New York Giants 2019 Win Total Prediction
The New York Giants seem to be a team in transition… Until you realize that they’re still trotting Eli Manning out there as the starting quarterback. New York trudged its way to a 5-11 finish last season, which was good for last place in the NFC East. Pat Shurmur was brought in from the Eagles to replace the hapless Ben McAdoo, but his first season in charge was inauspicious at best. Prior to discussing our New York Giants 2019 win total prediction, let’s look back at their 2018 season.
The Giants got off to a dreadful 1-7 start, though they did pick things up following the Week 9 bye. New York finished the season by winning four of their last eight games, though they did drop three straight to close things out. Manning started all 16 games again, though the clock is clearly ticking on his career. Now, at 38 years old, it’s hard to fathom the 2019 campaign not being Eli’s final year.
It wasn’t all bad, of course. The New York Giants controversially used the second overall pick in the 2018 draft on Penn State running back Saquon Barkley. The team was ravaged in the press for passing on the chance to draft a quarterback like Sam Darnold or Josh Rosen, but the Giants clearly believed that Barkley could be a transcendent talent at this level. Through one season, it’s hard to disagree.
Will Barkley and the Giants surprisingly challenge teams like the Eagles or the Cowboys atop the division? Or will Manning’s (likely) final season with the only franchise he’s ever known end in unceremonious fashion?
New York Giants 2019 Offseason Moves
The Giants haven’t exactly been active in their search for Manning’s replacement, but with Eli in the twilight of his career, the team finally decided to take the plunge. With the sixth pick in this year’s draft, the Giants nabbed ex-Duke quarterback Daniel Jones. This wasn’t the greatest quarterback draft class of all-time by any means, so the Giants took the guy they believe has the best chance at leading the team into the future.
Whether Jones even sees the field in 2019 remains to be seen. One would imagine he’ll get the call at some point, but the New York Giants are also facing the somewhat awkward task of pulling the plug on Manning’s career at some point. Some thought the Giants reached on Jones at No. 6 overall, but only time will tell.
Arguably the biggest move the Giants made this offseason was the decision to trade Odell Beckham Jr. Beckham has been one of the most productive receivers in the league for the last several seasons, but a combination of injuries and off-the-field drama had the team looking to trade him. New York wound up shipping Beckham to the Browns in exchange for safety Jabrill Peppers, guard Kevin Zeitler, and a pair of 2019 draft picks. The Giants wound up using that first-rounder on defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence, while the third-rounder became defensive end Oshane Ximines.
The New York Giants also made the curious decision to not slap the franchise tag on All-Pro safety Landon Collins. Collins has become one of the premier players at his position in the game, but the Giants just decided to let the 25-year-old leave rather than paying him what he’s worth. Collins wound up signing with the division rival Washington Redskins.
New York signed veteran receiver Golden Tate to replace the departed Beckham. Tate isn’t nearly the player Beckham is, however, and he was recently suspended for the first four games of the season after testing positive for performance-enhancing drugs.
New York Giants 2018 Statistics
|Points per Game||Passing Yards per Game||Rushing Yards per Game|
|23.1 (16th)||252.9 (11th)||103.1 (24th)|
|Points Allowed per Game||Passing Yards Allowed per Game||Rushing Yards Allowed per Game|
|25.8 (23rd)||252.8 (23rd)||118.6 (20th)|
New York Giants 2019 Schedule
|1||Sun, Sep. 8||at Dallas Cowboys||4:25pm||FOX|
|2||Sun, Sep. 15||vs. Buffalo Bills||1:00pm||CBS|
|3||Sun, Sep. 22||at Tampa Bay Buccaneers||4:05pm||FOX|
|4||Sun, Sep. 29||vs. Washington Redskins||1:00pm||FOX|
|5||Sun, Oct. 6||vs. Minnesota Vikings||1:00pm||FOX|
|6||Thu, Oct. 10||at New England Patriots||8:20pm||FOX/NFL Net.|
|7||Sun, Oct. 20||vs. Arizona Cardinals||1:00pm||FOX|
|8||Sun, Oct. 27||at Detroit Lions||1:00pm||FOX|
|9||Mon, Nov. 4||vs. Dallas Cowboys||8:15pm||ESPN|
|10||Sun, Nov. 10||at New York Jets||1:00pm||FOX|
|12||Sun, Nov. 24||at Chicago Bears||1:00pm||FOX|
|13||Sun, Dec. 1||vs. Green Bay Packers||1:00pm||FOX|
|14||Mon, Dec. 9||at Philadelphia Eagles||8:15pm||ESPN|
|15||Sun, Dec. 15||vs. Miami Dolphins||1:00pm||CBS|
|16||Sun, Dec. 22||at Washington Redskins||1:00pm||FOX|
|17||Sun, Dec. 29||vs. Philadelphia Eagles||1:00pm||FOX|
Based on 2018’s performance, the New York Giants’ 2019 schedule looks rife with difficult games. Things get off to a tough start when the Giants travel to Arlington to take on the rival Dallas Cowboys in the first game of the season. The Giants have a good track record at AT&T Stadium, but this certainly looks like a mismatch in the Cowboys’ favor.
Considering New York finished last in the division last season, it’s no surprise that they struggled against their NFC East rivals. The New York Giants went just 1-5 in the division, with the lone victory coming on the road in Week 14 over the Redskins. New York does get three winnable games right after the opener in Texas (Buffalo, Tampa Bay, Washington), though out-of-division games with the NFC North won’t be easy. Getting the Vikings and Packers at home is a plus, but the Giants will still likely be underdogs in those contests.
New York only has six games against playoff teams from a season ago, but non-playoff teams like the Packers, Bills, Jets, and Vikings all look improved heading into the new campaign. The closest thing to a “lock” on the Giants’ schedule is likely the Week 7 game that sees the lowly Arizona Cardinals come to MetLife Stadium. But calling any game a lock in the Giants’ favor is likely a fool’s errand. Keep that in mind if you plan to bet on the New York Giants for 2019 NFL season.
New York Giants 2019 Outlook
We’ll see whether Manning eventually takes a seat in favor of Jones, but in the meantime, the Giants’ season will likely hinge on Saquon Barkley. He was one of the most productive offensive players in all of football as a rookie, and many around the league are excited to see what he can accomplish in his second go-round. Barkley accrued 1,307 rushing yards with 11 touchdowns last season, and he also contributed another 91 catches for 721 yards with 4 more receiving scores.
The loss of Beckham takes one big-play threat out of the offense, and at first glance, the New York Giants have no readymade replacement on the roster. Tate and Sterling Shepard are solid pieces, but neither has the game-changing ability that Beckham does. It’s not unfathomable to think that Barkley could have even more responsibility on his plate heading into Year 2 as a result. Beckham topped 1,000 yards receiving despite playing just 12 games last year. Shepard and tight end Evan Engram are going to see more passes floating their way as a result of Beckham’s departure.
We’ll also see how the New York Giants’ defense deals with the loss of its leader in Landon Collins. Collins led the team with 96 tackles a season ago. Peppers is a former first-rounder himself, but he hasn’t been nearly as impactful a player defensively through his first two seasons in the league. New York’s defense steadily improved as last season progressed, but it’s fair to wonder whether Collins’ departure can be seen as anything other than a major setback.
New York Giants 2019 Win Total Odds and Pick
Oddsmakers think the Giants have a chance at improving their win total in 2019, but not by much:
- Over 6 (+105)
- Under 6 (-135)
Frankly, the bar has been set incredibly low. Beyond Barkley, this roster is rife with question marks. Will Manning continue to diminish? If so, how soon will Jones get the call? Can the defense make up for the loss of Landon Collins? Who will step up in place of Odell Beckham Jr.? Can Barkley continue to operate at full capacity despite a massive workload?
The New York Giants couldn’t get to the quarterback last season, which is why they spent two high draft picks on defensive linemen. New York’s 30 sacks last season was tied for the second-fewest in the NFL with the Patriots, though they were still far ahead of the cellar-dwelling Raiders (13). New York did rack up 12 interceptions, but the fact that they managed to win only five games despite a plus-3 turnover differential isn’t exactly the greatest indicator of success moving forward. If this defense sees some regression in the turnover department, things could get ugly in a hurry.
The odds favor the under on 6 wins (-135), and that seems to be a reasonable expectation. The Giants will likely be favored in only a couple of games (vs. Arizona, vs. Miami stand out), and there’s just a general lack of talent up and down the roster. Taking Tate out of this offense—even if it’s only for four games—leaves a dent, considering the lack of depth at receiver behind him and Sterling Shepard. I don’t question Barkley’s ability to carry the offense, but one player can only do so much to impact winning in this sport.