Week 6 of the NFL season was filled with plenty of action on the field and at the sports books. One of the biggest wagers of the weekend saw a $2 million dollar parlay hit on the Detroit Lions and Miami Dolphins moneylines.
For the week, the betting favorites went 7-7. That brings their season total to 44-45- ATS. Another surprising trend in Week 6 saw home underdogs go 3-0 ATS.
The Under came away as the massive winner last week with a 10-4 record. That dramatically shifts the season total to 48-43 in favor of the Overs. However, the Under has gone 11-17 in the last two weeks as it appears that defenses are catching up to the offenses in the league.
Let’s huddle up and take a look at the best bets for Week 7 of the 2020 NFL season. Betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline.
Quick Recap of Week 6’s Best Bets
In Week 6, we got back to our winning ways after going 3-2 with the following NFL wagers:
Steelers Keep Beating the Browns
Bucs Hand Packers First Loss of Season
Rams Beat the 49ers by More Than a FG
Chiefs and Bills Go Over 60 points
Arizona Wins Outright Over Dallas
Let’s start with the losses first. The 49ers came out in Week 6 and not only shocked the Rams, but they also shocked fans, pundits and the rest of the league. The Bills vs Chiefs ended up playing in the rain for four quarters, which really limited their downfield throws.
I had no doubt that the Steelers and Cardinals would win their games. They each won by more than 30 points. As for the Bucs, I had a strong feeling they would beat the Packers, but I never expected it would be a blowout.
We’re now sitting 15-7 on the season heading into Week 7.
Packers Beat Texans by More Than a FG
Green Bay -3.5 (-108)
Unfortunately for Houston, they have to take on an angry Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay Packers this week. That’s bad news for the Texans.
The Packers offense averages 32.4 ppg while the Texans defense gives up 30.3 ppg. Furthermore, Green Bay averages 414.2 total ypg, 274.8 passing ypg and 139.4 rushing ypg. Houston gives up 440.3 total ypg, 262.8 passing ypg, and 177.5 rushing ypg.
In other words, the Packers offense will explode this week for at least 30 points and over 400 total yards.
I see the Packers winning by at least a touchdown and easily covering the spread. Houston is 3-8 ATS when an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5pts, 1-5 ATS this season, 2-5 ATS versus the NFC, and 5-8 ATS versus winning teams. The Packers are 4-1 ATS this season and 6-2 ATS versus the AFC.
Patriots Beat the 49ers
New England (-135)
The former padawan Jimmy Garoppolo returns to Foxboro to take on the Jedi master Bill Belichick. Ask yourself this question – do you see Belichick and the Patriots losing three straight games? I certainly don’t, which is one reason why I’m taking the New England Patriots to win this game.
Another reason for taking the Patriots is that the 49ers will be without Raheem Mostert as he’s expected to miss a few weeks due to an ankle injury. This team isn’t as effective on the ground without Mostert, which also hinders their play action passing attack.
I expect Cam Newton and this Patriots offense to get back on track this weekend with a power running game that will control the clock and wear down this 49ers defense. Belichick will have this team ready. He snacks on adversity and dines on doubters.
San Francisco is 6-6 SU in their last 12 October games and 4-8 SU against losing teams. The Patriots are 17-4 SU at home and 8-2 SU in their last 10 October games.
This is the top game in the AFC for Week 7 as it’s a battle of two unbeaten teams. The Titans have surprised many with their hot start, while the Pittsburgh Steelers look like a juggernaut in the AFC North with Big Ben back and an elite defense.
The Titans are coming off an OT win over the Texans and the Steelers are coming off a 38 to 7 destruction of the Cleveland Browns.
The big matchup for this game will be Tennessee’s rushing attack that averages 157.8 ypg taking on the 2nd best rush defense that allows only 66.2 ypg. Furthermore, the Steelers defensive pass rush is the best in the league and I expect them to get after Tannehill all game long.
One of these teams has to lose and I believe that will be the Titans. I really like what I’ve seen from the Steelers this season and I expect them to remain unbeaten.
Pittsburgh is 6-4 against the Titans in their last 10 meetings. The Steelers are 8-2 SU coming off a divisional game, 7-1 SU in their last eight October games, 10-3 SU after two or more straight wins, and 9-1 SU during Week 5 through Week 9 games.
Brady and the Bucs Win in Vegas
Tampa Bay -2.5 (-155)
I see this game coming down to whichever defense makes the most plays. Over the last few weeks, that has been the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They completely shut down the high powered Green Bay packers last weekend and have scored touchdowns in two of their last three games.
Furthermore, Tampa is forcing turnovers on a weekly basis and I believe they will get a few against the Raiders. Lastly, the Bucs have the best rush defense in the league that allows only 64.3 ypg. The Raiders are a run heavy offense averaging 121 rushing ypg. I give the advantage to Tampa in this one.
On the flip side, the Raiders are allowing 401 total ypg, 30.4 ppg, 274.2 passing ypg, and 126.8 rushing ypg. Tom Brady and this offense are licking their lips as they salivate over the possibilities.
Tampa averages 29.5 ppg and I see them surpassing that mark on Sunday. I also see this run game doing well. You can expect a heavy dosage of Jones and Fournette, which will open up the play action pass. Brady could throw for nearly 300 yards this game.
The Raiders are 0-2 following a Bye Week with Gruden as head coach. The Bucs are 4-1 SU in their last five games, 7-3 SU in their last 10 road games, and 2-0 SU against the AFC West this year.
As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...
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