Bellator Europe 5 and Bellator 230 Betting Odds, Cards and Picks

By in Sports & Betting on

On Saturday, October 12th, Bellator will be live from the Ex Palalido in Milan, Italy, for Bellator 230 and Bellator Europe 5, also known as Bellator Milan. Like with their Dublin show, this is one significant MMA event that will be divided into two separate streamed/televised programs.

The first show will be Bellator Europe 5, and it features a light heavyweight bout between Yannick Bhati and Melvin Manhoef. Will Manhoef add to his highlight reel? This event will consist of four fights and stream live on the Bellator app beginning at 5 PM ET.

The second show is Bellator 230, and that also features a light heavyweight battle between Rafael Carvalho and Vadim Nemkov. Carvalho is making his light heavyweight debut. This show will get taped delayed before streaming on DAZN and airing on Paramount beginning at 9 PM ET.

In total, there are nine fights for this entire MMA event from Milan, Italy. MMA betting sites have released odds for a few of the fights. Let’s take a look at the available Bellator betting odds and hopefully KO our picks.

Bellator Europe 5

The following betting odds are courtesy of 5Dimes:

Alessio Sakara (20-13) vs Canaan Grigsby (8-7)

  • Alessio Sakara (-600)
  • Canaan Grigsby (+400)

Grigsby is a large underdog in this contest and rightfully so. He’s lost two straight fights and three of his last four. Bellator 5 Europe will be his debut in the league and his first fight in 29 months. It’s been almost three years since he last won a fight. Seven of his eight pro wins have come via TKO/KO. However, that was against the lower-level competition.

Alessio Sakara is fighting for the first time in 2019 after losing his last bout 10 months ago. He’s just 1-2 in his previous three fights but will return to his home country of Italy for this contest. You can expect a rabid crowd cheering him on.

16 of his 20 pro wins have come via stoppage. 14 of those victories were by TKO/KO. Sakara is a dangerous striker and one that could end this fight quickly.

I don’t expect this bout to last past the 1st round. Both men will look to get the knockout, and I doubt that it will take long. Sakara is a huge favorite and he will send the Italian fans home happy with a TKO/KO victory in the 1st round over Grigsby.

Bellator Bet: Alessio Sakara (-600)

Melvin Manhoef (31-14-1) vs Yannick Bahati (9-4)

  • Melvin Manhoef (-210)
  • Yannick Bahati (+160)

In the main event of the Bellator Europe portion of the show, the 43-year-old Melvin “No Mercy” Manhoef takes on Yannick “Black Mamba” Bahati. The winner of this light heavyweight showdown could potentially move one step closer to a title shot.

Manhoef is a walking highlight reel when it comes to MMA knockouts. He has 28 TKO/KO victories over his lengthy career and hopes to score another one this weekend. Nevertheless, Bahati isn’t afraid of Manhoef’s power or striking prowess. In fact, Bahati believes he will expose Manhoef this weekend:

“A fight is a fight and Melvin is human, with two arms, two legs, so it ain’t no big deal. I believe his wrestling defense is very good, and he’s a (BJJ) brown belt, but I believe if the fight hits the floor, I’ll treat him like a white belt – that’s just the honest truth. I can expose him everywhere. I can expose him on the feet, and I can expose him on the floor. Plus, his gas tank ain’t the best. He’s only got one round in him.”

Bahati last fought in May and snapped a three-fight losing streak. It was his Bellator debut. Eight of his nine pro wins have come via stoppage. He does have two TKO/KO losses on his resume, as well.

As for Manhoef, he last fought in June and won via unanimous decision. That was his first fight in 26 months after losing two straight bouts to Rafael Carvalho, who is in the main event of the entire card. Manhoef’s last TKO/KO win came almost four years ago.

Bahati is worthy of a flier, in my opinion. He has the size and all-around skills to expose Manhoef if Melvin does indeed run out of gas. However, that is a big “if.” Bahati’s best option is to get the fight to the mat where Manhoef’s striking will be limited.

I think that Manhoef is overvalued here, and it’s hard to imagine that a 43-year-old still has the deadly knockout power of years past. His last fight ended in a decision, and I think this one will as well. The safe bet is on Manhoef, but Bahati is definitely flier worthy, especially if this fight ends up on the mat for large portions of the bout.

Bellator Bet: Melvin Manhoef (-210)

Bellator Europe 5 Quick Predictions

The other two fights scheduled for this event currently have no available odds:

Stefano Paterno (12-3-1) vs Ashley Reece (8-1)

This is going to be an exciting fight. Both men love to finish off their opponents, which means there should be plenty of fireworks in this contest.

Reece is from England and has won both of his Bellator fights, which took place in 2019. This is the 3rd time he steps inside the Bellator cage this year. Four of his eight wins have come via TKO/KO.

Paterno is from Milan, Italy, and will probably get the most significant crowd reaction of the night. He’s making his Bellator debut and hasn’t fought in a year. However, eight of his 12 pro wins have come via TKO/KO.

I’m taking Stefano Paterno to win in front of his hometown crowd in knockout fashion.

Kane Mousah (12-2) vs Rafael Macedo (9-4)

This fight was initially scheduled to take place between Mousah and Italy’s Daniele Scatizzi. However, Scatizzi suffered an injury and was removed from the card.

Macedo steps in on short notice and will make his Bellator debut this weekend. He hasn’t fought since some time in 2018, which doesn’t bode well for him against Mousah.

Kane Mousah made his Bellator debut in May and won. He doesn’t care who his opponent will be in Milan as he’s coming to win and move up in the lightweight division.

Mousah will have the height and reach advantage. He’s also been the more active fighter as well. I’m taking Kane Mousah to win this bout.

Bellator 230 Betting Predictions

The headliner for this event is a light heavyweight showdown between Rafael Carvalho and Vadim Nemkov.

Rafael Carvalho (16-3) vs Vadim Nemkov (10-2)

  • Rafael Carvalho (NA)
  • Vadim Nemkov (NA)

Vadim Nemkov is a rising star in Bellator’s light heavyweight division. He’s won five straight fights including all three under the Bellator banner. Additionally, Nemkov has defeated two former champs in Liam McGeary and Phil Davis.

He will now set his sights on former middleweight champ Rafael Carvalho in his first fight of 2019. The Emelianenko protégé has turned heads and is a legitimate threat to spoil Carvalho’s light heavyweight debut. Nine of his 10 pro wins have come via stoppage with eight by way of TKO/KO.

After losing his first pro fight, Carvalho won 15 straight contests, including his first six fights for Bellator and the promotion’s middleweight title. Unfortunately, he’s gone 1-2 in his last three fights, which included a TKO loss to Mousasi in May 2018 for the belt.

Carvalho last fought in July and won via unanimous decision. 12 of his 16 pro wins have come via TKO/KO. He will bring a muay thai style in this battle against Nemkov’s sambo background. Carvalho had the following comments about his upcoming figh:

“Preparation was great. Everything went according to plan. We sharpened our muay thai and put our wrestling and jiu-jitsu up to date. I’m ready for anything. This sambo vs. muay thai clash of styles will be interesting precisely because they are completely opposing styles. We’ll see how it pans out on fight night.”

I think it was a smart idea for Carvalho to go up to light heavyweight. He was having a difficult time cutting down to middleweight, and it seemed like his performances were hurting because of it. Unfortunately, he’s going up against a fighter with a lot of momentum.

I’ve gone back and forth on this fight, but I’m going to take Nemkov to win. I just think he’s firing on all cylinders right now, has a ton of confidence, and has already shown the ability to handle top-notch fighters in the division. Nemkov should win via decision.

Bellator Bet: Vadim Nemkov (NA)

Bellator 230 Quick Predictions

Bellator 230 consists of five fights, but the following four contests have yet to receive any odds from MMA betting sites:

Hesdy Gerges (0-1) vs Dragos Zubco (2-1)

This catchweight fight will take place at 243 pounds. Both men are international fighters with unimpressive records. Gerges has already fought in Bellator before, but this will be Zubco’s promotional debut.

This is the least exciting fight of the entire event. With that said, I’m going with Dragos Zubko to win just because I think he has a really cool name.

Kirill Sidelnikov (11-6) vs Domingos Barros (6-0)

Domingo Barros is an undefeated heavyweight who won his only Bellator fight, which came 10 months ago against the previously mentioned Hesdy Gerges. Barros is a heavy hitter with four TKO/KO wins in his short professional career.

Kirill Sidelnikov lost his Bellator debut 11 months ago and looks to get back on track this weekend. He hails from the same hometown as Feder Emelianenko but hasn’t come close to Fedor’s success. Seven of his 11 pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of TKO/KO.

Sidelnikov has suffered five TKO/KO defeats in his career, and I believe the 6th one will happen in Milan. I’m taking Domingos Barros to win via TKO.

Andrea Fusi (8-4) vs Walter Pugliesi (4-2)

Both fighters hail from Italy, which will make this fight a popular one with the fans. It’s also a rematch from their split decision bout 10 months ago.

This will be Fusi’s second fight with Bellator as he’s won three straight contests. His last bout came in May, and he won via submission. Five of his eight pro wins have come via stoppage.

Pugliesi has dropped two straight fights, which started with his loss to Fusi last year. He last fought in April for a regional promotion and lost via TKO in the 1st round. All six of his wins have come via stoppage.

I see no reason why this fight should end any differently than last time. I’m taking Andrea Fusi to win this bout via decision. I wouldn’t be surprised if he found a late-round TKO win along the way.

Nicolo Solli (2-0) vs Dan Cassell (4-3-1)

In the only prelim fight of the night, Italy’s MMA prospect Nicolo Solli takes on Dan Cassell in a lightweight showdown.

Cassell has gone 1-2-1 in his last fought fights spanning the last 20 months. He made his Bellator debut in May and won via TKO in the 1st round. He’s seven years older than his counterpart and will have the experience advantage in this bout.

Nicolo Solli debuted in Bellator five months ago and won via TKO in the 2nd round. Both of his pro fights have ended with stoppage victories.

This bout is set up for Solli to win as they gave him a beatable opponent. So, I’m taking Nicolo Solli to score a stoppage victory in front of his fellow countrymen.

Final Thoughts on Bellator Events

One again, I find myself getting irritated with how Bellator schedules their events. With that said, there’s some entertainment value with this split show from Milan.

I’m looking forward to seeing if Vadim Nemkov can win and put himself in line for a title shot against Bader or if Carvalho has found a new home.

I’m also interested to see if Manhoef can get another TKO/KO win. The Paterno vs Reece fight could be the most entertaining on the entire card. As for betting value, Bellator odds are very limited right now. Bahati is worthy of a flier, but there’s not many opportunities for making money.

Full Bellator Milan, Italy Card

The following lineup is according to Bellator.com:

Bellator 230 Card

  • Rafael Carvalho (16-3) vs Vadim Nemkov (10-2)
  • Domingos Barros (6-0) vs Kirill Sidelnikov (11-6)
  • Hesdy Gerges (0-1) vs Dragos Zubco (2-1)
  • Andrea Fusi (8-4) vs Walter Pugliesi (4-2)
  • Nicolo Solli (2-0) vs. Dan Cassell (3-3-1)

Bellator Europe 5

  • Melvin Manhoef (31-14-1, 2 NC) vs. Yannick Bahati (9-4, 1 NC)
  • Stefano Paterno (12-3-1) vs Ashley Reece (8-1)
  • Kane Mousah (12-2) vs Rafael Macedo (9-4)
  • Alessio Sakara (20-13, 2 NC) vs Canaan Grigsby (8-7)
Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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