Bellator 268: Nemkov vs Anglickas Betting Preview Odds and Picks

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On Saturday, October 16th, Bellator returns to action with a packed lineup live from the Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona, for Bellator 268: Nemkov vs Anglickas.

The featured bout of the night is a semifinal matchup in the light heavyweight grand prix as Vadim Nemkov defends his lightweight title against Julius Anglickas who’s replacing Anthony Johnson.

The co-featured bout is the other side of the bracket as Ryan Bader battles Corey Anderson in the second light heavyweight grand prix semifinal matchup.

In total, the main card features four exciting fights. As of this writing, the preliminary card has nine bouts scheduled. Let’s step inside the betting octagon to examine the latest Bellator odds and roundhouse kick these Bellator 268 predictions.

Bellator 268 Preliminary Card Betting Preview

The Bellator 268 preliminary card is set to begin at 7pm ET and stream live online:

Maria Henderson vs. Collette Santiago

  • Maria Henderson (-400)
  • Collette Santiago (+300)

Here’s a battle of two fighters making their pro debuts as they also step inside the Bellator cage for the first time.

With that said, this fight is all about the debut of Maria Henderson. The wife of former world champ, and current Bellator fighter, Ben Henderson is finally making her pro debut after her husband approved of this idea:

“As far as going pro, when my husband tells me, ‘You look good enough to go pro,’ I’ll go pro. But the end goal is to be the best in the world. (It’s a) hard goal, but pretty simple goal – just to be the best in the world.”

Collette Santiago was 0-2 in her amateur MMA career according to Sherdog. She really isn’t supposed to be anything more than Henderson’s first step towards success and towards her goal of being the best in the world.

Take Henderson to win this fight. Your guess is as good as mine when it comes to her method of victory.

Maria Henderson vs. Collette Santiago –Henderson (-400)

Mukhamed Berkhamov vs. Jaleel Willis

  • Mukhamed Berkhamov (-200)
  • Jaleel Willis (+160)

Jaleel Willis is on his second stint with Bellator and things continue to go will for “The Realest” in the promotion.

His first Bellator bout took place in October 2016 and he beat Omar Johnson via unanimous decision. His second stint didn’t begin until last year when he returned 11 months ago to beat Mark Lemminger via unanimous decision.

Willis’ most recent fight came in May 2021 and he beat Maycon Mendonca via unanimous decision. Jaleel enters this weekend’s contest on a six fight winning streak.

Five of his 15 pro wins have come via TKO/KO. He’s 10-1 when going the distance.

Russia’s Berkhamov will make his Bellator debut this Saturday. The undefeated fighter hasn’t competed since August 2019 when he beat Ciro Rodrigues via unanimous decision.

10 of his 13 pro wins have come via stoppage with eight by way of submission. He’s 3-0 when going the distance.

I see this bout going the distance. Willis is a tough out and has gone to a decision in 11 of his 17 pro fights including six in a row. Berkhamov is not a volume striker and paces himself throughout the fight.

He has good pop in his punches and kicks, but is also good at taking the fight to the mat. This bout has the makings of a 15 minute grinder.

Mukhamed Berkhamov vs. Jaleel Willis –Berkhamov (-200)

Jaylon Bates vs. Raphael Montini de Lima

  • Jaylon Bates (-600)
  • Raphael Montini de Lima (+425)

According to Bellator betting sites, Jaylon Bates is the biggest betting favorite for the entire Bellator 268 event.

Bates is 3-0 in the promotion after debuting 11 months ago when he defeated Joseph Supino via decision. Jaylon followed that up with two straight 2nd round submission wins in 2021.

The first came against Jeffrey Glossner in April and the second came in June against Cody Matthews.

Raphael Montini de Lima is making his Bellator debut this weekend, but comes into Saturday’s bout losing two fights in a row.

He last fought in July for RUF MMA and lost via 2nd round KO. Four of his five pro wins have come via submission. He’s 1-0 when going the distance. All four of his losses have come via stoppage.

After his last fight, Bates declared that he was the future of the bantamweight division in Bellator. I’m not sure I agree with that just yet. But, on Saturday, he will easily pick up the stoppage victory over de Lima.

Jaylon Bates vs. Raphael Montini de Lima –Bates (-600)

Lance Gibson vs. Raymond Pina

  • Lance Gibson (-500)
  • Raymond Pina (+375)

For Raymond Pina, this is his second shot with Bellator. He’s had one bout with the promotion and that came in September 2014. Unfortunately, Pina lost to LaRue Burley via 2nd round submission.

Since then, Pina has gone 5-3 overall. He last fought in October 2019 for the Combate Americas promotion and won via 3rd round submission over Michael Robertson.

Seven of his nine pro wins have come via stoppage with four by way of submission. He’s 2-0 when going the distance.

Gibson debuted with Bellator two years ago and beat Dominic Jones at Bellator 232 via 1st round KO. His second, and most recent, bout with the promotion came in April 2021 where he beat Marcus Surin via unanimous decision.

Three of his four pro wins have come via stoppage with two by submission. He’s 1-0 when going the distance.

I like the Canadian in this one. Gibson is the more talented fighter in this contest and should pick up the stoppage victory by the mid-way point of the fight.

Lance Gibson vs. Raymond Pina –Gibson (-500)

Sumiko Inaba vs. Randi Field

  • Sumiko Inaba (-400)
  • Randi Field (+300)

Randi Field makes her debut for Bellator after starting off her pro career going 2-0. However, both of those fights came in 2019. She hasn’t competed in 22 months. Field has one stoppage via TKO and one decision victory.

Nicknamed “Lady Samurai,” Sumiko Inaba has scored victories in both of her pro fights, which also took place in the Bellator cage. She’s being built up into a solid prospect in the flyweight division and has been impressive so far.

Inaba’s first fight ended with a 1st round TKO via elbows over Jessica Ruiz. Her second bout, which took place in May 2021, ended via 3rd round TKO as she beat Kristina Katsikis.

I’ve been really impressed with what I’ve seen from Inaba so far and I’m surprised that her odds aren’t higher for this weekend’s bout.

Take the Hawaiian fighter to pick up a third straight TKO victory.

Sumiko Inaba vs. Randi Field –Inaba (-400)

Javier Torres vs. Gregory Milliard

  • Javier Torres (-115)
  • Gregory Milliard (-115)

Javier Torres returns to Bellator for the first time in three years. He’s had two bouts in the promotion, but both have resulted in losses.

The first loss came against Neiman Gracie via 2nd round submission in April 2018. The second loss came against Andre Fialho via majority decision in October 2018.

Torres hasn’t fought since June 2019 when he beat Joel Champion via 2nd round submission at Combate 39. Seven of his 11 pro wins have come via stoppage with five by way of submission. He’s 4-2 when going the distance and has three stoppage defeats.

Gregory Milliard is the cousin of UFC heavyweight contender Jairzinho Rozenstruik. His pro record is a little bit deceiving.

After a 3-4 start to his career, Milliard went 9-1 which led him to the doorstep of Bellator. He drew a tough assignment in his Bellator debut in April 2021 as he lost via decision to Julius Anglickas, who’s in the main event of this card.

Prior to the loss to Anglickas, Milliard had four straight stoppage wins including three in a row via TKO. Nine of 12 pro wins have come via stoppage with eight by way of TKO/KO. He’s 3-4 when going the distance.

I believe we will see Milliard get back into the win column this weekend. Torres will provide some competition, but I like for “The Arubian Assassin” to pick up the TKO victory. Two of Torres’ five losses have come via TKO/KO.

Javier Torres vs. Gregory Milliard –Milliard (-115)

Nick Browne vs. Bobby Lee

  • Nick Browne (-300)
  • Bobby Lee (+240)

Bobby Lee joined Bellator a year ago and has lost both fights since then. He dropped a decision to Joey Davis in November 2020 and followed that up with another decision loss to Soren Bak in June 2021. He’s now 2-3 in his last five bouts.

Eight of his 12 pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of submission. He’s 4-4 when going the distance.

Browne was the former LFA lightweight champion and signed with Bellator roughly five months ago. He’s won four straight fights including three in a row for LFA.

Browne’s most recent fight came in January 2021 when he beat Arthur Estazulas for the vacant LFA lightweight belt via unanimous decision.

Seven of his 11 pro wins have come via stoppage with five by way of submission. He’s 4-1 when going the distance.

This fight is all about Browne’s Bellator debut and getting it started the right way. Lee has two submission losses in his career and Browne has five submission wins. Let’s go with Browne to pick up the submission victory in this contest.

Nick Browne vs. Bobby Lee –Browne (-300)

Sullivan Cauley vs. Deon Clash

  • Sullivan Cauley (-350)
  • Deon Clash (+275)

Both fighters come into this contest just 1-0, but it’s Cauley who’s the prospect that all eyes will be on for this matchup. Additionally, both men are from Arizona and should have some fans in attendance.

Clash’s lone bout came in April 2019 where he won via 1st round submission against Jose Galaviz in M-1 Global. However, it should be pointed out that Clash competed at middleweight for that matchup and will be fighting at light heavyweight for this contest.

Cauley’s lone contest came at Bellator 253 last November. He made an emphatic statement in his debut by defeating Jason Markland via 1st round TKO in just 28 seconds.

There are too many unknowns with these fighters to feel confident in the method of victory. Yet, I do feel comfortable with taking Cauley to win this contest.

Sullivan Cauley vs. Deon Clash –Cauley (-350)

Dovletdzhan Yagshimiradov vs. Karl Albrektsson

  • Dovletdzhan Yagshimiradov (+130)
  • Karl Albrektsson (-160)

An eight fight winning streak brough Dovletdzhan Yagshimiradov to Bellator six months ago. Unfortunately, he went up against the tough veteran Corey Anderson and lost via 3rd round TKO. Prior to that loss, Yagshimiradov was very successful in the ACA and ACB promotions.

15 of his 18 pro wins have come via stoppage with 11 by way of TKO/KO. He’s 3-1-1 when going the distance.

Karl Albrektsson is making his third trip inside the Bellator cage and is currently 1-1 with the promotion. His first fight came against Phil Davis in October 2019 and he lost via 3rd round TKO. His second bout came in April 2021 and he beat Viktor Nemkov via decision.

Speaking of Nemkov, the current light heavyweight champ Vadim suffered a loss to Albrektsson in April 2016.

For Karl, in addition to Davis, he also lost to Valentin Moldavsky who is a rising heavyweight contender for Bellator and Jiri Prochazka who many believe is the future light heavyweight champ of the UFC.

Nine of his 12 pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of TKO/KO. He’s 3-1 when going the distance.

This bout could be very entertaining and a nice way to close out the prelims. It could also be a main card fight should one of the four scheduled bouts get cancelled.

With that said, I like Albrektsson in this matchup. I think he’s one rung higher on the proverbial ladder and I believe he will get the stoppage victory in this contest.

Yagshimiradov vs. Albrektsson –Albrektsson (-160)

Bellator 268 Main Card Betting Preview

The Bellator 268 main card will begin at 10pm ET and air live on Showtime:

Henry Corrales vs. Vladislav Parubchenko

  • Henry Corrales (-140)
  • Vladislav Parubchenko (+110)

Vladislav Parubchenko rode an eight fight winning streak into a Bellator debut 14 months ago. Unfortunately, things didn’t go as he had hoped. Parubchenko lost via unanimous decision to John de Jesus.

Prior to that, Parubchenko had fought in numerous different regional promotions. Over his eight fight winning streak, Parubchenko won seven of them via submission.

14 of his 15 pro wins have come via stoppage with 11 by way of submission. He’s 1-1 when going the distance.

Corrales will step inside the Bellator cage for the 13th time this weekend and is 6-6 with the promotion. He’s gone 1-3 in his last four bouts with losses to Darrion Caldwell, Juan Archuleta and Johnny Campbell.

His most recent bout was against Campbell and it was Caldwell’s first foray into the Bellator bantamweight division. After losing, Henry decided to go back to the featherweight division, which is what this fight will be contested at.

13 of his 18 pro wins have come via stoppage with seven by way of TKO/KO. He’s 5-3 when going the distance.

Either Corrales picks up the win and proves that his opponent isn’t ready for this level or Parubchenko gets the win and proves that his first Bellator bout was just a small slip up.

I’m going with the latter. I believe that Parubchenko will get this fight to the mat and find a submission victory. Corrales has three submission losses with all of them coming in Bellator.

Henry Corrales vs. Vladislav Parubchenko –Parubchenko (+110)

Ben Henderson vs. Brent Primus

  • Ben Henderson (-115)
  • Brent Primus (-115)

This is going to be an exciting fight and is definitely overshadowed by the two light heavyweight grand prix tournament bouts. Nevertheless, I think this contest could steal the show if both men fight to their maximum potential.

Henderson is the former WEC and UFC lightweight champion with a very decorated career. Yet, he’s gone 0-2 when fighting for the Bellator lightweight title. That’s what makes his quest to win the Bellator title even more special due to the adversity he’s faced.

And, make no mistake about it, Henderson is focused on beating Primus and then going after the lightweight title once again:

“(I have to) go beat him up, go have an emphatic finish. I want an emphatic finish. I want some highlight. I want people to talk about it Monday morning: ‘Oh my God, did you check out that last Bellator card?’ I want something that people are going to talk about. The fight after that, I’m going to fight for the belt, I’m going to win the belt and get my hand raised, and after that, I might be done.”

Henderson is 5-5 in Bellator with two straight losses. He dropped the bout against Chandler in August 2020 via 1st round KO and then followed that up with a unanimous decision defeat against Jason Jackson 11 months ago, which is the last time he fought.

Prior to those losses, Henderson had four straight victories. He hasn’t competed for the title since November 2016 when he lost via split decision to Chandler.

14 of his 28 pro wins have come via stoppage with nine by way of submission. He’s 14-6 when going the distance.

Primus has been with Bellator for eight years and has compiled a record of 8-2 with the promotion. However, he’s 2-2 in his last four fights.

Brent’s two wins came against Tim Wilde and Chris Bungard. His two losses were to Michael Chandler and Islam Mamedov.

The loss to Chandler was a rematch for the title after Primus beat Michael for the title in June 2017 due to a doctor stoppage. His loss to Mamedov, which took place in July 2021, was via split decision.

Eight of his 10 pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of submission. He’s 2-2 when going the distance.

This bout is truly a toss-up. I do see it going the full 15 minutes as Primus has gone the distance in four of his last seven bouts and Henderson has gone the distance in six of his last eight contests.

As for the winner, I’m taking Henderson via split decision. This is more of a hope than a confident pick. Whichever way you go when betting on this Bellator fight, make sure it’s a small wager.

Ben Henderson vs. Brent Primus –Henderson (-115)

Ryan Bader vs. Corey Anderson

  • Ryan Bader (+140)
  • Corey Anderson (-170)

The co-main event is going to be an intense contest between two men who are solid options for winning the grand prix.

Ryan Bader is the former Bellator lightweight champ having lost it to Vadim Nemkov in August 2020. Bader joined the promotion in in the summer of 2017 and has gone 6-1 in Bellator.

His most recent fight came against Lyoto Machida and Bader won via unanimous decision. It was a solid bounce back performance after losing to Nemkov. Prior to that loss, Ryan went 7-0 with 1 NC spanning Bellator and the UFC.

15 of his 28 pro wins have come via stoppage with 12 by way of TKO/KO. He’s 13-0 when going the distance. All six of his losses have come via stoppage with four by way of TKO/KO.

In regards to his upcoming bout against Anderson, Bader made the following comments:

“I love the matchup. I’ve done well with that style throughout my career. If you look at my fights where I fought wrestlers like that, I’ve done extremely well. A lot of them were knockouts and what not, so I just feel like my experience, I feel like I hit harder than him. He has more volume than me. I believe my jiu-jitsu is better and my MMA wrestling is better. When I want to go get a takedown, I can get it, so I feel really confident about this fight.”

Anderson went 4-1 to close out his UFC tenure and eventually asked for his release. The promotion granted it and “Overtime” left for Bellator.

He debuted in November 2020 and defeated Melvin Manhoef via 2nd round TKO. Anderson followed that up with a 3rd round TKO win over Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov in April 2021.

Seven of his 15 pro wins have come via TKO/KO. He’s 8-1 when going the distance. Four of his five pro losses have come via TKO/KO.

Either we get a highlight reel TKO/KO win or we get a grinder that goes 15 minutes. I’m picking the latter as I see these men nullifying each other’s knockout power and doing more grappling for position.

As for the winner, I am taking Bader via decision due to the appealing betting value and I think his jiu-jitsu is better than Anderson’s wrestling.

Ryan Bader vs. Corey Anderson –Bader (+140)

Vadim Nemkov vs. Julius Anglickas

  • Vadim Nemkov (-260)
  • Julius Anglickas (+200)

As mentioned above, Anglickas is getting this huge opportunity after Anthony “Rumble” Johnson pulled out of the fight last month due to an illness. Julius detailed how things came about rather quickly:

“We knew before they even announced it.  I was supposed to fight Karl [Albrektsson], they called me like ‘hey, little update, Anthony’s not doing so well, you might have to step into replace him.’ I think it was slowly warming me up, to make it official.  It’s like I knew it, but it wasn’t definite, we were just kind of waiting for them to make it definite.”

Anglickas has won nine straight fights and is now 3-0 in Bellator. He debuted for the promotion in November 2019 and defeated Jordan Young via decision. He also scored decision wins over Alex Polizzi and Gregory Milliard.

His most recent bout was against Milliard in April 2021. Seven of his 10 pro wins have come via stoppage with four by way of submission. He’s 3-0 when going the distance.

Nemkov is riding an eight fight winning streak into this weekend’s main event bout. He’s 6-0 in Bellator with a solid resume that includes wins over Phil Davis, Rafael Carvalho, and Ryan Bader. The win over Bader earned Vadim the lightweight title.

In his most recent bout, Nemkov defeated Davis in the opening round of the grand prix via unanimous decision.

11 of his 13 pro wins have come via stoppage with nine by way of TKO/KO. He’s 2-1 when going the distance.

I like Nemkov to win this bout, but I think it will be via decision. Two of his last four bouts have gone the distance. For Anglickas, he’s gone to a decision in three straight contests.

Nemkov is the better overall striker, but Julius is a tough out. Vadim will edge him on points due to his striking.

Vadim Nemkov vs. Julius Anglickas –Nemkov (-260)
Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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