Top Week 9 College Football Betting Trends

By in College Football on
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The 2021 college football season rolls into one of the most thrilling weekends of the season in Week 9. The schedule is jam-packed with games that will have conference and national championship implications. We’re going to help you bet the action with a look at the key trends for the top games.

While each week of the college football season tends to be exciting, Week 9 is shaping up as perhaps the most momentous one yet in the college football campaign. One game after another on the slate seems to be very important, including a Big Ten matchup of unbeatens that looks like one of the games of the year.

It all makes for an outstanding betting schedule, and we’re here to assist you in that arena. Read on to find out about the most relevant betting trends for the top games of the week. That should give you a real jump on the competition when you make your wagers at top sports gambling sites.

The Top 12 Week 9 Games

#9 Iowa (6-1) at Wisconsin (4-3): Saturday at 12 Noon Eastern Time

The Hawkeyes are coming back after their first loss of the season, as they were outplayed by Purdue pretty badly on their home field. With only one Big Ten loss, their hopes of getting to the conference championship game are still afloat, but they can’t afford any more hiccups to stay in the race.

As for the Badgers, they are coming off a win against the very same Purdue team that shocked Iowa the previous week of action. Both of teams feature stout defenses and offenses that tend to sputter, so this one could come down to a key turnover or two to separate these two Big Ten squads.

  • Moneyline: Iowa +140, Wisconsin -160
  • Point spread: Iowa +3 (+100), Wisconsin -3 (-120)
  • Over/under: Over 36 ½ (-110), Under 36 ½ (-110)

Top Trends

  • Wisconsin has won seven of the last nine meetings with Iowa and covered the spread in three of the last five
  • Iowa has won and covered the spread in both their road games this year and has covered their last five in a row on the road overall
  • In games where the spread has been three points either way, Iowa has covered the spread 86 percent of the time over the past three years
  • Wisconsin has covered the spread in only one of their last six home games
  • In home games with over/under totals of 42 or below, Wisconsin has covered the spread 67 percent of the time since 1993

#6 Michigan (7-0) at #8 Michigan State (7-0): Saturday at 12 Noon Eastern Time

There isn’t much needed to make the tradition battle of Michigan a big game, but this year’s contest figures to be one for the books. The two teams came into the year with measured expectations but both have far outpaced them so far and meet as the last two unbeatens in the Big Ten this season.

Both teams feature star running backs, as Kenneth Walker III is the nation’s leader in yards per game for the Spartans while Blake Corum form a potent 1-2 punch for Michigan. And both teams are well-rounded with excellent defenses and special team play, which should mean an extremely competitive game.

  • Moneyline: Michigan -195, Michigan State +170
  • Point spread: Michigan -4 ½ (-107), Michigan State +4 ½ (-113)
  • Over/under: Over 50 ½ (-105), Under 50 ½ (-115)

Top Trends

  • Michigan State has covered the spread in 13 of the last 15 games that they’ve faced off with Michigan
  • The over has been the right bet in Michigan’s last five games played on the road
  • The Wolverines have been tough in October, winning outright and covering the spread in 78 percent of their games in the month since 2019
  • The under has been the right bet in four of the last five games that Michigan State has played this year
  • Most of the point spread trends that apply to this game look bad for the Spartans based on the evidence of the past three years: 33 percent covers as an underdog, 29 percent at home, 35 percent in the Big Ten and 27 percent when playing a team with a winning record

Miami (FLA) (3-4) at #17 Pittsburgh (6-1): Saturday at 12 Noon Eastern Time

The Hurricanes have been disappointing right from the start of the season, as their hopes of being an ACC and national championship contender fell by the wayside pretty early. But they are coming off their best win of the season against North Carolina State, so maybe things are trending up for Miami.

As for Pitt, they’re coming off the biggest win in program history in years with their handling of former ACC conference bully Clemson. Now in the Top 20, the Panthers and red-hot quarterback Kenny Pickett will try to stay unbeaten in the conference in front of what likely will be a raucous home crowd.

  • Moneyline: Miami +280, Pittsburgh -350
  • Point spread: Miami +9 (-108), Pittsburgh -9 (-112)
  • Over/under: Over 61 (-120), Under 61 (+100)

Top Trends

  • Miami has won five out of the last six against Pitt and covered the spread in four of those games
  • In Miami’s last 20 games on the road, the under has been the right bet 70 percent of the time
  • The Hurricanes have covered the spread in 67 percent of their games as an underdog over the last three seasons
  • Pitt has covered six out of seven games so far to begin the season
  • The Panthers have covered 65 percent of their games when they’ve been favored since the 2019 season

#1 Georgia (7-0) vs. Florida (4-3) (at Jacksonville, Florida): Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time

The tradition meeting between the hedges seems like a bit of mismatch at first glance. After a promising two-week stretch where they took Alabama to the wire and pasted Tennessee, the Gators have stumbled. Losses to Kentucky and LSU have put them under .500 in SEC play.

As for the Bulldogs, they have steamrolled every opponent they’ve faced after a grinding opening victory over Clemson. Their fearsome defense will be tough for Florida to overcome. But considering how wild this rivalry has been in the past, there are no foregone conclusions in this one.

  • Moneyline: Georgia -570, Florida +450
  • Point spread: Georgia -14 (-118), Florida +14 (-102)
  • Over/under: Over 51 (-110), Under 51 (-110)

Top Trends

  • Before Florida won and covered the spread last season, Georgia had won the previous three games against the Gators and covered the spread in each
  • Georgia has covered the spread in five of seven games played so far this season
  • Georgia is four games above the spread as a favorite since 2019
  • Florida has won only two of its last seven SEC games
  • The Gators have covered the spread in 67 percent of their games as an underdog over the last three seasons

Texas Tech (5-3) at #4 Oklahoma (8-0): Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern Time

The Sooners continue to live dangerously but keep on winning just the same. Last week lowly Kansas made a game of it until late, again raising questions about the Sooners mental toughness. But electric freshman quarterback Caleb Williams seems to have the ability to bring this team back against all odds.

Texas Tech will be the next team up trying to knock off the unbeaten Sooners. The Red Raiders have had some nice moments, including the fact that they’re the only team to beat Houston so far this season. But their defense has let them down when they’ve had to step up to higher-caliber Big 12 competition.

  • Moneyline: Texas Tech +750, Oklahoma -1200
  • Point spread: Texas Tech +20 (-115), Oklahoma -20 (-105)
  • Over/under: Over 66 (-112), Under 66 (-108)

Top Trends

  • Oklahoma has won the last nine games in a row versus Texas Tech
  • Texas Tech’s recent record on the road is only 2-12
  • The Red Raiders are three games under .500 against the spread when playing a team with a winning record since the 2019 season
  • Oklahoma has covered the spread in 67 percent of its last 12 games played in the Big 12 conference
  • As a favorite of between 10 ½ and 21 points, Oklahoma has covered the spread just 33 percent of the time in the last three seasons, although they have won all nine of those games outright

#10 Mississippi (6-1) at #18 Auburn (5-2): Saturday at 7:00 PM Eastern Time

The Rebels have passed all their tough SEC tests with the exception of their inability to hang with Alabama. But the way that they’ve bounced back from that game with several key victories speaks well of this team, who, with just the one conference, can harbor hopes of somehow ending up in the SEC title game.

Auburn is clinging on to those same hopes. The Tigers bounced back from their loss to #1 Georgia with perhaps their most complete effort of the season in a victory over Arkansas. Their task is to deal with another run-pass threat at quarterback, with the Rebels’ Matt Corral hoping to keep his Heisman campaign on track.

  • Moneyline: Mississippi +115, Auburn -135
  • Point spread: Mississippi +2 ½ (-104), Auburn -2 ½ (-116)
  • Over/under: Over 67 (-110), Under 67 (-110)

Top Trends

  • Auburn has won five in a row in the series and seven of the last eight, and they’ve covered the spread to the tune of 6-1-1 in their last eight against Mississippi
  • Both of Mississippi’s road games this season have gone under the projected points total
  • In six games over the past three years that they’ve played where the spread has been three points or below either way, Ole Miss is just 1-5 overall and against the spread
  • Auburn has covered the spread in three of its four home games so far this season
  • The Tigers have covered the spread in 67 percent of their games as a favorite since the beginning of the 2019 season

#19 Southern Methodist  at Houston: Saturday at 7:00 PM Eastern Time

While everybody has been paying close attention to second-ranked Cincinnati in the American Athletic Conference, these two teams have been beating everybody in sight as well. After losing their opener to Texas Tech of the Big 12, the Cougars have reeled off six straight wins, including a 4-0 start in the conference.

They’ve often done so in nail-biting fashion, but SMU has done Houston one better by winning their first seven games. Quarterback Tanner Mordecai is putting up monster numbers for a Mustang team that still has to play Cincinnati (Houston does not.) The winner of this seems all but assured of reaching the conference title game.

  • Moneyline: N/A
  • Point spread: Southern Methodist +1 (-107), Houston -1 (-113)
  • Over/under: Over 62 (-115), Under 52 (-105)

Top Trends

  • This has been an incredibly balanced series, with the two teams at 4-4 overall and against the spread in the last eight games between them
  • SMU has covered only one of their last five games on the road dating back to last season
  • The Mustangs have covered the spread in just 29 percent of their games against the spread when playing teams with winning records over the past three seasons
  • The over has been the right bet in our of Houston’s last six games within the AAC
  • Houston hasn’t defeated a team with a winning record in the last three seasons

#12 Kentucky at Mississippi State: Saturday at 7:00 Pm Eastern Time

Anytime that two SEC teams meet up, there are bound to be postseason implications. That is likely the case here, especially for Kentucky. After they were handled by Georgia in their last game for their first loss, the Wildcats come back from a week off and try to rev up the momentum they had in their unbeaten start.

The Bulldogs have had their moments this year, with victories over North Carolina State and Texas A&M. But they’ve also suffered head-scratching defeats, like when they lost to Memphis. With a win, Mississippi State would enjoy a winning record in the toughest conference in college football.

  • Moneyline: N/A
  • Point spread: Kentucky -1 (-110), Mississippi State +1 (-110)
  • Over/under: Over 47 ½ (-110), Under 47 ½ (-110)

Top Trends

  • The home team has won in this series each of the last four games
  • Kentucky has begun the year by covering the spread in six of their first seven games
  • The Wildcats have covered the spread 67 percent of the time as a favorite since 2019
  • Mississippi State has covered only one of their four games at home so far this season
  • The Bulldogs have covered the spread in only 33 percent of their games against teams with winning records in the last three seasons

North Carolina at #11 Notre Dame: Saturday at 7:30 PM Eastern Time

It has not been the year that most experts thought it would be for the Tar Heels. They began the year in the Top 10 in many polls, but it quickly unraveled with a loss to Virginia Tech in Week 1. Sam Howell and company have been up and down since then that game and head into South Bend at 4-3.

The Irish know that their schedule softens up considerably from this point forward, meaning that they can almost reach out and gran 11-1. But Notre Dame, which was won several games in tight contests, know that they can’t take anything for granted, especially with Howell abilities for UNC.

  • Moneyline: North Carolina +145, Notre Dame -165
  • Point spread: North Carolina +3 ½ (-110), Notre Dame -3 ½ (-110)
  • Over/under: Over 62 ½ (-110), Under 62 ½ (-110)

Top Trends

  • The Fighting Irish won the last three games over North Carolina and have covered the spread in the last two
  • North Carolina has covered just 33 percent of its last 12 games
  • UNC has also covered only 33 percent of its road games over the past three years
  • Only one of Notre Dame’s four home games this season have gone over the projected over/under line
  • As a favorite of between 3 ½ and 10 points in the last three seasons, Notre Dame has won all nine games out right and have covered the spread in 78 percent of those games

#20 Penn State at #5 Ohio State: Saturday at 7:30 PM Eastern Time

The Buckeyes have dominated ever since their loss against Oregon, scoring a lot of points thanks to an offense featuring quarterback C.J. Stroud and running back TreVeyon Henderson. Ohio State are still unbeaten in the Big Ten, which means they control their destiny to get to the Big Ten Championship Game.

As for Penn State, they have to try to pick themselves off the mat following two straight losses. The Nittany Lions offense has suddenly hit a wall, as banged-up quarterback Sean Clifford has struggled. But their defense could provide one of the toughest tests that the explosive Buckeyes will face this season.

  • Moneyline: Penn State +700, Ohio State -1100
  • Point spread: Penn State +19 (-107), Ohio State -19 (-113)
  • Over/under: Over 59 ½ (-112), Under 59 ½ (-108)

Top Trends

  • Although Ohio State has won eight of the nine last games against Penn State, the Nittany Lions have covered the spread in four of the last five games between the two
  • 83 percent of Penn State’s last 12 road games have gone under the over/under total
  • Penn State has covered the spread in just 33 percent of its October games since 2019
  • Ohio State has covered eight games in a row in October
  • The Buckeyes have covered the spread in 70 percent of their Big Ten games over the past three years

UCLA at Utah: Saturday at 10 PM Eastern Time

The Pac-12 is typically messy, with upsets like the one that Utah suffered against Oregon State par for the course. Yet the Utes are still one of four teams with just one loss in league play. That means they can easily find themselves playing for the conference title if they can get back off the mar for this game.

UCLA came up short in their opportunity to come up with a statement win last week against Oregon. Winning on the road in Utah is never an easy task. But the Bruins have a top playmaker in quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who could easily spearhead a touch win away from home.

  • Moneyline: UCLA +200, Utah -240
  • Point spread: UCLA +6 ½ (-110), Utah -6 ½ (-110)
  • Over/under: Over 60 ½ (-105), Under 60 ½ (-115)

Top Trends

  • Utah has beaten UCLA four games in a row and has covered the spread in every one of those games as well
  • UCLA is a perfect 3-0 on the road this season and have also covered the spread in every one of those games
  • The Bruins have covered the spread in 72 percent of their turf games since the beginning of the 2019 season
  • Utah is just 2-5 against the spread in the 2021 season to date
  • The Utes are 13-6 against the spread in the Pac-12 over the past three years

Fresno State at #21 San Diego State: Saturday at 10:30 PM Eastern Time

This one is shaping up as the game of the season in the Mountain West. Fresno State comes in at 6-2 and have won three of four in the conference behind prolific quarterback Jake Haener. They can pull into a tie in the West division if they can go into San Diego and defeat the unbeaten Aztecs.

The tricky part for Haener will be trying to penetrate a SDSU defense that has been stingy all season long. These Aztecs believe that they can sneak into major bowl consideration if they can finish the year with an unbeaten record. Remember that they’ve beaten two Pac-12 teams along the way.

  • Moneyline: Fresno State +105, San Diego State -125
  • Point spread: Fresno State +1 (+105), San Diego State -1 (-125)
  • Over/under: Over 45 (-110), Under 45 (-110)

Top Trends

  • The under has been the correct wager in the series between Fresno State and San Diego State for the last seven games
  • Fresno State has covered 67 percent of their last 9 games on the road
  • The Bulldogs have covered only 29 percent of their road games since the beginning of 2019
  • 65 percent of the last 20 games played by San Diego State has gone under the projected points total
  • The Aztecs have covered 78 percent of their games against teams with winning records over the past three seasons

Conclusion

It is shaping up to be a weekend to remember in the world of college football. If you want it to be a weekend to remember for your gambling account, look for the trends above that seem the most reliable to you. Then you make your wagers with confidence.

Jim Beviglia

Jim Beviglia joined Gamblingsites.org as a staff writer in 2018, parlaying his years of freelance writing into contributions on a number of different topics. He handles the sport of horse racing for GamblingSites.org and the intersection between the worlds of cryptocurrency and online gambling in a weekly blog. For his full-time job, Jim handles the television and track announcing duties at a h ...

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