On Saturday December 22nd, boxing fans will witness an exciting featherweight fight billed as the “Battle of Britain” as IBF featherweight champ Josh Warrington puts his title on the line against a former two-division champion Carl Frampton.
This British battle will take place at the Manchester Arena in Manchester, England.
Frampton vs Warrington will begin at 3 PM EST with the undercard. Boxing fans can watch this fight on BT Sports Box Office PPV or streaming on ESPN+.
For those of you looking to bet on boxing, let’s dive into this fight and see where we can make some money, examine the boxing betting odds, and make some bold boxing predictions.
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The following boxing betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
Over 9.5 rounds (-448)
Under 9.5 rounds (+373)
After shopping around numerous online betting sites, I feel that BetOnline has some of the best boxing odds for this fight. My initial thoughts were that Frampton’s moneyline is a bit too high.
I would’ve liked to see it lower so that we could have better betting value. Warrington does offer value on his +170 moneyline. As the champ, he could be worth a look.
The Total Rounds boxing wager has some intrigue, but not much value. We’ll take a deeper look into each fighter’s career record and how many times they’ve gone to the scorecards. With that said, these odds don’t offer a great deal of value on the surface.
A Look at Frampton’s Record
At 31 years old, Ireland’s Carl Frampton has a solid resume as he comes into this bout with 27 professional fights and a record of 26-1. Frampton has 15 wins via KO and 11 via decision. His lone loss came against Leo Santa Cruz in Jan 2017 via majority decision.
This loss came after defeating Leo six months prior. There are talks of a trilogy fight between these two boxers in 2019, provided that Frampton doesn’t lose badly to Warrington.
Carl has had success in the super-bantamweight and featherweight divisions, collecting titles in both weight classes. In addition to his two fights against Leo Santa Cruz, Frampton has also defeated quality fighters like Nonito Donaire.
A Look at Warrington’s Record
Josh Warrington, a 28 year old fighter from England, is a brash boxer with a record of 27-0. He’s won 6 of his fights by knockout and 21 of them via decision.
Warrington has picked up regional accolades along the way, but it was his split decision victory over Lee Selby in May, that earned him his first world title as he won the IBF featherweight belt. It marked the first time that a fighter from Leeds has ever won a world title.
Warrington is out to prove that he’s not only the best featherweight fighter in the UK, but also the world. Selby is one of the biggest names on Warrington’s fight resume, but he has also beaten numerous regional fighters that were highly regarded. With that said, this fight with Frampton will settle the argument as to who’s the best in Britain.
Will This Fight Go the Distance?
Unlike the big fight on December 15thbetween Canelo and Fielding, Warrington and Frampton will most likely go beyond the Over/Under of 9.5 rounds.
For their careers, Warrington has gone to the scorecards on 21 occasions and Frampton has gone to the judges on 12 occasions. That’s a combined total of 33 out of 54 fights going the distance.
If you look over both boxer’s fight records, you will see that an additional 3 fights that ended in TKO went beyond the 9.5 round mark. So, that’s 36 total fights going the distance or Over 9.5 rounds.
5 of Warrington’s 7 last fights went the full 12 rounds. The other two ended via TKO in the 10th and TKO in the 9th, but just under the halfway mark of the round.
For Frampton, 6 of his last 7 fights went the full distance. His last fight ended via TKO in the 9th round, just 10 seconds shy of the halfway mark.
I think it’s pretty clear that these two fighters have a knack for going the distance or at least into the latter rounds of a fight. With this bout scheduled to go 12 rounds, I don’t see it ending before the 10th round. It will most likely go the full distance.
The Over 9.5 rounds (-448) is the smart bet here, but it doesn’t offer much value at all. 5Dimes has a prop bet for this fight going the distance at -380 odds.
Unfortunately, that boxing prop bet doesn’t offer much value either. You are better off going with BetOnline’s boxing wager of Over 9.5 rounds.
Boxing Bet: Over 9.5 rounds (-448)
Who Wins: Frampton or Warrington?
As mentioned, I believe this fight will go the distance, which means that these fighters put their fortunes in the judges’ hands. However, I feel that Frampton will outwork Warrington in this title fight.
Frampton is a more well-rounded fighter in my opinion. He has the advantage in power with a 58% KO rate compared to just 22% for Warrington. However, Josh does have the height and reach advantage, which he will need to use to out-box Frampton and keep Carl at a distance.
Frampton is going to work his way inside and make this a physical encounter. I believe Carl is a better defensive fighter as well. This is only Warrington’s 2nd world title fight, where Frampton will be in his 7th. That experience also is an advantage for Carl.
The Battle of Britain is certainly going to be an entertaining fight and won that all boxing fans will enjoy, not just the British and Irish fans. With that said, I like Frampton to win this fight. I believe he will withstand any early aggressiveness from Warrington and slowly wear down the bigger fighter.
Frampton has the work rate to outpoint Warrington and the power to land a late-round KO/TKO should Warrington be tired from Frampton’s grind it out style.
On a side note, 5Dimes has Frampton at +380 odds to win inside the distance. I think these odds provide some excellent value as there is a decent chance Frampton could score that late round KO/TKO.
Boxing Bet: Carl Frampton -195
The Best Battle of Britain Betting Value
As mentioned, the best value of the night is the boxing prop bet of Carl Frampton winning inside the distance with +380 odds according to 5Dimes. Frampton has won 15 of his 27 fights inside the distance and he certainly could do the same in this fight against Warrington.
I expect both fighters willingly exchanging punches for the majority of the bout. Since Frampton has the advantage in power, he has the better chance at winning inside the distance.
The Best Frampton vs Warrington Longshot Bet
Because this fight will be a war between two of Britain’s best, there is the chance of one of the fighters winning inside the distance via KO/TKO. I believe Frampton (+380) winning inside the distance is the best value of the night.
However, Warrington winning inside the distance is the best longshot bet of the night as 5Dimes has this boxing wager listed at +945 odds. Josh has only 6 knockouts on his resume, so it’s clear that he doesn’t finish fighters at the same rate as Frampton.
With that said, +945 odds are just too juicy to pass up on if you are looking for a risky boxing bet.
The Full Battle of Britain Boxing Card
Carl Frampton (26-1) vs Josh Warrington (27-0)
Mark Heffron (21-0) vs Liam Williams (18-2-1)
Martin Murray (37-4-1) vs Hassan N’Dam (36-3)
Nathan Gorman (13-0) vs Alex Leapai (30-7-3)
Michael Conlan (8-0) vs Jason Cunningham (23-4)
As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...
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