Entertainment Odds: Will Aliens Attack Earth in 2021?

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Space has been in the news on several occasions already in 2021. Earlier this summer, a pair of well-known billionaires launched themselves into space within two weeks of one another. Richard Branson and Jeff Bezos – who have both spent billions of dollars to start their own independent commercial space travel enterprises – became two of the first non-astronauts to exit the earth’s atmosphere.

Both men have also said that they plan to be at the forefront of the space tourism industry. Another eccentric billionaire, Elon Musk, is developing a starship of his own through his company, SpaceX. Several years ago, Musk said,

“History is going to bifurcate along two directions. One path is we stay on Earth forever, and then there will be some eventual extinction event. The alternative is to become a spacefaring civilization and a multi-planet species, which I hope you would agree is the right way to go.”


Back in June, the US government released an unclassified report that said that intelligence officials were unable to identify a variety of UFOs witnessed by Navy pilots over the years. The report confirmed that the pilots did not accidentally stumble on some sort of covert American technology, which left the door open to a number of alternative explanations.

The report did not confirm or deny the existence of aliens. That, of course, led to speculation about the potential for aliens to exist among us. All of this space news got the oddsmakers at BetOnline thinking, too. BetOnline currently has a few alien-related prop bets posted and ready for your wager.

Which Country Will Aliens Attack First?

  • United States (+1000)
  • Greenland (+1100)
  • Russia (+1200)
  • Brazil (+1600)
  • India (+1600)
  • Mexico (+2000)
  • Argentina (+2200)
  • China (+2500)
  • Taiwan (+2500)
  • France (+2500)
  • Italy (+2500)
  • Iran (+2500)
  • Israel (+2500)
  • Australia (+2500)
  • Germany (+3300)
  • Spain (+3300)
  • United Kingdom (+3300)

BetOnline comes in with the handy disclaimer that says all bets will be voided if no countries are attacked by aliens by the end of 2021. The NSA has to confirm that aliens are behind any attack in order for the bet to cash, as well. Just keep all of that in mind before you go wagering on whether aliens will attack Earth at some point over the next few months.

Odds Favor the United States to Be the First Country Attacked if Aliens Strike

The U.S. has the most well-known space program in the world, and Donald Trump established the Space Force as an actual branch of the military during his time in the White House. Both billionaire-funded space launches took place in the U.S., and it was the American government that released the aforementioned UFO report.

If aliens are watching, they have probably noticed that Americans seem to be particularly interested in what goes on in outer space. If, for some reason, aliens see the United States as a potential threat, America makes for a logical solution to be the first country attacked.

Greenland, which isn’t actually a country, comes in with the next-best odds at +1100, followed by Russia (+1200). I’m guessing Greeland makes the list because a self-proclaimed “alien enthusiast” claimed to have discovered a crashed UFO buried in an iceberg off of the coast of Greenland last year. The man even publicly lobbied for Elon Musk to pay to retrieve the spaceship and pave the way for the colonization of Mars and other planets in our solar system. Seems legit!

Several years ago, a Russian space official said that Russia has no strategy in place for combating aliens if they do happen to strike. So, if aliens are paying attention, perhaps they’ll see Russia as an easy target. The U.S. reportedly does have some sort of a defense plan in place, but there’s no telling whether our weaponry will be any match for whatever extraterrestrial arsenal our intergalactic nemeses may have amassed.

That said, Russia is awfully cold and desolate. While the United States would presumably be a more daunting foe than the Russians, I would expect aliens to have lofty goals for their first attack on Earth. The +1000 odds on the U.S. to be the first country attacked by aliens are still advantageous enough.

Which Country Will Aliens Attack First? –United States (+1000)

Will Aliens Attack in 2021?

  • Yes (+10000)

Your only option with this one is to wager on aliens attacking at some point this year at +10000. The calendar is about to flip to September, which means the attack has to happen at some point in the next four months in order for your bet to cash.

This may sound like the ultimate long shot, but we, admittedly, live in very strange times. The Chicago Cubs won a World Series somewhat recently. Few thought Donald Trump could win a presidential election until he did. I’d imagine very few imagined having to live through a global pandemic, yet here we are.

Based on the weird timeline in which we’re currently living, would an alien attack really be that surprising? Humans seem to be in a pretty vulnerable position at the moment.

If aliens are opportunistic, what better time to attack than now?

Obviously, an alien attack before the end of the year isn’t the most likely scenario, but the risk of the bet is baked into the hefty +10000 odds.

Will Human/Alien Contact Be Confirmed?

  • Yes (+2500)

This bet is asking whether the NSA will confirm any communication between humans and aliens at any point before the end of the year. A decade ago, a team of scientists from NASA’s Planetary Science Division wrote,

“While humanity has not yet observed any extraterrestrial intelligence, contact with ETI remains possible.”

Obviously, scientists are hopeful that any contact between humans and aliens in the future will be amicable. However, there is certainly the possibility that the extraterrestrials could be hostile. As a result, some experts believe it would be best for humans to keep to themselves. On the flip side, some astronomers believe it would be a good idea to send some sort of beacon across the galaxy in order to alert other potential life forms to our existence on Earth.

In an interview with NBC News back in 2017, Chicago-based astronomer Lucianne Walkowicz said,

“There’s a possibility that if we actively message, with the intention of getting the attention of an intelligent civilization, that the civilization we contact would not necessarily have our best interests in mind.”

Walkowicz added that there is another possibility that life on Earth could be enhanced by whatever else is out there. The downside, of course, is the possibility that the aliens could simply wipe out our entire species if they wanted to.

There are people that believe they have spotted UFOs or come into some sort of contact with aliens already. You will often hear from people that believe they were abducted, for example. None of the abduction stories has ever been verified. While possible, it seems more likely than not that no human has ever been abducted…yet.

Clearly, the odds of humans coming into contact with aliens is far more likely than an alien attack before the end of the year. If you want a long-shot wager with at least some potential upside, I don’t mind a stab at the “yes” odds here at +2500.

Who Will Be Abducted First?

  • Elon Musk (+1400)
  • Joe Rogan (+1600)
  • Donald Trump Jr. (+1600)
  • Tyson Fury (+1600)
  • Bill Gates (+2000)
  • Jeff Bezos (+2000)
  • Joe Biden (+2000)
  • Mike Tyson (+2200)
  • Donald Trump (+2500)
  • Hillary Clinton (+2500)
  • Oprah Winfrey (+2500)
  • Tom Brady (+2500)
  • George Soros (+2500)
  • Floyd Mayweather (+2500)
  • Rupert Murdoch (+2500)
  • Ghislaine Maxwell (+2500)
  • Rosie O’Donnell (+2800)
  • Jennifer Aniston (+3300)
  • Cristiano Ronaldo (+3300)
  • Boris Johnson (+3300)
  • LeBron James (+3300)
  • Tom Hanks (+4000)
  • Kamala Harris (+4000)
  • Tiger Woods (+5000)
  • Steve Bannon (+5000)
  • Kim Jong-Un (+5000)
  • Stephen Curry (+5000)
  • Henry Winkler (+6600)

Apparently, BetOnline thinks aliens are likely to abduct a person of note when they finally move forward with their abduction process. One would imagine the extraterrestrials will have done their due diligence before striking. I’m not sure what kind of vetting process the aliens can enact, but it’s fair to assume they’d want to conduct research on some of the best and brightest the human species has to offer.

So, we can go ahead and scratch Donald Trump Jr. (+1600) off the list. If the aliens want to take a gander at someone remotely interesting, they’ll likely pass on Joe Rogan (+1600), Jeff Bezos (+2000), and Joe Biden (+2000), too. Tom Brady (+2500) may be an athletic marvel, but he also seems to have the personality of a common doorknob. For that reason, he’s out.

Could Elon Musk be an alien living among us?

It’s possible. First of all, “Elon Musk” sounds like the kind of name an alien would try to come up with if it’s trying to pass itself off as a human. He and his wife, Grimes, also named their son “X Æ A-12.” Sounds extraterrestrial, no?

Elon makes for a good bet to be the first abducted at +1400 if it eventually comes to pass. If he does, perhaps his alien species will be bringing him home after his mission to conquer humanity comes to an end. If you want a long-shot option with upside, don’t look past Tom Hanks at +4000. Everybody loves Tom Hanks. Aliens probably would, too.

Who Will Be Abducted First? Musk (+1400)/Hanks (+4000)

Who Will Win the Alien vs. Human War?

  • Humans (-150)
  • Aliens (+110)

I have no idea how the aliens are +110 underdogs in the inevitable Alien vs. Human War, but they are. Perhaps oddsmakers think humans will hold some sort of home-field advantage if the battle takes place on Earth. Frankly, I don’t think that’ll do us much good.

Of course, we don’t know what kind of capabilities the aliens will have if they do try to start a war. For all we know, they could be a bunch of little green men with limited technology. The human side would also have Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson, which does give us a bit of an edge.

The aliens just seem like the better bet here at +110. The only question is: If humans are completely wiped out in the war, will you see your winnings?

Who Will Win the Alien vs. Human War? Aliens (+110)
Taylor Smith

Taylor Smith has been a staff writer with GamblingSites.org since early 2017. Taylor is primarily a sports writer, though he will occasionally dabble in other things like politics and entertainment betting. His primary specialties are writing about the NBA, Major League Baseball, NFL and domestic and international soccer. Fringe sports like golf and horse racing aren’t exactly his cup of tea, bu ...

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