Buffalo Bills’ Super Bowl Odds Improve After Trades and Brady Leaving

By in NFL on
6 Minute Read
tom-brady-out-helps-bills-1

As the NFL is about to begin its new league year and the Free Agency period, the Buffalo Bills have created quite the buzz with a flurry of moves that have some pundits believing that Buffalo could be a dangerous team in 2020.

Combining Buffalo’s strong team with the news that Tom Brady will not return to New England this year, not only are NFL analysts jumping on board the Bills bandwagon, but NFL betting sites are starting to adjust Buffalo’s chances of winning Super Bowl 55 as well.

Buffalo’s Busy Offseason

Last season, the Buffalo Bills finished 10-6 and went to the Playoffs for the second time in three years under the Beane-McDermott regime. So, they’re a winning team with postseason experience and a strong foundation to build off of. And, that’s exactly what GM Brandon Beane has done this offseason.

That process started with addressing the offensive line by re-signing starting left guard Quinton Spain and backup lineman Spencer Long. Then, the Bills went and re-signed TE Jason Croom, WE Robert Foster, and restricted TE Tyler Kroft’s deal.

Defensively, the Bills made several key moves. They brought back their #2 corner in Levi Wallace for another season along with signing free agent Josh Norman to compete for that spot.

In free agency, the Bills also added linebacker A.J. Klein who will be a starter, Mario Addison who will start at defensive end, and LB Tyler Matakevich who could end up as a Special Teams captain.

But, the biggest splash by the Bills was the trade for wide receiver Stefon Diggs from the Minnesota Vikings. The Bills gave up 1st, 5th and 6th round draft picks this year and a 4th round draft pick next year for Diggs and a 2020 7th round draft pick.

Diggs is a top tier talent at the wide receiver position and gives the Bills a true #1 receiver. He will also solidify Buffalo’s top trio of receivers, along with John Brown and Cole Beasley, as one of the best in the conference.

This trio of receivers, combined with solid playmakers at the tight end position, a strong offensive line, and a solid young running back in Devin Singletary, has many fans and pundits excited over Buffalo’s chances in 2020.

Super Bowl 55 Betting Odds

The following Super Bowl betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

  • Kansas City Chiefs (+700 )
  • Baltimore Ravens (+900)
  • San Francisco 49ers (+1000)
  • New Orleans Saints (+1200)
  • Dallas Cowboys (+2200)
  • Philadelphia Eagles (+2200)
  • New England Patriots (+2500)
  • Seattle Seahawks (+2500)
  • Green Bay Packers (+2800)
  • Buffalo Bills (+3300)
  • Indianapolis Colts (+3300)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3300)
  • Tennessee Titans (+3300)
  • Cleveland Browns (+4000)
  • Las Vegas Raiders (+4000)
  • Los Angeles Chargers (+4000)
  • Minnesota Vikings (+4000)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (+5000)

It’s clear that these aren’t all of the NFL teams, but this list represents the half of the league that has the most realistic chances of winning the Super Bowl.

For Buffalo, BetOnline lists them at +3300 to win Super Bowl 55. This is an improvement from the +4000 line that Buffalo was listed at following Super Bowl 54 where the Kansas City Chiefs defeated the San Francisco 49ers. As you can see, the Chiefs and 49ers are still two of the favorites to win SB LV.

Other online betting sites have bumped the Bills SB odds up even more. Bovada has Buffalo listed at +2000 after the news of Brady’s departure from the Patriots and the moves that the Bills have made this offseason.

As for the Las Vegas sportsbooks, ESPN reported that Buffalo’s Super Bowl LV odds have improved from 35-1 to 28-1.

If you are inclined to wager on Buffalo winning the Super Bowl next year then I suggest hopping on the odds right now because they’re only going to keep shrinking. Buffalo at +3300 might be the last time we see them listed this high.

The team still has plenty of draft picks this for the 2020 NFL Draft and over $46 million in salary cap space to continue making moves this offseason.

Does Tom Brady Leaving Open Up AFC East for Buffalo?

In addition to all of the “free agent frenzy,” Tom Brady has announced that he will be leaving the New England Patriots after 20 seasons with the team.

The Patriots have had a stranglehold on the AFC East since Brady became the starting QB. New England has won 16 of the last 17 AFC East titles including 11 in a row. With Brady’s departure, the door has opened for Buffalo to ascend to the throne.

NFL betting websites like BetOnline have adjusted their odds on each team’s chance of winning the AFC East. Surprisingly, the sports betting site still believes that New England will win the division in 2020:

  • New England Patriots (-110)
  • Buffalo Bills (+175)
  • New York Jets (+650)
  • Miami Dolphins (+1000)

In addition to losing the team’s heart and soul in Tom Brady, New England has also lost two key defensive stalwarts in Kyle Van Noy and Jamie Collins. The Dolphins swooped in and signed Van Noy while Collins signed with the Lions.

These are three players that were major contributors to the team. So, not only did the Patriots go out with a whimper last year in the Playoffs, but their “lack of talent” on offense is going to be exposed even more without Brady and a dominating defense.

At the time of this writing, the Patriots don’t have a realistic starter for QB either. There are rumors of New England being interested in Andy Dalton and Cam Newton. But, even those two players won’t make this team a Playoff threat. If Brady couldn’t do it with a better team last year then nobody else at QB will do it this year.

Avoid the Jets and Dolphins as well. Both teams are still rebuilding and appear to be a few steps away from competing for a divisional crown. Although, I do like Miami’s aggressiveness in the offseason as they’re adding plenty of talent prior to the Draft, which they have multiple 1st round picks.

Whether it’s by default or because of the talent on their roster, the Buffalo Bills are a great choice for this prop bet. They bring back a Playoff roster with several key additions.

New England is going to take a major step backwards. The Jets and Dolphins don’t have teams as good as Buffalo right now. At +175 odds, this value is too good to pass up. Plus, I see these odds getting worse as the offseason progresses.

And, if that wasn’t enough to convince you, reports have come out that the Buffalo Bills beat the Patriots in trading for Stefon Diggs. New England was aggressively pursuing the receiver as well. It could be another sign that the writing is on the wall for the Patriots’ divisional reign.

AFC East Bet:Buffalo Bills (+175)

Buffalo Bills Win Total for 2020

  • Over 8.5 wins (-105)
  • Under 8.5 wins (-125)

Following Super Bowl 54, the Buffalo Bills received an Over/Under win total of 8.5 by SportsBetting.ag. Last season, Buffalo had an O/U of 7.5 wins and they easily exceeded that by tallying 10 victories in 2019.

I expect the Bills to hit the 10 win mark again this season and possibly even get to 11 or 12 victories. This team has improved greatly during the offseason and the rest of the competition in the AFC East is beatable. I’m not saying Buffalo will run the table in the division, but 5-1 is certainly possibly.

With an improved offense, along with one of the league’s best defenses, Buffalo isn’t just a threat for the AFC crown, they’re also a threat in the conference to the Kansas City Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans.

Buffalo Bills’ Win Total:Over 8.5 (-105)
Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

View all posts by Rick Rockwell
Email the author at: [email protected]