Bellator 269: Emelianenko vs Johnson Betting Preview, Odds and Picks

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Fedor-Emelianenko-Tim-Johnson

On Saturday, October 23rd, Bellator will be live at the VTB Arena in Moscow, Russia, for Bellator 269: Emelianenko vs. Johnson.

The main event of the night is a heavyweight clash between the legendary Russian fighter Fedor Emelianenko and heavyweight contender Tim Johnson.

The main card also features numerous other top notch Russian fighters like Usman Nurmagomedov, Anatoly Tokov and Vitaly Minakov.

In total, the main card features four bouts with a 2pm ET start time on Showtime. The preliminary card begins at 12pm ET and features eight bouts as of this writing.

Let’s step inside the betting octagon to examine the latest Bellator odds and hit these Bellator 269 predictions with a looping right hand for the KO.

Bellator 269 Preliminary Card

12pm ET online

Kirill Sidelnikov vs. Rab Truesdale

  • Kirill Sidelnikov (-300)
  • Rab Truesdale (+240)

Rab Truesdale will make his Bellator debut this weekend. The Scottish fighter started off his career 6-1-1 before going on a 2-6 stretch. He enters this Saturday’s bout having lost two straight fights.

His last bout came in July 2021 after a near-seven year hiatus. He lost that fight in the EMC promotion via 1st round submission.

Seven of his eight pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of TKO/KO. He’s 1-0-1 when going the distance.

Kirill Sidelnikov was part of 18 fighters released by Bellator over the summer. He hasn’t competed in two years, but the promotion thought the Russian made sense for this weekend’s event in Moscow, so they brought him back.

Sidelnikov is 1-1 in Bellator with a 1st round TKO loss to Adam Keresh in November 2018 and a unanimous decision win against Domingos Barros in October 2019.

Seven of his 12 pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of TKO/KO. He’s 5-1 when going the distance.

I see this bout going the full 15 minutes as I don’t believe either man will get knocked out. Look for Sidelnikov to pick up the big win in front of his fellow countrymen.

Kirill Sidelnikov vs. Rab Truesdale –Sidelnikov (-300)

Vladimir Tokov vs. Aymard Guih

  • Vladimir Tokov (-500)
  • Aymard Guih (+375)

Guih has won three straight fights which includes one bout for Bellator 12 months ago where he defeated Chris Bungard via split decision.

However, Guih would go on to fight for the HMMA promotion in July 2021 and win via 2nd round TKO. Nine of his 15 pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of submission. He’s 6-6-1 when going the distance.

Bellator 269 features the two Tokov brothers with Vladimir competing on the prelims and Anatoly competing on the main card.

Vladimir has already competed in Bellator three times now and has posted a 2-1 record in those fights. He debuted in March 2019 to beat Ryan Walker via decision. He followed that up with another decision win over Brandon Hastings in October 2019.

His last fight came in August 2020 where he lost to Christopher Gonzalez via split decision. Three of his six pro wins have come via stoppage with two by way of submission. He’s 3-1 when going the distance.

Take this fight to go the full 15 minutes. Tokov has gone to a decision in three straight bouts. 13 of Guih’s 27 pro fights have gone to a decision.

As for the winner, Russia’s Tokov will pick up the unanimous decision victory. He’s simply the better overall fighter between the two.

Vladimir Tokov vs. Aymard Guih –Tokov (-500)

Darina Mazdyuk vs. Katarzyna Sadura

  • Darina Mazdyuk (-200)
  • Katarzyna Sadura (+160)

Poland’s Katarzyna Sadura makes her Bellator debut this weekend and hasn’t competed in almost two years. Her last fight was in December 2019 where she lost via 2nd round submission. Sadura is 2-4 in her last six pro bouts, which have taken place in different regional promotions.

Three of her four pro wins have come via stoppage with two by way of TKO/KO. She’s 1-0 when going the distance.

Darina Mazdyuk is 4-1 in MMA, but you might only know her by the video that went viral earlier this year when she beat a 529-pound man in a fight. That event caught the attention of Bellator’s brass and Darina was signed to the promotion.

Her last official MMA bout came in March 2020 where she won via unanimous decision. Two of her four pro wins have come via TKO/KO. She’s 2-1 when going the distance.

The logical choice for this contest is Mazdyuk to win. Sadura has been knocked out twice and I expect her to get TKO’d this weekend as well.

Darina Mazdyuk vs. Katarzyna Sadura –Mazdyuk (-200)

Irina Alekseeva vs. Stephanie Page

  • Irina Alekseeva (+120)
  • Stephanie Page (-150)

Irina Alekseeva, nicknamed “Russian Ronda,” will make her Bellator debut this weekend. She started off her career going 3-0 before losing in her last contest via decision which came in December 2019. She has two stoppage victories and is 1-1 when going the distance.

France’s Stephanie Page is also making her Bellator debut on Saturday in Moscow. Her last bout came in July 2021 and she lost via split decision for the HMMA promotion. The loss snapped a five fight winning streak.

Only one of her pro wins have come via stoppage. Page is 4-1 when going the distance.

The smart play is to take this bout going the full 15 minutes. Page has gone the distance in four straight fights. “Russian Ronda” has gone the distance in two of her last three bouts.

As for the winner, I like Page in this matchup. She’s the more experienced MMA fighter and has a better resume. Look for Page to dictate this fight on the feet.

Irina Alekseeva vs. Stephanie Page –Page (-150)

Brian Moore vs. Nikita Mikhailov

  • Brian Moore (+240)
  • Nikita Mikhailov (-300)

Ireland’s Brian Moore has been with Bellator for nearly five years and he’s posted a 5-3 record with the promotion. Moore enters this weekend’s bout on a three fight winning streak.

Over that span, Moore defeated Binh Son Le and Jordan Winski via decision. He also defeated Simone D’Anna via 2nd round KO. Moore’s last bout was against Winski in July 2021.

10 of his 14 pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of submission. He’s 4-4 when going the distance.

Nikita Mikhailov signed with Bellator in the spring of 2020 but has yet to compete for the promotion until now. The 22 year old Russian is a highly touted prospect that’s well ahead of his age. He’s also a former Russian Wushu-Sanda Cup champion.

Mikhailov was supposed to compete two times since his signing, but he was pulled both times due to injuries.

Nikita has won three straight fights including an impressive decision win over another standout prospect in Mukhammed Eminov. Two of his six pro wins have come via TKO/KO. He’s 4-0 when going the distance.

Like several other prelim bouts, I like for this contest to go the full 15 minutes. Mikhailov has gone the distance in three straight bouts, while Moore has gone to a decision in three of his last four fights.

This bout should be closer than what the online betting sites have it listed as. Yet, in the end, the favored Mikhailov will pick up the decision victory in his promotional debut.

Brian Moore vs. Nikita Mikhailov –Mikhailov (-300)

Grachik Bozinyan vs. Alexey Shurkevich

  • Grachik Bozinyan (+105)
  • Alexey Shurkevich (-135)

This bout was originally scheduled for Grachik Bozinyan to take on Ross Houston, but the latter was forced to pull out of the fight due to an undisclosed medical issue. Alexey Shurkevich agreed to replace Houston on one month’s notice.

Like his opponent, Shurkevich also hails from Russia. He’s won five straight bouts with four of them coming in 2021. His most recent contest was in July where he won via 2nd round TKO. Alexey has won three straight fights via TKO/KO.

This will be his Bellator debut. Nine of his 12 pro wins have come via stoppage with eight by way of TKO/KO. He’s 3-4 when going the distance.

Grachik Bozinyan is 6-2 in his last eight fights. He debuted for Bellator two years ago but lost to Austin Venderford via decision. Bozinyan bounced back in his next bout which took place in April 2021 where he beat Demarques Jackson via decision.

10 of his 11 pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of submission. He’s 1-1 when going the distance.

This is a tough fight to pick, which is also why sportsbooks have the odds listed so close to each other. When we have a coin-flip fight, I usually pick for the bout to go the distance. So, let’s play it safe and say this bout will head to the judges.

As for the winner, your guess is as good as mine. But, I’m leaning towards Alexey Shurkevich in this one. I like his striking skills and I think that will be the difference in this matchup.

Grachik Bozinyan vs. Alexey Shurkevich –Shurkevich (-135)

Aiden Lee vs. Alexander Osetrov

  • Aiden Lee (+170)
  • Alexander Osetrov (-210)

England’s Aiden Lee returns to action this weekend for the 5th time with Bellator. Currently, he’s 2-2 with the promotion and has won two of his last three fights.

Lee debuted in May 2019 and lost via decision to Saul Rogers. He followed that up with a submission win over Damian Frankiewicz and a 1st round KO over Jeremy Petley. However, Lee fell to Aaron Pico in June 2021 via 3rd round submission.

Seven of his nine pro wins have come via stoppage with five by way of submission. He’s 2-3 when going the distance.

Alexander Osetrov will make his Bellator debut on Saturday in front of his fellow countrymen. Osetrov has won three straight fights which have all come in 2021. His last two wins came via TKO/KO in two different regional promotions. Osetrov was also a longtime competitor for M-1.

Two of his eight pro wins have come via TKO/KO. He’s 6-0-1 when going the distance.

I think Aiden Lee is a live dog in this matchup and worthy of a very small flier. However, I do see Alexander Osetrov squeaking by with a decision victory. Seven of his 11 pro fights have gone the distance.

Aiden Lee vs. Alexander Osetrov –Osetrov (-210)

Gadzhi Rabadanov vs. Alexander Belikh

  • Gadzhi Rabadanov (-500)
  • Alexander Belikh (+375)

Belikh is 3-1 in his last four fights with those three wins coming in MFP. His most recent bout came for AMC 10 months ago where he lost via unanimous decision.

Belikh is a Russian fighter who’s never really fought in any promotions outside of his region. Five of his eight pro wins have come via stoppage with three by way of TKO/KO. He’s 2-2 when going the distance.

Gadzhi Rabadanov is the fighter to watch in this matchup. He’s also from Russia and is the former EFC lightweight champ.

Additionally, Rabadanov competed for PFL in 2019 where he won his fight. Unfortunately, he failed to make the featherweight limit in two different matchups and eventually left the promotion.

Rabadanov is 8-1 in his last nine fights including two straight victories. He made his Bellator debut in July and defeated Daniel Carey via 1st round KO.

11 of his 16 pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of TKO/KO. He’s 5-1-1 when going the distance.

Rabadanov is clearly the better fighter of the two. I was impressed with his outing in July where he crushed Carey. I don’t think he will finish this bout in the same timeframe as the last one, but I do like Rabadanov to pick up the stoppage victory.

Gadzhi Rabadanov vs. Alexander Belikh –Rabadanov (-500)

Bellator 269 Main Card (2 p.m. ET/ 11 a.m. PT, Showtime)

Anatoly Tokov vs. Sharaf Davlatmuraodov

  • Anatoly Tokov (-450)
  • Sharaf Davlatmuraodov (+350)

Sharaf Davlatmuraodov has won six straight fights and will make his Bellator debut on Saturday. He hails from Russia and is looking to pick up the biggest win of his career by taking out Tokov.

Davlatmuraodov fought twice in 2021 and won both via decision. He last competed in June for the OFC promotion. 13 of his 18 pro wins have come via stoppage with eight by way of TKO/KO. He’s 5-1-1 when going the distance.

Anatoly Tokov has won 22 of his last 23 fights including five in a row. All five of those victories have come in Bellator. It’s tied for the longest active winning streak in the middleweight division.

Tokov debut in February 2017 and beat Francisco France via 2nd round TKO. He’s also scored two submission wins over Vladimir Filipovic and Gerald Harris, a decision victory over Alexander Shlemenko and a 2nd round TKO win against Hracho Darpinyan.

His most recent fight was against Darpinyan in October 2019. 23 of his 29 pro wins have come via stoppage with 16 by way of TKO/KO. He’s 6-1 when going the distance.

I don’t see any other outcome other than Tokov having his hand raised. The only question is whether or not it’s due to a stoppage or a decision victory.

Let’s go with Tokov winning via TKO/KO as his striking skills are better than Davlatmuraodov.

Anatoly Tokov vs. Sharaf Davlatmuraodov –Tokov (-450)

Usman Nurmagomedov vs. Patrik Pietila

  • Usman Nurmagomedov (-2500)
  • Patrik Pietila (+1200)

This fight has the largest disparity in odds according to Bellator betting sites.

Finland’s Patrik Pietila is 3-4 in his last seven fights, but 2-1 in his last three. He made his debut for Bellator in September 2019, but lost via decision to Ryan Roddy.

Four of his 11 pro wins have come via stoppage with three by way of submission. He’s 7-6 when going the distance.

Usman Nurmagomedov is well-known for being the cousin of Khabib Nurmagomedov who has taken over as the coach after following in the footsteps of his late father. Usman believes that his cousin can go down as one of the best coaches ever:

“I believe that Khabib can definitely take that spot (as one of the best coaches ever). Whatever he’s putting his mind to, usually and normally, he achieves that. In this case, I definitely believe that he would be a better coach than he is a fighter.”

Usman made his Bellator debut earlier this year and defeated Mike Hamel via decision. His second bout came in July where he beat Luis Miro via 1st round TKO.

11 of his 13 pro wins have come via stoppage with eight by way of TKO/KO. He’s 2-0 when going the distance.

I don’t think this bout is going to be that competitive. The level of skills between these two fighters heavily favors Nurmagomedov. With that said, take Usman to pick up the stoppage victory most likely via TKO/KO.

Nurmagomedov vs. Patrik Pietila –Nurmagomedov (-2500)

Vitaly Minakov vs. Said Sowma

  • Vitaly Minakov (-300)
  • Said Sowma (+240)

Sowma rode a six fight winning streak into a deal with Bellator where he debuted a year ago. Unfortunately, he lost that fight to Tyrell Fortune via decision.

Sowma bounced back nicely with a crushing 1st round KO win over Ronny Markes in July 2021. The Suriname heavyweight has tallied four TKO/KO wins and is 2-1 when going the distance.

Vitaly Minakov is currently in his second stint with Bellator. His first run came in 2013-2014 where he was the Bellator heavyweight champion. Minakov has made it clear that he wants to win the title again:

“The main motivation in MMA is to come back fully into the organization and compete for the title. I have an interest in that… Today I realize clearly that I want to stay in this sport for some time. I’m not interested in doing it just for the sake of doing it. I want to get my belt back, especially since it’s changed in terms of design. I would like to get a similar belt for myself.”

Minakov’s lone professional loss came in his return to Bellator where he suffered a decision defeat to Cheick Kongo in February 2019. He followed that up with a 1st round KO win over Timothy Johnson who’s in the main event of this show.

20 of his 22 pro wins have come via stoppage with 13 by way of TKO/KO. He’s 2-1 when going the distance.

His six victories are tied for third all-time in the Bellator heavyweight division. He also has the second most KO’s in this division and the 4th most stoppages.

I believe we will see a slug fest in this heavyweight bout. In the end, I expect Minakov to put on a solid performance as he picks up the TKO/KO win.

Vitaly Minakov vs. Said Sowma –Minakov (-300)

Fedor Emelianenko vs. Tim Johnson

  • Fedor Emelianenko (+120)
  • Tim Johnson (-150)

Fedor Emelianenko returns to the cage for the first time since December 2019 when he bet Quinton Jackson via 1st round TKO. In fact, all five of his Bellator fights have ended in the 1st round.

He’s 3-2 in those contests with losses to Matt Mitrione and Ryan Bader. His wins were against Frank Mir, Chael Sonnen and Jackson.

Prior to his signing with Bellator in 2017, Fedor had won five in a row for notable promotions like M-1, Dream and Rizin.

30 of his 39 pro wins have come via stoppage with 15 apiece for TKO/KO and submission. He’s 9-0 when going the distance.

This weekend’s main event was chosen by Fedor himself. Bellator president Scott Coker gave him a list of potential opponents and let the Russian legend choose his challenger. Emelianenko commented on this process:

“Tim Johnson had quite a winning streak going on. That obviously shows he’s quite a good fighter… Aside from Tim Johnson, Dos Santos, for example, had a serious streak of losses alongside. He was also fighting for the UFC, as well. That is why I don’t think it would’ve been much suitable to fight him compared to Tim Johnson. Not to mention the fact that Bellator came up with a bunch of options and Tim was the obvious choice.”

I wouldn’t go that far in saying that Johnson had “quite a winning streak.” He had won three in a row against Tyrell Fortune, Matt Mitrione and Cheick Kongo, but lost in his last fight to Valentin Moldavsky in June 2021. He’s also just 3-3 in his last six bouts.

11 of his 15 pro wins have come via stoppage with eight by way of TKO/KO. He’s 4-3 when going the distance.

This bout will end in the first round. Fedor has had five straight fights end in the first five minutes while Johnson has had five of his last eight bouts end in the opening round.

As for the winner, I’m going with Fedor to win via TKO/KO. I’m a sucker for a happy ending and a victory by Emelianenko in front of his die-hard, loyal fanbase would be the ideal way for this show to end.

Fedor Emelianenko vs. Tim Johnson –Emelianenko (+120)
Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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