Tyson Fury vs Otto Wallin Betting Preview: Full Card, Odds and Picks
On Saturday, September 14th, Top Rank Boxing in conjunction with ESPN will be live from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, for a heavyweight showdown between the lineal champ Tyson Fury and challenger Otto Wallin.
Fury is returning to the ring roughly three months after his last fight and is on a collision course to rematch Deontay Wilder early next year. Wallin is hoping to derail these plans and get the biggest win of his professional career.
The co-main event is a 12-round junior featherweight title fight as Emanuel Navarrete puts his title on the line against Juan Miguel Elorde. Jose Pedraza will be taking on Jose Zepeda in a 10-round junior welterweight bout.
There are 10 fights scheduled for this card. The undercard is set to begin at 7:30 PM ET and the main event isn’t expected to start until 11 PM ET. Fury vs Wallin airs exclusively on ESPN+.
Boxing betting sites have odds for various fights on the night. Let’s look at the boxing betting odds, identify some value, and KO our picks.
Jose Zepeda (30-2, 25 KOs) vs Jose Pedraza (26-2, 13 KOs)
- Jose Zepeda (+135)
- Jose Pedraza (-165)
This is the closest fight on the night according to online betting sites. And it will be a very competitive one, as former two division champ Jose Pedraza comes in as the slight betting favorite over a former title contender Jose Zepeda.
Zepeda enters this contest as the underdog for a second straight fight. His punching power gives him a chance in this bout, which means he’s worthy of a flier. Pedraza was a big betting favorite in his last fight, which he won. Pedraza offers betting value at odds this low.
Zepeda vs Pedraza Preview
|Boxer||Jose Zepeda||Jose Pedraza|
Zepeda last stepped inside the ring four months ago against Valenzuela. He was the favorite and expected to win, but the fight ended in the third round due to an accidental headbutt. It was ruled a No Contest.
Prior to that, Zepeda fought Jose Carlos Ramirez in February and lost via majority decision. That fight was for the WBC world super lightweight title. Zepeda was on a seven-fight win streak heading into his contest against Ramirez.
Zepeda first fought for a title in July 2015, when he took on Terry Flanagan for the vacant WBO lightweight belt. Unfortunately, a dislocated left shoulder forced Zepeda to retire after the second round. Zepeda said he is grateful for this opportunity and the big stage that it’s on:
“I feel like this fight will give me the opportunity to really showcase my skills and put me in a position to challenge for a world title. I’m glad that it is versus a former world champion like Pedraza. I am excited that we will add another chapter to the great Mexico vs. Puerto Rico rivalry.”
Jose Pedraza fought in May and defeated Torres via TKO in the ninth round. It was a bounce-back win after losing to the sport’s pound-for-pound top fighter Vasiliy Lomachenko last December. Pedraza went the full distance, but lost via unanimous decision. He also dropped the WBO lightweight title that he captured four months prior.
Pedraza’s first tile reign came in 2015 when he defeated Andrey Klimov for the vacant IBF super featherweight title. He would successfully defend that belt three times before dropping it to Gervonta Davis two and a half years ago.
Pedraza decided to move up in weight and is hoping to capture another title in a third weight class:
“This fight will be a classic Mexico vs. Puerto Rico fight! I know that a big win will take me a step closer to capturing another world title. I want to become a champion in every weight class that I fight. After the fight, I will celebrate Mexican Independence Day with my Mexican brothers.”
Who Wins: Mexico or Puerto Rico?
This is going to be an exciting, competitive fight. Zepeda has the edge in power, but Pedraza has the edge in boxing skills. Additionally, Pedraza is a former world champ and went 12 rounds with Lomachenko nine months ago.
I’m going with Pedraza to win this fight via unanimous decision. I don’t see Pedraza stopping Zepeda in this contest, but I do see him outworking Zepeda for the majority of the rounds.
Before making his Super Lightweight debut this Saturday, relive the night @sniper_pedraza defeated Ray Beltran and earned his Lightweight belt ⏪
— Top Rank Boxing (@trboxing) September 10, 2019
Juan Miguel Elorde (28-1, 15 KOs) vs Emanuel Navarrete (28-1, 24 KOs)
- Juan Miguel Elorde (+1400)
- Emanuel Navarrete (-2500)
Elorde comes in as a huge underdog, but does offer some extremely risky flier appeal. He’s on an 18-fight win streak and has been impressive against recent competition. Navarrete is the champion and a large betting favorite for the second fight in a row. Unfortunately, he doesn’t offer any betting value.
For betting purposes, this fight comes down to how much risk you want to take. If you feel like being a daredevil, then take a flier on Elorde. If you want to play it safe, then avoid these betting odds.
Elorde vs Navarrete Preview
|Boxer||Juan Miguel Elorde||Emanuel Navarrete|
As mentioned, Elorde is on an 18-fight win streak that dates back to late 2011. He also suffered his only career loss that year via unanimous decision in a four-round fight. Elorde last fought in March and soundly defeated a tough opponent in Kawashima. With that said, Elorde jumped at the chance to take this fight:
“When I was offered the opportunity to fight for the world title on such a momentous card, I didn’t hesitate. I’ve dreamed of becoming a world champion, and this is my chance. Trust me, I will bring my special brand of Pinoy Power to Las Vegas. The title will come home to the Philippines.”
This will be Elorde’s first world title fight. At 32 years old, it might be his only world title fight.
For Navarrete, the 24-year-old is a rising star in boxing and his native country of Mexico. He’s honored and excited to be defending his world title a mere two days before Mexico’s Independence Day celebration:
“I am very excited and proud to be part of the big card in Las Vegas at T-Mobile Arena and to defend my title in front of my people on such a special date for my beloved Mexico. We will represent the Mexican flag on the biggest stage in boxing.”
Next Saturday's #FuryWallin undercard is STACKED!
— Top Rank Boxing (@trboxing) September 7, 2019
Navarrete has the same record as his opponent, however, he has won 23 straight fights and hasn’t lost in seven years. His lone loss was also via unanimous decision in a four-round fight just like Elorde. This will be his third title fight since winning the belt last December.
Navarrete defeated Isaac Dogboe via unanimous decision and captured his first world title. In their immediate rematch four months ago, Navarrete bested Dogboe again. This time, it was via TKO in the 12th round. Emanuel actually last fought on August 17th of this year and won via KO in the third round.
His KO victory over De Vaca earned him an undercard spot on the Tyson Fury fight card. It was a surprise for Navarrete and boxing media outlets because of the quick turnaround. Nevertheless, Navarrete barely broke a sweat in that fight and is in prime shape for his world title defense against Elorde.
Who Wins: Mexico vs Philippines?
In the first fight, I had to go with Puerto Rico to win. However, in this fight, it’s clear that Mexico will win. Emanuel Navarrete is the better fighter and has taken on tougher competition than Elorde has. Not to mention, he just fought four weeks ago and is primed for a big night this weekend.
Elorde is worth a flier for the extreme betting risk takers, but I see Navarrete winning this fight via unanimous decision.
Tyson Fury (28-0-1, 20 KOs) vs Otto Wallin (20-0, 13 KOs)
- Otto Wallin (+1725)
- Tyson Fury (-3450)
Of the available betting odds, as of this writing, Tyson Fury is the largest betting favorite of the night. And that should come as no surprise, considering he’s the largest fighter on the card and one of the best heavyweights in the world. Unfortunately, he offers no betting value.
Otto Wallin might be undefeated, but he also might be out of his league in this contest. Wallin is not worthy of a flier, considering he hasn’t fought anyone credible in the heavyweight division.
Fury vs Wallin Preview
|Boxer||Tyson Fury||Otto Wallin|
Otto Wallin is a Swedish fighter with an unblemished record. Unfortunately, this record will change on Saturday night. Wallin is a big southpaw, but nothing more than a practice session for Tyson Fury. The 28-year-old hasn’t fought any fighter in the Top 20, let alone the caliber of Fury.
Wallin last fought in April, but the fight ended in the first round after his opponent suffered a cut due to an accidental headbutt. Prior to that, Wallin fought in April 2018 and won via unanimous decision. He has a chance to pull off a massive upset, but I highly doubt it.
This isn’t a repeat of Andy Ruiz vs Anthony Joshua. Ruiz was a talented fighter and a ranked contender in the division. Wallin is an unheard of European fighter with no legitimate victories over a ranked opponent.
For Tyson Fury, he can spin this fight anyway he wants, but it’s nothing more than a glorified sparring session. It’s a “keep busy” fight until he can rematch Wilder early next year. With that said, a loss would derail his career.
Fury last fought in June and won via second round TKO over Tom Schwarz who was another undefeated European fighter at the time. It wasn’t even a close fight, and I expect more of the same against Wallin. Fury will have the height, weight, and reach advantage. He also has the boxing skills advantage as well.
Will Fury Score Another TKO?
Fury has a 69% knockout rate with 20 knockouts in 29 pro fights. I believe he will get his 21st knockout this weekend. Fury is motivated and in a good place both emotionally and mentally. He looked dominant against Schwarz three months ago, and there’s no reason why he can’t look as good against Wallin.
Fury vs Wallin Prop Bets
It’s not a matter of “if” Fury will win, but “when” he will win. On that note, check out the following prop bets for the Fury vs Wallin fight:
Will This Fight Go the Distance?
- Yes (+250)
- No (-325)
I can’t see a scenario where this fight goes the full 12 rounds. It’s crazy to think that Wallin could even get into the championship rounds, let alone last the full distance. This prop bet is clearly “no,” as Fury is too tough for Wallin to handle. Just look back at the Schwarz fight to see what I mean.
Method of Victory
- Tyson Fury via Decision (+250)
- Tyson Fury via KO, TKO or DQ (-325)
- Otto Wallin via Decision (+2800)
- Otto Wallin via KO, TKO, or DQ (+1400)
- Draw (+3300)
As mentioned multiple times above, I see no scenario where Wallin wins or makes it the full distance. This fight is all about when Tyson Fury will finish it. It’s definitely going to end via KO/TKO (-325).
— Top Rank Boxing (@trboxing) September 7, 2019
Tyson Fury Round Group Betting
- Tyson Fury in Rounds 1 to 3 (+450)
- Tyson Fury in Rounds 4 to 6 (+250)
- Tyson Fury in Rounds 7 to 9 (+300)
- Tyson Fury in Rounds 10 to 12 (+600)
- Tyson Fury on Points (+250)
Instead of betting on Tyson Fury outright, I would recommend trying your hand at the round betting prop bet. I believe he will win prior to the seventh round. So, that leaves us with the options of Rounds 1 to 3 or Rounds 4 to 6. Between the two, the option of Rounds 1 to 3 has the best value at +450 odds.
Rounds 4 to 6 comes in at +250 and Rounds 7 to 9 comes in at +300 odds. In my opinion, there’s very little chance of this fight making it to the championship rounds (10-12). The safe play here is to put $100 on Rounds 1 to 3 and Rounds 4 to 6.
If you only want to pick one group of rounds, then go with Rounds 1 to 3 due to the value. Additionally, Fury won his last fight in the second round against an undefeated European fighter that was out of his league just like Otto Wallin.
Final Thoughts on Fury vs Wallin
There’s not a lot of meat on this card, but it should still be entertaining. The “battle of Jose” will be highly competitive. Also, Navarrete defending his belt on the biggest fight weekend for Mexico will be special. However, this entire event comes down to Fury’s performance.
In June, Fury looked great in a second-round victory. I believe he will have a similar performance in this one. Perhaps, he’ll end it quickly or go a few rounds to get in a workout. Either way, Fury will put on a show and once again stake his claim at the top of the division.
Fury vs Wallin Full Card
The following fight card is according to ESPN:
- Tyson Fury vs Otto Wallin in a 12-round for heavyweight title fight for Fury’s lineal belt.
- Emanuel Navarrete vs Juan Miguel Elorde in a 12-round junior featherweight contest for Navarrete’s WBO title.
- Jose Pedraza vs Jose Zepeda in a 10-round junior welterweight bout.
- Carlos Cuadras vs Jose Maria Cardenas in a 10-round junior bantamweight fight.
- Gabriel Flores Jr. vs Miguel Angel Perez Aispuro in an eight-round lightweight bout.
- Felix Valera vs Vyacheslav Shabranskyy in a 10-round light heavyweight contest.
- Isaac Lowe vs Ruben Garcia Hernandez in a 10-round junior lightweight battle.
- Isidro Ochoa vs Iskander Kharsan in an eight-round junior featherweight bout.
- Guido Vianello vs Cassius Anderson in a six-round heavyweights.
- Abraham Martinez vs Kevin Johnson in a six-round welterweight.