The college football season is steaming towards the halfway point with a full schedule of games schedule this weekend in Week 7. That means plenty of betting opportunities, which also means you need to know the top betting trends to make your wagers.
Last week proved that anything can happen in the world of college football, with a series of wild finishes and some major upset. Chief among the upsets was the stunner pulled off Saturday night by heavy underdog Texas A&M, a win which knocked #1 Alabama off its perch for the first time in two seasons.
When things get a little unpredictable, the betting trends can be the best way for bettors to right the ship, so to speak, with some solid data. We’re here to help by spotting the key trends to help your real money football wagers for the top ten games on the college football schedule in Week 7.
The Top Ten College Football Games for Week 7
Oklahoma State at Texas (Saturday at 12 Noon Eastern Time)
Oklahoma State is one of two remaining undefeated teams in the Big 12, which means they have a lot on the line in this one. The Cowboys have been rising in the rankings, but this is shaping up as by far their toughest test so far this season in terms of class of their opponent.
For the Longhorns, they have to try to pick themselves off the mat after their heartbreaking come-from-ahead loss in the Red River Showdown o Saturday to Oklahoma. The Longhorns highly productive offense will try to keep it rolling against an Oklahoma State defense that has proven quite stingy.
Moneyline: Oklahoma State (+180), Texas (-210)
Point spread: Oklahoma State +5 ½ (-109), Texas -5 ½ (-111)
Over/under: Over 59 ½ (-105), Under 59 ½ (-115)
In the last six games between these two teams, Oklahoma State has covered the spread four times to Texas two
The last five games that Oklahoma State has played on the road have all gone under the projected point spread
The Cowboys have been good against the spread while on winning streaks, covering seven of their last nine when they had won their previous two games in a row
Going back to last season, the Longhorns have covered the spread 75 percent of the time in their last eight games
As a home favorite of between 3 ½ and 7 points, Texas has covered the spread 65 percent of the time going back to 1993
Auburn at Arkansas (Saturday at 12 Noon Eastern Time)
Each of these teams come into the matchup on Saturday afternoon with a pair of losses, although for Auburn, only one has been in the conference. The Razorbacks are trying to stop the bleeding after a blowout loss to Georgia and a heartbreaking last-second defeat at the hands of Ole Miss last week.
Another wild college football game!
No. 17 Ole Miss earned its first win over a ranked SEC opponent since 2017 when No. 16 Arkansas missed a game-winning two-point conversion after scoring a touchdown as time expired. https://t.co/29Wqq1dud8
The Tigers also gelt the might of top-ranked Georgia last week. This game will be a crucial one for mid-tier positioning in the ever-rugged SEC. It also represents one last hope for the winner to somehow make it to the SEC Championship Game if they can come out of this tilt with a big victory.
Moneyline: Auburn +150, Arkansas -170
Point spread: Auburn +3 ½ (-105), Arkansas -3 ½ (-115)
Over/under: Over 53 ½ (-105), Under 53 ½ (-115)
Auburn has won the last five games played between these two teams and had covered the spread in four in a row before the Razorbacks covered last season
In the last nine games that Auburn has played against an SEC opponent, the under has been the correct bet 89 percent of the time
The Tigers are two games under .500 against the spread as an underdog over the past three seasons, and they’ve won just 33 percent of those games outright
The Razorbacks have started the year by covering the spread in five of their first six games, including all three games at home
Arkansas has a tendency to get stuck in slumps, as they’ve gone 0-9 in games the past three years when they’ve lost two or more SEC games in a row, covering just twice in that span
BYU at Baylor (Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time)
This is an interesting nonconference affair between two teams with just a single loss so far in the 2021 campaign. The Cougars had their unbeaten run end at the hands of Boise State last week. But they can still improve their bowl qualifications by going on the road for yet another Power Five victory.
Baylor has only lost once so far (to unbeaten Oklahoma State) and comes off an impressive victory in their last matchup against West Virginia. While this game won’t help them any in the Big 12, it could be a good barometer game and should also help them later on down the road in the bowl picture with a W.
Moneyline: BYU +200, Baylor -240
Point spread: BYU +6 (-110), Baylor -6 (-110)
Over/under: Over 50 ½ (-110), Under 50 ½ (-110)
Purdue at Iowa (Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time)
Iowa has moved all the way up to the #2 spot in the national rankings following their big win on Saturday against Penn State. The Hawkeyes continue to batter teams with a defense that causes turnovers at an amazing rate. This could be the best team in the Kirk Ferentz era at Iowa.
But the Hawkeyes now have to get used to being a target to other teams looking to get a signature victory for their season. Purdue whiffed on that chance earlier this year when they came up short against Notre Dame. The Boilermakers will give it another shot in a tough road environment Saturday.
Moneyline: Purdue +360, Iowa -450
Point spread: Purdue +12 (-115), Iowa -12 (-105)
Over/under: Over 43 (-105), Under 43 (-115)
The Boliermakers have won three of their last four games in this series and have covered the spread in all four of those contests
All five of Purdue’s games so far in the 2021 season have gone under the points total
Purdue has covered the spread in 70 percent of the games they’ve played as an underdog since the 2019 season
Iowa has begun the season by covering the spread in five of their six games, including three of their first four at home
They have followed up wins in the Big Ten by covering the spread 9 of 13 times the next game over the past three seasons
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech (Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time)
The ACC is wide open this year for somebody to step up and fill the void, with Clemson struggling week in and week out. That’s why this game is so fascinating. Pitt and Virginia Tech are both 1-0 in conference and have shown enough so far that they might be among the top contenders for the conference title.
The Panthers have become a wide-open offensive team, throwing the football early and often with senior quarterback Kenny Pickett, who is enjoying a marvelous season. Virginia Tech, still smarting over the close loss last week to Notre Dame, rely more on their defense to get things done.
Moneyline: Pittsburgh -195, Virginia Tech +170
Point spread: Pittsburgh -4 ½ (-110), Virginia Tech +4 ½ (-110)
Over/under: Over 57 ½ (-110), Under 57 ½ (-110)
Pitt has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 and 12 of the last 14 games that they’ve played against Virginia Tech
All five of Pitt’s games so far this year have gone over the projected over/under line
Over the past three years, Pitt has covered the spread six of seven times as a road favorite and five of six times in the game directly following a bye week
In the last seven games played by the Hokies, the under has been the correct wager on six of those occasions
Virginia Tech is one game over .500 at home against the spread in games played since the 2019 season
Kentucky at Georgia (Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time)
Georgia is looking to continue their Dousing Hopes tour in Week 7’s only matchup of two unbeaten football teams. They’ve already spoiled the fast starts of Arkansas and Auburn, and they’ll look to do it again against Kentucky, one of the more surprising teams to have not yet suffered a loss in 2021.
The Bulldogs are proving that they can win even without injured quarterback JT Daniels, thanks to the nation’s best defense. But they have to prove they can handle the mantle of being #1. As Alabama found out last week, strange things can happen when you’re at the top of the heap and everybody wants the upset.
Point spread: Kentucky +22 ½ (-110), Georgia -22 ½ (-110)
Over/under: Over 45 (-108), Under 45 (-112)
Georgia has won the last 11 games they’ve played against Kentucky, and before the Wildcats covered the spread the last two years, they had covered in six in a row as well
Kentucky has started off the year by covering the spread in five of their first six games, and they covered in the only road game they’ve played so far this year
The Wildcats have covered 80 percent of the games that they’ve played in the month of October since 2019
Like Kentucky, Georgia also started the season by covering the spread in five of their first six games
Although Georgia has won 12 of their last 13 games at home, they are one game under .500 against the spread in those contests
Alabama at Mississippi State (Saturday at 7 PM Eastern Time)
Having been around the block in the national championship a time or two, Alabama know that one loss isn’t necessarily the end of the world, especially in a year with so many upsets. The Tide can win out, win the SEC Championship, and get right back to where they wanted to be: the College Football Playoff.
But their margin for error has shrunk to almost nothing now, because a second loss would probably be too much to overcome in the conference race. And the team that they face on Saturday night, Mississippi State, beat the team that just beat the Tide (Texas A&M) in their last game before a bye last week.
Moneyline: Alabama -850, Mississippi State +615
Point spread: Alabama -17 (-113), Mississippi State +17 (-107)
Over/under: Over 57 ½ (-110), Under 57 ½ (-110)
The last time Mississippi State beat Alabama was 2007 (they’ve played every season since), and Alabama has also covered the spread in five of the last six games between the teams
Alabama has failed to cover the spread in each of its two road games so far this season
Over the last three seasons, Alabama has covered the spread in 70 percent of its October games
In the last 13 games that Mississippi State has played at home, the over has gone just 2-11 against the under
Since 2019, the Bulldogs have lost all six games they’ve played following a bye week, covering the spread in just one of those games
Mississippi at Tennessee (Saturday at 7:30 PM Eastern Time)
Fresh off the disappointment of their blowout loss to Alabama, the Rebels showed a lot of grit with a thriller of a victory against Arkansas last week. That should give them momentum, not that they need much with an offense led by top Heisman Trophy candidate Matt Corral sparking the charge.
The first four games of Tennessee’s season were definitely a rollercoaster. But they’re coming off back-to-back romping wins in conference that have them pointed in the right direction. Tennessee is lacking that major victory, but knocking off Mississippi on Saturday night would certainly solve that problem.
Moneyline: Mississippi -145, Tennessee +125
Point spread: Mississippi -3 (-110), Tennessee +3 (-110)
Over/under: Over 81 ½ (-110), Under 81 ½ (-110)
The Rebels have covered the spread in five of their last six games played against the Volunteers
Ole Miss has covered the spread in just one of its last five games played within the SEC
Mississippi has covered the spread 67 percent of the time in 12 games as a favorite since 2019, and they lost just two of those dozen games outright
The over has been the right bet in four of the last five games played by Tennessee
Tennessee has covered the spread just 25 percent of the time in their last eight games played as an underdog
Texas Christian at Oklahoma (Saturday at 7:30 PM Eastern Time)
The Sooners won what was perhaps the game of the season to date by benching Heisman Trophy candidate Spencer Rattler in favor of Caleb Williams. Most likely, the Sooners will ride with Williams and his impressive talent as they try to stay atop the Big 12 and, more importantly, unbeaten overall.
The Horned Frogs are 3-2, but their two losses were by a combined 13 points. In other words, this game isn’t too far from being a battle of unbeatens. TCU is never an easy place to play, which means Oklahoma can’t afford any letdown in their transfer to Williams is they’re going to stay spotless.
Moneyline: Texas Christian +420, Oklahoma -525
Point spread: Texas Christian +13 ½ (-110), Oklahoma -13 ½ (-110)
Over/under: Over 65 (-110), Under 65 (-110)
Oklahoma has defeated Texas Christian seven times in a row and have covered the spread in five of the last six against the Horned Frogs
TCU has covered five of their last six games they’ve played on the road
The Horned Frogs are two games under .500 against the spread as an underdog over the past three seasons and have won just two of ten outright as a dog in that span
The Sooners have covered the spread in 70 percent of their last ten games against Big 12 foes
Over the last three seasons as a favorite of between 10 ½ and 21 points, Oklahoma has covered the spread just 25 percent of the time, although they won all eight of those games outright
Arizona State at Utah (Saturday at 10 PM Eastern Time)
The Pac-10 has largely fallen off the national radar, but this game could propel one of these teams into the national conversation. Utah lost back to back games against a pair of solid nonconference foes (BYU and San Diego State), but have started off the Pac-12 part of their schedule with two straight wins.
Arizona State also fell to Brigham Young. But they have come out of the gate firing on all cylinders in the conference, winning all three of their games so far. The winner of this game will stamp themselves as the favorite, and, if it’s Arizona State with their one loss, cling to faint playoff hopes.
Point spread: Arizona State pk (-105), Utah pk (-115)
Over/under: Over 50 ½ (-110), Under 50 ½ (-110)
Utah has covered the spread in five of the last seven games played against Arizona State
Arizona State has covered the spread five games in a row when playing within the Pac-12
The Wildcats have covered the spread 72 percent of the time over the last three seasons when facing a team with a winning record
Utah has covered the spread in only one of their first five games to start off the season
The Utes have been excellent against the spread in conference over the past three seasons, covering 12 out of 17 games in that time span
We hope that the trends that we’ve spotlighted provide you with some excellent ideas for your wagers on college football this weekend. They can help you parse through the noise and get to the essence of these matchups.
Jim Beviglia joined Gamblingsites.org as a staff writer in 2018, parlaying his years of freelance writing into contributions on a number of different topics. He handles the sport of horse racing for GamblingSites.org and the intersection between the worlds of cryptocurrency and online gambling in a weekly blog.
For his full-time job, Jim handles the television and track announcing duties at a h ...
The information found on Gamblingsites.org is for entertainment purposes only. It is a purely informational website that does not accept wagers of any kind. Although certain pages within Gamblingsites.org feature or promote other online websites where users are able to place wagers, we encourage all visitors to confirm the wagering and/or gambling regulations that are applicable in their local jurisdiction (as gambling laws may vary in different states, countries and provinces).
Gamblingsites.org uses affiliates links from some of the sportsbooks/casinos it promotes and reviews, and we may receive compensation from those particular sportsbooks/casinos in certain circumstances. Gamblingsites.org does not promote or endorse any form of wagering or gambling to users under the age of 18. If you believe you have a gambling problem, please visit BeGambleAware or GAMCARE for information and help.