My look at NBA player prop bets continued on Tuesday night, where I made five more picks based on player trends and matchups. Through two previous days of picks I had pieced together a 6-6 record and Tuesday’s 3-2 mark improved my overall record to 9-8 so far.
Dennis Schroder didn’t deliver in a game against the Cavs on Tuesday night, while Brandon Ingram was abysmal from the floor. Ingram couldn’t even convert on a 16.5 scoring Total, while Schroder fell short on a prop bet dealing with his combined points and assists.
Kristaps Porzingis topped a points/rebounds Total of 33.5 with ease, while Gary Harris was held in check as a scorer and Lonzo Ball crushed a 22.5 Total featuring his points/rebounds/assists.
It was a solid night, overall, and I’m back at it again to try to produce a better record with five more of my favorite NBA player props at My Bookie on Thursday:
Andre Drummond Points+Rebounds (30.5)
The first prop bet of the night that catches my eye is this points and rebounds Total bet for Detroit Pistons center, Andre Drummond. Drums can be nasty and on the year is averaging over 13 points and 15 rebounds per game.
That doesn’t quite get you where you need to go, but tonight’s matchup might. Drummond will be going up against a bad Hawks defense that lacks size with big man Dewayne Dedmon on the shelf.
Rookie John Collins could be back in action, but he and Dedmon couldn’t stop Drummond from totaling 16 points and 20 boards (36 Total) in the first meeting this year. With just Collins in the paint to provide resistance, an even bigger game could be had for Drums.
Dennis Schroder Points+Assists (26.5)
While Drummond could feast in the interior in tonight’s game, I think there could be data to track on Atlanta’s side, as well. That could arrive via Hawks start point guard Dennis Schroder, who could surpass a 26.5 Total that deals with his scoring and assists.
Schroder is basically what makes Atlanta’s offense go and he comes into tonight putting up over 20 points and 6.4 assists per game on the year. Not only is he capable of topping this Total just as a scorer, but he dominated the first time these two teams met (17 points, 11 assists).
Detroit can be a tough defensive team, but they’ve been slacking lately. Call me crazy, but I don’t see them silencing Schroder on the road in this one.
Kristaps Porzingis Points+Rebounds (34.5)
The Unicorn has been set free again, as Kristaps Porzingis is thriving again after making his way back from an ankle injury. He’s been aided by a massive role, too, as the Knicks need him more than ever with fellow scorer Tim Hardaway Jr. sidelined with an injury.
A huge role has kept Zinger quite busy these days, as he’s put up 30 and 37 points in each of his last two games. Tonight he’ll be in Brooklyn to battle a Nets team that runs fast but can’t defend.
Seeing as he dropped 30 actual points on them earlier this year and is in a groove again, I like his upside in this spot.
Spencer Dinwiddie Points+Assists (21)
On the opposite side of that Knicks vs. Nets clash is Brooklyn point guard Spencer Dinwiddie, who has filled in admirably for fallen guards, Jeremy Lin and D’Angelo Russell.
Dinwiddie is dishing out 6.6 assists on the year to go with 12+ points per game, so even based on his averages he’s a nightly threat for the Total bettors get to work with at My Bookie.
Dinwiddie has flashed serious upside at times this year and just last game topped this Total (23) with 11 points and 12 dimes. I see him scoring a bit more in this showdown with the Knicks, while his assist numbers so far this year help the Over make sense.
LeBron James Rebounds+Assists (18.5)
I was tempted to take another Lonzo Ball prop bet, but I prefer the wager for King James, who is really on a tear right now for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The two face off tonight in Ohio, but Ball is too erratic for my liking. James has been on fire, posting 12+ assists in 4 of his last 7 games, including a whopping 17 in his last outing.
This is admittedly a high Total, but it measures up to the level of play James is dealing out right now. He is ablaze and as “point-LeBron”, he’s always going to be within striking distance of elite numbers.
James is still known as an elite rebounder, too, while he’s collected 10+ in 3 of his last four starts. He’s dropping numbers at a staggering rate this year and in an up-tempo matchup with the Lakers (#1 in pace) I like his chances to rack up rebounds and dimes.