With a shuffled card and the added excitement of a world title fight, UFC 262 might be challenging to some bettors when looking for potential money-making wagers.
If that’s you, don’t worry because we’ve got you covered. Check out our list of the best value bets for UFC 262 which takes place on Saturday, May 16th, from the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas.
The betting odds are courtesy of UFC betting sites like BetOnline and Bovada.
Check out our reviews of these two online sportsbooks linked below.
Aguilar (+100) is the underdog against Tucker Lutz (-120) in their preliminary card bout. I like Aguilar in this matchup for a few reasons. Yet, if you like Lutz, his moneyline also offers value.
This will be Lutz’s UFC debut as he rides into the octagon on a 10 fight winning streak. However, he hasn’t fought the level of competition that Aguilar has.
Yes, Aguilar has lost three straight fights, but some believe that he won against Charles Rosa 11 months ago. Rosa won via split decision.
Needless to say, with his back against the wall, Aguilar will be the more desperate fighter during a time where the UFC is releasing fighters on a consistent basis.
I think that Aguilar has the striking and experience advantages to win this fight via decision.
Gina Mazany comes into this contest as the large favorite at -210 to -225 odds. Priscila Cachoeira is the underdog with odds ranging from +155 to +185.
Online betting sites favor this bout to go Over 2.5 rounds (-245) and the full 15 minutes (-215). I agree with the oddsmakers as these two combatants are pretty durable. In fact, Cachoeira has only been stopped once in her career.
As for the winner, I like Mazany to outstrike Cachoeira and win via decision. Her odds to win via decision is listed at +100. That’s great value for the favorite in a fight that’s expected to go the full 15 minutes.
This will be an exciting women’s flyweight contest between two ranked fighters. Shevchenko is the favorite at -125 while Lee is the slight underdog at +105.
This bout is heavily favored to go Over 2.5 rounds (-425) and the full three rounds (-370).
Combined, Lee and Shevchenko have gone the distance in 16 of their 27 pro MMA bouts. Furthermore, Lee has gone the distance in all six of her UFC bouts while Shevchenko has gone to a decision in three of her five trips inside the octagon.
I believe this bout is going the full 15 minutes. I also believe that Shevchenko will win largely due to her advantage in striking. Her Muay Thai background will be the difference in this bout as she racks up the points with a more balanced striking attack.
Mike Grundy is the slight favorite in this contest with odds of -115 compared to Lando Vannata at -105. The two are both looking to get back into the win column after losses in their last fights.
Grundy looked good in his last bout which came against Movsar Evloev and even had a shot at winning in the opening frame. Vannata looked decent in a rematch against Bobby Green.
I like Grundy in this matchup because he has a huge advantage on the mat. The British wrestler should be able to control the fight from the mat as I don’t see Vannata having much success off of his back.
I don’t believe that Lando has the takedown defense to stuff the repeated takedown attempts. Once Grundy gets Vannata to the mat, it’s all over with. Either Grundy gets the stoppage or he grinds out a decision victory.
The oddsmakers favor this fight to go Over 2.5 rounds (-185) and the full distance (-160). However, I don’t agree with this. I see this bout ending inside the distance and really like the potential value with this MMA prop bet.
Combined, these two fighters have gone the distance in just eight of their 39 pro fights. Furthermore, Schnell has gone the distance just three times in his last 17 contests and Bontorin has gone the distance twice in his last 17 bouts.
Considering that the two have combined for 24 stoppages in their 31 pro wins, along with their lack of bouts to go the distance in the last several years, I see these two ranked bantamweights finishing inside the distance at +135 odds. It should be a great fight.
This is going to be a hard hitting contest with plenty of excitement for what I believe will go the full three rounds.
These two men are very capable strikers looking to move up further in the featherweight division. Currently, Barboza is ranked 13th and Burgos is ranked 9th in the division.
I don’t see either man picking up the stoppage victory in this contest. More than likely, it will go the distance as MMA betting sites favor the bout to go Over 2.5 rounds (-175) and the full 15 minutes (-155).
Burgos has only been stopped once in his career and Barboza is one of the toughest outs in the UFC.
Since both men are durable, and neither prefers to go to the mat, we should get a thrilling striking battle. If this is just going to be a pure firefight then I like Barboza.
Burgos will come straight forward which should play into Barboza’s game plan. Both men are capable with punching, but Barboza has the edge in the kicking department. The kicks are going to be the difference in this fight and why Edson will win (+115).
The #2 ranked flyweight Katlyn Chookagian is the favorite for this bout against the #7 ranked Viviane Araujo. Chookagian can be found with odds ranging from -135 to -150.
At -135, there’s still some value with Katlyn’s moneyline. However, I like her odds to win via decision at -105 even better.
First, oddsmakers heavily favor this bout to go Over 2.5 rounds (-440) and the full 15 minutes (-380). In fact, no other UFC 262 bout has higher odds to go the distance than this women’s flyweight battle.
Chookagian has gone the distance in 10 of her 12 UFC fights and 14 of her 19 pro bouts. Araujo has gone to a decision in four straight contests.
Once with the judges, I believe that Chookagian will get the victory via decision (-105). She’s the better overall striker between the two and has the experience advantage as well.
In the UFC lightweight title fight, Michael Chandler is the slight underdog (+115) compared to Charles Oliveira (-135). Yet, I like Chandler to win this fight and there are a few reasons why.
Oliveira holds the record for the most submission wins in the UFC at 14. He just got his third degree black belt in jiu-jitsu and clearly has the advantage on the mat.
Yet, Chandler was a four time Division I All-American in college and has never tapped out in his professional MMA career. His wrestling background should help to stuff takedown attempts by Oliveira and give him the ability to scramble back to his feet if he’s taken down.
That means this fight should end up as a striking battle. Oliveira is a slick striker with some impressive technical skills. However, Chandler has the power advantage and he will put the pressure on Oliveira as soon as the fight begins.
I believe that Chandler will keep this fight standing and eventually wear down Oliveira with his power before finishing him off in the 3rd or 4th round.
Four of Oliveira’s eight pro losses have come via TKO/KO in the UFC against the following notable strikers: Donald Cerrone, Cub Swanson, Max Holloway, and Paul Felder.
I believe Chandler is on that level when it comes to striking and should be able to hand Oliveira the 5th TKO loss of his career.
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