NFL Futures Bet: Offensive and Defensive Rookies of the Year for 2021

By in NFL on
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Trevor-Lawrence-NFL-Honors

With the 2021 NFL Draft in our rear view mirror, it’s time to turn our attention towards where the top rookies ended up being selected and their chances of winning the Rookie of the Year honors for the 2021 season.

NFL betting sites have recently released their opening lines for the Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year awards and there are some interesting lines for various draft picks.

Let’s huddle up to examine these two NFL Futures bets and see if we can make some award winning predictions.

Defensive Rookie of the Year

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

  • Jamin Davis (+400)
  • Micah Parsons (+500)
  • Jaelan Phillips (+750)
  • Jaycee Horn (+1000)
  • Kwity Paye (+1000)
  • Patrick Surtain II (+1200)
  • Zaven Collins (+1200)
  • Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (+1400)
  • Gregory Rousseau (+1800)
  • Jayson Oweh (+2000)
  • Azeez Ojulari (+2200)
  • Asante Samuel Jr. (+2500)
  • Caleb Farley (+2500)

The Betting Favorites

Jamin Davis (+400)

The Washington Football team selected Kentucky linebacker Davis 19th overall in the first round. Although he didn’t go as high as a few other defensive players, Davis might have gone to the most ideal spot out of any defender in the draft.

Davis will be a three down linebacker for the WFT who should have free access, occasionally blitz, and be featured in coverage when needed. He has the athleticism to run sideline to sideline and should excel in this front seven.

WFT defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio made the following comments about Davis:

“We feel like the sky’s the limit for him. He’s got the ability to play all three linebacker spots. He actually played in the middle in college. We’ll put him on the outside.”

Micah Parsons (+500)

Parsons was my favorite player coming out of college this year. He’s an extremely talented linebacker from Penn State who can rush the QB and cover both TEs and RBs.

The Dallas Cowboys selected Parsons 12th overall and add him to what might just become the best group of linebackers in the NFL.

Some pundits believe that Parsons is the most athletically gifted player in the 1st round of the NFL Draft. Others label him as a steal for the Cowboys. He certainly has the potential to become an All-Pro player for the next 10 years straight.

Jaelan Phillips (+750)

The Miami Dolphins selected Hurricanes’ defensive lineman Jaelan Phillips with the 18th pick in the draft and they believe that he can become their top pass rusher.

Phillips was touted as the best defensive lineman in this year’s draft and is expected to be a Day 1 starter for Miami.

Jaelan has a quick burst off the line, a variety of pass rushing moves, and is also solid against the run. He should be a three down lineman with plenty of opportunities to fill the stat sheet.

Jaycee Horn (+1000)

Horn was the first DB taken despite not being the highest ranked DB according to NFL Draft gurus. Yet, the Panthers felt he was the perfect fit for their defense and selected him 8th overall.

Jaycee is the son of former NFL wide receiver Joe Horn and has been preparing to play in the NFL for many years now.

Horn’s size of 6-1, 205 pounds also played a part in Carolina picking him due to the big receivers they play against in the NFC South like Evans, Jones and Thomas. The team is really high on his physical tools and gas tank.

The Best Betting Value

It was a bit of a surprise when Denver drafted Patrick Surtain II (+1200) 9th overall. That wasn’t because of his skillset, but more so due to what the experts thought the Broncos should’ve done in the draft instead.

Right before the Draft, Denver traded with Carolina for QB Teddy Bridgewater which removed them from the equation of drafting a quarterback with the 9th pick despite pundits believing they should’ve taken a QB like Justin Fields.

Surtain is also the son of a former NFL player as his dad was a three time pro bowl defensive back. If Surtain can adjust to the zone scheme that the Broncos will employ, he could have a lot of success.

Top Longshot to Win Defensive ROY

Past injuries led to Caleb Farley (+2500) falling out of the Top 10 all the way down to the Tennessee Titans at 22nd overall.

Farley was one of the highest rated corners in the draft. In fact, some pundits thought he was the best one and deserving of being the first DB selected.

Although he fell, the Titans were very excited to draft him. General Manager Jon Robinson made the following comments about picking Farley:

“We are super stoked to have him as a part of our football team. He was a fun guy to evaluate on film, extremely competitive. He has excellent size and speed for the position. We talked to several of his coaches at Virginia Tech, who raved about him as a person. He really checked every box for us. He’s going to help our football team.”

Who Wins the Defensive ROY for 2021?

There are a few players that have a real shot at winning this award. However, it’s going to come down to the defenders that get the majority of playing time in systems that will set them up to succeed.

With that said, as much as I would love to pick Parsons, I have to go with Jamin Davis. He will be a three down defender who can also play all three linebacker positions.

Furthermore, he’s being inserted into one of the league’s top front seven units which should lead to a great deal of success for Davis on the field and in the stat sheets.

Who Wins the Defensive ROY for 2021? –Davis (+400)

Offensive Rookie of the Year

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

  • Trevor Lawrence (+350)
  • Trey Lance (+550)
  • Justin Fields (+650)
  • Mac Jones (+750)
  • Ja’Marr Chase (+1000)
  • Kyle Pitts (+1000)
  • Najee Harris (+1000)
  • Zach Wilson (+1000)
  • DeVonta Smith (+1200)
  • Travis Etienne (+3300)

The Betting Favorites

Trevor Lawrence (+350)

Trevor Lawrence was not only selected first overall by the Jaguars, as everyone knew would happen, but he was also taken to be the franchise’s savior.

The former Clemson QB was one of the best quarterbacks to have come out of College in quite some time. In fact, many pundits said he had the highest grade since Andrew Luck.

The Jaguars are building an entire franchise around Lawrence who should have some success this year. But, let’s not call this a lock just yet. This will also be Urban Meyer’s first season as a head coach in the NFL and we need to see how his offensive system will translate to the pros.

Trey Lance (+550)

Lance was selected 3rd overall by the 49ers to the surprise of many. Yet, he has the potential to become an exciting franchise quarterback in time.

However, that time won’t be in 2021 as Jimmy G. will and should be the starting QB for a very talented San Francisco 49ers team that has NFC Championship aspirations.

I would avoid Lance for this prop bet.

Justin Fields (+650)

I would also avoid Justin Fields as well. He’s certainly the future for the Bears at QB, but he slot in behind Andy Dalton and Nick Foles to start the season.

I can see Fields surpassing Foles at some point, but if Dalton is helping this Chicago team win games then there’s no reason for Fields to see the field as a starting QB in 2021.

Mac Jones (+750)

The Patriots selected Mac Jones 15th overall and many New England fans were excited over this selection. However, head coach Bill Belichick has already come out and stated that Cam Newton will be their starting QB.

With all of the money that the Patriots spent in Free Agency to improve the offense, it makes sense that Newton gets the starting nod since he has the NFL pedigree.

However, if Newton gets hurt or misses any time, Mac Jones could take over and the Patriots might not look back just like Tom Brady and Drew Bledsoe.

As of now, I would avoid Jones for this prop bet.

The Best Betting Value

Najee Harris (+1000)

I really like where Najee Harris ended up. He was drafted by the Steelers at 24th overall and is expected to be the starter at running back for a team that loves to run the ball, go up and down the field, and put up a lot of points.

I can see Harris surpassing 1,000 rushing yards and 10 TDs in his rookie year. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s one of the top rushers in the league. He offers great value at +1000 odds.

Ja’Marr Chase (+1000)

Ja’Marr Chase will head to Cincinnati after the Bengals selected him 5th overall to team him up with his former college quarterback and current Bengals franchise QB Joe Burrow.

This really is a match made in heaven for the Bengals who add the most physically gifted receiver in the draft to an offense that has a lot of potential. Furthermore, the team still has Boyd and Higgins which means that defenses won’t double team Chase the entire time.

This dynamic duo of Burrow and Chase could become one of the best in the league next season if the QB returns to full health after a devastating knee injury last year.

Top Longshot to Win Offensive ROY

Like with Chase and Burrow, the Jacksonville Jaguars decided to draft Trevor Lawrence’s backfield running mate at Clemson in running back Travis Etienne (+3300).

Etienne is a homerun hitter who can abuse linebackers out of the backfield. He has a great feel for Lawrence’s game and can do just about anything the coaches ask Travis to do in the offense.

Unless he’s tired, I don’t see Etienne leaving the field as he’s also a three down back like Harris. There’s a lot of excitement and potential for the duo of Lawrence and Etienne in Jacksonville.

Who Wins the Offensive ROY for 2021?

The smart play is with Trevor Lawrence. Like how Burrow went to Cincy, Lawrence is going to a situation that isn’t ideal. However, also like Burrow, there are supporting pieces in Jacksonville that should help Trevor to succeed including Etienne.

I would place a small wager on Lawrence right now at one of the top NFL betting sites. A larger wager could be placed after we see how the offense looks in training camp and preseason games.

With that in mind, I would also consider placing small wagers on Harris and Chase. They both are in perfect situations that include supporting talent and systems that will help them shine.

Who Wins the Offensive ROY for 2021? –Lawrence (+350)
Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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