Football season is finally here and it’s time for sports bettors to start making money.
Since the Super Bowl capped off one of the strangest seasons in recent memories, gamblers have been itching to get back into action. While the preseason provided some gambling action, there’s nothing quite like the regular season.
Teams around the NFL will field a roster of its strongest players in hopes of kicking off the season with a bang. Still, there are plenty of questions that remain unanswered regarding the status of several teams and players.
For that reason, it’s possible that gamblers might struggle in the early going. That’s especially true for those of you who haven’t spent much time familiarizing yourself with the NFL over the last few months.
If you plan on placing a decent amount of money on the upcoming action, there are some things you need to consider. Gambling on the NFL is easier than wagering on other sports, but it can still punish inexperienced and uninformed gamblers.
Here are 6 tips to help sports bettors get through football season and win money.
Don’t Rush Out of the Gate
The first few weeks of most NFL seasons are exciting and rather unpredictable. First-time coaches are trying to implement new systems, teams are still getting used to playing with each other, and players are hoping to knock the rust off.
The 2021 NFL Preseason did little to prepare high-profile starters for the season compared to recent years. Not only did the league cut the preseason from 4 games to 3, but some superstars didn’t even see the field.
Because of this, you shouldn’t be surprised when certain teams and players start the season slow.
There isn’t necessarily a foolproof plan to handicap this reality, but it might be worth taking things slow in the first few weeks of the season.
Instead of unloading your bankroll Week 1, consider watching as much as possible and figuring out which teams are prepared to excel in the first quarter of the season.
There’s a very good chance that some early-season favorites will be upset by lesser teams. You don’t want to be on the losing side of these types of wagers.
Trust What You See Over What You Hear
The buzz surrounding the NFL season is second to none. Sure, MLB Opening Day is exciting and the NBA season tipping off draws a crowd.
But let’s not kid ourselves: football is king.
More people watch and gamble on football than any other sport in the United States. Sports programming directors and producers are fully aware of this.
Much of the content you’ll see for the next few weeks and even months will revolve around the NFL, as well as college football.
This is great news for those of you who consider yourself to be football fans. However, if you’re not familiar with the media landscape, you can easily get caught up in certain biases and narratives.
Many networks become infatuated with dramatic storylines that have little to do with on-field results. They might overblow a certain story to cast doubts on the stability of a team’s chemistry and locker room situation.
This might motivate you to avoid gambling on a particular team or player. However, many of these media personalities get paid to juice up these stories and capture their audience’s attention.
In other words, many of these claims are completely off the mark. So, gamblers must trust their eyes and focus on what they see occurring on the field.
Understand the Significance of Games
Sports like baseball are perfect for high-volume bettors. The MLB season is incredibly long, and teams go through countless peaks and valleys throughout a standard 162-game campaign.
In other words, handicapping the MLB is complicated because the results are relatively unpredictable.
However, that’s not the case for the NFL.
Even with an extended 17-game season, every single game carries a significant amount of weight. Whereas a baseball or basketball team can afford to lose a game here and there, most NFL teams cannot.
Understanding the significance of each game can assist you in spotting value where others cannot.
Say a team is fighting for a playoff spot, a quarterback is returning to compete against the team that cut him, or a coach is facing off against his mentor.
These might seem like mere media narratives, but football teams will use just about anything as motivation to perform to the best of their abilities.
Avoid Wasting Money on Gimmicks & Longshot Parlays
I, like many gamblers before me, used to place multiple parlays on each week of the NFL season. I thought that placing a unit or 2 on parlays with odds that surpassed 10-1 odds was a surefire way to win money, eventually.
I would engage in plenty of research and analysis to find the best legs of my parlays possible. However, these wagers kept losing week after week.
Eventually, I got to the point where I was down so much money on parlays that even if one hit, it wouldn’t make up for the bets I lost.
Some people have luck with long-shot parlays, but they are just that: a long shot.
Try to Take Advantage of Futures and Props
When the average gamblers thinks of potential bets, they probably consider:
Moneylines: Odds of a particular team winning a game straight up
The Spread: How many points a team must win/lose by
Over/Unders: Total number of points scored
While these are 3 of the most popular types of bets football bettors make, other types are worth looking into.
Betting on props and futures is a great way to increase your bankroll and make the betting experience more exciting. Futures are exactly what they sound like: betting on the future outcome.
These types of wagers can involve award races, first coaches fired, and even which teams will win the Super Bowl. These odds fluctuate throughout the season.
Football prop bets involve in-game results outside of the final score and points total. While many of these props involve wagering on statistics, you can also bet on certain things like the coin toss, and which player scores first.
Many of these prop bets are a crapshoot, but there are some worth betting on if you’ve done your research.
Don’t Put Massive Amounts on Heavy Favorites
I often see subpar gamblers put a significant portion of their bankroll on heavy favorites. However, doing this routinely can result in disaster.
While the NFL isn’t nearly as unpredictable as other sports leagues, the phrase “any given Sunday” exists for a good reason. That’s because a great team can lose to a terrible team on any given Sunday.
Say you’re hypothetically betting on a game involving the Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans. The Chiefs are currently one of the best teams in the league, while the Texans have one of the worst rosters in the NFL.
You decide you’re going to bet the Chiefs moneyline: a relatively safe bet.
Unfortunately, you would have to bet a sizeable amount of money to make the bet worthwhile. But, there’s always a chance that the Texans could have the best game of the season and shock the world.
It’s rather unlikely, but it happens every single season. In these cases, the ends don’t justify the means.
Instead of dropping your bankroll on a massive favorite’s moneyline, try to find wagers with more value.
If you’ve struggled to make money on sports bets the last few months, now is the perfect time to try to reverse your fortunes.
With the return of the NFL and NCAA football, those gamblers who struggle in the summer months can start recovering their losses and making money.
However, before you start betting on the NFL, there are some things you should know that can help you get through the season.
Instead of rushing out of the gate, consider taking things slow during the first few weeks of the season. It’s still unclear which teams will be in mid-season form, and which ones might need a week or 2 to get back into fighting shape.
Try to tune out the common media narratives and drama surrounding certain teams. Trust what you see on the field and don’t get sucked into the media circus surrounding the NFL’s top teams and personalities.
Finally, don’t waste your money on long-shot parlays that have a slim chance of winning. Instead, maximize your bankroll by placing wagers on sharp player props and futures.
Michael Stevens has been researching and writing topics involving the gambling industry for well over a decade now and is considered an expert on all things casino and sports betting. Michael has been writing for GamblingSites.org since early 2016. ...
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