NBA Specials: Top Player Prop Bets to Target for 12/8
I got the ball rolling with a new NBA player prop bets segment I’ll be doing, which has me looking at some NBA specials and seeing which way you should lean.
My first crack at it had me making picks on 7 different player prop bets last night and delivered mixed results. Brandon Ingram scored 21 points and easily topped his scoring Over/Under bet, while Lonzo Ball went nuts and topped his rebounds/assists Total, as well.
Those were two sweet wins I locked down at My Bookie, while I also suggested bettors should bet on the Under for James Harden’s scoring Total in a road game against the Utah Jazz.
That was another win, while Russell Westbrook scored 31 points and easily topped his own 26.5 scoring Total. That gave me a respectable 4-3 record on the night, while at least one of my missed picks was borderline absurd.
In a game against a bad Nets defense and with Paul George not playing, Carmelo Anthony shot 5-for-20 from the floor and scored just 11 points. That killed my Melo prop bet, which required the OKC star to top 24.5 in total rebounds and points scored.
The worst part? Melo showed up on the glass (11 rebounds) and I missed that prop by 2.5.
Ben Simmons had a bad shooting night and couldn’t top a scoring Total of 18.5, while Joel Embiid was my other miss with a weak rebounding night.
I’ll take a 4-3 record at the end of the day, as that still equates to a profit. Let’s see if I can’t get another winning record with some of Friday’s best NBA player prop bets:
LeBron James Point (28.5)
King James hits the court tonight and is obviously going to be one of the first guys bettors look at for NBA wagers at My Bookie. He’s always got his hands in stats and he may be out for blood against a Pacers team that whooped his Cavaliers (124-107) earlier this year.
James put up 33 points in that loss and probably won’t have much trouble scoring against a shaky Indiana defense (18th in efficiency).
The Pacers are also 9th in pace in the NBA, which suggests this game will be fast and will showcase a good amount of scoring.
Dwyane Wade Points+Rebounds+Assists (22.5)
Sticking with the red-hot Cavs (13 wins in a row!), I really like this versatile prop bet for D-Wade. Wade has been coming off the bench and can be a bit shaky in terms of how he performs, but he’s mostly been in a really nice groove.
Wade’s ability to fit into Cleveland’s second unit is a huge reason why the Cavaliers have found so much success, while he’s even suggested there’s no way he’d want to go back to being a starter at this point.
Not always sharing the court with King James allows Wade to take over games and he can get his hands on a lot of stats. The beauty with this prop bet is you don’t need Wade to excel at scoring, rebounding or passing. He just needs to collectively top 22.5 in points, dimes and rebounds.
Wade has topped this mark in 5 of his last 6 games and due to his versatile skill-set, he’s a serious threat to do so again tonight.
Aaron Gordon Points (20)
Evan Fournier has been sidelined with an ankle injury and that should open up even more shots for Aaron Gordon and the rest of the Orlando starting five.
Gordon has been a pretty explosive scorer lately, but Fournier being out (18 points per game) is going to increase his offensive workload.
Gordon is also an erratic performer, but the star Magic forward has topped this exact scoring Total three times in his last five contests.
Normally I’d have a difficult time trusting Gordon, but he’s at home and will be facing a shaky Denver Nuggets defense that has a hard time containing power forwards.
Thaddeus Young Points+Rebounds (20.5)
Going back to that Cavs vs. Pacers game, I really like this prop bet featuring Thaddeus Young. Always a threat to hit on props due to his versatility, Thad’s wager includes his points and rebounds for tonight.
This might seem like a lot to ask for, but Young actually beasted out with 26 points and 6 rebounds against the Cavs earlier this year. He’ll be comfortable with a solid matchup at home and could even get a solid boost with star Pacers center Myles Turner (calf) iffy to suit up for this one.
Whether Turner plays or not, Young is a serious threat for this prop bet, as he averages over 13 points and 6 rebounds per contests. I’m asking him for slightly more than his season averages and I think he can deliver and get the Over.
Lauri Markkanen Points+Rebounds (20.5)
I’m trying to really only target my very favorite NBA player props at My Bookie, so I’m cutting my list down to five for tonight’s column.
I’ll close things with Chicago Bulls big man Lauri Markkanen, who has his work cut out for him in a tough road tilt with the Charlotte Hornets.
Normally I’d be on board with Lauri with such a low Total and two stats to help him get there. However, Markkanen hovers around this exact Total on the year and often comes up lame on the glass.
That’s a very real fear on the road in Charlotte, as Dwight Howard could dominate this game inside. This could be a tough defensive matchup for Markkanen, too, while he could also be competing for minutes with Nikola Mirotic (face) making his return to the rotation tonight.
Lauri is a threat for the Over in this spot, but I’m actually betting on the Under due to so many negative variables.
That does it for my five favorite NBA player prop bets for Friday night. Hopefully you can wager on a few of these and end the night with some cash!