Thursday Night Football: 5 Player Prop Bets to Target
Week 14 brings a heated exchange on Thursday Night Football, as the New Orleans Saints (9-3) and Atlanta Falcons (7-5) face off in a massive NFC South tilt.
This is a huge game for sports bettors for two reasons. Not only does this have major implications for the division title race, but it also could impact the entire NFC.
A slew of teams are still trying to work their way into the NFC playoff picture and depending on how Thursday’s game goes, things could get extremely interesting.
This game is obviously one to track if you plan on betting on it, but there are stories within the main story here.
Bettors certainly get to tap into that with some fun NFL player prop bets and a potentially explosive showdown like the Falcons vs. Saints could give way to some serious upside.
Of course, it may depend on which prop bets you take on. There are a bunch to consider, but five over at Topbet.eu really caught my eye:
Will Alvin Kamara Have 100+ Total Yards?
The first NFL player prop bet for Thursday Night Football features versatile Saints rookie running back, Alvin Kamara.
Kamara has been on an absolute tear in his first year as a pro, already accumulating an absurd 1,200 total yards from scrimmage.
Kamara has also been wrecking recently, topping this exact total yardage prop bet in each of his last five contests. Topbet.eu wonders if he’ll do it again:
- Yes +140
- No -170
The recent trend suggests Kamara has a pretty good chance, as he’s safely topped 100+ total yards six times this year and has come close (91) one other time. Kamara is locked into such a huge role as both a rusher and receiver, that logic suggests it’ll be hard for him to not hit the Over.
The fact that Kamara accomplished this feat in the face of tough matchups like the Bills, Panthers and Rams in recent weeks suggests he’s borderline matchup proof.
Against a Falcons defense that has had issues against pass-catching backs all year, I’m all-in on Kamara getting 100+ total yards in this game.
Will Devonta Freeman Score a Touchdown?
On the other side of the field is Devonta Freeman, who paces Atlanta’s running game and returned last week to put up 81 total yards against a tough Vikings defense.
Freeman didn’t score, though, and hasn’t found his way to paydirt since week four. That’s a mild shock, considering Freeman has racked up 27 total scores over the past two seasons.
Odds are he’ll eventually score again, but will it happen this week against the Saints?
- Yes +150
- No -180
This is such a huge game, that I have to think both teams are coming to play. Freeman is preparing for his second game since returning from a concussion and now that he’s back in a groove, I think he can finally get back on track with a touchdown.
History suggests it’s only a matter of time before Freeman scores again, while he’s specifically had success in this matchup.
In six career meetings with New Orleans, Freeman has found the end-zone six times. Given his talent and the value at hand, I’d be willing to shoot for a 7th on Thursday.
Will Vic Beasley Record a Sack?
While this game will be hyped up for its offensive firepower, Topbet.eu isn’t ignoring arguably one of the best defensive players being featured.
That’s none other than Falcons pass rusher Vic Beasley, who notched a career-high 15.5 sacks last year. He’s had a tough go of it in 2017 (just four sacks), but the oddsmakers wonder if he can get sack number five this week:
- Yes +170
- No -220
I love the value, but two things are working against Beasley in this matchup. He obviously hasn’t been quite as effective as everyone is used to seeing, while the Saints have been protecting Drew Brees at an elite level.
Brees comes into this showdown with just 15 sacks taken on the year, which ranks as the 30th most in the NFL.
In other words, sacking Brees isn’t an easy task in 2017 and with Beasley’s drought running up to four straight games without a sack, my bet would be on the “no” side of this one.
Will Julio Jones Catch 7+ Balls?
Sliding back over to the offensive side of the football, bettors can target this fun prop involving stud Falcons receiver, Julio Jones.
Jones figures to be a prominent fixture for Atlanta in this game, but he’s tied or topped this reception Total just three times on the year.
It hasn’t been for a lack of targets, but Jones has had some brutal matchups and the Falcons have opted not to always force-feed their top receiving weapon. Does that change a week after Xavier Rhodes held Jones to just two grabs?
- Yes -125
- No -105
Anytime a superstar gets stifled like Jones did last week, you have to think his offense goes out of its way to get him going. Jones is going to be needed one way or another in this one and hauled in 12 receptions just two weeks ago, so the writing could be on the wall for the Over here.
Adding to the allure of backing Jones in this bet is the fact that he’s enjoyed a lot of success against this New Orleans defense. The Saints have admittedly improved defensively in 2017, but Jones has still hit this reception Total 6 times in 11 career meetings with New Orleans.
Due to the magnitude of this game, I think Jones sees a lot of action this week. I’d vote for the “yes” side of this wager.
Will Mark Ingram Score a 1st/2nd Quarter Touchdown?
For my last bet, I’m looking at the possibility of Saints running back Mark Ingram finding his way into the end-zone at any point in the first half.
That is still carrying some risk, but Topbet.eu gives bettors some nice value to chase and Ingram has been a scoring fiend with 9 touchdowns on the year already.
- Yes +200
- No -260
This game projects to be competitive, while Bovada gives it a gaudy 52.5 Total. Needless to say, there should be scoring early and often in this one. I have to like Ingram’s chances when the Saints get close to the goal-line, as he’s been a key part of their red-zone offense.
Ingram has a touchdown in six different games this year and despite being a skilled receiver, hasn’t scored via catching the ball yet in 2017. Both avenues are in play here, and with the value and two-quarter option, I’ll take the “yes” side.