On January 19th, Manny Pacquiao steps inside the ring to take on Adrien Broner in the first big championship title fight of the year.
What’s made this fight even more exciting is that Floyd Mayweather Jr. will reportedly be ringside to watch his longtime foe Manny Pacquiao in action against a tough challenger in Broner.
Mayweather Promotions CEO Leonard Ellerbe has confirmed to media outlets that Floyd will definitely be there: “Yes, he’s coming.”
The news of Mayweather’s appearance has fanned the flames of a potential rematch between Floyd and Manny, which has surpassed the hype of this weekend’s fight. In fact, many fans and outlets are already looking past Adrien Broner and planning the big rematch. This is something that Broner even mentioned in the final presser before the fight:
“People are talking a lot about Pacquiao fighting Floyd Mayweather again, but I’m pretty sure Floyd is retired. I feel like people are trying to throw me to the wolves and overlook me.”
With that said, there are rumors that a backroom deal is already underway between Pacquiao’s camp and Mayweather’s camp to possibly fight in July. And, this bit of news shouldn’t come as a surprise considering how Manny and Floyd “accidentally” bumped into each other at a festival in Tokyo last year and then at an NBA basketball game last week.
After their first “chance encounter” last September, Floyd initially declared on his Instagram:
“I’m coming back to fight Manny Pacquiao this year, another 9 figure pay day on the way.”
The entire boxing universe erupted over this news. It was almost as if people were dancing in the streets over the possible rematch. Unfortunately, not long after this jubilee, Mayweather announced that he was going to take a tune up fight first and that the potential rematch could be in 2019.
We all saw what a farce Mayweather’s “exhibition” fight was on New Year’s Eve as he beat up a Japanese child kickboxer and stole $9 million dollars.
After Mayweather took the money, he ran back to his luxurious lifestyle and declared that he was going to stay retired. But, all of that talk about retirement seems to be dissipating as we close in on the Pacquiao vs Broner Fight.
With the news of Mayweather attending Pacquiao vs Broner, boxing betting sites have lit up with boxing betting odds for this possible rematch. According to MyBookie, Floyd is listed as a -250 favorite over the +200 underdog Manny Pacquiao.
These current odds show some movement from the opening odds that came out last September. Upon the first news of a possible rematch, boxing sportsbooks like Las Vegas Superbook at Westgate listed Floyd as a -220 favorite and Pacquiao as a +180 underdog.
If Manny has a solid performance against Broner on Saturday, which I believe he will cruise to a Unanimous Decision victory, then I expect Pacquiao’s odds to come down some.
Floyd hasn’t fought a real boxing match since September 2015, when he took on Andre Berto. His exhibition was a robbery and his fight against Conor McGregor in 2017 was a one-sided boxing event stacked against an MMA fighter.
For Manny, his fight against Broner will be the 5th time he’s stepped inside the boxing ring since the first match between Floyd and Manny.
In addition to the standard boxing moneyline bet, there are a slew of Pacquiao vs Mayweather prop bets to consider. The following are a few popular ones courtesy of MyBookie:
Manny just scored a TKO in his last fight against Lucas Matthysse, but Floyd hasn’t TKO’d a boxer since Victor Ortiz in September 2011. I don’t count the Japanese kid kickboxer or Conor McGregor. With that said, I don’t see either fighter stopping their opponent early. So, that leaves us with Decision or Draw.
If these two were going to have a Draw, it would’ve been in the first meeting and not in their second meeting as 40-year old fighters. That leaves us with a Decision outcome. More than likely, Floyd would win the second fight via Decision based on his style and the fact that Manny isn’t as good as he once was.
I think this is going to be a “Yes.” They already fought to the distance in their first fight, so I believe they will do it again in the rematch. Neither fighter is capable of stopping the fight earlier, not at this stage in their careers.
One major prop bet for any boxing fight is Round Betting. This is where you bet on the fighter and round you think that fighter will win in.
For Pacquiao vs Mayweather, I don’t see anything ending before the 10th Round. And, even then, I still believe the fight will go the distance. But, for the sake of this prop bet, the best betting value is in Rounds 10 to 12:
If you believe the fight will end in any of these three rounds then you would wager on the fighter for the specific round. For example, a $100 wager on Pacquiao to win in the 11th Round would score you $4000 dollars. Although I believe the fight will go the distance, there is great value with these round bets.
All the signs are pointing to a rematch, but it will come down to a few key factors in order for this fight to take place. First, Pacquiao must defeat Broner on Saturday night. A loss to Adrien would cost Manny a big payday against Mayweather.
Second, Manny will have to give Floyd the larger share of the money just like he did in their first fight. The 2015 bout between Pacquiao and Mayweather set all sorts of records at the box office and PPV buys.
In the end, Floyd made anywhere from $220 to $250 million and Manny made anywhere from $140 to $170 million depending on the source. Lastly, Manny will have to agree to any other requests from Floyd’s camp especially with drug testing.
If Manny’s camp agrees to this then we should have a rematch. But, keep in mind, Floyd will be 42 years old next month and Manny turned 40 last month. It’s not like we’re getting two great fighters in their primes.
The biggest reason fans would tune in would be to see Pacquiao beat Mayweather. As much as I would like to see that, it’s hard to imagine it happening since Manny’s punching power has declined and he will have a difficult time cracking Floyd’s running and out-pointing Mayweather.
On a side note, most online betting sites used to list odds whether or not this fight would take place in 2019. Now, it’s not even a betting option because most internet sportsbooks, media outlets, and fans believe that these two fighters will want one last massive payday before father time forces them to retire.
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