Betting on a Game of Thrones Prequel and Other HBO GOT Spinoffs

By in Industry Insight on
8 Minute Read

After eight drama-filled seasons, the massively popular Game of Thrones came to a highly anticipated conclusion. Unfortunately, it wasn’t as fulfilling as many had hoped it would be. In fact, there was a groundswell of backlash and disappointment over the series finale. In the following days, the GOT cast members and HBO executives came out to defend the show’s final episode. Despite their best efforts, the Game of Thrones series finale will be largely considered as a letdown.

Once the dust settled on the emotional fallout from an unsatisfying conclusion, all attention has been turned toward the rumored GOT spinoffs. Entertainment betting sites are jumping on board this buzz, as they’ve listed numerous entertainment prop bets to wager on. So, unlike the GOT series finale, let’s see if we can come to a fulfilling conclusion on these Game of Thrones bets and make some money.

What Spinoffs Are in the Works?

A little over two years ago, it was announced that Song of Ice and Fire author George R.R. Martin was working with four different scripts for a potential Game of Thrones spinoff. HBO has been on board this spinoff process the entire time, as they would be smart to capitalize on a cultural phenomenon. At the time of the series finale, it was reported that the number of scripts had increased to five. However, Brutal Spy reports that HBO President of Programming Casey Bloys clarified the network’s vision for a spinoff:

“The idea is not to do four shows [or five, as we now know]. The bar set by [showrunners David Benioff and DB Weiss] is so high that my hope is to get one show that lives up to it.”

Network and media executives linked to the GOT franchise are carefully exploring how best to expand on the show’s success without killing the “golden goose.”

One of the productive steps already taken has been the decision to do a prequel instead of a sequel. Author George R.R. Martin stated that all of the potential shows are prequels:

“Every one of the concepts under discussion is a prequel, rather than a sequel. Some may not even be set on Westeros. Rather than ‘spinoff’ or ‘prequel’, however, I prefer the term ‘successor show’. That’s what I’ve been calling them.”

At the beginning of May, Martin further clarified that only three of the five shows have moved forward in development while one of them will actually be shooting in late 2019:

“We have had five different GAME OF THRONES successor shows in development (I mislike the term “spinoffs”) at HBO, and three of them are still moving forward nicely. The one I am not supposed to call THE LONG NIGHT will be shooting later this year, and two other shows remain in the script stage, but are edging closer.”

Now that we have set the table on which shows are currently in the works, let’s take a look at the following Game of Thrones prop bets courtesy of BetOnline:

Will a Game of Thrones Prequel Air in 2020?

  • Yes (+150)
  • No (-200)

Entertainment betting sites believe that a prequel won’t air in 2020, even with the news that a show is shooting later this year. I believe the big issue with this prop bet is that a pilot hasn’t even been shot yet. There are reports that HBO ordered at least one script to have a pilot shot. Currently, that script doesn’t have an official name yet. Some sources say the title is Bloodmoon, while other sources call it The Long Night.

One thing is for sure, this script will be set thousands of years in the past. Long before any of the recent Game of Thrones stars and storylines. HBO released the following synopsis of the show:

“Taking place thousands of years before the events of Game of Thrones, the series chronicles the world’s descent from the golden Age of Heroes into its darkest hour. From the horrifying secrets of Westeros’s history to the true origin of the White Walkers, the mysteries of the East to the Starks of legend, only one thing is for sure: It’s not the story we think we know.”

Naomi Watts has already been signed to this prequel. In addition to Watts, another dozen actors have come on board for shooting this prequel. In addition to Martin, Jane Goldman is also behind the prequel.

Since a pilot won’t be shot until later this year, it’s hard to imagine that filming an entire season won’t be completed until at least the spring of 2020. That’s if HBO is happy with the pilot. They could want creative tweaks which would push a series debut even further back.

More than likely, if the series is completely shot, edited, and all other post-production tasks are taken care of, then I don’t see this prequel airing on HBO until 2021. Game of Thrones first debuted on April 11, 2011. I can see the prequel debuting in April 2021. And guess what? The 11th falls on a Sunday in April of that year. Wouldn’t that be cool to have the prequel debut on the same date of the original show’s debut, just 10 years later?

For this bet, go with “No.”

GOT Bet: No (-200)

Will Night King Be Featured in First Episode of Prequel?

  • Yes (-165)
  • No (+125)

What better way to get fans immersed into a new series than by debuting the origin or early stages of one of GOT’s most popular characters? According to oddsmakers, an appearance from the Night King is likely to happen in the prequel’s first episode. But there should be some caution toward expectations of seeing this awesome character.

The Night King was originally a man who was captured by the Children of the Forest and turned into the first White Walker by having a knife made of dragon glass plunged into his chest. He, along with other White Walkers, were created to defend the Children of the Forest from the invasion of the First Men into Westeros. Unfortunately, the White Walkers would turn on the Children of the Forest and slaughter them. They would then turn their attention to the rest of mankind before being defeated in a great battle and retreating to the Lands of Always Winter. Eventually, the Night King and his armies would set out to conquer the world.

In this prequel, we will most likely see a different version of the Night King. In fact, we might even see the man before he became the monster. Or we can get an early version of the Night King that wasn’t as much of a killer as he was in the GOT series. Either way, don’t expect to see the same Night King in the first episode of any prequel.

GOT Bet: Yes (-165)

Will HBO Air a Game of Thrones Spinoff of Arya Stark in 2021?

  • Yes (+200)
  • No (-300)

From the beginning of the series until the end, the journey of Arya Stark was one of the most compelling storylines on Game of Thrones. Her journey, from life to embracing death to becoming a vehicle for death, was captivating and it paid off in the most spectacular way possible when she killed the Night King.

Although the story continued, the epitome of Arya’s transformation from a scared little girl to the killer of the Night King was one of the most significant moments in the show’s history. Unfortunately, this awesome character isn’t in line to get her own spinoff. HBO’s Programming head honcho Casey Bloys put a dragon dagger into the hopes of fans everywhere as he shot down any ideas of a spinoff about Arya:

“Nope, nope, nope. I don’t want to take characters from this world that they did beautifully and put them off into another world with someone else creating it.”

Out of all of the main characters on the show, the series finale left us wanting to know more about Arya than anyone else. She asked Jon Snow, “What’s west of Westeros?” Then, she decided that her path was to explore those uncharted territories. And why not? She already faced death and defeated the Night King. Hopping on a ship and exploring the unknown is just another example of this character’s awesome qualities.

That’s also what makes it incredibly disappointing that HBO won’t even explore the possibility of a spinoff involving Arya. From the moment she killed the Night King to her attempts to leave the city when fire was raining down, and to her sailing off into the unknown, millions of fans have shouted their desire to see more of Arya.

For this bet, it’s going to be “No.” HBO is intentionally dropping the ball on a potentially lucrative endeavor.

GOT Bet: No (-300)

Will HBO Air a Game of Thrones Spinoff of Jon Snow in 2021?

  • Yes (+200)
  • No (-300)

Until the last few episodes of the series, Jon Snow was my favorite character. However, Arya’s ascension to all-time greatness really became the best character in terms of development. Nevertheless, Snow was still involved in the most crucial aspect of the series finale, the killing of Daenerys. He stabbed her and prevented her from ruling the Seven Kingdoms with the same craziness that the “Mad King” did.

When we last saw Mr. Snow, he was leaving his banishment to Castle Black and leading the free folk back into the forest. He successfully defended the living, ended a potential tyranny, and brought the story full circle from the creation of the Night King by the Children of the Forest to returning mankind into the forest.

Of all of the characters, Snow got a symbolic and peaceful conclusion to his story. For me, I don’t see any reason why they should do a Jon Snow show. There’s not much left for us to watch. In fact, some could say that Game of Thrones was already a Jon Snow show. Unlike Arya, as her character continued to evolve, Jon Snow has appeared to reach his final destination symbolically and in the storyline.

For this bet, it’s “No.”

GOT Bet: No (-300)

Final Thoughts on GOT and Its Spinoffs

I did not like the series finale for Game of Thrones. And no matter what the cast or executives from HBO say, the show did not have a satisfying conclusion. In other words, the payoff wasn’t worth the wait. The best part of the series finale was Arya Stark sailing off into the unknown, which is why she deserves her own spinoff.

With that said, I like the idea of a prequel if they start around the time of the Night King’s creation. Otherwise, I’m not sure the show will live up to the anticipation from GOT fans starving for a return to this fantasy world.

For these Game of Thrones prop bets, there are some opportunities to make money. They also represent opportunities for enjoyment if any of the shows air on HBO.

Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

View all posts by Rick Rockwell
Email the author at: [email protected]