Democratic Debates: Will Joe Biden Keep Referencing Barack Obama?
The 2020 US presidential election is still over a year away, but the race is already heating up. Despite a few challengers, Donald Trump is heavily favored to represent the Republican side of the aisle on the presidential ticket next fall. The Democratic side is far less certain, however. Hillary Clinton was essentially grandfathered into the Democratic nomination last time around, but that obviously failed miserably for the Democrats.
Unsurprisingly, there is no shortage of candidates vying for the position of Democratic nominee. While each of the first two Democratic debates featured a whopping 20 candidates over the course of two nights, the upcoming third debate will feature a whittled-down field. In order to qualify, all candidates must have reached a certain donation and polling threshold by a late-August deadline.
Just 10 candidates met the criteria, so the September 12th debate will feature a far smaller field. A few candidates (Kirsten Gillibrand, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper) decided to bow out after failing to qualify for the debate. Some that didn’t make it to the debate stage are still in the race, but it’s likely only a matter of time until the field thins even further. The 10 candidates set to do battle on September 12 in Houston are likely the most serious contenders left in the field.
The upcoming debate will feature Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Amy Klobuchar, Beto O’Rourke, Cory Booker, and Julian Castro.
While some may use the debate as a method to identify which candidates they like the best, the debate also presents a unique election betting opportunity. The Democratic debates can get a bit dull, so putting some money on the line is a fun way to make the viewing experience a little more exciting. MyBookie.ag has prop bets available to the public regarding the upcoming Democratic debates. Let’s identify some betting value, shall we?
How Many Times Will Joe Biden Mention Barack Obama?
- Over 2 ½ (+105)
- Under 2 ½ (-125)
Even a few years after the end of his presidency, Barack Obama remains arguably the most popular figure in the Democratic Party. Frankly, that’s also the source of most of Joe Biden’s mass appeal. President Obama’s former second-in-command has polled as the odds-on frontrunner to secure the nomination since announcing his candidacy. In an attempt to appeal to the voting public, Biden has consistently cited his time as VP during his campaign.
As the frontrunner, Biden has also been forced to defend his track record in each of the previous two Democratic debates. He has often used Obama as something of a crutch when defending the former administration of which he was a part. He certainly isn’t afraid to invoke the former president’s name during the Democratic debates, and I think the over on 2 ½ mentions makes for a very obvious value here at +105. Biden should be among the frontrunners regarding speaking time at the debate, so the over on 2 ½ references to Barack Obama looks like an easy bet to win.
How Many Times Will Donald Trump Tweet During the Debate?
- Over 2 ½ (-140)
- Under 2 ½ (+100)
You may have heard that Donald Trump likes Twitter. The 45th president isn’t bashful about voicing his opinion on an array of topics on his highly-followed social media platform. It will sometimes get him into some hot water, but that hasn’t slowed him down to this point.
Trump is desperate to win re-election, of course. As a result, his mission over the next year or so is to try and discredit each and every potential threat to his current seat. His favorite target has been Biden, but he has also disparaged the likes of Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders a fair amount. Whichever Democrat eventually winds up winning the nomination will be the target of a hailstorm of angry tweets from the sitting president.
Like Biden with Obama, Trump likes to use Twitter quite often. This man has issued over 43,000 tweets as of this writing, and he’s almost certainly going to be tuned into the Democratic debates. This feels like an easy over bet as well. Take the over on 2 ½ Trump tweets at -140.
How Many Times Will Andrew Yang Say “$1,000?”
- Over 1 ½ (-160)
- Under 1 ½ (+120)
Andrew Yang was far from a household name when the campaign began, but he has nudged his way into fringe contention for the Democratic nomination. The 44-year-old California-based businessman has run on the core issue of universal basic income. In case you’re not aware, Yang believes that every American citizen should be given an extra $1,000 per month to spend or save as they please. He calls it the “Freedom Dividend,” and it is the primary tenet of his campaign.
Yang hasn’t gotten as many opportunities to speak as some of the other candidates through the first couple of Democratic debates, but he has made his way closer and closer to the center of the debate stage. 1 ½ is a very low bar for this. Yang is trying to separate himself for the field, and at this point, he’s the only candidate aggressively backing the universal basic income idea. Once again, this one looks like an easy over. The value isn’t as great as it is with the other two bets (-160), but I still feel comfortable hitting the over here.
Will Mark Cuban Declare His Candidacy for the 2020 Election?
- Yes (+500)
- No (-1000)
This prop doesn’t have anything to do with the upcoming Democratic debates, but it is listed under the “Debate” tab on MyBookie. So, let’s talk about it! Mark Cuban, the outspoken owner of the NBA’s Dallas Mavericks and one of the more well-known businessmen in America, has dipped his foot into the politics pool at times over the years. He has flip-flopped on whether he likes Donald Trump but, at this point, he appears to be pretty entrenched in the anti-Trump camp.
Cuban has entertained the idea of running for president in the past. He has said that his wife would have to give him the green light in order for him to actually do it, but don’t be surprised if we see Cuban make a run for the Oval Office at some point. I just doubt it’ll happen in 2020. There are already plenty of candidates populating the Democratic field, and it’s getting a bit late to enter the race.
The Iowa Caucuses aren’t that far off, and Cuban would have to make up an awful lot of ground between now and then in order to establish himself as a legitimate contender. It just doesn’t seem viable at this point. Cuban and politics may intersect at some point, but I can’t imagine he jumps into the 2020 race this late. Pass on this bet, as “no” at -1000 doesn’t offer any value in the first place.
Will Beto O’Rourke Speak Spanish During the Debate?
- Yes (-200)
- No (+155)
Beto O’Rourke gained notoriety last year when he ran for Senate in Texas against Ted Cruz. O’Rourke wound up losing the election, but he became a star in the Democratic Party in the process. He was one of the more popular names in the field at the time of his announcement, but he has since fallen by the wayside a bit. Still, he has done well enough to qualify for the third debate.
O’Rourke speaks fluent Spanish, and he hails from El Paso, Texas. He broke out his Spanish during the first debate in a clear attempt to appeal to the Spanish-speaking base of voters. Cory Booker and Julian Castro have also spoken Spanish at previous Democratic debates, though O’Rourke is the only betting option available here. This debate is being held in Houston, which features a massive Spanish population. This is an easy “yes” bet at -200.
Will Andrew Yang Wear a Tie?
- Yes +325
- No -450
Yang made headlines for his decision to not wear a tie to either of the first two Democratic debates. The businessman is giving off a more casual vibe than some of his opponents, and he has clearly embraced the idea of ditching the formal tie look altogether. In fact, doing a quick Google image search of Yang produces almost zero results in which he is sporting a necktie.
Why change now? Yang won’t be wearing a tie at the next debate.