Bellator London: MVP vs Melillo Betting Preview, Odds and Predictions

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On Saturday, November 23rd, Bellator will be live from The SSE Arena in Wembley, London, UK, for Bellator London: MVP vs Melillo also known as Bellator Europe 6 or Bellator London 2. The main event of the night is a welterweight clash between the popular Michael “MVP” Page and Giovanni Melillo.

In addition to the featured bout, Bellator London 2 will have two other main card fights including a middleweight battle between Michael Shipman and Fabian Edwards and a lightweight showdown between Terry Brazier and Soren Bak.

Bellator London: MVP vs Melillo is scheduled to have 18 total fights. A 15 fight preliminary card will begin at 11:30 AM ET and the three fight main card will start a 5:00 PM ET. The entire event can be seen on the Bellator app.

Sportsbooks that offer betting on MMA have released their odds for the Bellator London main card fights. Let’s step inside the betting octagon to examine these current Bellator lines courtesy of 5Dimes, identify possible betting value or upsets, and KO our picks.

Bellator London Main Card

As mentioned, the main card for this Bellator event only features the following three fights:

Terry Brazier (11-2) vs Soren Bak (13-1)

  • Terry Brazier (+120)
  • Soren Bak (-140)

Terry Brazier comes into this fight as the slight underdog and is 1-1 with Bellator. He lost his debut fight in February via 1st round submission, but bounced back in June to win via submission in the 3rd round over Botti.

Prior to joining Bellator, Brazier was a former two division champion with BAMMA and has the nickname “The Dominator.” Seven of his 11 pro wins have come via stoppage.

Brazier, a former paratrooper, is excited for his fight on Saturday as he takes on the talented grappler Soren Bak. Brazier had the following comments about his opponent in London:

“He’s a champion cage fighter and I’m a champion from BAMMA. This is the best show in Europe but I’m looking forward to fighting and beating him. He’s thought of as one of the best grapplers there’s been in MMA, whereas my strengths are boxing and striking. But I believe I’m better than him even if it goes to the ground. I don’t want to be playing into his strengths though so we’ll see what happens.”

Soren Bak is widely regarded as one of the top European MMA prospects and probably should’ve been snatched up by the UFC. Bellator is very fortunate to have this talented 27 year old who is dubbed “The True Viking.” However, that good fortune was largely due to the UFC dropping the ball during their negotiations with Bak:

“We had long talks with the UFC after my second Cage Warriors title was won in Denmark. A deal wasn’t done because the right offer was never presented to me. At first, I was quite disappointed that they didn’t give me a suitable contract as I definitely deserved a spot on that card. However, the UFC never sign very many local fighters and I think as a nation we were lucky to get two solid guys on that stage. The direction my career is going is different now and I think that is exciting.”

Bak will make his Bellator debut this Saturday and is on a five fight win streak. All five of those wins came with Cage Warriors promotion where he captured championships in the lightweight and featherweight divisions. Nine of his 13 pro wins have come via stoppage with seven by way of submission.

Bak is excited for this fight and feels that Brazier is a solid opponent who can springboard his run with Bellator as he looks to “climb the ladder as fast as possible.”

This bout is only the second of the year for Bak, but he has a lot of fans and pundits excited to see what he can do especially since he’s going up in weight for this battle.

I like Brazier and think that he’s a respectable talent, but from what I’ve seen of Bak, he possesses top notch grappling skills and should win this fight by taking his opponent to the ground and grinding out a victory. Bak’s -140 odds will probably go up as we get closer to fight night, so get these odds now while you can.

Bellator Bet: Soren Bak (-140)

Fabian Edwards (8-0) vs Mike Shipman (13-2)

  • Fabian Edwards (-325)
  • Mike Shipman (+265)

Mike Shipman makes his 4th appearance for Bellator this weekend after going 2-1 in the last three contests. He won his first two fights before dropping his last one to Costello van Steenis in June. It was a slight surprise as Shipman was picked to win by many.

All 13 of his victories have come via stoppage. Eight of those wins have come by way of TKO/KO. Four out of his last six victories have been via TKO/KO.

Fabian Edwards is the brother of UFC star Leon Edwards. Both brothers were involved in the highly covered backstage encounter with Jorge Masvidal earlier this year. Both men hate Masvidal and would love to fight him in a cage or out on the street. Leon will most likely get that chance sooner than later.

Edwards has gone 3-0 under the Bellator banner and has his eyes set on wiping out the division. His goal is to rise up the ladder quickly, get a big new contract next year, and take on the elite:

“After that, I’m gonna wipe out the Americans and these old legends. That’s the way I’m gonna chip away and forge my path to a world title shot. I don’t want to leave any doubt. By the time I beat the next two people, it will be time for my next contract. That will be the elite contract, on that contract I’ll be happy to fight the likes of (Gegard) Mousasi, that little juice head (Rafael) Lovato (Jr.) and all the rest of them.”

These are lofty aspirations for a very talented fighter. Nevertheless, Edwards has the skills and the support to become one of Bellator’s top stars in the future. That ascension begins this weekend when he wipes the mat with Shipman.

Edwards has a 5 ½ inch reach advantage and is the more polished grappler of the two. He also has solid knockout power and should be able to win this bout inside the distance. Although his odds aren’t appealing, he’s definitely a fighter to watch.

Bellator Bet: Fabian Edwards (-325)

Michael “MVP” Page (15-1) vs Giovanni Melillo (13-4)

  • Michael “MVP” Page (-1200)
  • Giovanni Melillo (+775)

This main event fight was originally scheduled to have MVP face Derek Anderson, but the latter was forced to withdraw from the bout due to an injury. Melillo replaces Anderson on a few weeks’ notice.

Giovanni Melillo has a tall task ahead of him both literally and physically. Not only is he taking on one of the best welterweights in the world, Page is also four inches taller.

Melillo is making his Bellator debut this weekend and it’s not looking good for the Italian according to most online betting sites. His +775 odds are the highest of any listed MMA fight this weekend. Melillo is 1-2 in his last three fights. However, he does have 10 stoppage victories in his career with eight by KO/TKO.

Michael “Venom” Page, also known as MVP, is an exciting fighter who took Bellator and MMA by storm. He went 10-0 in his first ten fights with the promotion before running into Douglas Lima who was on a mission from the MMA gods.

Lima defeated Page and then went on to defeat Rory MacDonald to win the welterweight grand prix and the Bellator welterweight championship belt. With that said, Page is eyeing a rematch against Lima sooner rather than later:

“It just made it more exciting that he actually got the belt. It just means there are two things I’ve got to look forward to when I beat him. The knockout [by Lima] was spectacular, but before any of that actually happened, I felt like I was dominating. I had just rocked him, even on the ground I nullified him, [but] when I hit him and saw his legs go, I kind of got overexcited. I know that I can beat him, so I just want to get it back.”

Despite his desire to knockout Lima, Page respects him as a man and a fighter. That’s something you can’t say about Page’s last opponent Richard Kiely who Page taunted before and after knocking him out.

As for the fight against Melillo, Page is an overwhelming favorite at -1200 odds. It’s the third time MVP has seen odds at the -1200 to -1250 mark. However, that’s not even the largest odds he’s had in his career. In 2015, Page was a -2100 favorite over Rudy Bears and a -2250 favorite over Charlie Ontiveros.

All four of Melillo’s losses have come via TKO/KO. You can bet that MVP will make it #5 this weekend. The only question is whether or not this fight will end in the 1st or 2nd round.

I’ve seen some Over/Under bets set at 1.5 rounds. If I were wagering on that, I would take the Under. For his career, MVP has 10 first round TKO/KO victories.

Bellator Bet: Michael Page (-1200)

Quick Bellator Europe 6 Prelim Predictions

Among the 15 scheduled prelim fights, there are a few bouts worth taking a quick look at:

Robert Whiteford (15-4) vs Sam Sicilia (17-10)

This featherweight clash features two MMA veterans who are also former UFC fighters.

Sam Sicilia spent five years with the UFC racking up a record of 5-7 inside the octagon. He parted ways with the promotion and signed with Bellator by the end of 2017. Since then, Sicilia has gone 2-2 with the company and is coming off a loss to Pedro Carvalho in September.

Although he’s no longer a divisional stalwart, Sicilia is still a rugged fighter and a tough out for anyone. 12 of his 17 pro wins have come via stoppage with eight by way of TKO/KO. Sicilia is also stepping in to replace Daniel Crawford on less than a month’s notice.

Whiteford spent three years with the UFC and compiled a record of 2-3 inside the octagon. His last two losses came via decision. After leaving the UFC, Whiteford joined ACB and went 3-0. Unfortunately, due to contractual issues Whiteford hasn’t fought in 18 months and actually retired because of it.

The Scottish fighter came out of retirement after he was able to clear up his contractual issues with ACB. He quickly signed with Bellator and is anxious to get back inside the cage. Eight of his 17 pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of TKO/KO.

I’m not sure Whiteford will get the stoppage in this fight, but I do believe he will win. I feel more comfortable with picking Whiteford by decision rather than a stoppage. 18 months between fights is a long time. When going the distance, Whiteford is 7-2 overall.

Bellator Bet: Robert Whiteford (NA)

Charlie Ward (7-3) vs Pietro Penini (8-1-1)

This fight was originally set to take place at Bellator Dublin in September, but it had to be rescheduled due to Ward suffering an injury.

Pietro Penini is making his Bellator debut this weekend in a middleweight clash against Ward. Penini has won two straight fights since a doctor stoppage led to the first loss of his career in March 2018. Five of his eight pro wins have come via stoppage. He’s a former champion in some of Italy’s regional promotions.

Charlie Ward is a teammate of Conor McGregor and is on a four fight win streak since leaving the UFC in July 2017. Ward has won all four of those fights under the Bellator banner and has already gone 2-0 this year. Five of his seven pro wins have come via TKO/KO.

Penini isn’t just a warm body for Ward to steamroll. I expect the Italian fighter to make this a competitive contest. With that said, Ward is the combatant to keep your eyes on here. He has potential to rise up the rankings in the division and this fight has been set up for Ward to accomplish just that. I’m taking Ward to win via TKO.

Bellator Bet: Charlie Ward (NA)

Final Thoughts on Bellator London: MVP vs Melillo

MVP has become a must see fighter even when he takes on glorified jobbers. I’m also interested in how good Edwards looks as he continues to rise up the food chain. Perhaps, the biggest interest for me is the debut of Soren Bak. Is he really as good as advertised? Brazier will test those claims this weekend.

Although there are limited betting options, MMA bettors can find some value in the opening fight on the main card. Otherwise, the other two fights offer no value at all and aren’t open to any possible upsets.

Bellator will have no competition from UFC this weekend. Yet, they hold an event that can’t be seen live throughout the United States unless fans use the Bellator app. That defeats the purpose of building your brand without the UFC overshadowing a fight card. Once again, their booking drives me crazy.

Full Bellator London Fight Card

The following Bellator London: MVP vs Melillo card is courtesy of MMAJunkie.com:

  • Michael Page (15-1) vs Giovanni Melillo (13-4)
  • Fabien Edwards (8-0) vs Mike Shipman (13-2)
  • Terry Brazier (11-2) vs Soren Bak (12-1)

Bellator Preliminary Card

  • Charlie Ward (7-3) vs Pietro Penini (8-1-1)
  • Denise Kielholtz (3-2) vs Sabriye Sengul (0-0)
  • Robert Whiteford (15-4) vs Sam Sicilia (17-10)
  • Alfie Davies (11-3) vs Alessandro Botti (16-9)
  • Walter Gahadza (18-4) vs Lewis Long (16-5)
  • Jeremy Petley (13-8-1) vs Tom Mearns (6-2)
  • Charlie Leary (16-10-1) vs Tim Wilde (13-4)
  • Chris Bungyard (14-5) vs Benjamin Brander (10-7)
  • Kent Kauppinen (11-5) vs Andrei Monzolo (22-6)
  • George Tokkos (4-0) vs Kevin Fryer (7-3)
  • Aiden Lee (7-4) vs Damian Frankiewicz (5-2)
  • Akonne Wanliss (2-1) vs Tim Barnett (7-3-1)
  • Raphael Uchegbu (1-0) vs Shane Campbell (0-0)
  • Nathan Rose (7-2) vs Harry Hardwick (3-2)
  • Charlotte McIntyre (0-0) vs Josie Blaber (1-0)
Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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