BetOnline’s odds boosters are back! This may not sound like a big deal, but over the weekend BetOnline, SportsBetting.ag, and other online betting sites under the same umbrella were shut down as a result of a massive cyberattack. The sites were offline for most of the weekend as a result of the attack, but as of Monday morning, they’re back in action.
Monday is a fairly light day on the sports betting calendar, but we do have a pair of NFL contests on tap. The Kansas City Chiefs will head to Buffalo to take on the Bills in a late-afternoon clash that had been originally scheduled for last Thursday, while the Arizona Cardinals will visit the Dallas Cowboys in the standard Monday Night Football affair. BetOnline’s daily odds boosters are all NFL today, so let’s jump right in!
The Kansas City Chiefs were surprised at home last Sunday when the Las Vegas Raiders came to town and handed them a rare defeat. The 40-32 loss was the Chiefs’ first since last November, and Kansas City will be looking to get back into the win column this week on the road.
Buffalo, meanwhile, was also beaten for the first time in their last game. The Buffalo Bills went to Nashville and were humbled by the Titans last Tuesday, 42-16. Buffalo turned the ball over three times while failing to force any takeaways of their own in the thorough thrashing, and they obviously face a tall order this week with the reigning Super Bowl champions coming to town.
The Bills’ defense is a serious source of concern right now, and it remains to be seen how they plan on dealing with Patrick Mahomes and KC’s vaunted offense. The Chiefs won’t have Le’Veon Bell or Sammy Watkins in the fold for this one, but between Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, and Mecole Hardman, Mahomes still has an embarrassment of riches with which to work.
The Chiefs are 4-1 on the year, with a 3-2-0 record against the spread. The 4-1 Bills are also 3-2-0 against the spread. Four of the Bills’ five games have gone over the over/under so far this season, while the Chiefs have gone over just twice in five outings.
Travis Kelce has found the end zone three times already this season, including a score in last week’s loss to Las Vegas. Last week’s game was Kelce’s first 100-yard effort of the young season, but he still leads the team in targets by a wide margin. Kelce has been targeted by Mahomes 46 times to this point, which puts him 11 ahead of the next-most-popular option (Tyreek Hill) in the passing game.
The Bills have been one of the stingiest defenses in the league against opposing tight ends. Of course, it’s also worth noting that they have faced the Jets, Dolphins, Rams, Raiders, and Titans to this point. The Raiders’ Darren Waller is the closest thing to an elite pass-catching tight end that they have faced to this point, and they were able to keep him out of the end zone back in Week 4.
Kelce has the second-best odds to be the first touchdown scorer in this game, trailing only Edwards-Helaire (+550). The first scorers in each of the first five games of the season for the Chiefs have been Edwards-Helaire, Kelce, Mahomes, Hill, and Mahomes again.
The Dallas Cowboys will host the Cardinals in the originally-scheduled Monday night affair. This has all the makings of a high-scoring game. It’s being played in a dome, which is something that tends to lead to better offensive output, and these have been two of the worst defensive teams in football this season. The Cardinals and Cowboys both also happen to rank among the league leaders in offensive pace, so we should have an old-fashioned Texas shootout tonight.
The Cowboys will be shorthanded, of course, Dak Prescott suffered a brutal season-ending injury last week against the Giants, which means Andy Dalton will take over in his place. Dalton has been a serviceable starter in this league for a long time, though, so Dallas is in good hands. Not every team has a backup like Dalton with a lengthy track record of success, so Dallas really shouldn’t miss a beat here.
That said, we can once again expect a heavy dosage of Ezekiel Elliott. Elliott has touched the ball 113 times this season, which ranks third in the league behind Cincinnati’s Joe Mixon (140) and Las Vegas’ Josh Jacobs (121). Zeke has already found the end zone six times through five games, with the Week 4 loss to the Browns being the only contest in which he has failed to score thus far.
Elliott has been the Cowboys’ first touchdown scorer in four of the five games to this point. However, the Cowboys haven’t actually scored the first touchdown in any of those games, as they have played from behind literally every week so far. Dallas is just a one-point favorite at home tonight, so oddsmakers aren’t overly optimistic about Dallas’ chances of winning a laugher.
I don’t typically like siding with the “first touchdown scorer” props considering there is quite a bit of randomness involved there, but we only have so many options today.
I do like the Chiefs to cover the spread in Buffalo on Monday, as detailed here, but the over on 57.5 points is tricky.
That’s one of the highest totals we’ve seen in a game all year long, and it’s certainly warranted considering these have been two of the most prolific offenses in football all season. The +300 odds in combining the results are favorable enough, so I’ll endorse the Chiefs covering plus the over on 57.5 here.
Of the two first touchdown props, I prefer Zeke (+500) to Kelce (+800). Elliott is one of the most heavily-involved players in all of football, and it wouldn’t be a shock to see the Cowboys focus more on the rushing attack with their backup quarterback in there. Dalton is fully capable of putting up big numbers in this spot, but Elliott has the best odds of any player to score today. Zeke is at -335 to score a touchdown at any point tonight, which puts him well in front of Kelce (-125).
If you’re looking for a bit more upside, take a stab at Elliott scoring the first touchdown of Cowboys-Cardinals at +500. If you’re looking for a slightly safer option, bet on the Chiefs to cover plus the over on 57.5 points in the afternoon game.
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