The 2020 Coca-Cola 600 Betting Preview, Odds, Props and Predictions

By in NASCAR on
7 Minute Read
NASCAR Coca Cola 600 Track Logo

On Sunday, May 24th, NASCAR will be live from the Charlotte Motor Speedway for the Coca-Cola 600. This will be the first of two races in Charlotte due to NASCAR’s revised schedule. This is also the longest race of the season at six hundred miles in length.

Kyle Busch comes into this race as the betting favorite at most NASCAR betting sites. He’s followed closely by Kevin Harvick, teammate Martin Truex Jr., and the two Penske drivers Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano.

Harvick currently leads all drivers in the standings, but this Sunday’s race isn’t just about who the best driver is or how great their car might be, it’s also a war of attrition.

Race Profile

Charlotte Motor Speedway is a 1.5-mile quad oval track:

  • Total Miles: 600 miles
  • Total Laps: 400 laps
  • Stage 1: First 100 laps
  • Stage 2: Second 100 laps
  • Stage 3: Third 100 laps
  • Final Stage: Remaining 100 laps

The Coca-Cola 600 is set to begin at 6 PM ET and will air live on FOX.

What to Watch for in Charlotte on May 24th

With all of the excitement heading into this Memorial Day Weekend race, the following storylines are worth keeping an eye on at Charlotte Motor Speedway:

  • Can Martin Truex Jr. win this race for a second straight year?
  • Will Joe Gibbs Racing win for the 3rd straight year?
  • Can one of the veterans turn back the hands of time on Sunday?
  • Will we see a first time winner?
  • Can Jimmie Johnson tie Darrell Waltrip with the most (5) Coca-Cola 600 wins?

Previous Coca-Cola 600 Winners

The first Coca-Cola 600 was held in 1960 and won by legendary driver Junior Johnson. Hall of Fame driver Darrell Waltrip holds the record for the most wins of this race with five. Jimmie Johnson is second with four career Coca-Cola 600 wins.

The following is a list of the most recent winners:

  • Matt Kenseth in 2000
  • Jeff Burton in 2001
  • Mark Martin in 2002
  • Jimmie Johnson in 2003-2005, 2014
  • Kasey Kahne in 2006, 2008, 2012
  • David Reutiman in 2009
  • Kurt Busch in 2010
  • Kevin Harvick in 2011, 2013
  • Carl Edwards in 2015
  • Martin Truex Jr. in 2016, 2019
  • Austin Dillon in 2017
  • Kyle Busch in 2018

There are three active drivers who have won multiple Coca-Cola 600s: Jimmie Johnson (4), Kevin Harvick (2), and Martin Truex Jr (2).

NASCAR Coca-Cola 600 Betting Odds

The following betting odds are courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Kyle Busch (+550)
  • Kevin Harvick (+600)
  • Martin Truex Jr (+600)
  • Brad Keselowski (+800)
  • Joey Logano (+800)
  • Chase Elliott (+900)
  • Denny Hamlin (+900)
  • Alex Bowman (+1600)
  • Jimmie Johnson (+1600)
  • William Byron (+2200)
  • Ryan Blaney (+2500)
  • Clint Bowyer (+2500)
  • Kurt Busch (+2500)
  • Erik Jones (+2500)
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr (+3300)
  • Aric Almirola (+4000)
  • Matt Kenseth (+4000)
  • Matt DiBenedetto (+5000)
  • Tyler Reddick (+5000)
  • Austin Dillon (+6600)
  • Christopher Bell (+8000)
  • Ryan Newman (+8000)

Coca-Cola 600 Betting Favorites

According to most NASCAR betting sites, the following drivers are considered the odds on favorites to win the Coca-Cola 600 on Sunday, May 24th:

Driver Wins Top 5 Top 10 Avg Start Avg Finish DNF
Kyle Busch 1 13 18 11.5 14.6 6
Kevin Harvick 3 8 17 15.7 15.4 3
Martin Truex Jr. 3 7 11 16.8 14.1 0
Brad Keselowski 1 4 8 15.5 14.6 2
Joey Logano 1 6 10 12.8 12.5 0

Kyle Busch (+550)

Busch entered the Darlington races in 11th place overall, but ended up dropping two spots to his current ranking of 13th after finishing 26th last Sunday and 2nd on Wednesday. I had picked Busch to win the Toyota 500, but he came up short to his teammate Denny Hamlin.

Fortunately for the #18 car, Charlotte Motor Speedway is a track where he’s had success at in his career. In 30 starts at this track, Busch has one win, 13 Top 5s, 18 Top 10s, an average finish of 14.6 and a streak of four Top 6 finishes in the last five races.

Busch’s lone victory came in 2018 when he won the Coca-Cola 600 after leading 377 of the 400 laps. It was a complete domination and one for the history books. He’s finished in the Top 3 for the last three Coca-Cola races. His odds for a Top 3 finish on Sunday are at +150. His Top 10 odds are set at -286.

I believe Kyle Busch will be a factor this weekend. I expect him to contend for the checkered flag and score at least a Top 5 finish (-115).

Kevin Harvick (+600)

The driver who benefited the most from the Darlington double shot was Kevin Harvick. He extended his lead in the standings to 34 points over second place driver Joey Logano. Heading into Darlington last Sunday, Harvick was just one point ahead of Logano.

Harvick won last Sunday’s Darlington race and ended up 3rd in Wednesday’s race. So, not only did he put some distance between himself and the rest of the field in the standings, but he also captured a victory which pretty much guarantees him a Playoff spot.

Harvick is also the only driver to finish in the Top 10 for all six races so far. In fact, his lowest finish was 9th at Fontana.

I absolutely expect Harvick to get another Top 10 finish (-265) at Charlotte on Sunday. In 36 career starts at CMS, he has 17 Top 10s, which is where he finished last year. In his last 18 races at this track, Harvick has finished inside the Top 10 in 14 of them.

Harvick has three victories at CMS with two of them coming in the Coca-Cola 600. However, he hasn’t won this race since 2013. His last Top 5 finish in the Coca-Cola 600 came in 2016 when he was 2nd.

Although I believe Harvick will be firmly entrenched in the Top 10, I don’t see the #4 contending for the checkered flag on Sunday. I also don’t see him finishing in the Top 3 (+165). I believe he will get bumped out of the Top 3 and maybe even the Top 5 as other drivers have more success at CMS on Sunday.

Martin Truex Jr (+600)

One of the drivers that I believe will have more success than Harvick this weekend is Martin Truex Jr. However, like Harvick, Truex also benefited from the two Darlington races as he went from 15th to 8th in the standings after scoring two Top 10 finishes.

Now, Truex comes to a track where he’s had a lot of success at in recent years. For his career, Truex has three wins, seven Top 5s, 11 Top 10s, a 14.1 average finish and zero DNFs at CMS. Of the favorites, only Truex and Logano haven’t scored a DNF and they also have the two best average finishes.

However, it’s Truex’s recent streak at Charlotte that’s very impressive and gives me a lot of confidence in him on Sunday. In the last eight races at this track, Truex has seven Top 5s, six Top 3s, and three victories. Truex has won two of the last three races at CMS and two of the last four Coca-Cola 600s.

I believe Truex will be a Top 3 car (+165) on Sunday and easily finish inside the Top 10 (-265). I think this will be a turning point for Truex in the season as he’s bound to win one of these two Charlotte races over the next week.

Brad Keselowski (+800)

Keselowski was able to move up three spots to 6th in the standings after finishing 13th and 4th in the two Darlington races. He led laps in both races and has put together a streak of five straight races of finishing 13th or better.

At Charlotte, Keselowski has had a mixed bag of success. In 19 starts, he has one win, four Top 5s, eight Top 10s, an average finish of 14.6, and two DNFs. Last year he was 19th after leading 76 laps. In 2018 he was fourth in the Coca-Cola 600.

Of the betting favorites, I have the least confidence in Keselowski at Charlotte. His lone win at this track was the second CMS race of 2013. Since then, he hasn’t finished higher than 4th, which was in 2018. I see the #2 car snagging a Top 10 spot (-225), but I don’t believe he will be a factor in the checkered flag.

Joey Logano (+800)

Only four drivers have a victory in one of the six races this season and, along with Denny Hamlin, Logano has taken two checkered flags so far. Those wins came at Las Vegas and Phoenix. He finished 18th and 6th in the two Darlington races and remains 2nd overall in the standings. However, he is now 34 points back.

Like with his teammate Keselowski, Logano has only one win at CMS, but it also came in the 2nd Charlotte race of the season. However, since his win in 2015, Logano has finished outside of the Top 20 in four of the next six races.

Last year, Logano was 2nd in this race. His 12.5 average finish is also the third best among active drivers behind Johnson and Hamlin.

I see Logano sneaking into the Top 10 (-225) for this race as he’s accomplished this 50% of the time. With that said, I don’t see Logano competing for a checkered flag, but he should put in his usual under the radar performance this weekend and a Top 5 result wouldn’t surprise me.

The Best Coca-Cola 600 Betting Value

The following NASCAR drivers offer betting value for the Coca-Cola 600 due to their current betting odds, their past success at CMS, and their 2020 season so far:

Driver Wins Top 5 Top 10 Avg Start Avg Finish DNF
Clint Bowyer 1 2 5 16.9 17.5 1
Kurt Busch 1 7 13 18.8 17.7 4
Matt Kenseth 2 12 20 15.9 13.4 6

Clint Bowyer (+2500)

There are other drivers who have had more Top 5s and Top 10s than Bowyer like Denny Hamlin, but they’ve never won at this track and their betting odds are overvalued. Bowyer has won at CMS before, albeit not in a Coca-Cola 600 race.

At +2500 odds, there is small value with Bowyer. Most fans might not realize it, but Bowyer is actually sitting 9th in the standings and he also led 71 laps on Wednesday in Darlington. He’s flying under the radar and that’s why his odds are this high.

Bowyer is either going to be a boom or bust driver this weekend. Although I like his value, there are two other drivers that I believe provide even better value.

Kurt Busch (+2500)

Kurt Busch had a productive time in Darlington with two Top 15 finishes. He was 3rd in The Real Heroes race last Sunday and is now 14th in the driver standings having moved up two spots.

Charlotte is a track where Kurt Busch has had an up and down career at. In 37 career starts, he has just one win, seven Top 5s, and 13 Top 10s with a 17.7 average finish and four DNFs.

With that said, Kurt has won this race before, though it was back in 2010. However, Busch has finished in the Top 10 for six out of the last eight CMS races. He was 8th in the 2018 Coca-Cola 600 race, 6th in 2017, 6th in 2016, and 10th in the 2015.

I like Busch’s chances for at least another Top 10 (+100). However, I have a hard time seeing him finishing as a Top 5 car (-560).

Matt Kenseth (+4000)

Of the drivers in this betting value section, I like Matt Kenseth the most. The old man came out of retirement to drive the #42 car and made his first two starts in Darlington. He finished 10th last Sunday and 30th on Wednesday.

Charlotte Motor Speedway has been one of Kenseth’s best tracks. In 38 starts, he has two wins, 12 Top 5s, 20 Top 10s, a 13.4 average finish and six DNFs.

Kenseth’s first career win came in the 2000 Coca-Cola 600 race. Although he hasn’t won this race since then, he’s fared well overall.

Kenseth was 17th in 2018, 4th in 2017, 7th in 2016, 4th in 2015, and 3rd in 2014. That’s a 7.0 average finish over his last five Coca-Cola 600 races. I believe we will see Kenseth crack the Top 10 (+175) and, with a little luck late in the race, he may be able to make a run at the checkered flag.

The Top Longshot to Win the Coca-Cola 600

Like with Matt Kenseth, Austin Dillon’s (+6600) first ever career win was the Coca-Cola 600. However, his win came in 2017 compared to Kenseth back in 2000. Unfortunately, Dillon has had two 34th place finishes in the last two Coca-Cola 600s due to car issues and a crash.

Of the longshots, Dillon is the only one with a victory in this race. In fact, he’s only one of 10 active drivers with a victory at this track. I like Dillon to bounce back this year and to stay out of trouble. His team will be counting on him to finish strong and turn around their season.

Coca-Cola 600 Checkered Flag

Like with Darlington on Wednesday, I have a hard time thinking that any other team will outrace Joe Gibbs Racing (JGR) onSunday in Charlotte. This team has won the last two Coca-Cola 600s and they have two of the three betting favorites for this weekend’s race.

In 2018, JGR’s Kyle Busch won the race while Denny Hamlin finished 3rd. In 2019, JGR’s Martin Truex Jr. won the race while Kyle Busch was 3rd. These duos also combined to lead the most laps in each race. I see at least two JGR drivers in contention to win on Sunday and possibly a third cracking the Top 10.

I’m going with Martin Truex Jr., Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Kevin Harvick and Chase Elliott to be in the Top 5 this Sunday. From there, I’m going to eliminate Elliott and Logano because they’ve never won this race before. Additionally, I don’t see Harvick winning this weekend.

I believe this race will come down to Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr. With that said, I really like what Truex has done at this track in recent years. Furthermore, I believe he’s poised to win at least one of these two Charlotte races. If he doesn’t win on Sunday then I’m taking him on Wednesday.

My Top 5 Drivers

  • Kyle Busch
  • Martin Truex Jr.
  • Kevin Harvick
  • Chase Elliott
  • Joey Logano

Coca-Cola 600 Prop Bets

The following NASCAR prop bets are courtesy of DraftKings:

Car Number of Race Winner

  • Even (-225)
  • Odd (+165)

The “even” betting option is a large favorite due to drivers like Kyle Busch (#18), Kevin Harvick (#4) and Joey Logano (#22) all driving cars with an even number. But, since I’m going with Truex to win this race, I’m taking the “odd” option for this prop bet.

Truex drives the #19 car, but there’s also Elliott at #9, Hamlin with #11 and Kurt Busch with #1 that could all battle for the win on Sunday.

Car Number of Race Winner –Odd (+165)

Car Number of Race Winner

  • Over 17.5 (-139)
  • Under 17.5 (+105)

I like this prop bet much more than the first one. Kyle Busch (#18), Martin Truex Jr. (#19), Joey Logano (#22), and Alex Bowman (#88) are all contenders to win on Sunday. I have Busch, Truex and Logano in my Top 5 for the Coca-Cola 600 while Bowman is the 8th odds on favorite this weekend.

For me this prop bet is all about the JGR cars specifically Busch and Truex. Take Over 17.5 for this prop.

Car Number of Race Winner –Over 17.5 (-139)

Manufacturer of Race Winner

  • Ford (+150)
  • Toyota (+170)
  • Chevrolet (+210)

We can eliminate the Chevys right now because the only real threats on Sunday is Chase Elliott and Kurt Busch. The other manufactures have more realistic options of winning this weekend.

Ford:

  • Kevin Harvick
  • Brad Keselowski
  • Joey Logano

Toyota:

  • Kyle Busch
  • Martin Truex Jr.
  • Denny Hamlin

For this prop bet, I am going with Toyota. Chevy has the most wins at this track with 24, but Toyota has won four of the last five Coca-Cola 600 races and I believe they will get another one this weekend with JGR leading the charge.

Manufacturer of Race Winner –Toyota (+170)

Team of Race Winner

  • Joe Gibbs Racing (+160)
  • Hendrick Motor Sports (+325)
  • Stewart-Haas Racing (+400)
  • Team Penske (+400)
  • Chip Ganassi Racing (+1300)
  • Any Other Team (+1600)
  • JTG Daughtery Racing (+2200)
  • Richard Childress racing (+2500)
  • Roush Fenway Racing (+5000)

As you can tell by now, I am going with Joe Gibbs Racing to take home the checkered flag with Martin Truex Jr. or Kyle Busch winning. However, if you are looking for a value play then go with Team Penske at +400. They have two talented drivers in Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski.

The longshot play would be Chip Ganassi Racing with Matt Kenseth and Kurt Busch.

Team of Race Winner –Joe Gibbs Racing (+160)

Best Finish of the Group

  • Kyle Busch (+135)
  • Denny Hamlin (+300)
  • Chase Elliott (+300)
  • Joey Logano (+300

This group matchup pits four of the ten best drivers on the circuit today. Additionally, it features three of my Top 5 drivers for Sunday. I also believe that all four will finish in the Top 10.

With that said, I really like Kyle Busch to outrace Elliott, Hamlin and Logano. Busch won this race in 2018, while the other three have never won this race before. And, only Logano has ever won at this track.

With +135 odds, the overall favorite to win on Sunday, I like Kyle Busch’s chances to finish higher than his peers in this NASCAR group bet.

Best Finish of the Group –Kyle Busch (+135)

Coca-Cola 600 Betting Recap

Betting Value:

  • Clint Bowyer (+2500)
  • Kurt Busch (+2500)
  • Matt Kenseth (+4000)
Winner –Martin Truex Jr. (+600)
Longshot –Austin Dillon (+6600)
Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

View all posts by Rick Rockwell
Email the author at: [email protected]