Thursday Night Football Betting: Eagles vs. Panthers Prop Bets to Wager On
We find out what the Philadelphia Eagles are really made of on Thursday night when Carson Wentz and co. march into Carolina to battle the Panthers.
Both the Eagles and Panthers have been surprisingly great through the first five weeks of the NFL season. Cam Newton has slowly regained his old MVP form en route to a 4-1 start for Carolina, while Carson Wentz has looked like a seasoned veteran during Philly’s own 4-1 run.
These hot starts have helped make the Eagles a viable playoff and NFC East threat, while the Panthers are now among the top Super Bowl 52 value bets.
Something has to break when the two collide on Thursday Night Football, though, and Vegas is calling this one pretty close to the chest. Bovada hands the Panthers a mild -3 spread advantage, while BetOnline gives them a -184 line to win, straight up.
Panthers vs. Eagles Prop Bets
The value could be hard to come by in this one for NFL bettors, which may mean the best move could be to shift to prop bets.
There is a long list of them across the industry, as Bovada and BetOnline both host a slew of interesting Thursday Night Football props and Topbet.eu has some unique wagers of their own.
We took it upon ourselves to ready you for a fun night of TNF wagers by selecting the best team and player prop bets that we stumbled upon. Whether boasting elite upside or staggering value, here’s our favorite props for Thursday night’s game:
Will Carson Wentz Top 250+ Passing Yards?
We start the bidding at Topbet.eu, which offers a slew of TNF player prop bets. Carson Wentz gets the ball rolling with a wager on his passing yardage Total:
- Yes -130
- No EVEN
This could actually be a tough one, seeing as the Panthers are at home and have a strong defense. While that’s been true for the most part, it’s fair to point out that Drew Brees and Tom Brady had their way with this pass defense and Matthew Stafford put up decent numbers last week.
Wentz has certainly been airing it out this year (300+ yards in three different games), but I like the value and logic on the “no” side of this bet. He’s on the road, he’s had two games where he was held under this Total and Carolina’s defense could easily end up keeping him in check.
Will LeGarrette Blount Score a Touchdown?
Wendell Smallwood is again iffy for week six, so it looks like the bruising Blount should be locked into a pretty big role. The big question, of course, is if his touches lead to a score on the road against a stout Panthers defense:
- Yes +190
- No -250
Carolina was quite stingy to start the year, but they’ve taken a step back lately by allowing 24+ points in three straight games. They don’t need to even do that for Blount to pay off in this wager, which is one reason why his +190 odds seem highly appealing.
Blount’s role and production isn’t an issue, either. With Smallwood out or limited, Blount should be ready for the 13+ touches he’s handled in 4 of his first 5 games. Blount has also found the end-zone twice this year and did so 18 times as a rusher in 2016, so we know he’s highly capable of scoring.
Adding to the upside with this bet? Carolina has given up three scores on the ground and could easily give in to another. Ultimately, this one is all about the upside and Blount’s ability to punch in a short score. Give me the “yes” side at +190 all day.
Will Zach Ertz Record 6+ Receptions?
Typically a slow starter, Ertz has gotten 2017 going with a bang by hauling in 5+ receptions in every single game this year.
Ertz has developed fantastic chemistry with Wentz, as he’s been targeted at least 8 times in every contest and has matched or topped this Over/Under wager three different times. We have to decide if he’ll do it again on TNF:
- Yes +110
- No -140
The only real knock here is the Panthers cover the middle of the field pretty well. Luke Kuechly is among the best cover linebackers in the game and could have a big say in just how productive Ertz ends up being.
Tight ends have just 17 total catches against this Carolina defense on the year. With the odds being fairly similar, we’re actually going against the grain here.
Logic suggests Ertz may have a minimal impact against this defense on a short week. I see him grabbing 4-5 balls, but falling just short of this Total.
Will Cam Newton Top 250+ Passing Yards?
The Eagles have been an aggressive and opportunistic defense, but to suggest they are stingy or elite feels like a reach. In week six they’ll have their work cut out for them, as they try to silence Cam Newton on the road.
Newton has been in the news for all of the wrong reasons lately, but he’s also been returning to form with 300+ passing yards in two straight wins. Understandably, it’s going to be hard to bet against the former league MVP in any regard:
- Yes +120
- No -150
Newton should be comfortable at home and may very well pick apart this Philly defense. How successful the Eagles are at putting pressure on Newton will be key, but he’s been slaying and this defense has allowed the opposing passer to top this 250-yard mark in each of the last four weeks.
Will Cam Newton Throw 2+ Touchdown Passes?
Preferably we’d get some outs here with the bet including rushing scores, as well, but I still like the value here. The odds are similar either way we go, so to win Cam just needs to toss two scores against this Eagles defense:
- Yes -120
- No -110
Newton has been in a great groove lately, throwing for six touchdowns over his last two contests. He’s also matched this passing touchdown Total three different times and will be at home in a matchup he can win. I love his chances here.
Will Kelvin Benjamin Score a Touchdown?
If we like Cam Newton in this matchup, I see no reason to hate on Benjamin, who continues to be his best weapon in the passing game. Matchups have forced Newton to work outside the box lately, but Thursday’s showdown with the Eagles allows for Benjamin to get a lot of work in.
Does that make him a lock to score? Perhaps not, but he’s in a good spot on paper and the value is clear in this wager:
- Yes +200
- No -260
Benjamin actually scored for the first time this year in last week’s game, but he’s a massive red-zone target and he and Newton have displayed elite chemistry in the past. He’s been touch and go so far in 2017, but he’ll be needed in this one.
Greg Olsen is out with a broken foot and we know Benjamin will get his opportunities to leave a lasting mark on this game. For +200, I’m all in on him finding at least one score.
Will Christian McCaffrey Total 75+ Yards?
Our last Thursday Night Football player prop bet lies with rookie Panthers running back, Christian McCaffrey.
While the former Stanford product hasn’t lit the world afire as a true rusher, he’s been heavily involved in the offense and could threaten this 75-yard wager over at Topbet.eu:
- Yes -130
- No EVEN
The odds are pretty tight here, but I actually like McCaffrey’s chances. Normal starter Jonathan Stewart has been banged up, so that could crack the door open for McCaffrey to have a big game.
The downside is McCaffrey’s lack of rush attempts and general snap count. Stewart dominated the work last week as the Panthers nursed a big lead, so if Thursday’s game follows a similar script, trusting McCaffrey could be difficult.
Not only are the attempts hard to come by, but McCaffrey (2.8 yards per carry average) simply hasn’t been productive as an inside the tackles runner yet. Due to that, we’re largely banking on him having a huge game as a receiver.
That might happen, but 75 total yards is too much to ask out of a young back who has competition for touches.
That does it for our look at the top Thursday Night Football prop bets. There are sure to be more team and player props to emerge for this game. Just check out Bovada and BetOnline on Thursday for a full list of wagers to target.