley Hough 20-1
 8  Improbable  Irad Ortiz, Jr. Bob Baffert 5-2
9 Authentic John Velazquez Bob Baffert 6-1
10  Maximum Security Luis Saez Bob Baffert 7-2

Favorites:

It’s as stellar a field as we’ve seen in some time in the Classic, with a rematch between Tiz The Law and Authentic, Maximum Security once again resurfacing trying to prove his worth, and Improbable as the favorite. That means that this should be a top-heavy betting race, but one where there are likely four horses splitting up the casual-fan vote and making them all gettable at a price.

Value Horses:

By My Standards and Higher Power have both been also-rans to the bigger names of late and could step up a bit if they just show a little bit improvement. And Tacitus is a horse who has never quite lived up to his full potential; could he possibly do it on this biggest stage.

The Picks:

For the picks from this race, stay tuned to our blog for a closer look at this race coming soon, so that you’ll know who to pick when you make your wagers at the top 2020 Breeders’ Cup betting sites.

Jim Beviglia

Jim Beviglia joined Gamblingsites.org as a staff writer in 2018, parlaying his years of freelance writing into contributions on a number of different topics. He handles the sport of horse racing for GamblingSites.org and the intersection between the worlds of cryptocurrency and online gambling in a weekly blog. For his full-time job, Jim handles the television and track announcing duties at a h ...

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