The Best Prop Bets for the 2021 NASCAR All-Star Race

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After completing 16 of the 26 regular season races, NASCAR’s Cup Series will take a break from points racing to compete in the 37th running of the All-Star Race.

This year, the event will be held at the Texas Motor Speedway which marks just the third time this race has ever been held outside of Charlotte since it began in 1985.

The race itself is a unique format designed to make things more challenging and entertaining to the fans and drivers themselves. It’s competed over six rounds and 100 laps. In the end, the winning driver will take home the trophy and one million dollars.

Let’s take a look at some of the best All-Star Race prop bets courtesy of the best NASCAR betting sites and hopefully make some checkered flag winning predictions.

All-Star Race Driver Matchups

In order to win these prop bets, you must pick which driver that you think will finish higher at the All-Star Race this weekend:

Kevin Harvick vs Alex Bowman

This is my favorite prop bet for the entire All-Star Race. In fact, it might just be my favorite wager for the event.

Bowman currently sits 11th in the standings while Harvick sits 9th. Yet, Bowman has more wins, same amount of Top 5s, a few less Top 10s, and more laps led on the season than Harvick.

With that said, Harvick has owned Bowman at Texas. When you look over their resumes at the Texas Motor Speedway, Harvick blows Bowman away.

Bowman has just 11 starts, so we’ll just focus on Harvick’s last 11 races for this comparison.

In 11 starts, Bowman has two Top 5s, two Top 10s, a 23.7 average finish and 3 DNFs.

In Harvick’s last 11 races, he has three wins, seven Top 5s, and 10 Top 10s with zero DNFs and a 5.1 average finish

Bowman’s two Top 5s have come in the last three races with a 30th sandwiched in-between to give him a 12.3 average finish. Harvick has one win, two Top 5s, and a 7.3 average finish over that same span.

This is a no-brainer. Take Harvick to win this matchup.

Kevin Harvick vs Alex Bowman –Harvick (-125)

Best of the Group

  • Denny Hamlin (+230)
  • Ryan Blaney (+260)
  • William Byron (+260)
  • Kevin Harvick (+260)

Since I covered Kevin Harvick in the matchup above, I’ll focus more on the other three drivers.

Denny Hamlin is tied with Harvick for the second most wins at TMS among the field with three. But, he also has seven Top 5s and 14 Top 10s with a 13.8 average finish.

Ryan Blaney has three Top 5s, six Top 10s, a 17.3 average finish and 3 DNFs in 12 starts at TMS. However, he does have three straight Top 8 results and six Top 8 results in the last seven races at this track.

In six starts at Texas, William Byron has just two Top 10s, a 16.5 average finish and one DNF which came last year.

Of this group, the winner will come down to Denny Hamlin and Kevin Harvick. Hamlin has done better on the season, but Harvick has done better over the last few years at Texas.

Hamlin has four finishes 20th or worse in the last six TMS races along with one win. Harvick hasn’t finished outside of the Top 20 since 2014. Furthermore, he has two wins, four Top 5s, and five Top 10s in that same span as Hamlin.

I’m taking Harvick to edge out Hamlin and the rest of this group at the All-Star Race.

Best of the Group –Harvick (+260)

All-Star Race Prop Bets

Car Number of Race Winner

  • Even (-115)
  • Odd (-115)

Online sports betting sites had a hard time deciding on which betting option should be the favorite and rightfully so.

With the Even numbers, we have Harvick (4), Busch (18) and Logano (22). They have eight combined wins between them and four All-Star Race wins.

With the Odd numbers, we have Larson (5), Elliott (9), and Hamlin (11). Hamlin has won three races, but the other two haven’t won at Texas. Yet, all three of them have won an All-Star Race before. Larson won in 2019, Elliott in 2020 and Hamlin in 2015.

I’m taking the Even option for this race. I like Busch’s chances of winning and I believe both Harvick and Logano can be Top 5 cars.

Car Number of Race Winner –Even (-115)

Car Number of Race Winner

  • Over 11.5 (-105)
  • Under 11.5 (-130)

This is an opportunity for us to hedge our bets since I picked Busch to win the race.

I like the Under 11.5 option for this prop bet. With this option we get, Kurt Busch (1), Harvick (4), Larson (5), Elliott (9) and Hamlin (11).

All of those drivers have won an All-Star Race. Furthermore, Busch, Harvick and Hamlin have won at Texas. Lastly, Larson and Elliott have been the two best drivers over the last month.

Car Number of Race Winner –Under 11.5 (-130)

Manufacturer of Race Winner

  • Chevrolet (+115)
  • Toyota (+205)
  • Ford (+225)

Chevy is the large betting favorite for this wager. In the 36 previous All-Star Races, Chevy has won 19 of them. Since 2010, they’ve won five All-Star races.

Toyota has just two All-Star wins with both coming in the last six years. Ford has the second most wins all-time for this race with 12. They also have three All-Star Race wins since 2010.

Chevy is certainly the safe choice, but I like Toyota for this prop bet and that’s because the race is at Texas.

The three top Toyota drivers are Kyle Busch, Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr. They have a combined seven wins, 26 Top 5s, and 48 Top 10s. All three drivers are also teammates and have average finishes of 13.8 or less.

I’m taking Toyota and the solid value of +205 for this prop bet. I think Busch will win the race and like Hamlin to finish in the Top 5 as well.

Manufacturer of Race Winner –Toyota (+205)
Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site. ...

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