Odds on Colin Kaepernick Returning to the NFL in 2020

By in NFL on
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Colin Kapernick NFL Logo Comeback

With the recent protests and an increased national awareness to social injustice, Colin Kaepernick’s name has come to the forefront once again. In addition to his commitment and past protesting of social injustice and police brutality, Kaepernick is even more motivated than ever to return to the NFL.

Furthermore, it appears that a Kaepernick return is actually picking up some momentum. In fact, it feels like there may be a genuine chance for the 32 year old QB to get back to what he was highly successful at – being a dual threat playmaker.

NFL betting sites have released odds on the possibility of Kaepernick’s return to the league in 2020. Let’s examine these football prop bets courtesy of Bovada, see if Kap will return, and which team could sign the former Super Bowl QB.

Will Kaepernick Be on an Active Roster for Week 1 of 2020 Season?

  • Yes (+500)
  • No (-900)

The “no” option is the clear-cut favorite for this prop bet, but the “yes” option could be worth taking a flier on and here’s why:

NFL Commissioner Goodell Hopes a Team Will Sign Kap

With many NFL players being actively involved in protesting social injustice and the murder of George Floyd, Commissioner Roger Goodell was called out for his stance on this matter especially back in 2016 when Kaepernick was taking a knee.

In an ESPN special, Goodell made the following comments about Kaepernick and his return to the National Football League:

“Well, listen, if he wants to resume his career in the NFL, then obviously it’s going to take a team to make that decision. But I welcome that, support a club making that decision and encourage them to do that.”

More NFL Players are Calling for Kap’s Return

In response to the murder of George Floyd, the voice for change within this country has grown tremendously, and rightfully so. As a byproduct of that, there’s been an increased amount of former and current NFL players calling for the league to bring back Kaepernick.

Former NFL MVP Matt Ryan, quarterback for the Atlanta Falcons, was just another example in a growing line of players publicly stating that Kaepernick deserves a job in the NFL:

“As far as Colin being back in the league, I think he should have every opportunity to. He created awareness for a situation that, it’s taken some time, but people are becoming more active in terms of their response to it… But I think he should have every opportunity to have a job and to have a spot at this point.”

NFL running back Carlos Hyde, a former teammate of Kaepernick in San Francisco, has stated that the NFL can show they’re on the right path for change by bringing back Kap:

“I think if they sign Kap back, that’ll show that they’re really trying to move in a different direction. Because [he] was making a statement four years ago about what’s going on in today’s world and the NFL didn’t bother to listen to him then, so I think they should start by doing that.”

Still Good Enough to Contribute?

Kaepernick hasn’t played in an NFL game in 3 ½ years. Yet, Kap showed in a public workout last year that he still has the arm strength and athleticism to compete for a job.

At 32 years old, Kaepernick is a decade younger than Tom Brady and Drew Brees while also being roughly eight to ten years older than some of the young franchise QBs in the league. However, he appears to still be physically capable of landing a roster spot and contributing to a team.

With Kaepernick being highly motivated to return and a climate that is more in line with what Colin kneeled for, I think the door is open for Kap’s second NFL act.

Take a small flier on the “yes” option as it appears things are lining up in favor of Kaepernick returning to the league.

Will Kap Be on a Week 1 Active Roster? –Yes (+500)

Which Team Will Sign Colin Kaepernick for 2020 Season?

  • Minnesota Vikings (+950)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+1800)
  • Cincinnati Bengals (+2000)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (+2500)
  • Chicago Bears (+2500)
  • Buffalo Bills (+3000)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3000)
  • Carolina Panthers (+3000)
  • Houston Texans (+3500)
  • Las Vegas Raiders (+3500)
  • Indianapolis Colts (+4000)
  • Los Angeles Rams (+4000)
  • Arizona Cardinals (+5500)
  • New England Patriots (+6000)

For a team to sign Kaepernick, there needs to be a suitable scenario for Colin to return and have a legitimate chance at a roster spot. With that said, the following teams provide the best chance for signing Kap and keeping him on the active roster in Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season according to NFL betting sites:

Baltimore Ravens (+1800)

The Vikings might be the odds on favorite to sign Kaepernick, but I think they’re overvalued. In fact, I think the Ravens have a better shot at bringing in Colin than Minnesota.

Baltimore has their franchise QB, but there is room for an upgrade at the backup position. And, let’s face it, that’s the reality of where Kap is at until he can at least get into NFL shape mentally and physically.

For the Ravens, they have three QBs: Jackson, RGIII and McSorley who are all athletic, dual threat players. The team’s offense has been tailored to fit around Lamar Jackson’s strengths, which could also benefit Kaeprnick as well.

Furthermore, Baltimore’s offensive coordinator is Greg Roman who helped Kaepernick achieve a high level of play with the 49ers. Roman’s familiarity and relationship with Kaepernick sounds like a fantastic environment for Kap.

Additionally, this team has a strong coaching staff and ownership that support the protests against social injustice and would be strong enough to handle the media circus that would follow Kaepernick’s return.

Houston Texans (+3500)

Speaking of teams that have been very vocal in supporting the protests, Houston is at the top of the list in publicly rallying against social injustice and police brutality. Star players like Deshaun Watson and J.J. Watt have been highly emotional in their condemnation of the injustices.

However, like just about all of the teams in the league, the Texans are set at starting QB with Watson who is a franchise dual threat player with a great future ahead of him. Yet, the team could realistically use a backup QB that can step in and replicate some of Watson’s traits.

Currently, AJ McCarron is the backup to Watson and he’s more of a traditional pocket passer who’s been a journeyman in this league.

Another reason why Kap would fit in with the Texans is due to head coach Bill O’Brien publicly supporting his players’ protests and the call for change in this country. Furthermore, he has stated that he would take a knee with his players when the season starts:

“Yeah, I’ll take a knee — I’m all for it. The players have a right to protest, a right to be heard and a right to be who they are.”

With a head coach, star players, and a good shot at winning the backup spot, Houston is a great choice for signing Kaepernick.

New England Patriots (+6000)

If there’s any franchise that can get the most out of a returning Kaepernick on the field, while handling the media frenzy, it’s the Patriots. Jedi master Bill Belichick would handle the daily inquiries from reporters and keep things focused on the team, which he’s done for many years now.

Furthermore, the pathway to a starting job is easier on paper in New England than anywhere else right now. Currently, second year QB Jarret Stidham is the projected starter with Brian Hoyer as a backup. If Kaepernick returns at top form then he could definitely land a spot on the roster and compete.

Other Potential Landing Spots Not Mentioned

In addition to the teams listed in the prop bet, I think the following organizations could be suitable locations for Kaepernick:

Kansas City Chiefs

Before some of you gasp at this idea, Kaepernick as a backup with the Chiefs could be a good thing. First, there will never ben any QB controversy as Mahomes is the best quarterback in the league. So, Kap’s ceiling is the #2 QB and providing relief if Mahomes gets injured.

Second, Chad Henne is the backup to Mahomes right now and I think a Kap at top form can beat out Henne for the backup spot. Additionally, Kaepernick’s experience in the postseason will also be valuable in case anything happens to Mahomes in the Playoffs.

The Chiefs are a Super Bowl contender this year and already have the franchise structure in place to bring in Kaepernick, deal with the media, embrace the kneeling, and a head coach that would have a great relationship with Kap.

Tennessee Titans

Another team that I really like as a landing spot for Kaepernick is the Tennessee Titans. They proved last year the value of a quality backup as Ryan Tannehill went from second string to the starting QB during the season and led the Titans to the AFC Championship game.

Currently, Logan Woodside is the apparent #2 QB in Tennessee and he doesn’t quite have the experience that teams ideally want in a backup. Enter, Kaepernick.

Kap has the experience, playmaking ability and could fit well with this organization that’s embraced the identity of head coach Mike Vrabel. Furthermore, they’re a run-first team that would also be suitable for Kaepernick.

Additionally, I could see the Titans doing something where they have a Kap package to get Colin in there during games. Tennessee has invested a lot of money in Tannehill this offseason, but not much into their backup position. One injury to the QB spot could derail their quest to return to the Playoffs.

Kap could provide that insurance, experience and dual threat play that would make him an asset to the team.

Which Team to Wager On?

The Houston Texans make the most sense to me. As mentioned above, they already have a stud franchise QB, but very little behind Watson.

With an offense that’s geared towards Watson’s strengths, that could also benefit Kaepernick who has similar traits of being a dual threat QB.

Furthermore, the Texans have superstar players and a head coach that support the same cause that Kaepernick began in 2016. This would be a great fit for Kap’s return as it’s low risk and high reward for the organization and for Kaepernick himself.

Who Will Kap Sign With? –Houston Texans (+3500)
Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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