Bellator Birmingham: Primus vs Wilde Betting Preview, Odds, Full Card, Predictions

By in Sports & Betting on

On Saturday, May 4th, Bellator heads across the pond for its Bellator Birmingham: Primus vs Wilde event live from the Resorts World Arena in Birmingham, England. This card will be the second event in Bellator’s series of shows to take place in Europe, which is why some media outlets refer to the event as Bellator Europe 2.

The main event of the night is a lightweight battle between former champ Brent Primus and Tim Wilde. In addition to that fight, the main card will feature three more bouts and is set to begin at 5 PM ET. The prelim fights are set to begin at 2:30 PM ET and there are at least 12 fights scheduled for that portion of the event.

Unfortunately, MMA betting sites don’t have odds for the majority of this event. So, we will take a look at the limited odds that are available, explore previous odds for certain fighters, and KO our picks.

Brent Primus (8-1) vs Tim Wilde (12-3)

  • Tim Wilde (+255)
  • Brent Primus (-365)

Tim Wilde gets his first chance to fight for Bellator and it’s against the former lightweight champ. This is going to be a big step up in competition for Wilde, which is why oddsmakers have made Tim a large underdog. Wilde has won three straight fights over the last two years. He’s either scoring a KO/TKO against his opponent or going the distance and earning the decision win.

Brent Primus is a former champ having won the belt in June of 2017 in an upset victory over Michael Chandler. Unfortunately, the two fought again over a year later and Chandler got the UD win. With that said, Primus was 8-0 prior to the loss and is still considered a top contender in the division.

If Primus can win this fight, he will most likely be in line for a bigger fight with Ben Henderson later this year. The two were going to be matched up for Bellator 220, but Primus had some issues with the California Athletic Commission, which is where the event took place at. Instead of waiting, Henderson fought and defeated Piccolotti while Primus is the headliner for this UK event.

For this fight, I don’t see how Wilde has any chance at winning other than a lucky strike. Primus is the toughest competition Wilde has faced in his career and Brent is a better overall fighter. In all three of Wilde’s losses, he has been stopped. I believe that will happen in this fight as well.

I’m taking Primus to win via submission or TKO in this fight.

Bellator Bet: Brent Primus (-365)

Additional Main Card Fights

The following fights are scheduled for the main card, but as of this writing, they don’t have any betting odds:

Pedro Carvalho (9-3) vs Derek Campos (19-8)

This fight was originally scheduled to have Ryan Scope take on Derek Campos. Unfortunately, Scope pulled out due to injury. Pedro Carvalho agreed to replace Scope on three weeks’ notice.

Carvalho has gone 2-0 since joining Bellator and has been known to fight in both the lightweight and featherweight divisions. Five of his nine wins have come via submission.

Campos is a longtime vet with the promotion with his Bellator debut coming in 2012. He’s 8-6 overall with the company, but has dropped his last two fights. Both of those took place last year.

Over the last four years, Campos has gone 4-4 and has fought some of the company’s top fighters like Chandler, Girtz, Guillard, and Freire. During that span, Campos has been the betting favorite only three times. In his last fight, Campos was a big favorite at -475 odds. Unfortunately, he lost via SD.

I would expect Campos to be the betting favorite for this contest, but it should be closer than his last fight. As for the winner, I’m taking Campos to get back on track.

Winner: Derek Campos

Fabian Edwards (6-0) vs Falco Neto Lopes (11-9)

Lopes makes his Bellator debut on Saturday after fighting in numerous different promotions. Lopes has alternated between wins and losses over the last five years and last fought in June 2018. Falco is a hard hitter with some power has he’s scored seven KO/TKO wins out of 11 career victories. Unfortunately, he’s prone to fighters who are proficient on the ground. Lopes has suffered six submission losses in nine defeats. He’s also lost three times via KO/TKO.

Fabian Edwards is from Birmingham and will have the local crowd behind him. Edwards last fought in February when he defeated Lee Chadwick via UD. This is Fabian’s second fight with Bellator, but you might remember him more for his issues with Jorge Masvidal.

If you recall, UFC was in London on March 16th. The main event was England’s Darren Till taking on Jorge Masvidal. Jorge won that fight via KO, but the real excitement was backstage when Masvidal got into a fight with Leon Edwards. Jorge was doing an interview when Leon Edwards asked if they were fighting in July. Masvidal left his interview and went toward Edwards then threw two punches that cut Leon. Fabian was there with his brother and tried to attack Jorge after he threw the punches. Edwards had these harsh words for Masvidal:

“The thing that pissed me off about it was the way he walked over. He walked over calm; hands behind his back… And then he starts throwing punches knowing well that security was going to jump on it. I tried to smash his head in myself, but we had about 100 security guards between us, so I couldn’t get my hands on him. I probably won’t see him in the cage because he’s a different weight class to me, but if I see him outside, I’m smashing him. It’s personal now.”

As of this writing, there are no betting odds available for this matchup. But, in his last fight, Edwards was a huge favorite over Chadwick with odds as high as -900 at some online betting sites. He looked dominant in that fight, and I think he will dominate this one as well.

Bellator did a great job putting someone in there that Edwards can beat in front of his hometown fans. I’m taking Edwards to win via submission over Lopes.

Winner: Fabian Edwards

Raymond Daniels (0-1) vs Wilker Barros (0-0)

Wilker Barros, a fighter from England, is stepping in to replace Jon Durrant in this fight against Raymond Daniels. This will be Barros’ first professional fight and he’s getting this big chance in front of his fellow countrymen. Despite this being his first pro MMA fight, Barros has competed in other combat sports and has a record of 17-5-2.

Raymond Daniels has one MMA fight on his resume and it came in 2008. After that, Daniels shifted focus to kickboxing and became a star of the sport. Daniels competed in some of the top promotions around the world. He’s 8-0 under Bellator Kickboxing and holds the promotion’s welterweight title. Daniels’ professional resume is filled with championship belts and tournament wins. It’s been four years since he’s even suffered a loss in any discipline.

This fight is really difficult to predict. We’re basically looking at two rookies to the MMA structure. However, they both have fighting experience. If I had to guess, oddsmakers would list Daniels as the betting favorite.

For this fight, I’m taking Daniels to win via TKO. I believe he will be the better striker and I don’t believe that Barros will have success taking Daniels to the ground.

Winner: Raymond Daniels

Final Thoughts on Bellator Birmingham

Of the four major fight sports events this weekend (two boxing and two MMA), I would list this as the least exciting of the bunch. Alvarez vs Jacobs is easily the best event this weekend with the UFC coming in second. But this Bellator card lacks star power and interest. It also has no betting value, with most online betting sites not even offering odds for the majority of the fights. Bellator Birmingham is an event for the diehard Bellator fans. The rest of the fight sport fans will be tuning into the Alvarez vs Jacobs mega fight on DAZN. I certainly will be.

Full Bellator Birmingham Fight Card

  • Brent Primus (8-1) vs Tim Wilde (12-3)
  • Pedro Carvalho (9-3) vs Derek Campos (19-8)
  • Fabian Edwards (6-0) vs Falco Neto Lopes (11-9)
  • Raymond Daniels (0-1) vs Wilker Barros (0-0)
  • Saul Rogers (12-2) vs Aiden Lee (7-3)
  • Brian Moore (11-7) vs Binh Son Le (5-2)
  • James Mulheron (11-3) vs Lee Chadwick (24-14-1)
  • Jim Wallhead (30-11) vs Giorgio Pietrini (16-4-1)
  • Dominique Wooding (5-2) vs David Khalsa (2-3)
  • Craig Turner (6-0-1) vs Ashley Reece (7-1)
  • Kane Mousah (11-2) vs Mateusz Piskorz (13-4)
  • Dan Cassell (2-3-1) vs John Nicholls (4-2)
  • Mohammed Yahya (5-1) vs Gavin Hughes (9-1)
  • Yannick Bahati (8-4, 1 NC) vs Adis Dadovic (8-1)
  • Joseph Whelan (0-1) vs Simon Ridgway (0-0)
  • Domingos Barros (6-0) vs Robert Beech (4-2)
  • Akonne Wanliss (1-1) vs Sam Slater (2-1)
  • Kieran Lister (4-0) vs Constantin Gnusarev (1-0)
  • Raphael Uchegbu (0-0) vs Lee Percival (0-1)
Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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