Packers Playoff Odds and Other Green Bay Prop Bets to Target
With Green Bay Packers star quarterback Aaron Rodgers down for the count, everyone wants to know what comes next for the green and gold.
Some think Rodgers could still come back and rescue the Packers like he did in 2013. Others suggest the team should go get free agent quarterback Colin Kaepernick.
There might even be some people that are dreaming of a 48-year old Brett Favre coming out of retirement for one last hurrah with his old team.
There is a lot of chatter around the Packers right now, but for the moment it’s largely surrounding young passer Brett Hundley, who prepares to make his first NFL start in week seven.
Whatever your stance on anything Packers-related might be, you might be able to make some money off of it.
Green Bay head coach Mike McCarthy says the Packers are standing pat with new starter Brett Hundley and with surgery on his broken clavicle, Rodgers’ season is almost certainly over.
Does that mean the Packers are still destined for the playoffs or even a Super Bowl run? It’s anyone’s guess, but if you play your cards right, Green Bay’s fortunes can be your monetary gain.
Brett Hundley Week 7 Total Interceptions
Bovada gets us started off right with a look at how many Packers starting quarterback Brett Hundley might throw this week.
On paper, he has a chance to fare well at home against a below average New Orleans Saints defense. Still, he did throw three picks last week and it’s worth wondering if he’ll have issues with turnovers initially:
- Over 1.5 +110
- Under 1.5 -150
I think we can expect some struggles from Hundley early on. He’s a talented player with a good arm and nice athleticism, but he is lacking in two areas; pocket awareness and decision-making.
The Saints don’t have an elite defense, but they have proven to be active. Matthew Stafford turned the ball over a whopping five times against them last week, so I don’t mind rolling with the Over here. That’s where the value resides, anyways.
Brett Hundley Week 7 Total Passing Yards
We can keep the Packers betting rolling with Hundley’s passing yardage count, as Bovada sets the Over/Under at 230.5:
- Over 230.5 -120
- Under 230.5 -120
Hundley did not top 200 passing yards last week, but he was on the road against a pretty tough Minnesota Vikings defense. Even in a potential loss, Hundley should be a little more comfortable and active at home against the Saints.
Brett Hundley Week 7 Total Touchdown Passes
The other Brett Hundley prop bet refers to his touchdown pass Total. Bovada doesn’t love his chances to put up even two touchdown passes after struggling a week ago, but that’s a nice spot to get value this week:
- Over 1.5 +150
- Under 1.5 -200
I actually love the upside with the Over here. Hundley should be much better prepared after a full week of practice as the starter and he’s at home against a beatable defense. The Saints did give up three passing scores last week (as well as 38 points) and that was at home.
New Orleans isn’t a great bet to completely stifle Hundley, who does have some talent around him.
Odds For Another Quarterback to Play For Packers
What could be very interesting is if Hundley continues to struggle. Green Bay is in a weird spot right now, as Aaron Rodgers returning doesn’t seem realistic and if Hundley falters, they’re looking at a lost season.
If Hundley struggles in week seven, do we start hearing calls for another quarterback to be brought in? And if so, who?
- Colin Kaepernick +200
- Tony Romo +500
- Eli Manning +2000
- Brett Favre +5000
Mike McCarthy was already quite vocal about not wanting any outside help, but his tune could change after an initially 4-1 team drops to 4-3 this week.
If Hundley indeed continues to struggle, the Packers could sign Colin Kaepernick, lure Tony Romo out of retirement, trade for Eli Manning or see if Brett Favre wants to help the team out.
None of these possibilities feel overly realistic, as Hundley really is an interesting talent. I’m not sure we can expect Hundley to maintain the level of play Rodgers provided, but it is clear Vegas doesn’t seem to realize he actually might be a decent player.
Of course, the oddsmakers could be right here, too. Of course, if anyone makes actual sense here, it’s Romo. The 37-year old CBS analyst probably wouldn’t return unless he felt the Packers could go all the way, but of these options, he’s the most realistic.
That being said, we’re avoiding this bet.
Packers Total Wins in 2017
Here’s another Packers prop bet we absolutely can hop on, as Green Bay is 4-2 as they stand and could easily find their way to nine wins before the regular season is up:
- Over 8 -120
- Under 8 -120
The betting is even here, so we really just need to consider Green Bay’s coaching, offensive talent and schedule. Of their remaining games, Green Bay gets five more at home and faces three teams with losing records.
The schedule isn’t necessarily easy, but the Packers only need to go 5-5 down the stretch to hit the mark we need them to reach. I think once Hundley finds his footing they can make that happen. A 9-7 finish isn’t unrealistic if things break right for the Packers.
Will Packers Make the Playoffs?
This is where things get tricky. A fantastic 4-1 start already has Green Bay in a nice spot, so they really just have to be a pedestrian team down the stretch to have a shot at the playoffs.
I think they can get to 9-7, but the real question is if that’s good enough to win the NFC North. They probably need to do that to get in this year.
- Yes +110
- No -150
The current NFC playoff picture actually has Green Bay remaining in the mix, but with four other teams with just two losses and a few others at 3-3, Green Bay is going to face some stiff competition to earn a wild-card bid.
That’s just outside of the division, too. Minnesota is now ahead of the Packers for the division lead and the 3-3 Lions might be able to get past them with Rodgers down for the count, too.
Green Bay remains an interesting playoff bet, but as things stand, it’s going to be tough to go all in on them being one of the final six teams in the NFC.