On Sunday, February 2nd, the biggest annual sporting event in the world takes place as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 54.
The San Francisco 49ers (15-3) pummeled their opponents in the Playoffs to win the NFC Conference and earn a spot in the Super Bowl. The 49ers boast of an elite defense and a dominating running game that has shredded opposing defenses. Will San Francisco be able to beat up the Chiefs like they did the Vikings and Packers?
Kansas City (14-4) started off slow in both of their Playoff games before putting their foot on the gas pedal and scoring a total of 86 points in two games. QB Patrick Mahomes looks unstoppable in the postseason and is the key to victory for KC. Can the Chiefs offense put up 30+ points against the talented 49ers defense?
Super Bowl 54 will be played at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida, with a kickoff time of 6:30 PM ET on FOX.
Kansas City vs San Francisco Super Bowl 54 Preview
These two teams have played against each other 13 total times with the 49ers holding the advantage at 7-6. However, it’s the Chiefs who have had the most recent success as they’ve won 3 of the last 4 meetings and 5 of the last eight.
Their last matchup was in September 2018 and it was the Chiefs that won at home by the score of 38 to 27.
Kansas City Chiefs Playoff History
The Chiefs enter the Super Bowl with a less than stellar all-time Playoff record. They currently sit at 12-19 overall. However, they’ve won three of their last four games and have made it to two straight AFC Championship games.
This is the 1st time the Chiefs have made the Super Bowl in 50 years. Kansas City went to two of the first four Super Bowls and split their appearances. The Chiefs won Super Bowl IV against the Vikings by the score of 23 to 7.
San Francisco 49ers Playoff History
Unlike the Chiefs, San Francisco has a superior postseason record as they’ve gone 33-21 in their 54 appearances. The 49ers made the Playoffs for the first time in six seasons and steamrolled over the Vikings and Packers on their way to SB 54.
San Francisco is 6-2 in their last eight Playoff games including two NFC Championship wins that bumped their record to 7-9 in Conference title games. The 49ers are 5-1 in Super Bowl games, but lost in their last appearance which was Super Bowl XLVII against the Baltimore Ravens.
Chiefs vs 49ers Betting Preview
The Chiefs opened as a one point favorite with most NFL betting sites. The spread rose as high as 1.5 points before settling back down at 1 point in favor of Kansas City. The Over/Under opened at 51.5 points before quickly moving up to 52.5 points. It continued to rise and sits at a current O/U of 54.5 total points.
The 49ers opened as a slight underdog with a moneyline of +100. They currently sit within a range of +100 to +110 odds with most sports betting websites. The Chiefs opened as the slight favorite at -118 odds and can be found at a range of -105 to -125 odds.
Head to Head Betting Trends
The Chiefs a 4-3 SU in last seven meetings.
KC is 5-2 ATS in last seven matchups.
The Over is 4-3 in the last seven contests between these teams.
The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in last five games against KC.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
8-0 ATS in last eight games.
13-5 ATS this season.
11-4 ATS ad 12-3 SU as the Favorite.
14-4 SU in last 18 games against the NFC West.
12-4 ATS in last 16 grass games.
5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS vs Winning teams in 2nd half of season.
The Over is 5-1 in last six games against the NFC.
The Over is 13-7 in last 20 games on a Sunday.
San Francisco 49ers Betting Trends
6-2 ATS in last eight games.
6-1 ATS in last seven games against the AFC.
4-0 ATS in last four games as the Underdog.
2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS versus the AFC West.
8-2 ATS and 8-2 SU versus winning teams.
The Over is 8-4 in last 12 games.
Free Super Bowl 54 Bet and Game Prediction: Over 54.5 Points
It’s refreshing to see a Super Bowl where the New England Patriots aren’t in it. This year, not only do we get two different teams, but we get a great matchup between an elite defense versus and elite offense.
Additionally, we will also see what might be the first of many Super Bowl appearances by Chiefs’ quarterback Patrick Mahomes who is the consensus choice for the best QB in the NFL.
As for betting on Super Bowl 54, I believe the smart play is on the Over as I see these teams combining to score over 54.5 total points.
Here are the key matchups and trends that I believe will push the game total Over 54.5 points:
Two High Scoring Offenses
During the regular season, these were two of the Top 5 scoring offenses in the NFL. Surprisingly, it was the 49ers and not the Chiefs that scored more points per game.
San Francisco finished the regular season as the 2nd ranked scoring offense in the NFL as they averaged 29.9 ppg. That was 3.3 ppg behind the Ravens who led the league. The Chiefs finished 5th overall with an average of 28.2 ppg.
However, the Chiefs might have been higher if Mahomes played all 16 games. The young Chiefs QB missed a few games due to injury.
In the postseason, the Chiefs stepped up their offensive output as they averaged 43 ppg. KC put up 51 points against the Texans and 35 points against the Titans. And, they accomplished those scores by only putting up seven total points in the 1st quarter of both games.
The 49ers scored 32 ppg in their two Playoff contests against the Vikings and the Packers. They probably could’ve put up more points against the Packers, but really just ran out the clock as they were up 34 to 7 at the end of the 3rd quarter.
With that in mind, these two teams combined to average 58.1 ppg in the regular season and 75 ppg in the Playoffs. I expect the high scoring to continue in the Super Bowl as each of them will surpass their season averages.
The Chiefs Score Quickly
The Chiefs were the 5th highest scoring offense, but the 20th ranked offense in time of possession (TOP) as they averaged 29:27 TOP per game. Out of the Playoff teams, only the Vikings and the Titans had comparable points per games with less time of possession.
Once the Playoffs arrived, the Chiefs averaged 43 ppg and did so with just a 27:07 time of possession.
In the Divisional Round matchup against the Texans, KC put up 51 points on a staggering 25:25 time of possession. Not one scoring drive against the Texans took more than three minutes and 55 seconds. This further proves that the Chiefs don’t need the ball long to score.
In comparison to the 49ers, they scored 29.9 ppg during the regular season and did so with the 5th highest time of possession in the league at 31:37 TOP per game.
In the Playoffs, the 49ers dominated the TOP battle as they averaged 33:37 TOP per game. Against the Vikings in the Divisional Round, San Francisco had the ball for a whopping 38:27 TOP.
Even if the 49ers hold the ball that long in the Super Bowl, the Chiefs can still put up plenty of points to help this game hit the Over.
49ers Will Run up and Down Field on KC
A major reason why the 49ers were able to control the clock was due to their physical running game. San Francisco pummeled the Vikings with their rushing attack by racking up 186 yards on the ground.
However, if you thought that was bad, what they did to the Packers in the NFC Championship game should’ve been criminal. San Francisco assaulted Green Bay on the ground to the crime of 285 rushing yards. Mostert ended up with 220 rushing yards and 4 TDs.
During the regular season, the 49ers finished as the second best rushing attack behind the vaunted Ravens dual threat run game. San Francisco ended up averaging 144.1 rushing ypg. As you can see, they easily eclipsed that in the Playoffs with an average of 235.5 ypg.
San Francisco will now get to face the 7th worst rush defense during the regular season as they allowed 128.2 rushing ypg. Now, I don’t believe the 49ers will crush the 200 mark like in the NFC title game, but 185 yards is definitely doable against a Chiefs defense that held Derrick Henry to just 69 yards in the AFC Title game.
Betting Trends Favor the Over
For the Chiefs, the Over has hit in 3 straight games including both Playoff games. Depending on the NFL betting site, the Over has gone 5-1 in the 49ers last six games and 4-1-1 at worse.
For the Chiefs, the Over continues to be appealing as it’s gone 5-1 in their last six games against the NFC. The Over is also 13-7 in their last 20 games played on a Sunday.
In head to head action, the Over is 3-1 in their last four meetings. Those four contests saw the Chiefs surpass 31 points on three occasions.
One Last Reason to Go With the Over
These two teams are so close on paper that it’s hard to choose which one will win. By wagering on the Over, you won’t have to worry about a winner or a loser, just that the two teams keep scoring.
I believe the Chiefs will win due to Patrick Mahomes and I can see a final score of 34 to 31 as they kick a last minute field goal to win the game.
What About Wagering on Super Bowl 54 Prop Bets?
Before you head off to your favorite online betting site to bet on the Super Bowl, you might want to consider also wagering on some of the prop bets available for this big game.
If you are waiting until the final moments before the game kicks off to wager on the Super Bowl then perhaps, you should consider placing a bet on one of our five last minute prop bets.
If you feel overwhelmed by the thousands of prop bets available then you should first come up with a game plan before wagering. Do you want to place a wager on a prop that’s for on-field production like most passing yards or a prop that has to do with something like the National Anthem?
And, if you like to walk on the wild side or “crazy” is your middle name, then check out our list of the craziest Super Bowl 54 prop bets that you can actually wager on. From bare breasts and scandals to cross sport props and more.
As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...
The information found on Gamblingsites.org is for entertainment purposes only. It is a purely informational website that does not accept wagers of any kind. Although certain pages within Gamblingsites.org feature or promote other online websites where users are able to place wagers, we encourage all visitors to confirm the wagering and/or gambling regulations that are applicable in their local jurisdiction (as gambling laws may vary in different states, countries and provinces).
Gamblingsites.org uses affiliates links from some of the sportsbooks/casinos it promotes and reviews, and we may receive compensation from those particular sportsbooks/casinos in certain circumstances. Gamblingsites.org does not promote or endorse any form of wagering or gambling to users under the age of 18. If you believe you have a gambling problem, please visit BeGambleAware or GAMCARE for information and help.