The college football season continues to motor along as we head to Week 6 of the season this weekend with a full slate of action. Knowing the prevailing betting trends for the top games of the week will certainly help you out as you make your bets on the action.
Week 5 was a tumultuous one, with several losses from Top 10 teams really shaking up the rankings. Some of the teams who are up and coming in the rankings will try to find out if they can sustain their fast starts in big games this weekend.
AP college football poll (Oct. 3): SMU joins top 25 for first time; Texas A&M drops out of rankings https://t.co/sZO5tOo7KR
In the following article, we’re going to take you through all the big games of Week 6 from a betting trends perspective. We’ll show you the trends that mean the most, so that you can decide if they’ll have a bearing on your wagers this weekend.
The Top Ten College Football Games for Week 6
Maryland at Ohio State (Saturday at 12 Noon Eastern Time)
The Terrapins took a beating from Iowa last Friday night, calling into question the legitimacy of their 4-0 start. What better way to prove they belong than with an upset on the road against none other than Ohio State, the league bully who is on a streak of excellent play.
Ohio State has one loss on the season, but that was a nonconference contest. That’s why it’s so crucial for them to keep rolling as they try to win the Big Ten. Considering that there aren’t that many unbeatens left, the possibility of a one-loss team in the College Football Playoffs is strong.
Point spread: Maryland +21 (-115), Ohio State -21 (-105)
Over/under: Over 69 ½ (-115), Under 69 ½ (-105)
Ohio State has won the last six games played in the series and have covered the spread as the favorite in four of those games
Maryland’s last five games played on the road have all gone under the projected point total
The Terrapins have covered the spread only 30 percent of the time on the road over the past three seasons
The Buckeyes have covered the spread in their last six contests played in the month of October
Ohio State has won 18 in a row in the Big Ten and have covered the spread in 67 percent of those games
Oklahoma Vs. Texas (Saturday at 12 Noon Eastern Time)
It’s one of the best rivalries in all of college football, and this year’s Red River Showdown means more than just tradition and bragging rights. Texas comes in on a three-game winning streak since switching quarterbacks and leaning on superstar running back Bijan Robinson.
As for the Sooners, it may not always have been as impressive as fans have wanted, but they’ve off to a 5-0 start. This will be the toughest test on the schedule so far for quarterback Spencer Rattler on the Sooners by a pretty good margin, so we’ll see if they can rise to the occasion.
Moneyline: Oklahoma -165, Texas +145
Point spread: Oklahoma -3 ½ (-101), Texas +3 ½ (-119(
Over/under: Over 63 ½ (-112), Under 63 ½ (-108)
Oklahoma has dominated this series in recent years, winning the last three in a row and 9 of the last 12 contests against Texas
The Sooners have started the season just 1-4 in terms of covering the spread, even thought they’ve won all five games
As a favorite between 3 ½ and 10 points over the past three seasons, Oklahoma has covered the spread 67 percent of the time
Texas has covered four of five spreads this season and six of their last seven going back to last season
The Longhorns have covered four of their last five games which were played on a neutral field
Arkansas at Mississippi (Saturday at 12 Noon Eastern Time)
Both of these teams will be trying to bounce back after each suffered their first loss of the season a week ago. Considering those losses came at the hands of #1 Alabama (Mississippi) and #2 Georgia (Arkansas), there’s no reason that these teams should be hanging their heads too low.
This game should feature an interesting contrast of styles. Arkansas wants to pound away with the running game and keep the tempo slow to win the time of possession battle. Meanwhile, Mississippi wants to press the pace as much possible with quarterback Matt Corral and their high-octane offense.
Moneyline: Arkansas +180, Mississippi -210
Point spread: Arkansas +5 ½ (-112), Mississippi -5 ½ (-108)
Over/under: Over 66 ½ (-110), Under 66 ½ (-110)
Arkansas has covered the spread in seven of the last eight games they’ve played against the Rebels
The Razorbacks were perfect against the spread and overall through four weeks, but lost their first road game last week and didn’t cover for the first time this year
Arkansas has covered the spread at a rate of just 33 percent in the last three seasons when playing against teams with winning records
Ole Miss has failed to cover the spread in any of the last five games they’ve played in the SEC West division
The Rebels have covered 73 percent of the time as a favorite over the past three seasons
Georgia at Auburn (Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time)
The SEC really gets to prove why it’s the best conference in college football on Saturday, as just about every game on the schedule is a doozy. In this one, Georgia tries to keep unbeaten against Auburn, who is only a heartbreaking road loss to Penn State from being spotless themselves to this point in the year.
The Bulldogs rolled over previously unbeaten Arkansas last week, as their defense continues to look like one of the best in the nation. It’s likely they’ll have to try to keep their winning streak alive without star quarterback JT Daniels, who continues to deal with a lingering lat injury.
Moneyline: Georgia -705, Auburn +525
Point spread: Georgia -15 (-116), Auburn +15 (-104)
Over/under: Over 45 ½ (-115), Under 45 ½ (-105)
Georgia is 10-3 in their last 13 games against Auburn, and they’ve covered the spread at the same rate in that time period
The Bulldogs have covered the spread in four of their first five games this season
Georgia has covered the spread 78 percent of the time as a road favorite since the 2019 season
Auburn last eight SEC games have gone under the projected points total 87 percent of the time
The Tigers have won 13 of their last 15 games at home and have covered the spread in 67 percent of those contests
Boise State at BYU (Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time)
The Cougars have almost quietly slunk up the rankings, propelled by a bunch of victories over Pac-12 squads that might have happened too late for people in the East to notice. But here they are unbeaten and facing one of the toughest remaining games on their 2021 schedule.
The Broncos are not having one of their finest seasons by any stretch, but remain dangerous thanks to their impressive passing attack. A win over the Cougars could be just what they need to get jump-started as they try to maneuver their way through the Mountain West Conference schedule still to come.
Moneyline: Boise State +200, BYU -240
Point spread: Boise State +6 (-110), BYU -6 (-110)
Over/under: Over 56 ½ (-115), Under 56 ½ (-105)
Brigham Young has covered the spread in 73 percent of their games against Boise State, including the last three in a row
Boise State has won 11 of their last 14 road games
The Broncos have won four of their last six games in October and have covered the spread at the same rate in those contests
The Cougars have been a good under bet, as 87 percent of their last eight games have gone under the number
BYU has won seven of its last eight games in the month of October and have covered the spread in 87 percent of those games
Penn State at Iowa (Saturday at 4 PM Eastern Time)
A pair of Top 5 unbeatens go at it in what should be the biggest game of the afternoon. The Big Ten’s resurgence in status can largely be credited to these two programs, who have outperformed expectations and not go head to head in a game with two rugged defenses in the mix.
But don’t sleep on the offenses in this one either. Penn State’s combination of quarterback Sean Clifford to receiver Jahan Dotson has been among the most lethal in college football. Meanwhile, running back Tyler Goodson is the go-to guy for the Hawkeyes behind a road-grading offensive line.
Moneyline: Penn State +110, Iowa -130
Point spread: Penn State +2 (-110), Iowa -2 (-110)
Over/under: Over 40 ½ (-105), Under 40 ½ (-115)
Iowa’s victory last season over Penn State snapped a six-game Nittany Lion winning streak in the series between the two teams
The Nittany Lions have covered the spread in the last six games that they’ve played in the Big Ten
Penn State has covered the spread 70 percent of the time when playing on the road since 2019
The Hawkeyes have started the 2021 season by covering the spread in four of their first five games
In games Iowa has played since 2019 where the point spread has been lower than three points, they’ve won six out of seven and have covered the spread at a rate of 83 percent
LSU at Kentucky (Saturday at 7:30 PM Eastern Time)
The Tigers were oh-so-close to a major victory over Auburn last week only to have Bo Nix and the Tigers snatch it away from them. That leaves them still in search of a major victory this season, and dangerously close to having another clunker of a season just two years removed from a national title.
Kentucky is riding high after their home victory over Florida last week vaulted them into the rankings for the first time all season despite being unbeaten. Now they have to prove they belong there again this week as they find out what it’s like to be the team with the target on its back.
Moneyline: LSU +145, Kentucky -165
Point spread: LSU +3 (+105), Kentucky -3 (-125)
Over/under: Over 50 ½ (-105), Under 50 ½ (-115)
LSU has won six of the last seven games held in this series, but Kentucky has covered the spread in the last four of six played between the two
The Tigers have covered the spread in four of their last five games played on the road
LSU has a record of 9-4 against the spread in games versus teams with a winning record since 2019
Kentucky has started the season by winning five in a row and covering the spread in four of those five victories
The Wildcats own a 13-4 record both outright and against the spread when playing at home over the past three seasons
Notre Dame at Virginia Tech (Saturday at 7:30PM Eastern Time)
The Irish had been living dangerously all season long and it finally caught up with them on Saturday as they were knocked off at home by Cincinnati. While they can perhaps dream of a one-loss playoff spot, the truth is that they have to be much better to entertain those thoughts.
Notre Dame also might have a brewing controversy on top of everything else, with Brian Kelly trying to choose between three possibilities. Virginia Tech, who briefly dented the Top 25 early in the season, is looking for the win that just might get them back to that rarefied air.
Point spread: Notre Dame pick (-105), Virginia Tech pick (-115)
Over/under: Over 47 (-110), Under 47 (-110)
Notre Dame has been favored each of the last three times they’ve played and have won twice but only covered the spread once
The Irish failed to cover the point spread in the only true road game that they’ve played so far this year
Notre Dane has covered 67 percent of the time they’ve played on a grass field since 2019
All four of Virginia Tech’s games to this point have gone under the projected point spread
The Hokies have covered the spread just 29 percent of the time when playing non-conference games since 2019
Michigan at Nebraska (Saturday at 7:30 PM Eastern Time)
The Wolverines have risen all the way to the Top 10 in the rankings thanks to a 5-0 start. Their victory over Wisconsin on Saturday was probably their most impressive to date this season, and Coach Jim Harbaugh can go from the hot seat to the toast of the town if Michigan stays sharp.
My biggest thought on #9 Michigan vs. Nebraska?
Next week is going to be hell for the coach who loses that game. It'll be "Is the Minnesota game a must-win for Scott Frost?" if Huskers lose.
"Jim Harbaugh still hasn't done anything" with UM loss.
They have to be on their guard against Nebraska, however. The Cornhuskers suffered through a poor start, but they’ve been playing much better of late. In their last two games they threw a scare into unbeaten Michigan State and then pounded Northwestern.
Moneyline: Michigan -165, Nebraska +145
Point spread: Michigan -3 ½ (-110), Nebraska +3 ½ (-110)
Over/under: Over 50 ½ (-115), Under 50 ½ (-105)
Nebraska has won three of the last five games played in this series and also covered at that same rate
The Wolverines have started the year 5-0 and they’ve covered the spread in four of those five games
Since 1993, Michigan has covered just 33 percent of the time when playing as a road favorite of between 3 ½ and 7 points
After failing to cover the spread in their season opener, Nebraska has since covered five games in a row
The Cornhuskers have covered just 20 percent of the time in the month of October since 2019
Alabama at Texas A&M (Saturday at 8 PM Eastern Time)
Another week, another SEC conference test for the top-ranked team in the nation. In the win over Mississippi, they unleashed a potent ground game and enjoyed perhaps their best defensive performance of the season. They’ll look to keep it rolling against a Texas A&M squad that seems likely to come in smarting and angry.
The Aggies have dropped two straight to likely end any chances for a possible College Football Playoff appearance. Their quarterback play has let them down of late and their defense hasn’t been as stifling as it was early in the year. A&M has to pick it back up or run the risk of getting routed by the Tide.
Moneyline: Alabama -1000, Texas A&M +660
Point spread: Alabama -18 (-110), Texas A&M +18 (-110)
Over/under: Over 51 ½ (-110), Under 51 ½ (-110)
The Crimson Tide have won eight in a row in this series and have covered the spread in five of the last seven contests against the Aggies
Alabama has covered their last five games played against opponents from the SEC West Division
The Tide have a 19-12 record against the spread over the past three seasons
The over has been the correct bet in just one of Texas A&M’s first five games this year
Texas A&M is just 5-7 against the spread at home over the last three seasons of play
Studying this week’s college football betting trends might reveal some value bets that you can make at the best online college football sportsbooks. Get ready for what should be another wild weekend of action as we approach the halfway point of the regular season.
Jim Beviglia joined Gamblingsites.org as a staff writer in 2018, parlaying his years of freelance writing into contributions on a number of different topics. He handles the sport of horse racing for GamblingSites.org and the intersection between the worlds of cryptocurrency and online gambling in a weekly blog.
For his full-time job, Jim handles the television and track announcing duties at a h ...
The information found on Gamblingsites.org is for entertainment purposes only. It is a purely informational website that does not accept wagers of any kind. Although certain pages within Gamblingsites.org feature or promote other online websites where users are able to place wagers, we encourage all visitors to confirm the wagering and/or gambling regulations that are applicable in their local jurisdiction (as gambling laws may vary in different states, countries and provinces).
Gamblingsites.org uses affiliates links from some of the sportsbooks/casinos it promotes and reviews, and we may receive compensation from those particular sportsbooks/casinos in certain circumstances. Gamblingsites.org does not promote or endorse any form of wagering or gambling to users under the age of 18. If you believe you have a gambling problem, please visit BeGambleAware or GAMCARE for information and help.